diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index d07edb8f..dd274494 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -1278,3 +1278,4 @@
 {"ts": 1785759297.6, "side": "SELL", "token": "8310650677069487821478025416478130051168635736368290554555541536659374960027", "shares": 2.2356, "price": 0.96, "fee": 0.0026, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785760203.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "8310650677069487821478025416478130051168635736368290554555541536659374960027", "shares": 2.2356, "price": 0.96, "fee": 0.0026, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785761102.1, "side": "SELL", "token": "8310650677069487821478025416478130051168635736368290554555541536659374960027", "shares": 2.2356, "price": 0.96, "fee": 0.0026, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785762003.0, "side": "SELL", "token": "8310650677069487821478025416478130051168635736368290554555541536659374960027", "shares": 2.2356, "price": 0.96, "fee": 0.0026, "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
index 9bc966d2..f76e54cf 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
@@ -6243,3 +6243,7 @@
 {"ts": 1785761225.0, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785761225.6, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.25, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785761227.0, "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 431.49, "cost_held": 56.09, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785761576.4, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.41, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785761577.5, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785761578.0, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.25, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785761579.3, "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 431.49, "cost_held": 56.09, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index aeac8d02..b1e1cbc0 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1,8 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783541947.246319,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0x477408b3a77442b1ccf30b8ebc39670af78e261c06f68c2cd8210657522e9329",
-    "0xece6750e91ec682f76053794a1956b62f088909116f39e7b0a22731bb4582053",
     "0xf5df384af74dc006f942557f760de367fb20ab943eda52975f77d520fa5f2708",
     "0xbb95b52f8a046e8d44a70efba7652ee5f702c89fae656aab6225a23a9cdfcf97",
     "0x276f784877ef23a5ac203d20aa4e006eb68479cfbe325c4a152be2b7615afc35",
@@ -5000,7 +4998,9 @@
     "0x2c53eba5f53cee80ca1b79cffe94d83260341390bd0688f5449faf18f9f661cc",
     "0x9a70e41fbaf574d89cf05688b2419bb39cee0c0a66ab73d23f31d7e6fd6484d7",
     "0x6c69ef2ac4923c23d328d1959d6abb263a037fdf0e567f8e46c760c486564334",
-    "0x90be89b764a18e922eb47afc478cc7403b39e9b1aba088c546fd789d43695747"
+    "0x90be89b764a18e922eb47afc478cc7403b39e9b1aba088c546fd789d43695747",
+    "0x759210ad46ccc0cd927ec9b905e1ac9e59204e1d05bfd8fa0a9b4b75797d5374",
+    "0x63a5ca0a1efa4e28638b581f77459f52cf573f18f3215fc32c3d52285322e7d6"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -9997,7 +9997,7 @@
       "37906844316173351653431141004376509492088028380479597728611617251805844178802": 0.0,
       "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102": 2080.38,
       "96493470136581654430268359631814450290137534659017161119334974730318350734648": 1162.79,
-      "8310650677069487821478025416478130051168635736368290554555541536659374960027": 5362.5011,
+      "8310650677069487821478025416478130051168635736368290554555541536659374960027": 4862.5011,
       "110536989543612561899836326685728311541346128503675227319696677241365666291302": 500,
       "81227913022464789020420026850668797006106628368067299950425613264309232066763": 0.0,
       "87246683753286095012655896498861999218615282277081261345668634586350104496032": 0.0,
@@ -14078,8 +14078,8 @@
       "cond": "0x95a7c8f39ccda84bf59b54c474f2a006cbc4167737630365f416670466b37ab9"
     },
     "8310650677069487821478025416478130051168635736368290554555541536659374960027": {
-      "shares": 23.977034628938128,
-      "cost": 19.421398049439887,
+      "shares": 21.74141414310381,
+      "cost": 17.61054545591409,
       "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?",
       "outcome": "No",
       "event": "bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",
@@ -14459,13 +14459,13 @@
     "31992191456114199144963723550413010500964262070722647318272730091545468567522": "0xc20c8cd21c28ef13083239a755753871c6e0b7304c5fccc16b32e75d92b3bbc0",
     "36170784529909729175483932196304779852897425726715038923506785466386030402957": "0xe5232c7f5715926b350069acf4dfc62a81665142a4aef2a8415ebace716a5d76"
   },
-  "cash": 1369.2545052934295,
+  "cash": 1371.3981255250308,
   "lag": {
     "n": 379,
     "sum_s": 7497.224174022675,
     "sum_slip_pct": -7.247834511462669
   },
-  "fees_paid": 452.42801497254356,
+  "fees_paid": 452.43059040734323,
   "lag_recent": [
     [
       1785681366.4,
@@ -17827,8 +17827,8 @@
       "exit_price": null,
       "pnl": null,
       "settled": null,
-      "sold_shares": 111.42289865623357,
-      "sold_proceeds": 94.22654936043206,
+      "sold_shares": 113.65851914206789,
+      "sold_proceeds": 96.37016959203332,
       "end_ts": 1788134400
     },
     "19340078937013577148171238392323646866463928268582140624100333248568207116627": {
@@ -21304,7 +21304,7 @@
   },
   "hwm": 3600.1933566560215,
   "feed_sig": "300f00a780621ab7e2f261d6329ce388",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1785761088.19209,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1785761896.5550823,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783889397,
@@ -24643,7 +24643,7 @@
     "107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933": 1,
     "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228": 338,
     "79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928": 4,
-    "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 1582,
+    "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 1583,
     "64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290": 15,
     "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": 65,
     "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684": 10,
@@ -24651,7 +24651,7 @@
     "87461865681689699081648262736937951256169066109275377425968376597869321557502": 8,
     "36691622618442161420564423274570099987634772496502598170189501595483083268777": 1,
     "44268329315636111419901094380165521911713439651558819204937076716198280335678": 57,
-    "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191": 1171,
+    "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191": 1172,
     "105470050397895416738353896203765735520950460751992940982686152479742202067000": 1,
     "91005296975747185884827993266438280160416160824604371127998336237333692040745": 25,
     "102357232418942179672028130858766408228809563367413802735032151943425338940696": 1,
@@ -24667,22 +24667,22 @@
     "51755566490633190587710009082328558101318630200939268705320724845423074644286": 2,
     "52147710483318183023156143315213141415940410632254734638455935907277139704912": 1,
     "42904109279829735534970379368330412783573788683856067315929342371394889824245": 2,
-    "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062": 321,
+    "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062": 322,
     "76752916551697359157851234269297016591012843522959969977805224055761398575042": 48,
     "102071153892246039627048034194967021680193759805083679061162745293075874048047": 46,
     "36288736401955665119786973077283875206752336249826000621290926077161772340777": 44,
-    "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 185,
+    "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 186,
     "85120775770768568171037319691430512769043349724236381575493834592043972740948": 1
   },
   "trade_cursor": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1785759015,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785759504,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785761310,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785429351,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1785703778,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1785750432,
-    "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785760493,
+    "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785761100,
     "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1785617775
   },
   "boot": {
@@ -24690,7 +24690,7 @@
     "ts": 1785194148
   },
   "last_fill": {
-    "ts": 1785761102,
+    "ts": 1785762002,
     "side": "SELL",
     "price": 0.96,
     "shares": 2.24,
@@ -24703,66 +24703,6 @@
     "misses": 77
   },
   "ignored_exits": [
-    {
-      "ts": 1785743200.3,
-      "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.001,
-      "shares_held": 263.35,
-      "cost_held": 123.77,
-      "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1785743200.7,
-      "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.27,
-      "shares_held": 168.23,
-      "cost_held": 68.97,
-      "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1785743202.0,
-      "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.002,
-      "shares_held": 431.49,
-      "cost_held": 56.09,
-      "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1785743538.6,
-      "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.4,
-      "shares_held": 210.4428,
-      "cost_held": 116.53,
-      "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
     {
       "ts": 1785743539.9,
       "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191",
@@ -27702,6 +27642,66 @@
       "outcome": "No",
       "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
       "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785761576.4,
+      "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.41,
+      "shares_held": 210.4428,
+      "cost_held": 116.53,
+      "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785761577.5,
+      "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.001,
+      "shares_held": 263.35,
+      "cost_held": 123.77,
+      "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785761578.0,
+      "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.25,
+      "shares_held": 168.23,
+      "cost_held": 68.97,
+      "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785761579.3,
+      "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.001,
+      "shares_held": 431.49,
+      "cost_held": 56.09,
+      "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
     }
   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 16b747c1..940d0839 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 55.39,
+ "stake": 55.4,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 3600.19,
- "cash": 1369.25,
- "deployed": 1400.42,
+ "cash": 1371.4,
+ "deployed": 1398.61,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1769.65,
+ "realized": 1769.98,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": -0.02,
  "open_count": 26,
@@ -3109,7 +3109,7 @@
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 21555.45,
  "last_fill": {
-  "ts": 1785761102,
+  "ts": 1785762002,
   "side": "SELL",
   "price": 0.96,
   "shares": 2.24,
@@ -3218,5 +3218,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785761102
+ "updated": 1785762010
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index bbdda1d1..278c1406 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785761102,
+ "updated": 1785762010,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 614.15,
@@ -3838,8 +3838,8 @@
    "exit_price": null,
    "pnl": null,
    "settled": null,
-   "sold_shares": 111.42289865623357,
-   "sold_proceeds": 94.22654936043206,
+   "sold_shares": 113.65851914206789,
+   "sold_proceeds": 96.37016959203332,
    "end_ts": 1788134400
   },
   {
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index 923b2e90..e5bd0500 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -2264,3 +2264,4 @@
 {"ts": 1785760492.84, "trade_ts": 1785760492, "lat_s": 0.84, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "SELL", "size": 96, "price": 0.64, "title": "Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?", "tx": "0x2c53eba5f53cee80ca1b79cffe94d83260341390bd0688f5449faf18f9f661cc", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785760762.79, "trade_ts": 1785760762, "lat_s": 0.79, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 38.57, "price": 0.24, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 in August?", "tx": "0x9a70e41fbaf574d89cf05688b2419bb39cee0c0a66ab73d23f31d7e6fd6484d7", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785760765.01, "trade_ts": 1785760764, "lat_s": 1.01, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 36.61, "price": 0.8, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $164 in August?", "tx": "0x6c69ef2ac4923c23d328d1959d6abb263a037fdf0e567f8e46c760c486564334", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785762002.75, "trade_ts": 1785762002, "lat_s": 0.75, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "SELL", "size": 500, "price": 0.959, "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?", "tx": "0x63a5ca0a1efa4e28638b581f77459f52cf573f18f3215fc32c3d52285322e7d6", "seen": false}