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rename timing "insider" verdict -> "last-minute" (honest label)
The lead-time gate in validate_timing.py is a COPYABILITY heuristic, not proof of inside information: a short entry->resolution lead can be a genuine insider OR just someone who trades fast-resolving markets (live sports, hourly) well — indistinguishable, and irrelevant for copy purposes since either way the window is too tight to mirror. Rename the verdict accordingly. Gate unchanged (median lead >=24h to count as a copyable sharp; 50 sharps). Docs updated to current p80 numbers (218 profile matches, 62/83 forward-profitable, 50 sharps). The genuine insider-detection scanner (insider.py, z-score / Bubblemaps fingerprint) keeps its name — that's a different, correctly-named thing. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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@@ -194,9 +194,10 @@ win rate ≠ edge, again. (The `value`/longshot archetype — wallets that beat
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**What does work (the repeatable find).** Scoring wallets on their **high-
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conviction bets — the top 20% by stake size (per-wallet p80, not a flat $200)** —
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which win 70–80% on genuinely-uncertain (~0.4–0.6)
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markets — trained pre-June and validated June: **25/37 stayed profitable forward
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(p=0.024)**. A lead-time gate (`validate_timing.py`) then drops the ~30% that are
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uncopyable insiders (entry <6h before resolution), leaving **23 validated
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markets — trained pre-June and validated June: **62/83 stayed profitable forward
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(p≈0)**. A lead-time gate (`validate_timing.py`) then drops wallets whose wins come
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too close to resolution to mirror — "last-minute" entries (median lead <24h), which
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may be genuine insiders or just fast-market specialists — leaving **50 validated
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copyable sharps** (`watch_sharps.json`), surfaced live on
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[jaxperro.com/trading](https://jaxperro.com/trading). One held **80% win over
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1,017 forward bets**. This is the strongest evidence in the project that
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