From 2b37d29b11b60186d2e2a097681a6d052cf2505c Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2026 16:50:31 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_fills.live.jsonl | 1 + copybot_state.live.json | 77 +++++++++++++++++++++++--------- live/copybot_live_real.json | 73 +++++++++++++++--------------- live/copybot_live_real_full.json | 27 +++++++++-- rtds_shadow.live.jsonl | 1 + 5 files changed, 118 insertions(+), 61 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl index b351eee5..c0d80412 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl @@ -348,3 +348,4 @@ {"ts": 1784820179.8, "side": "SELL", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "shares": 0.1, "price": 0.85, "fee": 0.0004, "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1784820340.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 5.6, "their_price": 0.8, "my_price": 0.77, "slippage_pct": -0.0375, "shares": 3.25, "cost": 2.5, "fee": 0.0172, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.75, "ba": 0.77, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 78.72, "ask5c": 332.75}} {"ts": 1784821433.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353", "shares": 3.24, "price": 0.81, "fee": 0.015, "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1784825314.8, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "No", "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", "detect_lag_s": 1.8, "their_price": 0.909, "my_price": 0.934, "slippage_pct": 0.0275, "shares": 2.69, "cost": 2.51, "fee": 0.005, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.906, "ba": 0.928, "spread": 0.022, "bid5c": 434.23, "ask5c": 129423.75}} diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json index 58f7b495..42f1bab5 100644 --- a/copybot_state.live.json +++ b/copybot_state.live.json @@ -1,7 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783572616.4091802, "seen_tx": [ - "0xa3d20ec29ead3434126a4bd736f28a87731482df5e1ef302133ffb317682475f", "0x6104e8f5b1b1f50794511f84c8241294134845e363c89a7b30cc570ae5087d22", "0x9c34dc169e75340ec2cd2acd3bcff667fdf0237f358c42ea01dd8e6ae0c6143d", "0xbb03f0762d6762de0ba45feee22c4e9345ac187c66874710ffd023ee76216ce1", @@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@ "0x708d601470545c86709390c6c0ce0ce4ab4146da0e13fdaf067a184615c8d4e3", "0x435830e976614237bed30dff0ef286bc002e98cf22b787e78b13139dffb7a714", "0x1f1e6c0587285fa3a47b052fb0220344f79fc0b959dbc1cb1d8155b2ee71ab8e", - "0xaa5d28104f1195b296af036a42c60018d7e33a18cdc0d3eaf79fbf1900c04584" + "0xaa5d28104f1195b296af036a42c60018d7e33a18cdc0d3eaf79fbf1900c04584", + "0x93277480e159d2484a6df9bb29a9d900a3c1924094c4ed2a3b530c6318c38946" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -9052,7 +9052,8 @@ "68080778697884921540335032370654180051222428162809511382222697646266365598353": 535.71, "6942521039548952262803452715536366269632833663841807575802631974514414220741": 2348.54, "28239418772633645184924651434956000849078365566842629564562475378531350731731": 9624.36, - "53147856084273572324920349998954911060427762367735766007832600228479869956378": 407.15999999999997 + "53147856084273572324920349998954911060427762367735766007832600228479869956378": 407.15999999999997, + "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": 1070.2359 }, "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": { "114711371330120068482313838962365747984220728893579964288039365743675176387739": 6259.0032, @@ -13058,11 +13059,20 @@ "event": null, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "cond": "0x5d02cb8ef8fe6c50dd2d58283dfe5742b4f13cfa5acbaa4b75dc25a438c6594d" + }, + "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": { + "shares": 2.687365, + "cost": 2.509998, + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", + "outcome": "No", + "event": null, + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "cond": "0x968e7d0e59659dc602480ed9ca6fbd933a25912e1667dcec1f43d243cec5e0b0" } }, "spend": { "date": "2026-07-23", - "usd": 7.519991999999999 + "usd": 10.02999 }, "seeded": [ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -13152,15 +13162,16 @@ "5672952468548015184968602470125350481899055121933384423405096851532324921748": "0xae0c8a794fe4d0300eca6b39e8bea60ab0f1a2078aa8ca2aac88adc4808a69a6", "55071405929941363854274866721931311048000830793954776923614437932856724606852": "0xfc7e0c5bf5560e39ac944c4fa41e5f907d54cdb1ea5857377d9f94d65a760009", "80270372288514892122229303181424592994977341771902366596528480848577129708762": "0x2c0febfae1214f1a85b6f9a39f4c74523ed5217590eb246857d671d7861b35fe", - "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": "0x9d3c9c74d6dc88f3209c85176ee0f88b918d11eb00b59edddbcac37af1860ca3" + "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": "0x9d3c9c74d6dc88f3209c85176ee0f88b918d11eb00b59edddbcac37af1860ca3", + "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": "0x968e7d0e59659dc602480ed9ca6fbd933a25912e1667dcec1f43d243cec5e0b0" }, - "cash": 43.77963095576147, + "cash": 41.26466313422328, "lag": { - "n": 109, - "sum_s": 3169.336790561676, - "sum_slip_pct": 2.7025886820940297 + "n": 110, + "sum_s": 3171.147102355957, + "sum_slip_pct": 2.730091058894244 }, - "fees_paid": 3.184350809298528, + "fees_paid": 3.189320630836719, "lag_recent": [ [ 1784790397.8, @@ -13176,6 +13187,11 @@ 1784820340.6, 5.6, -0.0375 + ], + [ + 1784825314.8, + 1.8, + 0.0275 ] ], "bets": { @@ -15507,6 +15523,25 @@ "settled": 1784821437, "sold_shares": 3.24, "sold_proceeds": 2.60944092 + }, + "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": { + "token": "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096", + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", + "their_price": 0.909, + "my_price": 0.934, + "slippage_pct": 0.0275, + "lag_s": 1.8, + "shares": 2.69, + "cost": 2.51, + "fee": 0.005, + "opened": 1784825313, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null } }, "no_miss_toks": [ @@ -15564,6 +15599,7 @@ "67641966972047957873936737096988118191995511744453931882847190188392441958087", "7342832273087322352435002600738786533095793917905281962331969905822470889081", "7410717121876145332418373180741433428881685336911848406679670735933068361996", + "74327142115918753649408903691627492742694310958778317668574425755853502322564", "79142370065090782913562046705822185371997422530826723325260658092723967659275", "80910805694738904069677930138828126522998641652237838643219704009391193381389", "83706823954028079478569692463806715067882276398270356395415522600352056028991", @@ -18767,11 +18803,12 @@ "reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde", "status": "open", "pnl": null, - "settled": null + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" } ], - "feed_sig": "e22e3d3b82980472c8517595acd3ef9e", - "feed_pushed_at": 1784824775.7268648, + "feed_sig": "5b49b284ae54862a2b0a2c2d1851ee7c", + "feed_pushed_at": 1784825291.8780632, "adjustments": [ { "ts": 1783906689, @@ -18830,19 +18867,19 @@ "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784824866, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784745123, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784807970, - "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784824716, - "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784824180 + "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784824753, + "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784824282 }, "boot": { "id": "e55b3b814b09", "ts": 1784823481 }, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784821433, - "side": "SELL", - "price": 0.81, - "shares": 3.24, - "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?", + "ts": 1784825314, + "side": "BUY", + "price": 0.934, + "shares": 2.69, + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", "outcome": "No" } } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json index 330c8db9..f6c9876f 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json @@ -5,20 +5,20 @@ "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 63.02, - "cash": 43.78, - "deployed": 19.24, + "cash": 41.26, + "deployed": 21.75, "reserve": 0.0, "realized": -12.84, "adjustments": 9.44, "ledger_drift": 0.01, - "open_count": 11, - "fees_paid": 3.18, + "open_count": 12, + "fees_paid": 3.19, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 109, - "n24": 3, - "avg_s": 11.5, - "avg_slip_pct": 0.0064, + "n": 110, + "n24": 4, + "avg_s": 9.0, + "avg_slip_pct": 0.0117, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -49,6 +49,25 @@ "JuiceFarm": 752.73 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096", + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", + "their_price": 0.909, + "my_price": 0.934, + "slippage_pct": 0.0275, + "lag_s": 1.8, + "shares": 2.69, + "cost": 2.51, + "fee": 0.01, + "opened": 1784825313, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null + }, { "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -2069,26 +2088,6 @@ "exit_price": 0.0, "pnl": -1.05, "settled": 1783780702 - }, - { - "token": "31844421127747452247920361772593140342967161564902355004027803194678743954899", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "name": "0xbadaf319", - "outcome": "Yes", - "title": "Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?", - "their_price": 0.9155, - "my_price": 0.93, - "slippage_pct": 0.0159, - "shares": 1.08, - "cost": 1.0, - "fee": 0.0, - "opened": 1783779808, - "status": "open", - "exit_price": null, - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "sold_shares": 0.35, - "sold_proceeds": 0.32 } ], "missed": [ @@ -3051,11 +3050,11 @@ ], "missed_pnl": 1170.62, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784821433, - "side": "SELL", - "price": 0.81, - "shares": 3.24, - "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?", + "ts": 1784825314, + "side": "BUY", + "price": 0.934, + "shares": 2.69, + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", "outcome": "No" }, "wallet_pnl": { @@ -3123,11 +3122,11 @@ "realized": 0.7, "n": 4, "wins": 1, - "open_cost": 12.49, - "open_n": 6, + "open_cost": 15.0, + "open_n": 7, "miss_n": 25, "miss_pnl": -7.34, - "last_ts": 1784660784 + "last_ts": 1784825313 }, "Kruto2027": { "realized": -0.05, @@ -3160,5 +3159,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1784824900 + "updated": 1784825319 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json index e95622ed..7743385b 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "live", - "updated": 1784824900, + "updated": 1784825319, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": 1.65, @@ -66,11 +66,11 @@ "realized": 0.7, "n": 4, "wins": 1, - "open_cost": 12.49, - "open_n": 6, + "open_cost": 15.0, + "open_n": 7, "miss_n": 25, "miss_pnl": -7.34, - "last_ts": 1784660784 + "last_ts": 1784825313 }, "Kruto2027": { "realized": -0.05, @@ -104,6 +104,25 @@ } }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096", + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", + "their_price": 0.909, + "my_price": 0.934, + "slippage_pct": 0.0275, + "lag_s": 1.8, + "shares": 2.69, + "cost": 2.51, + "fee": 0.005, + "opened": 1784825313, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null + }, { "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl index 1a5a0258..2f11f4f2 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl @@ -2523,3 +2523,4 @@ {"ts": 1784824819.39, "trade_ts": 1784824819, "lat_s": 0.39, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 12.58, "price": 0.12, "title": "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026", "tx": "0x708d601470545c86709390c6c0ce0ce4ab4146da0e13fdaf067a184615c8d4e3", "seen": false} {"ts": 1784824864.2, "trade_ts": 1784824864, "lat_s": 0.2, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 59.518071, "price": 0.0789675962448447, "title": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in July?", "tx": "0x26a86f9f5e8078a18dbd3f61065b01f7e887b0c70eec55c104917a040d21fd4d", "seen": false} {"ts": 1784824866.29, "trade_ts": 1784824866, "lat_s": 0.29, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 47, "price": 0.8997872340425532, "title": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?", "tx": "0x435830e976614237bed30dff0ef286bc002e98cf22b787e78b13139dffb7a714", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784825313.85, "trade_ts": 1784825313, "lat_s": 0.85, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 1070.235933, "price": 0.9090000008437392, "title": "", "tx": "0x93277480e159d2484a6df9bb29a9d900a3c1924094c4ed2a3b530c6318c38946", "seen": false}