From 2ad50182678068d0bd58ed84341d6f8a23a5f6f7 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Mon, 27 Jul 2026 14:32:47 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_fills.live.jsonl | 1 + copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl | 1 + copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl | 1 + copybot_state.live.json | 92 +++++++++++++++---------------- live/copybot_live_real.json | 45 ++++++++------- live/copybot_live_real_full.json | 23 ++++++-- rtds_shadow.live.jsonl | 2 + 7 files changed, 91 insertions(+), 74 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl index d9832800..39ba3f8d 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl @@ -387,3 +387,4 @@ {"ts": 1784999365.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "49331878508394871833592446045300865060542314418976779518068691623730505202112", "shares": 0.08, "price": 0.88, "fee": 0.0003, "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1784999565.5, "side": "SELL", "token": "49331878508394871833592446045300865060542314418976779518068691623730505202112", "shares": 2.3, "price": 0.95, "fee": 0.0033, "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785162570.6, "side": "SELL", "token": "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193", "shares": 1.03, "price": 0.93, "fee": 0.002, "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785162655.7, "side": "SELL", "token": "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193", "shares": 0.41, "price": 0.93, "fee": 0.0008, "mode": "live"} diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl index cdc96dd1..e6213f24 100644 --- a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl @@ -805,3 +805,4 @@ {"ts": 1785161461.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785161788.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785162428.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785162757.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl index 2d6906c6..4f3282eb 100644 --- a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl @@ -71,3 +71,4 @@ {"ts": 1783888308, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "107179792112987391529646299006880228718467140164269968140132399486412571398191", "cond": "0x880d4d315634908ffac985de5cd442ec679beeb25f0166a77bece698f35463f6", "title": "Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.7899, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.04, "settled": 1783936077, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.8326} {"ts": 1783890188, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "token": "57692873707168744410462715873400507686142544046928546188194421200046018282561", "cond": "0x8022dd304232ce80b3866b7a45f7396d2e8cb91ace3b86b3aaffd06a44ec6052", "title": "Ava\u00ed FC vs. Clube N\u00e1utico Capibaribe: O/U 1.5", "outcome": "Over", "price": 0.999, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.46\u21921.00", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.0, "settled": 1783899291, "name": "0x41558102", "exit_price": 1.0} {"ts": 1783894736, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "50206051919987143398301686023277350657729433627529907465714791269369601841506", "cond": "0xcf710169c9bda6d44066d759780d850b6d3fb02ae09c60f69223e1ed03ff1523", "title": "Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of July 13 2026?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.76, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.01, "settled": 1783936078, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.7596} +{"ts": 1783908976, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "44955835255986870213886955575315970674806073263991248758756749076487124445148", "cond": "0xa164172b7cee74420cfce554c3a265b2553cb80e48b36e286e67f302b6574712", "title": "Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.8163, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.0, "settled": 1785012975, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.822} diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json index 9ba91ebc..c3fdb1a9 100644 --- a/copybot_state.live.json +++ b/copybot_state.live.json @@ -1,8 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783572616.4091802, "seen_tx": [ - "0x7b5f9076aa5320f5541aaf60ceecca2494e49f6f60ff8dab63c0b7a96bfdc8f2", - "0x7b3c1380bfb7933d48b69d1632263751c5b09fe6dbee65a39bdf34e0a5967024", "0x6e60d4a651ebd151866c3a8e6172f963b9b87cdd1ab4193d118e40368905b21c", "0x6327a5e0abb192965d3a9e92c80a163b839fe0defa1b3c324b48c2ec53819eaf", "0x005ab2b6ff559e098035bf55cf6ff898e6dd377ec033257ea97c32d3d5c3f58d", @@ -5000,7 +4998,9 @@ "0x18ecb1811387e9487c835da81c62831c0a476864520b52726ececc6316e455d3", "0x9a0c98e6f195ae3eaaf9fcdd24df3a5f638a8bb9a2eaa04aee04d036f1ebc66e", "0x7138dd0d8104cbcaabb8a4806128f51bae9184b3c5648850678dc6e8fab4ab23", - "0x3ebd692718ae7c4f8eeb4292a68a9c4382eef845243d1673f1d11932da5f8646" + "0x3ebd692718ae7c4f8eeb4292a68a9c4382eef845243d1673f1d11932da5f8646", + "0x9994f4dc2858bedbaf6b60f3c2a08fa8deb53882a2716505bc2919062d0528c5", + "0x364a0f779ff433a9fbf96d960a0d57e54de41cd2d07c08cb2607a0a57c30b71f" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -6204,7 +6204,7 @@ "31844421127747452247920361772593140342967161564902355004027803194678743954899": 62.2765, "100537006709579597978515913064907901000310086923737627451741555863461818393998": 0.0, "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309": 18.000000000000004, - "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193": 51.0149, + "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193": 46.0149, "50825092058293657542194164596745813272825150865419431118334975989194381746273": 0.0, "1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890": 0.0, "21921172332233828323193339315605393634845370036368851718786713420854952581266": 0.0, @@ -13434,8 +13434,8 @@ }, "my_pos": { "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193": { - "shares": 4.233156, - "cost": 4.021498039140014, + "shares": 3.823156, + "cost": 3.6319980547200195, "title": "Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?", "outcome": "No", "event": "what-price-will-lab-hit-in-2026", @@ -13674,13 +13674,13 @@ "107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933": "0x0e000fcdcc214b1a05b9f10611ae307210a43bf083643d021573aa4dc7e5fe75", "49331878508394871833592446045300865060542314418976779518068691623730505202112": "0xb7ff4745276006c8f163d67d588b3320c2a088e1ef72633405a77e3267ef0931" }, - "cash": 18.396381575123286, + "cash": 18.776880845123287, "lag": { "n": 127, "sum_s": 3231.524565219879, "sum_slip_pct": 2.708038628573304 }, - "fees_paid": 3.608452189936718, + "fees_paid": 3.609252919936718, "lag_recent": [ [ 1784923243.8, @@ -13757,8 +13757,8 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "end_ts": 1798761600, - "sold_shares": 1.03, - "sold_proceeds": 0.95588841 + "sold_shares": 1.44, + "sold_proceeds": 1.33638768 }, "1161663761026248928741317236361093152095776065309269380062540556077381245572": { "token": "1161663761026248928741317236361093152095776065309269380062540556077381245572", @@ -16571,22 +16571,6 @@ "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" }, - { - "ts": 1783908976, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "44955835255986870213886955575315970674806073263991248758756749076487124445148", - "cond": "0xa164172b7cee74420cfce554c3a265b2553cb80e48b36e286e67f302b6574712", - "title": "Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.8163, - "stake": 1.0, - "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": -0.0, - "settled": 1785012975, - "name": "0xbadaf319", - "exit_price": 0.822 - }, { "ts": 1783908977, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", @@ -19721,10 +19705,24 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "JuiceFarm" + }, + { + "ts": 1785162758, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "65075316665858123310904205342608300814898488753088658332913116406808619343398", + "cond": "0x6899f21b3a3d26c8ae9d0332c25d160fc08b9c3b834f0d8fe116d2ec87905dc9", + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.5463, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null } ], - "feed_sig": "0c426d97191cacfc1b8f0704a3be3b63", - "feed_pushed_at": 1785162494.935955, + "feed_sig": "be528c8630621321f3f027fbb2a97b10", + "feed_pushed_at": 1785162620.6399007, "adjustments": [ { "ts": 1783906689, @@ -19775,14 +19773,14 @@ "6457952357077230044054791268159160058712529625831041550558183767114352456975": 1, "61895825019286928316753689208545457497714235075046708292847356747636406191670": 1, "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 1, - "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 798, + "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 799, "24538227191540742319290192357327280598675171199196475574105878696409564463051": 1 }, "trade_cursor": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970, "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702, "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1785143506, - "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785162541, + "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785162654, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785099999, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1785074847, "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1785121536, @@ -19794,29 +19792,14 @@ "ts": 1785009012 }, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1785162570, + "ts": 1785162655, "side": "SELL", "price": 0.93, - "shares": 1.03, + "shares": 0.41, "title": "Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?", "outcome": "No" }, "ignored_exits": [ - { - "ts": 1785095778.8, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.88, - "shares_held": 3.4789, - "cost_held": 2.47, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "live" - }, { "ts": 1785096108.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", @@ -22801,6 +22784,21 @@ "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live" + }, + { + "ts": 1785162757.0, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.88, + "shares_held": 3.4789, + "cost_held": 2.47, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "live" } ], "maker_stats": { diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json index 2176daa9..f6a4d0d9 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json @@ -5,10 +5,10 @@ "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 63.02, - "cash": 18.4, - "deployed": 30.23, + "cash": 18.78, + "deployed": 29.84, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": -27.23, + "realized": -27.24, "adjustments": 9.44, "ledger_drift": 0.03, "open_count": 15, @@ -2120,6 +2120,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785162758, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "65075316665858123310904205342608300814898488753088658332913116406808619343398", + "cond": "0x6899f21b3a3d26c8ae9d0332c25d160fc08b9c3b834f0d8fe116d2ec87905dc9", + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.5463, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1785111590, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -2589,22 +2604,6 @@ "name": "AIcAIc", "exit_price": 0.95 }, - { - "ts": 1783908976, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "44955835255986870213886955575315970674806073263991248758756749076487124445148", - "cond": "0xa164172b7cee74420cfce554c3a265b2553cb80e48b36e286e67f302b6574712", - "title": "Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.8163, - "stake": 1.0, - "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": -0.0, - "settled": 1785012975, - "name": "0xbadaf319", - "exit_price": 0.822 - }, { "ts": 1785009018, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -3065,10 +3064,10 @@ ], "missed_pnl": 700.9, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1785162570, + "ts": 1785162655, "side": "SELL", "price": 0.93, - "shares": 1.03, + "shares": 0.41, "title": "Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?", "outcome": "No" }, @@ -3079,7 +3078,7 @@ "wins": 7, "open_cost": 13.33, "open_n": 5, - "miss_n": 91, + "miss_n": 92, "miss_pnl": 1733.56, "last_ts": 1785104758 }, @@ -3184,5 +3183,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1785162570 + "updated": 1785162767 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json index d40bb4af..0139b5da 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "live", - "updated": 1785162570, + "updated": 1785162767, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": -1.02, @@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ "wins": 7, "open_cost": 13.33, "open_n": 5, - "miss_n": 91, + "miss_n": 92, "miss_pnl": 1733.56, "last_ts": 1785104758 }, @@ -2823,11 +2823,26 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "end_ts": 1798761600, - "sold_shares": 1.03, - "sold_proceeds": 0.95588841 + "sold_shares": 1.44, + "sold_proceeds": 1.33638768 } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785162758, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "65075316665858123310904205342608300814898488753088658332913116406808619343398", + "cond": "0x6899f21b3a3d26c8ae9d0332c25d160fc08b9c3b834f0d8fe116d2ec87905dc9", + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. 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(COIN) hit (LOW) $157.50 Week of ", "tx": "0x18ecb1811387e9487c835da81c62831c0a476864520b52726ececc6316e455d3", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785162654.91, "trade_ts": 1785162654, "lat_s": 0.91, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.08, "title": "Will LAB reach $22 before 2027?", "tx": "0x9994f4dc2858bedbaf6b60f3c2a08fa8deb53882a2716505bc2919062d0528c5", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785162655.72, "trade_ts": 1785162654, "lat_s": 1.72, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.93, "title": "Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?", "tx": "0x364a0f779ff433a9fbf96d960a0d57e54de41cd2d07c08cb2607a0a57c30b71f", "seen": true}