diff --git a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
index 35211b2b..b351eee5 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
@@ -347,3 +347,4 @@
 {"ts": 1784819630.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 1.0, "their_price": 0.95, "my_price": 0.95, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 2.64, "cost": 2.51, "fee": 0.0038, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.93, "ba": 0.95, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 3052.32, "ask5c": 3963.56}}
 {"ts": 1784820179.8, "side": "SELL", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "shares": 0.1, "price": 0.85, "fee": 0.0004, "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784820340.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 5.6, "their_price": 0.8, "my_price": 0.77, "slippage_pct": -0.0375, "shares": 3.25, "cost": 2.5, "fee": 0.0172, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.75, "ba": 0.77, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 78.72, "ask5c": 332.75}}
+{"ts": 1784821433.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353", "shares": 3.24, "price": 0.81, "fee": 0.015, "mode": "live"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index 2c6e76e9..c6ddd85d 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -1,12 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783572616.4091802,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0x3fa08b9915769bcf540ef51a0fbc76eeb4ebca782c79bf0c1d10c0ab767bd934",
-    "0xc7f96b12bd972229787c60f9b09a47a122f3a0e5013ce7d9b3643022b88f366a",
-    "0xd82a2a264eed66f9f403245e289cd9d6d10b1436c506e95c74f0fb11d099f25a",
-    "0x1f27cad630ae5fd746bdde728fcb53c86a46d1ad857ef207f661352b81d9245d",
-    "0xd80da784ee76a0095fcb2f317bf9de5d33d41acb968980c658d839deb4290ad3",
-    "0xf90e37198758145a7524ded8250902b9c20ec9899b8321aa061a6c1c9a8c4978",
     "0x43775d077931fd2a5241b4b6fcf0e3db00ec99ba1d76408365da8bdcd5061807",
     "0xf36d9b4c48a199917c3503dcf4003e7a8df570258cbf1c9bff8bfc2ca2499224",
     "0xebaed713341aa1707c062100ed20b3a27c1b802538821eff75378d8c0aa33171",
@@ -5000,7 +4994,13 @@
     "0x542a41f9641f05afbf84aedc011ec67c4ca727dc99fdbb39482d73e44b068c24",
     "0x92dea0e5b0065eba7cfa24367ffef76475ff584ffe06c67174d49dda4f41c12b",
     "0xf548e2bfbc6def6f445cf3acabfd13e7d8d8c239c18ee30e713cc2a587e41408",
-    "0x596add106ff60bf34933a08dc2fee25cf3bfaad85a9d7fbc33203eb319b5ac63"
+    "0x596add106ff60bf34933a08dc2fee25cf3bfaad85a9d7fbc33203eb319b5ac63",
+    "0x7305799a342c5ff02ab426f52b623fdd4e3069475b427342674ddce84415f0a9",
+    "0x9c3e3072899f55e3ac706777aee999a75ae17062fefab08636490f5e8fafd155",
+    "0x541aa58b4c88dfa4388e04f1c0dc5354f108b3318d7586dcc6699239c89f9561",
+    "0xdf3490c1a682610c5ed28ade7ab01c4a0a0ded4e8cb81923cf4f61b40bfa18b5",
+    "0x44b5b7fc4990cea6f5d7e111f23f7d622ce93f53770074758ff5684e2cf68fc0",
+    "0xaf176603b2a015b24d57e0397edfcbef7abfde0db3d79fb6d9e6ebcaa5c1c5bc"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -7197,7 +7197,9 @@
       "37191856477013737208001983122060014111424139697068666732101920490654689721653": 0.0,
       "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 294.9199,
       "70195645594183504777678766878116662362245796053178329148702111955860840923559": 0.0,
-      "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 61.85
+      "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 0.0,
+      "43194096588815160672928507072662519771653403729580042724996842887266951343593": 0.0,
+      "32284178738579663894437626258993706432175883045516815764012315739186938482053": 0.0
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -9013,7 +9015,7 @@
       "4736352029144535005890820408231925407036939257059587790513004893363322306014": 680.58,
       "106117170598299515991778271448868055604686257762862584190468389838818487912270": 1492.53,
       "36572361863292743525172722296256449344593421343195350786366455281513675169221": 2055.47,
-      "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 985.72,
+      "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 1597.96,
       "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102": 2080.38,
       "96493470136581654430268359631814450290137534659017161119334974730318350734648": 1162.79,
       "44468469502362896904382382268326429514759034374954168469772685401278157136699": 1257.9099999999999,
@@ -11422,15 +11424,6 @@
       "event": "ethereum-price-on-july-23-2026",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0x4bb8b2a094bdb1153e3b6c00ce53427fd5d987edd5090181162782b90764129f"
-    },
-    "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": {
-      "shares": 3.246752,
-      "cost": 2.499999,
-      "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "event": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-july-23-2026",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "cond": "0x9d3c9c74d6dc88f3209c85176ee0f88b918d11eb00b59edddbcac37af1860ca3"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
@@ -11524,15 +11517,16 @@
     "5672952468548015184968602470125350481899055121933384423405096851532324921748": "0xae0c8a794fe4d0300eca6b39e8bea60ab0f1a2078aa8ca2aac88adc4808a69a6",
     "55071405929941363854274866721931311048000830793954776923614437932856724606852": "0xfc7e0c5bf5560e39ac944c4fa41e5f907d54cdb1ea5857377d9f94d65a760009",
     "80270372288514892122229303181424592994977341771902366596528480848577129708762": "0x2c0febfae1214f1a85b6f9a39f4c74523ed5217590eb246857d671d7861b35fe",
-    "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": "0x4bb8b2a094bdb1153e3b6c00ce53427fd5d987edd5090181162782b90764129f"
+    "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": "0x4bb8b2a094bdb1153e3b6c00ce53427fd5d987edd5090181162782b90764129f",
+    "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": "0x9d3c9c74d6dc88f3209c85176ee0f88b918d11eb00b59edddbcac37af1860ca3"
   },
-  "cash": 41.145339029785475,
+  "cash": 41.23753095576147,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 108,
-    "sum_s": 3163.7723774909973,
-    "sum_slip_pct": 2.7400886974940355
+    "n": 109,
+    "sum_s": 3169.336790561676,
+    "sum_slip_pct": 2.7025886820940297
   },
-  "fees_paid": 3.152141735274528,
+  "fees_paid": 3.184350809298528,
   "lag_recent": [
     [
       1784790397.8,
@@ -11543,6 +11537,11 @@
       1784819630.0,
       1.0,
       0.0
+    ],
+    [
+      1784820340.6,
+      5.6,
+      -0.0375
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -13853,6 +13852,27 @@
       "settled": null,
       "sold_shares": 0.1,
       "sold_proceeds": 0.08461750000000001
+    },
+    "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": {
+      "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "name": "0xbadaf319",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?",
+      "their_price": 0.8,
+      "my_price": 0.77,
+      "slippage_pct": -0.0375,
+      "lag_s": 5.6,
+      "shares": 3.25,
+      "cost": 2.5,
+      "fee": 0.0172,
+      "opened": 1784820335,
+      "status": "closed",
+      "exit_price": 0.8054,
+      "pnl": 0.09,
+      "settled": 1784821437,
+      "sold_shares": 3.24,
+      "sold_proceeds": 2.60944092
     }
   },
   "no_miss_toks": [
@@ -17119,8 +17139,8 @@
       "name": "0xbadaf319"
     }
   ],
-  "feed_sig": "6c71756de55cf076e1a4753e2358ed39",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784820213.4914412,
+  "feed_sig": "b50c2dcc9e38e346062661a24530355a",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784821372.6800885,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783906689,
@@ -17169,13 +17189,14 @@
     "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016": 2,
     "107519224001054263439274706964696866987866557807915774909819079291264377299291": 23,
     "6457952357077230044054791268159160058712529625831041550558183767114352456975": 1,
-    "61895825019286928316753689208545457497714235075046708292847356747636406191670": 1
+    "61895825019286928316753689208545457497714235075046708292847356747636406191670": 1,
+    "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 1
   },
   "trade_cursor": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784814235,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784820336,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784821170,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784745123,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784807970,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784798961,
@@ -17186,11 +17207,11 @@
     "ts": 1784658804
   },
   "last_fill": {
-    "ts": 1784820179,
+    "ts": 1784821433,
     "side": "SELL",
-    "price": 0.85,
-    "shares": 0.1,
-    "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J",
+    "price": 0.81,
+    "shares": 3.24,
+    "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?",
     "outcome": "No"
   }
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index 2d2cc4bd..9b58d653 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
 {
  "mode": "live",
  "bankroll": 66.42,
- "stake": 2.51,
+ "stake": 2.52,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 62.94,
- "cash": 38.63,
- "deployed": 24.16,
+ "cash": 41.24,
+ "deployed": 21.66,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": -13.07,
+ "realized": -12.96,
  "adjustments": 9.44,
  "ledger_drift": 0.0,
- "open_count": 13,
- "fees_paid": 3.17,
+ "open_count": 12,
+ "fees_paid": 3.18,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
   "n": 109,
@@ -60,10 +60,12 @@
    "cost": 2.5,
    "fee": 0.02,
    "opened": 1784820335,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null
+   "status": "closed",
+   "exit_price": 0.8054,
+   "pnl": 0.09,
+   "settled": 1784821437,
+   "sold_shares": 3.24,
+   "sold_proceeds": 2.61
   },
   {
    "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173",
@@ -3048,23 +3050,23 @@
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 1171.63,
  "last_fill": {
-  "ts": 1784820340,
-  "side": "BUY",
-  "price": 0.77,
-  "shares": 3.25,
+  "ts": 1784821433,
+  "side": "SELL",
+  "price": 0.81,
+  "shares": 3.24,
   "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?",
   "outcome": "No"
  },
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
-   "realized": 1.45,
-   "n": 19,
+   "realized": 1.54,
+   "n": 20,
    "wins": 4,
-   "open_cost": 16.92,
-   "open_n": 7,
+   "open_cost": 14.42,
+   "open_n": 6,
    "miss_n": 62,
    "miss_pnl": 1169.13,
-   "last_ts": 1784820335
+   "last_ts": 1784821437
   },
   "AIcAIc": {
    "realized": -14.85,
@@ -3157,5 +3159,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1784820340
+ "updated": 1784821437
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
index d77213dd..5ca9aa00 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 {
  "mode": "live",
- "updated": 1784820340,
+ "updated": 1784821437,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
-   "realized": 1.45,
-   "n": 19,
+   "realized": 1.54,
+   "n": 20,
    "wins": 4,
-   "open_cost": 16.92,
-   "open_n": 7,
+   "open_cost": 14.42,
+   "open_n": 6,
    "miss_n": 62,
    "miss_pnl": 1169.13,
-   "last_ts": 1784820335
+   "last_ts": 1784821437
   },
   "AIcAIc": {
    "realized": -14.85,
@@ -118,10 +118,12 @@
    "cost": 2.5,
    "fee": 0.0172,
    "opened": 1784820335,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null
+   "status": "closed",
+   "exit_price": 0.8054,
+   "pnl": 0.09,
+   "settled": 1784821437,
+   "sold_shares": 3.24,
+   "sold_proceeds": 2.60944092
   },
   {
    "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173",
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
index f4393b09..4689a401 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
@@ -2482,3 +2482,13 @@
 {"ts": 1784820179.14, "trade_ts": 1784820178, "lat_s": 1.14, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 12.72, "price": 0.88, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J", "tx": "0xf548e2bfbc6def6f445cf3acabfd13e7d8d8c239c18ee30e713cc2a587e41408", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784820334.67, "trade_ts": 1784820334, "lat_s": 0.67, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 65.333332, "price": 0.1799999883673467, "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 26\u00b0C on July 23?", "tx": "0x575c9de035b84e3d278e9659effe28678301af8100a5ba1fa43e09dca8e9094d", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784820335.68, "trade_ts": 1784820335, "lat_s": 0.68, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 61.85, "price": 0.8, "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?", "tx": "0x596add106ff60bf34933a08dc2fee25cf3bfaad85a9d7fbc33203eb319b5ac63", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784820346.15, "trade_ts": 1784820345, "lat_s": 1.15, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 61.85, "price": 0.014, "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 28\u00b0C on July 23?", "tx": "0x7305799a342c5ff02ab426f52b623fdd4e3069475b427342674ddce84415f0a9", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784820622.7, "trade_ts": 1784820622, "lat_s": 0.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 31.901208, "price": 0.9009062603522726, "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26\u00b0C on July 23", "tx": "0xd47fdfbb67fec5758c95bfd41ea8f0d79c090504ea83aad7d04676fbe18d091e", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784820622.98, "trade_ts": 1784820622, "lat_s": 0.98, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 34.4, "price": 0.1906976744186047, "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25\u00b0C on July 23", "tx": "0xb76cea98f7498834f362bdbcd74afb0aa2d13e0e64bf192f27b9b805ee512f14", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784820821.52, "trade_ts": 1784820821, "lat_s": 0.52, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 8.39, "price": 0.211, "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25\u00b0C on July 23", "tx": "0x9c3e3072899f55e3ac706777aee999a75ae17062fefab08636490f5e8fafd155", "seen": false}
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