diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 39ec6d6f..c6999a7e 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -13774,24 +13774,6 @@
       "event": "unit-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0xa76a275f67052768be0d7ea46a8f181e8371c448bca393d6108c44fa40293c81"
-    },
-    "36691622618442161420564423274570099987634772496502598170189501595483083268777": {
-      "shares": 74.07,
-      "cost": 70.07021999999999,
-      "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 28?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "event": null,
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "cond": "0x94945cbce3c0f44504e315dfaa37150a9750986e24af5fdedadf993d3432acbd"
-    },
-    "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": {
-      "shares": 30.23,
-      "cost": 14.339614504516737,
-      "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "event": "bitcoin-price-on-july-28-2026",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "cond": "0xdaf089b97c311bcf931fa7c3fae9aa74c20a753055d462aef3ccdb6b144cfb6e"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
@@ -13988,11 +13970,9 @@
     "45110992399056657070414988111806772840513629662508128679624612897635752010841": "0xdf4fc1fbf5ca7b742efe736341db058cf04e9457937c059b46190bb3d50b0224",
     "86679239858518906873492617617658695793360100462726529532253226646142736420327": "0xea3616e50356c37fd23ae20570e9daf2e5e10e27f59367f077c39aae8ff7401d",
     "80808145657906667113795891925826034935213900714245802195985269085181895227480": "0xa76a275f67052768be0d7ea46a8f181e8371c448bca393d6108c44fa40293c81",
-    "115022349425230056420599576774053150964082288276346642481948600625364544056404": "0x1e7aa6955c8430e1506188bece94f7da20cdb0311535abeda8123be2c69b1f59",
-    "36691622618442161420564423274570099987634772496502598170189501595483083268777": "0x94945cbce3c0f44504e315dfaa37150a9750986e24af5fdedadf993d3432acbd",
-    "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": "0xdaf089b97c311bcf931fa7c3fae9aa74c20a753055d462aef3ccdb6b144cfb6e"
+    "115022349425230056420599576774053150964082288276346642481948600625364544056404": "0x1e7aa6955c8430e1506188bece94f7da20cdb0311535abeda8123be2c69b1f59"
   },
-  "cash": 1686.157001882037,
+  "cash": 1760.227001882037,
   "lag": {
     "n": 293,
     "sum_s": 6775.340700387955,
@@ -19372,10 +19352,10 @@
       "cost": 202.21044,
       "fee": 0.3275,
       "opened": 1785253613,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "won",
+      "exit_price": 1.0,
+      "pnl": -128.47,
+      "settled": 1785277106,
       "end_ts": 1785196800
     },
     "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": {
@@ -19392,16 +19372,16 @@
       "cost": 14.34,
       "fee": 0.2261,
       "opened": 1785253659,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "lost",
+      "exit_price": 0.0,
+      "pnl": -14.57,
+      "settled": 1785277108,
       "end_ts": 1785196800
     }
   },
   "hwm": 3397.980656571328,
-  "feed_sig": "d5ea1af549ac6f10f24553d27127e6ab",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1785276888.6899276,
+  "feed_sig": "637fbea1599850a5250925c7abd5d3f6",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1785277043.1683042,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783690584,
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 3c5376ff..cec92db2 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 135.92,
+ "stake": 135.51,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 3397.98,
- "cash": 1686.16,
- "deployed": 1711.82,
+ "cash": 1760.23,
+ "deployed": 1627.41,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 2397.95,
+ "realized": 2387.61,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
- "ledger_drift": -0.04,
- "open_count": 27,
+ "ledger_drift": -0.03,
+ "open_count": 25,
  "fees_paid": 395.45,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
@@ -50,6 +50,46 @@
   "JuiceFarm": 735.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?",
+   "their_price": 0.4744,
+   "my_price": 0.4744,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 2.7,
+   "shares": 30.23,
+   "cost": 14.34,
+   "fee": 0.23,
+   "opened": 1785253659,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -14.57,
+   "settled": 1785277108,
+   "end_ts": 1785196800
+  },
+  {
+   "token": "36691622618442161420564423274570099987634772496502598170189501595483083268777",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 28?",
+   "their_price": 0.946,
+   "my_price": 0.946,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 10.1,
+   "shares": 213.75,
+   "cost": 202.21,
+   "fee": 0.33,
+   "opened": 1785253613,
+   "status": "won",
+   "exit_price": 1.0,
+   "pnl": -128.47,
+   "settled": 1785277106,
+   "end_ts": 1785196800
+  },
   {
    "token": "87461865681689699081648262736937951256169066109275377425968376597869321557502",
    "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
@@ -114,46 +154,6 @@
    "sold_shares": 16.8,
    "sold_proceeds": 16.74
   },
-  {
-   "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?",
-   "their_price": 0.4744,
-   "my_price": 0.4744,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 2.7,
-   "shares": 30.23,
-   "cost": 14.34,
-   "fee": 0.23,
-   "opened": 1785253659,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785196800
-  },
-  {
-   "token": "36691622618442161420564423274570099987634772496502598170189501595483083268777",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 28?",
-   "their_price": 0.946,
-   "my_price": 0.946,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 10.1,
-   "shares": 213.75,
-   "cost": 202.21,
-   "fee": 0.33,
-   "opened": 1785253613,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785196800
-  },
   {
    "token": "115022349425230056420599576774053150964082288276346642481948600625364544056404",
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -3112,14 +3112,14 @@
  },
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
-   "realized": 575.76,
-   "n": 68,
-   "wins": 22,
-   "open_cost": 1033.2,
-   "open_n": 16,
+   "realized": 432.72,
+   "n": 70,
+   "wins": 23,
+   "open_cost": 816.65,
+   "open_n": 14,
    "miss_n": 90,
    "miss_pnl": 112020.03,
-   "last_ts": 1785266766
+   "last_ts": 1785277108
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
    "realized": 946.8,
@@ -3212,5 +3212,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785277043
+ "updated": 1785277111
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index b81ec4bf..fc7eb313 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785277043,
+ "updated": 1785277111,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
-   "realized": 575.76,
-   "n": 68,
-   "wins": 22,
-   "open_cost": 1033.2,
-   "open_n": 16,
+   "realized": 432.72,
+   "n": 70,
+   "wins": 23,
+   "open_cost": 816.65,
+   "open_n": 14,
    "miss_n": 90,
    "miss_pnl": 112020.03,
-   "last_ts": 1785266766
+   "last_ts": 1785277108
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
    "realized": 946.8,
@@ -104,6 +104,46 @@
   }
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?",
+   "their_price": 0.4744,
+   "my_price": 0.4744,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 2.7,
+   "shares": 30.23,
+   "cost": 14.34,
+   "fee": 0.2261,
+   "opened": 1785253659,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -14.57,
+   "settled": 1785277108,
+   "end_ts": 1785196800
+  },
+  {
+   "token": "36691622618442161420564423274570099987634772496502598170189501595483083268777",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 28?",
+   "their_price": 0.946,
+   "my_price": 0.9460137543859649,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 10.1,
+   "shares": 213.75,
+   "cost": 202.21044,
+   "fee": 0.3275,
+   "opened": 1785253613,
+   "status": "won",
+   "exit_price": 1.0,
+   "pnl": -128.47,
+   "settled": 1785277106,
+   "end_ts": 1785196800
+  },
   {
    "token": "87461865681689699081648262736937951256169066109275377425968376597869321557502",
    "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
@@ -168,46 +208,6 @@
    "sold_shares": 16.799000572455114,
    "sold_proceeds": 16.740382837754055
   },
-  {
-   "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?",
-   "their_price": 0.4744,
-   "my_price": 0.4744,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 2.7,
-   "shares": 30.23,
-   "cost": 14.34,
-   "fee": 0.2261,
-   "opened": 1785253659,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785196800
-  },
-  {
-   "token": "36691622618442161420564423274570099987634772496502598170189501595483083268777",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 28?",
-   "their_price": 0.946,
-   "my_price": 0.9460137543859649,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 10.1,
-   "shares": 213.75,
-   "cost": 202.21044,
-   "fee": 0.3275,
-   "opened": 1785253613,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785196800
-  },
   {
    "token": "115022349425230056420599576774053150964082288276346642481948600625364544056404",
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",