diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index 98a72724..3d66c296 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -359,6 +359,7 @@
     "0x2f129c6b6691a4a13e81efcc68df26e2954b4ccc20a86e739247735c5b7deebc",
     "0x867c94519e0d7c5a0c548b82392f22c8b3cb64d1b362431b95764e5ad117b3cf",
     "0x390f52890031ad950ac11b69536e05f97e0552a5e4f102d4a096d7472870087a",
+    "0x0c653d813da9bfc33a042d5c91e5b4f654856776916a9a49435d0982f1743fe2",
     "0xead4929fb5a4bf49a99d6517b735ee30d37a3d2a9e839c8ab76497b6316240be",
     "0x560a732deed4dcec1409dbc319393bff3598f2119c6520f0cf1788a12aa7c7f1",
     "0x787c0aa156c34a63405e1e86172ff32e464fdb0155faa1b32c40f9d372bffbb4",
@@ -770,6 +771,7 @@
     "0x6b02bfb0e0dd2daa6e67eacce145904e9f5b4b1c5d7d30e27323e6f0052de506",
     "0x3ef7b7d802363a54d9bf1c15cb0d0e5f0dffd0686e6549b6bdd691ee3db9489f",
     "0x2f471dcf0e4c10351b7a4d93655b590be64801b804fc471c3bea9b959db2526b",
+    "0x85cadfa9ee15680a66fa21989568b559607789a04f5a44b52e30cc0251159690",
     "0xd3fc783377ab2735a9ce9ea5c820310c36eb6efb7c7effd7bfc769ec65ff33cf",
     "0x236f28de37f816fcb0b696f21933bffcb1df67a668f74fd158f5c964461dab54",
     "0xc3250b672cd9b3a7988dc3449cb12b42cfdb07365b55c7f422e8a3a23bcb4c90",
@@ -2113,6 +2115,7 @@
     "0x26c7653590609e841fbd5e6bc12df71f46439d2cb7df7172bb636512d6aeb387",
     "0x6cb094cb479d378681c7586c348013de508314c40beafcc9d5c0db5f8a014945",
     "0xc37e09b7c602bcad5f39bdd6b2b2937d81f822845a8a988acca132f267db0c64",
+    "0x57202b42c39fe72006b8786a62eef61b9d1658e640c007db3ff48a2d3f54b553",
     "0xc3f9a83637a5694e9edb85d1f34e44dc0926e38dbd0409974e17bcac75298bd0",
     "0xa81be2f0ef60a3750cefe3730abce48d418013030fdfb3d2106c28f46d22209d",
     "0x21e52df380fd0114315fe0dd2a8dd5da7862a141a6cf2d00083df9ba8b5b1e07",
@@ -2215,6 +2218,7 @@
     "0xa3b8e1414d3d06d4f470aece3c82d9d4e361a8a246faf5c3831e748c0a2160f0",
     "0x8cecbfba65fda9053b36fa504287b32e2e9e8c9da12db22affe8bc1d526c4a87",
     "0x01ab6806e4c2b7ec2b10241894b42f2ca15386c2c841bd36fa9607b8bdf4a26d",
+    "0x06c718629449a3d248199630df9d0d0e01069b62f14373a069e9ef70ae574160",
     "0x99d61a76c31151a319e5aac90e2e2fa364414a6a130c55576cb6ccd7ba3e1921",
     "0x1e0ae0f4381874b08ebc2ac12f7a7bede385d834640f70139e94e514251c6958",
     "0x90b26bdd10b2178a0e67d8fd9605e17d8b7be6136a71a2b9ac1edf4aa631c41f",
@@ -2273,6 +2277,7 @@
     "0xb0ceb94e76fec077a792fb7118e1f916f88cf967da0d51c20e6317a5a4f4381f",
     "0xea02356f709a8fd4ef1fb23255305c97635d408bf0e7e6f0db180775497aa4ff",
     "0x288e6b48259b12ed652d7c38f0e399f4d25e7a6ac4d8d3fcc4872e6ffcbf8471",
+    "0x99428d34ef35fc4878863de5cd554a1b0d3982edbe96eec6ffc389fc550ed7e8",
     "0xd64437ea006c95493b24691962d609d2709518fcf26390221bbdb745f511420a",
     "0x75c52a1b8057e189129725ed982d03e7f021bf28ae966b52f1aaf9dd2e2c739b",
     "0x5d2f2928b5c5eabf2e5ab112ddebea35e1280f4437dd363ea6285f3b99ea6b5a",
@@ -2305,6 +2310,7 @@
     "0x3501f11c256172b7e2a057bb382cc3f28d529e1d77582e62c9091ae63a2752c7",
     "0x43d6e01ec6feb4d1390b3675207854b8ffec720f8ecf2070af9ead167d0a7c62",
     "0xfbeb908fd9daec6b942b5168d2ca563917c9aaac1ae1b7e73433492467831b11",
+    "0x3f0f259c7e4a63afa15a16782ea3045ba8ddacd0d1c924cb0f5c71eb55a6954b",
     "0x1b9ad42312ff3c6e3af6858cbfb150c5b916b77beb60673943bac165a3230c23",
     "0xbc942e1bf48adbc8c66045beb72d0de3440b2a55ab89c7faaefbf1f4544ef39e",
     "0x9eb3149a452620da4f6c81b75a0c5cf31531c7587da4008ab5bc7005594af86f",
@@ -2958,7 +2964,8 @@
       "85590802024993543661537425965264345251257796759459810241384876806751805341892": 65195.11847,
       "14635675870982897917581198649476127837975251193150495566552970565909631535281": 0.0,
       "30832186473485489334120104796032388930526660633476597146132134578867673440960": 1555.341173,
-      "98130629394630322983110605714141489884435629664812927809724837028685741349685": 2978.996
+      "98130629394630322983110605714141489884435629664812927809724837028685741349685": 2978.996,
+      "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155": 540.53
     },
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": {
       "49283686456928993851464146670574883277266999919056843343822740024885909556550": 5266.1727,
@@ -4324,7 +4331,7 @@
       "98686933205526849260956926098370864586052275369032476650193546947433457446794": 3584.9713,
       "89628205161429183663335882524534177373428689595495022481997839397142363974023": 0.0,
       "90912190630175200805827076506881962170030344593208497487958283062556067846899": 0.0,
-      "71941893293834599184621753590882651435325558220761902727823613984547213968365": 0.0,
+      "71941893293834599184621753590882651435325558220761902727823613984547213968365": 748.44915,
       "72657587692017665505599725656194205462581472368991422962137490050829927893951": 0.01368399999984149,
       "14298727521347397971969992444073213603189753350952512402670010770159778335698": 0.0,
       "56756661591231024232293612307766574619510235695228033895614049910615833094309": 0.0
@@ -8553,10 +8560,39 @@
       "settled": 1783854450,
       "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
       "exit_price": 0.3901
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1783856323,
+      "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+      "token": "71941893293834599184621753590882651435325558220761902727823613984547213968365",
+      "cond": "0xae59ba73bbfb0e2630cc950c513afa1e536f11a8d52b467282926f91dec3397c",
+      "title": "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
+      "outcome": "Vici Gaming",
+      "price": 0.96,
+      "stake": 1.0,
+      "reason": "price 0.960 outside [0.01,0.95]",
+      "status": "open",
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null,
+      "name": "gkmgkldfmg"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1783856423,
+      "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
+      "token": "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155",
+      "cond": "0xba7e1244bc3dabb6c38a128dcf7522104172e8b3a354aa711643c11064e56bf1",
+      "title": "Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "price": 0.51,
+      "stake": 1.0,
+      "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (60s)",
+      "status": "open",
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null
     }
   ],
-  "feed_sig": "b0a1a896abed5ab73347eecb45fd5a3e",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1783855906.9208782,
+  "feed_sig": "c3f93b3ab60463282512911ea54a4ec3",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1783856285.8555894,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783718232,
@@ -8564,32 +8600,13 @@
       "note": "2026-07-10 rebase to $22.28 equity baseline (user: retire caps, 4% paper-parity sizing; prior incident P&L stays in history)"
     }
   ],
-  "pending_orders": [
-    {
-      "order_id": "0x21dcb077965076b35e1f99c65356b6128a17feb73b1b4f85c54b76115dcf09a0",
-      "bal0": 1.820783,
-      "token": "45280196732223750989767984101465690442391116346771016128184193629867669221370",
-      "side": "SELL",
-      "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
-      "title": "Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner",
-      "outcome": "Team Nemesis",
-      "event": "dota2-rnx-nem-2026-07-12",
-      "cond": "0x660404f310d6d27f728aa0f5494c157c794cc35b0a3b34536e689e6672947d64",
-      "their_price": 0.001,
-      "their_ts": null,
-      "price": 0.001,
-      "is_add": false,
-      "stake": 0.0016107830000000002,
-      "ts": 1783856033.1633406,
-      "ttl_s": 600
-    }
-  ],
+  "pending_orders": [],
   "exit_retries": [],
   "exit_attempts": {
     "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305": 25,
     "111238155193029214626119372717509509454868187612257655146390848111901958320265": 1,
     "78788260288922080326905341117968551697712240104712932735403261835886217664335": 2,
     "37098243537063616538853806564974418300652058034370047802005035892401938992764": 1,
-    "45280196732223750989767984101465690442391116346771016128184193629867669221370": 15
+    "45280196732223750989767984101465690442391116346771016128184193629867669221370": 16
   }
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index 810c1fac..4c6519c0 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -669,6 +669,36 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1783856423,
+   "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
+   "token": "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155",
+   "cond": "0xba7e1244bc3dabb6c38a128dcf7522104172e8b3a354aa711643c11064e56bf1",
+   "title": "Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.51,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (60s)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "LSB1"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1783856323,
+   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+   "token": "71941893293834599184621753590882651435325558220761902727823613984547213968365",
+   "cond": "0xae59ba73bbfb0e2630cc950c513afa1e536f11a8d52b467282926f91dec3397c",
+   "title": "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
+   "outcome": "Vici Gaming",
+   "price": 0.96,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "price 0.960 outside [0.01,0.95]",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "gkmgkldfmg"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1783853611,
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -1595,40 +1625,8 @@
    "settled": 1783710916,
    "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
    "exit_price": 0.6065
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1783710277,
-   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
-   "token": "69332829857352543341630758571211075272974294373246290749231665438041402756556",
-   "cond": "0x3207dfbac2bd6155ce62d8fc9ef44154e679f4833de116bf823a02f9c7fdd425",
-   "title": "Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner",
-   "outcome": "OG",
-   "price": 0.43,
-   "stake": 4.5,
-   "reason": "capped to $-10.00 < min order $1.00 (caps)",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 1.7,
-   "settled": 1783710600,
-   "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
-   "exit_price": 0.6065
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1783709709,
-   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
-   "token": "69332829857352543341630758571211075272974294373246290749231665438041402756556",
-   "cond": "0x3207dfbac2bd6155ce62d8fc9ef44154e679f4833de116bf823a02f9c7fdd425",
-   "title": "Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner",
-   "outcome": "OG",
-   "price": 0.24,
-   "stake": 4.5,
-   "reason": "capped to $-10.00 < min order $1.00 (caps)",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 0.66,
-   "settled": 1783709974,
-   "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
-   "exit_price": 0.2867
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 104.95,
- "updated": 1783856037
+ "updated": 1783856425
 }
\ No newline at end of file