From 050a9da6bbb67a7e9b6dffbd0dcc5bebd84924a6 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Fri, 24 Jul 2026 15:16:52 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_fills.jsonl | 1 + copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl | 1 + copybot_state.json | 59 ++++++++++++++----------- live/copybot_live.json | 86 +++++++++++++++++++------------------ live/copybot_live_full.json | 54 ++++++++++++----------- rtds_shadow.jsonl | 4 ++ 6 files changed, 111 insertions(+), 94 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl index 3a285ed2..77f29b1a 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl @@ -918,3 +918,4 @@ {"ts": 1784904082.1, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531", "name": "1kto1m", "outcome": "Up", "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", "detect_lag_s": 57.1, "their_price": 0.48, "my_price": 0.48, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 258.25, "cost": 123.96, "fee": 1.9338, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.47, "ba": 0.48, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 71.88, "ask5c": 2453.9}, "maker": true} {"ts": 1784904358.7, "side": "SELL", "token": "73739632839816504626737108532045400878921898467348280846632249640824887675542", "shares": 213.8267, "price": 0.92, "fee": 0.4721, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1784905791.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 24?", "detect_lag_s": 5.6, "their_price": 0.938, "my_price": 0.938, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 32.76, "cost": 30.73, "fee": 0.0572, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.898, "ba": 0.939, "spread": 0.041, "bid5c": 462.12, "ask5c": 307.36}, "maker": true} +{"ts": 1784906212.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531", "shares": 258.25, "price": 0.91, "fee": 0.6345, "mode": "paper"} diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl index 45b49cec..516f1f73 100644 --- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl +++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl @@ -66,3 +66,4 @@ {"ts": 1784905526.1, "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.76, "shares_held": 258.25, "cost_held": 123.96, "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", "outcome": "Up", "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1784905862.6, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1784905865.2, "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.84, "shares_held": 258.25, "cost_held": 123.96, "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", "outcome": "Up", "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1784906209.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 44665524..e0476225 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -1,8 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783541947.246319, "seen_tx": [ - "0xb270d16bf4fdb4becb312ea8a69899225c4e7931e1680ff23a3d7aa029ca8ddb", - "0x849dcdf9cd86c9cd2c977bb8a57f2e395245fd58f5098ccd3f0399e38553510c", "0x2718db7253f4555c57a3c7ec8673ffe707bde7b3fac80274056871528b862afe", "0xc68b6347b1d30133325b6b2dcf550780b485795d12464c54518e16b1bf0b11e9", "0x1cf2c232530e626cc58a51808546aebe458e292cff2430d5444b73528b2ae4d7", @@ -5000,7 +4998,9 @@ "0xed23c6a3a48acf432fb9c62cbae320f0304c1b67127651715f8fe84bbe821366", "0x9995d02ef57769a8691147482e9dbb3d89a6091c9c4a1006ddf9379b55766e1d", "0xe1dae8b4a1e06f5f5a600c74e132f2860278728ffb74cb6f310988dcc51517d5", - "0x126371b3c0fdccf1d3957bc171e68fc8d64e8ebee1a05e7b96eb564c7207855c" + "0x126371b3c0fdccf1d3957bc171e68fc8d64e8ebee1a05e7b96eb564c7207855c", + "0x6ce22592428240357ac53ccbf35f641ecd518973b9c24ad1f85fac340f7a1cf5", + "0xe45a7c41dc959e7b5cd977e2f398485b64ed743ca588fa923e4c4966490b45c6" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -13371,15 +13371,6 @@ "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "cond": "0x0d58180fdd497d4b5fad00494ea00827c2ff181cb84893d1aa10aa4e56d68c99" }, - "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531": { - "shares": 258.25, - "cost": 123.96, - "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", - "outcome": "Up", - "event": "spx-up-or-down-on-july-24-2026", - "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", - "cond": "0x1b9e81dfcbfcf530a3d96c2e67f82d69ef77369c5ada234d52c7c0da21a81c55" - }, "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": { "shares": 32.76, "cost": 30.7288799978545, @@ -13568,13 +13559,13 @@ "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531": "0x1b9e81dfcbfcf530a3d96c2e67f82d69ef77369c5ada234d52c7c0da21a81c55", "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": "0xc3a579d99e8b291b923f6cdf026fe86a510411bb0b5190cb5d8764bd425974de" }, - "cash": 1256.8515091313775, + "cash": 1491.2244888813775, "lag": { "n": 248, "sum_s": 6304.056152105331, "sum_slip_pct": -7.247834511462669 }, - "fees_paid": 359.87294142319143, + "fees_paid": 360.5074616731914, "lag_recent": [ [ 1784819629.5, @@ -18178,7 +18169,9 @@ "exit_price": null, "pnl": null, "settled": null, - "end_ts": 1784851200 + "end_ts": 1784851200, + "sold_shares": 258.25, + "sold_proceeds": 234.37297975 }, "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": { "token": "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332", @@ -18202,8 +18195,8 @@ } }, "hwm": 3169.344810591864, - "feed_sig": "c40e4e58f2e1267759498a73ccbac603", - "feed_pushed_at": 1784905938.7418249, + "feed_sig": "b5524003c0744673232651607690678a", + "feed_pushed_at": 1784906072.6551147, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783590977, @@ -21330,14 +21323,13 @@ "111238155193029214626119372717509509454868187612257655146390848111901958320265": 1, "54808825071623730922593344072571837691813951745707044026991588993889799442913": 1, "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 1, - "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 58, - "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531": 3 + "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 59 }, "trade_cursor": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970, "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702, "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784882427, - "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784905870, + "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784906110, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784886999, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784904358, "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784905024, @@ -21349,12 +21341,12 @@ "ts": 1784846080 }, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784905791, - "side": "BUY", - "price": 0.938, - "shares": 32.76, - "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 24?", - "outcome": "No" + "ts": 1784906212, + "side": "SELL", + "price": 0.91, + "shares": 258.25, + "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", + "outcome": "Up" }, "paper_maker": [], "maker_stats": { @@ -22375,6 +22367,21 @@ "outcome": "Up", "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1784906209.7, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.87, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" } ] } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index 9f480dee..5a917b71 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -1,24 +1,24 @@ { "mode": "paper", "bankroll": 1000.0, - "stake": 126.77, + "stake": 131.19, "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, - "hwm": 3169.34, - "cash": 1256.85, - "deployed": 1912.44, + "hwm": 3279.7, + "cash": 1491.22, + "deployed": 1788.48, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": 2169.26, + "realized": 2279.67, "adjustments": 0.03, "ledger_drift": -0.01, - "open_count": 26, - "fees_paid": 359.87, + "open_count": 25, + "fees_paid": 360.51, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { "n": 248, - "n24": 20, - "avg_s": 6.8, - "avg_slip_pct": -0.0026, + "n24": 19, + "avg_s": 7.1, + "avg_slip_pct": -0.0021, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -49,6 +49,28 @@ "JuiceFarm": 752.73 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531", + "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", + "name": "1kto1m", + "outcome": "Up", + "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", + "their_price": 0.48, + "my_price": 0.48, + "slippage_pct": 0.0, + "lag_s": 57.1, + "shares": 258.25, + "cost": 123.96, + "fee": 1.93, + "opened": 1784904025, + "status": "closed", + "exit_price": 0.9075, + "pnl": 108.48, + "settled": 1784906212, + "end_ts": 1784851200, + "sold_shares": 258.25, + "sold_proceeds": 234.37 + }, { "token": "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -91,26 +113,6 @@ "sold_shares": 213.83, "sold_proceeds": 196.25 }, - { - "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531", - "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", - "name": "1kto1m", - "outcome": "Up", - "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", - "their_price": 0.48, - "my_price": 0.48, - "slippage_pct": 0.0, - "lag_s": 57.1, - "shares": 258.25, - "cost": 123.96, - "fee": 1.93, - "opened": 1784904025, - "status": "open", - "exit_price": null, - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "end_ts": 1784851200 - }, { "token": "68315926096182221986995516814797530272425122547938404327641913821151049555944", "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", @@ -3086,12 +3088,12 @@ ], "missed_pnl": 96628.37, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784905791, - "side": "BUY", - "price": 0.938, - "shares": 32.76, - "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 24?", - "outcome": "No" + "ts": 1784906212, + "side": "SELL", + "price": 0.91, + "shares": 258.25, + "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", + "outcome": "Up" }, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { @@ -3115,14 +3117,14 @@ "last_ts": 1784655289 }, "1kto1m": { - "realized": 142.98, - "n": 12, + "realized": 251.46, + "n": 13, "wins": 0, - "open_cost": 123.96, - "open_n": 1, + "open_cost": 0.0, + "open_n": 0, "miss_n": 14, "miss_pnl": -16.16, - "last_ts": 1784904025 + "last_ts": 1784906212 }, "Kruto2027": { "realized": 749.99, @@ -3185,5 +3187,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1784906072 + "updated": 1784906212 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json index ade32ce8..6f5ff6e6 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "paper", - "updated": 1784906072, + "updated": 1784906212, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": 569.48, @@ -23,14 +23,14 @@ "last_ts": 1784655289 }, "1kto1m": { - "realized": 142.98, - "n": 12, + "realized": 251.46, + "n": 13, "wins": 0, - "open_cost": 123.96, - "open_n": 1, + "open_cost": 0.0, + "open_n": 0, "miss_n": 14, "miss_pnl": -16.16, - "last_ts": 1784904025 + "last_ts": 1784906212 }, "Kruto2027": { "realized": 749.99, @@ -94,6 +94,28 @@ } }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531", + "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", + "name": "1kto1m", + "outcome": "Up", + "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", + "their_price": 0.48, + "my_price": 0.48, + "slippage_pct": 0.0, + "lag_s": 57.1, + "shares": 258.25, + "cost": 123.96, + "fee": 1.9338, + "opened": 1784904025, + "status": "closed", + "exit_price": 0.9075, + "pnl": 108.48, + "settled": 1784906212, + "end_ts": 1784851200, + "sold_shares": 258.25, + "sold_proceeds": 234.37297975 + }, { "token": "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -136,26 +158,6 @@ "sold_shares": 213.82668354880147, "sold_proceeds": 196.2484195476216 }, - { - "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531", - "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", - "name": "1kto1m", - "outcome": "Up", - "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", - "their_price": 0.48, - "my_price": 0.48, - "slippage_pct": 0.0, - "lag_s": 57.1, - "shares": 258.25, - "cost": 123.96, - "fee": 1.9338, - "opened": 1784904025, - "status": "open", - "exit_price": null, - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "end_ts": 1784851200 - }, { "token": "68315926096182221986995516814797530272425122547938404327641913821151049555944", "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl index 394de9c8..ae6409ad 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl @@ -2116,3 +2116,7 @@ {"ts": 1784905872.57, "trade_ts": 1784905862, "lat_s": 10.57, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 2, "price": 0.74, "title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on July 24?", "tx": "0xe1dae8b4a1e06f5f5a600c74e132f2860278728ffb74cb6f310988dcc51517d5", "seen": true} {"ts": 1784905872.91, "trade_ts": 1784905868, "lat_s": 4.91, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 6.03, "price": 0.61, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on ", "tx": "0x95dc82ca38495d7ab995bb1185c31158cb08d88fec3b95f78e5a6bf53c84c5f5", "seen": false} {"ts": 1784905873.08, "trade_ts": 1784905870, "lat_s": 3.08, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 6.03, "price": 0.66, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on ", "tx": "0x126371b3c0fdccf1d3957bc171e68fc8d64e8ebee1a05e7b96eb564c7207855c", "seen": true} +{"ts": 1784906082.49, "trade_ts": 1784906082, "lat_s": 0.49, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 40.981506, "price": 0.7027559699733826, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on ", "tx": "0xa6c286fd0f14b30e724c42f5290ec0ea69feb86f91d94f02d5349658f49b80f7", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784906112.09, "trade_ts": 1784906111, "lat_s": 1.09, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 40, "price": 0.26, "title": "Bitcoin above 64,000 on July 24, 12PM ET?", "tx": "0x76c16190ddb2a2e6b9cd143cf406e9784404e8af42162b3a2e8dac1737984d56", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784906117.76, "trade_ts": 1784906117, "lat_s": 0.76, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 2.15, "price": 0.251, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?", "tx": "0x6ce22592428240357ac53ccbf35f641ecd518973b9c24ad1f85fac340f7a1cf5", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784906118.6, "trade_ts": 1784906117, "lat_s": 1.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 2.15, "price": 0.784, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on ", "tx": "0xe45a7c41dc959e7b5cd977e2f398485b64ed743ca588fa923e4c4966490b45c6", "seen": false}