# Skilled Wallets · Polymarket

63 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-08-01 23:12

Validated wallets
63
Median z
4.3
Median OOS z
3.2
Value / longshot
46
Favorite-rider
7

# | Wallet | z | OOS z | bets | win% | avg entry | alpha 0.2–0.4 | type
--- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ---

How to read it. z = how far the wallet beat the prices it paid (skill; >3 is strong). OOS z = whether that skill held on held-out bets — the gate that separates real edge from luck. Alpha 0.2–0.4 = share of bets in the underdog value zone where research finds real edge concentrates. Value wallets win by beating longshot/mid prices (the copyable alpha); Favorite-rider wallets post high win rates buying near-certain favorites (real but thin, hard to copy). Click any row for live recent trades. Not financial advice — split-half OOS, forward-track before sizing.