winning-wallet-finder/HANDOFF.md

Session handoff — 2026-07-10 (rev 5: LIVE PLACEMENT PROVEN — awaiting first organic fill)

Self-contained pickup for a fresh session (human or AI). Read README.md gotchas 1–16 (16 is the new-stack one), FINDINGS.md, ETHERSCAN_MIGRATION.md, LIVE_ROLLOUT.md. The repo is authoritative.

THE CRITICAL PATH IS DONE (2026-07-10 05:08Z)

Every link from rev 4 closed, in order, all proven on the live box:

1. Root cause of the wrap revert found on-chain (not caller-gating): the pUSD CollateralToken accepts BOTH native USDC and USDC.e by contract, but the public CollateralOnramp 0x93070a… has native USDC paused (paused(0x3c499c…)=1). Docs claiming "must be USDC.e" are downstream of that pause, and the ts-sdk has NO wrap helper — the UI converts via the Bridge.
2. Bankroll converted via the sanctioned path (host/wrap_via_bridge.py, stage-gated $3 test slice first): gasless ERC-20 transfer → per-wallet bridge address (POST bridge.polymarket.com/deposit) → delivered back already wrapped as pUSD, fee-free ($24.73 in → $24.73 pUSD out). get_balance_allowance(COLLATERAL) = 24730000 with max-uint allowances.
3. Executor ported (copybot.py LedgerLiveExecutor): unified SDK SecureClient.create(private_key) — deposit wallet auto-resolves, no api_key at runtime; place_market_order FAK with protected prices (quoted ± live.max_slippage_pct, default 5%, clamped [0.01,0.99] so the SDK's band check can't raise); never raises into the trade loop. chain_cash_gap repointed at the deposit wallet's pUSD (the +24.73 alarm is gone). Old tick-rounding machinery deleted — the SDK owns tick/negrisk.
4. $5 FAK round trip FILLED on the new image (polymarket-client==0.1.0b16 in fly.Dockerfile): BUY matched 7.35294 sh @ 0.68 ($5.00), SELL matched 7.35 sh @ 0.67 ($4.92 gross). Fill-field semantics confirmed: BUY making=USD given / taking=shares got; SELL reversed. Round trip cost 23.7¢ = 1c spread + ~3.2% taker fee on the sell + 0.003 sh dust — the modeled TAKER_FEE_RATE 0.03 tracks reality.
5. Armed bot restarted on the ported code: geo TRADABLE, LIVE banner, baseline clean, heartbeat [1] open 0 · free $25/$25 with NO drift/chain alarm. The bot can now actually place.

THE ONE REMAINING STEP — first organic fill ⇒ Phase 4

When the first real copy fills, walk LIVE_ROLLOUT Phase 4 and report every link: order id → fills ledger row → position visible in the Polymarket UI (the DEPOSIT WALLET 0x455e252e45Ee46d6C4cc1c8fAdD3899d68f245a1, not the legacy proxy) → /live feed row → cash math → Polygonscan. Liveness until then = flyctl logs -a wwf-copybot-live + feed freshness (still NO watchdog on the live app).

Known small offsets (do NOT fix while the bot runs — gotcha 15)

• Book cash $25.00 vs chain pUSD $24.49: fixed $0.51 offset (config bankroll $25 vs $24.73 deposited, + the probe's 23.7¢ round trip which correctly bypassed the book). Below the $1 CASH≠CHAIN alarm. Fold into the state at the next natural machine-stop surgery if desired.
• The probe's trade is deliberately absent from the fills ledger/feed.

System state (2026-07-10 05:10Z)

• Live bot (wwf-copybot-live, poll 60s, arn): ARMED, $24.49 pUSD, caps $5/trade · $25/day · $30 exposure — NEVER raise without the user. Disarm: flyctl secrets unset LIVE_CONFIRM or flyctl apps stop.
• Paper bot (wwf-copybot, push mode): Set E, $1,000 book of 2026-07-08 — Day 1½ realized +$1,107.57 (36 copies) at rev-4 time; check the dashboard for current.
• Set E both books: LSB1, imwalkinghere, Kruto2027, 0xbadaf319, gkmgkldfmg, AIcAIc, 1kto1m (watch list & demotion candidates in rev 4 / FINDINGS).
• Dashboards: jaxperro.com/trading (paper), jaxperro.com/live (real).
• Ops utilities (all need the box's env): host/wrap_via_bridge.py (bankroll conversion — done, idempotent), host/order_probe_v2.py ($5 round-trip probe; now polls the indexer and self-revokes its builder key), host/flatten_positions.py (market-sell everything — the emergency exit).

New-stack facts a future session must not relearn (also gotcha 16)

• py-clob-client: ARCHIVED. Reads OK, placement dead everywhere.
• polymarket-client (SecureClient): placement, gasless execute_transaction, get_balance_allowance (.balance int base units). create() is ready-to-use; with only closes transports.
• Protected prices (max_price/min_price) raise outside [tick, 1−tick]; we clamp to [0.01, 0.99] before calling.
• Builder API keys: revocable ONLY via their own secret (HMAC DELETE) — always atexit-revoke in-process keys. 9 inert ones from bring-up sit on the account; only the UI (settings→builder) can clear them. Runtime bot needs NO key (approvals persist on-chain).
• Bridge: POST /deposit {address} → per-wallet EVM address (ours: 0x66C1A4b43824CB0DDa54c94F118fc868A6270b91, pinned in wrap_via_bridge.py); Polygon native USDC accepted ($2 min); delivery is pUSD directly; /status/{bridge_addr} tracks; /quote previews.

Queued work (unchanged priorities)

1. ETHERSCAN_MIGRATION.md phases 0→5.
2. Empirical fill model from book snapshots; depth gate before sizing up.
3. Funding-cluster tracer port to Etherscan logs.
4. Live-app watchdog (poll mode has no /health).
5. Decide the leftover $32 on polymarket.us (withdraw or abandon).
6. preflight_live.py still validates the ARCHIVED stack — port or retire.

User to-dos (security/hygiene)

• Revoke the polymarket.us API key f03d9eb5… (leaked in a screenshot) if not already done.
• Rotate the Discord webhook committed pre-2026-07-09 (spam risk only).
• Optional: clear the 9 inert builder keys at polymarket.com/settings?tab=builder.

Operational quick-reference

• Follow-set change: edit live/copybot.paper.json → ./live/deploy_bot.sh; keep backtest.json mirrored.
• State surgery: flyctl machine stop FIRST → edit → push → restart → VERIFY first heartbeat (gotcha 15).
• Never 2 Fly machines per app (flyctl scale count 1).
• Bot commits its own state — git pull --rebase --autostash before pushing.
• Image changes (fly.Dockerfile, host/) → flyctl deploy --remote-only -c fly.live.toml -a wwf-copybot-live; code/config → push + flyctl apps restart (a deploy also wipes /tmp clones on the box).
• Box one-offs: flyctl ssh console -a wwf-copybot-live -C "bash -c '…'"; clone to /tmp with the box's GITHUB_TOKEN; run python with -u.