winning-wallet-finder/PolymarketDocumentation-main/docs/advanced/neg-risk.md

Documentation Index

Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.polymarket.com/llms.txt Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

Negative Risk Markets

Capital-efficient trading for multi-outcome events

Negative risk is a mechanism for multi-outcome events where only one outcome can win. It enables capital-efficient trading by allowing positions across all outcomes within an event to be related through a conversion operation.

How It Works

In a standard multi-outcome event, each market is independent. If you want to bet against one outcome, you must buy that outcome's No tokens—but those No tokens have no relationship to the other outcomes.

Negative risk changes this. In a neg risk event:

• A No share in any market can be converted into 1 Yes share in every other market
• This conversion happens through the Neg Risk Adapter contract

Example

Consider an event: "Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?" with three outcomes:

Outcome	Your Position
Trump	—
Harris	—
Other	1 No

With negative risk, that 1 No on "Other" can be converted into:

Outcome	After Conversion
Trump	1 Yes
Harris	1 Yes
Other	—

This is capital-efficient because betting against one outcome is economically equivalent to betting for all other outcomes.

Identifying Neg Risk Markets

The Gamma API includes a negRisk boolean on events and markets:

{
  "id": "123",
  "title": "Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?",
  "negRisk": true,
  "markets": [...]
}

When placing orders on neg risk markets, you must specify this in your order options:

const response = await client.createAndPostOrder(
  {
    tokenID: "TOKEN_ID",
    price: 0.5,
    size: 100,
    side: Side.BUY,
  },
  {
    tickSize: "0.01",
    negRisk: true, // Required for neg risk markets
  },
);

Contract Addresses

Neg risk markets use different contracts than standard markets:

See Contracts for the Neg Risk Adapter and Neg Risk CTF Exchange addresses.

Augmented Negative Risk

Standard negative risk requires the complete set of outcomes to be known at market creation. But sometimes new outcomes emerge after trading begins (e.g., a new candidate enters a race).

Augmented negative risk solves this with:

Outcome Type	Description
Named outcomes	Known outcomes (e.g., "Trump", "Harris")
Placeholder outcomes	Reserved slots that can be clarified later (e.g., "Person A")
Explicit Other	Catches any outcome not explicitly named

How Placeholders Work

1. Event launches with named outcomes + placeholders + "Other"
2. When a new outcome emerges, a placeholder is clarified via the bulletin board
3. The "Other" definition narrows as placeholders are assigned

Trading Rules for Augmented Neg Risk

Only trade on **named outcomes**. Placeholder outcomes should be ignored until they are named or until resolution occurs. The Polymarket UI does not display unnamed outcomes.

• If the correct outcome at resolution is not named, the market resolves to "Other"
• The "Other" outcome's definition changes as placeholders are clarified—avoid trading it directly

Identifying Augmented Neg Risk

An event is augmented neg risk when both flags are true:

{
  "enableNegRisk": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": true
}

The Gamma API includes a boolean field `negRisk` on events and markets, which indicates whether the event uses negative risk. For augmented neg risk events, an additional `enableNegRisk` field is also `true`. When placing orders, the SDK option is always `negRisk: true` / `neg_risk: True` regardless of whether the market is standard or augmented neg risk.

Technical Details

Conversion Mechanics

The conversion operation is atomic and happens through the Neg Risk Adapter:

1. You hold 1 No token for Outcome A
2. Call the convert function on the adapter
3. You receive 1 Yes token for every other outcome in the event

Resources

• Neg Risk Adapter Source Code
• Gamma API Documentation

Next Steps

Understand how multi-market events are structured. Learn about token operations like split, merge, and redeem.