jaxperro
09e511cc2e
The replay selected trusted conviction bets + sold round-trips + chain settlement, but abandoned losers (bets held to a decided outcome, never redeemed — /positions at curPrice 0, not in /closed-positions, not trusted rows on operator-resolved markets) fell out entirely, reading optimistic. resolved_unredeemed() now pulls them; window_bets folds in the in-window, conviction-size ones at their decided outcome (loser pays 0). Same anti- survivorship correction as the sharps table's _open_split. Impact on the follow-set 30d backtest is ~0 ($16,255->$16,260): those 8 wallets are clean, AND abandoned-loser survivorship is an all-time ACCUMULATION (oliman2: 1123 losers lifetime, only 2 in any 30d window), so a 30d period metric structurally can't surface much of it. The fix guarantees no in-window loss is dropped and keeps the backtest consistent with the all-time sharps view where survivorship actually lives. Verified the fold-in fires (oliman2's 2 in-window conviction losers identified). Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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11 KiB
JSON
1 line
11 KiB
JSON
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