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winning-wallet-finder/live/tape_sharps.json
T
jaxperro 008b3138cc tape research: first sharp screen over the RTDS firehose (#2) 
live/tape_sharps.py — insider.py's improbability z transplanted onto the
3-day tape (13.8M fills, ALL wallets, no survivorship bias): proxy-resolve
tokens from terminal-VWAP convergence (0.97/0.03, 2h quiet, sibling veto),
net held positions per wallet-token, z = (W - Σp)/sqrt(Σp(1-p)) over
proxy-resolved held bets, then payouts.py chain-truth overlay on the
shortlist (refunds count as neither). Copyable/algo split: discrete-entry
conviction bettors (<= 6 fills/bet, <= 90 bets, med >= $50) vs continuous
flow accounts that score huge but can't be mirrored at 3-17s lag.

First run (tape through 2026-07-20 16:59): 2,360 wallets screened, 561
score z >= 2 with pnl > 0, 25 copyable candidates at z 4.0-5.5 — chain
validation 742 payout vectors, ZERO proxy flips. Benchmark sanity: benched
sharps (LSB1 +3.28, EdwardIN +2.38) land positive, benched losers negative.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-20 15:36:01 -04:00

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{
"tape_end": 1784566799.0,
"params": {
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"win_t": 0.97,
"lose_t": 0.03,
"quiet_h": 2,
"min_net_sh": 5.0,
"min_net_usd": 20.0,
"p_band": [
0.05,
0.95
]
},
"candidates": [
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