#!/bin/bash # Daily skilled-wallet refresh, cache-backed: # 1) discover — enumerate traders of markets resolved in the last ~14 days, # merged into the accumulating candidate pool # 2) freshen — force a re-pull of the current watchlists (skilled + sharps, # for forward tracking), then top up the cache (collect re-pulls # only new + >14d-stale wallets, so it's cheap after the first run) # 3) re-score — the 5-gate skill funnel, instant from cache -> watch_skilled.json # 4) sharps — conviction-profile scan + last-minute timing gate -> # conviction_wallets.json + watch_sharps.json (the set the live # trading dashboard reads via raw.githubusercontent) # 5) floors — pin the live paper bot's per-wallet p80 conviction floors # (trusted-cache p80, same as the backtest) into # copybot.paper.json, so the bot and the backtest gate on the # SAME threshold and boots are deterministic (no per-boot # data-api drift). Committed in the publish step. # 6) dashboard — regenerate + snapshot for auditable forward history # 7) publish — commit + push the refreshed outputs so the live dashboard # (jaxperro.com/trading) picks up the new sharp list # # Schedule with launchd/cron (Mac must be awake). Logs to daily.log. set -u # Run from a private copy so editing this file mid-run can't shift bash's read # offset (the 2026-07-06 crash: a commit during step 2 made bash resume mid-word # and die on a phantom syntax error). DAILY_SRC keeps paths anchored here. if [ -z "${DAILY_COPY:-}" ]; then DAILY_SRC="$(cd "$(dirname "$0")" && pwd)" DAILY_COPY="$(mktemp "${TMPDIR:-/tmp}/daily.sh.XXXXXX")" cp "$0" "$DAILY_COPY" export DAILY_SRC DAILY_COPY exec /bin/bash "$DAILY_COPY" "$@" fi trap 'rm -f "$DAILY_COPY"' EXIT cd "$DAILY_SRC" # heads-up ping so the run's start is visible in Discord (digest comes at the end) python3 discord_daily.py --ping "🔄 Daily pipeline started $(date '+%H:%M') — refreshing the bet cache (takes a while); sharp digest lands when it finishes." || true echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 1/6 discover (enumerate last 14d)" python3 enumerate.py 14 echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 2/6 freshen cache (watchlists forced + new wallets)" python3 -c "import json,os,cache wl=[] for f in ('watch_skilled.json','watch_sharps.json'): if os.path.exists(f): wl += [w['wallet'] for w in json.load(open(f))] if wl: cache.invalidate(wl)" 2>/dev/null || true python3 collect.py echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 3/6 re-score skilled (cache-backed, instant)" python3 skill.py echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 4/7 sharps: conviction scan + last-minute timing gate" python3 conviction_scan.py python3 validate_timing.py echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 5/7 floors: pin copy-bot p80 conviction floors -> copybot.paper.json" python3 sync_floors.py || echo "[daily] floor sync skipped" echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') portfolio: cache-based \$1k book -> portfolio.json" python3 portfolio.py || echo "[daily] portfolio skipped" echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') calibration: live-book vs model, one row/day" # The number that sizes real money (FINDINGS "The calibration experiment"): # the measured ratio between the live paper book and the backtest of the SAME # set. Live side from the bot-committed feed on GitHub (freshest truth; the # local checkout can lag), model side from the portfolio.json just written. python3 - <<'CALIB' || echo "[daily] calibration row skipped" import csv, json, os, ssl, time, urllib.request ctx = ssl._create_unverified_context() live = json.load(urllib.request.urlopen( "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/jaxperro/winning-wallet-finder/main/live/copybot_live.json", timeout=30, context=ctx)) model = json.load(open("portfolio.json")) row = { "date": time.strftime("%F"), "live_equity": round((live.get("cash") or 0) + (live.get("deployed") or 0) + (live.get("reserve") or 0), 2), "live_realized": live.get("realized"), "live_open": live.get("open_count"), "live_drift": live.get("ledger_drift"), "model_equity": model.get("equity"), "model_realized": model.get("realized"), "model_bank": model.get("bank"), "wallets": ",".join(live.get("wallets") or []), } os.makedirs("history", exist_ok=True) path = "history/calibration.csv" new = not os.path.exists(path) with open(path, "a", newline="") as fh: w = csv.DictWriter(fh, fieldnames=list(row)) if new: w.writeheader() w.writerow(row) print(f"[daily] calibration: live ${row['live_equity']:,} vs model " f"${row['model_equity']:,} -> {path}") CALIB echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 6/7 dashboard" python3 dashboard.py mkdir -p history && cp watch_skilled.json "history/watch_$(date '+%Y%m%d').json" 2>/dev/null echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 7/7 publish (commit + push refreshed outputs)" PUBLISH="no changes" git add watch_skilled.json watch_sharps.json conviction_wallets.json dashboard.html portfolio.json copybot.paper.json 2>/dev/null if git diff --cached --quiet 2>/dev/null; then echo "[daily] no output changes to publish" elif git commit -q -m "live: daily refresh — skilled + sharp wallets [skip ci]"; then # sync first so a diverged remote (e.g. a manual commit) doesn't wedge the # auto-push permanently; abort a conflicting rebase and retry next run. git pull --rebase --autostash -q origin main 2>/dev/null || git rebase --abort 2>/dev/null || true if git push -q origin main; then echo "[daily] pushed refreshed sharp list"; PUBLISH="pushed" else echo "[daily] push failed — committed locally, will retry next run"; PUBLISH="push failed (committed locally)" fi fi echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') done -> watch_sharps.json + dashboard.html" # Discord: the daily sharp-list digest (profile links + 30D conviction stats). # The only Discord output in the system — per-trade pings retired 2026-07-04. # Webhook lives in gitignored ../config.json -> daily_webhook. python3 discord_daily.py "feed: $PUBLISH" || echo "[daily] discord digest failed (non-fatal)"