diff --git a/live/conviction_wallets.json b/live/conviction_wallets.json index c48f7401..5153ad1f 100644 --- a/live/conviction_wallets.json +++ b/live/conviction_wallets.json @@ -33,7 +33,7 @@ "train_win": 100.0, "train_conv_roi": 1.249, "train_z": 9.66, - "z_all": 20.89, + "z_all": 20.92, "med_stake": 9800, "avg_entry": 0.46, "train_n": 79, @@ -45,29 +45,15 @@ "wallet": "0x72e1597864456eda62878413cf3e60c332e4a45d", "name": "0x72e15978", "train_win": 99.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.971, - "train_z": 17.95, + "train_conv_roi": 0.97, + "train_z": 17.92, "z_all": 29.09, - "med_stake": 422, + "med_stake": 424, "avg_entry": 0.52, - "train_n": 337, + "train_n": 336, "fwd_win": 99.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": 1.093, - "fwd_n": 162 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x99292fe5c401a3a2b8df0e65e6e7df0b5ab6919e", - "name": "0x99292fe5", - "train_win": 81.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.848, - "train_z": 9.2, - "z_all": 4.88, - "med_stake": 440, - "avg_entry": 0.45, - "train_n": 155, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "fwd_conv_roi": 1.083, + "fwd_n": 179 }, { "wallet": "0xc78cdeb598f0bb8bae62a80e8134e842b3c44455", @@ -112,15 +98,15 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0x2ba9075a4393227d4f1bee910725a6706de0b078", - "name": "0x2ba9075a", - "train_win": 78.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.67, - "train_z": 7.72, - "z_all": 3.84, - "med_stake": 424, - "avg_entry": 0.47, - "train_n": 148, + "wallet": "0x04be12cdb4f3f0e43bb78c6145f442ed53411aec", + "name": "0x04be12cd", + "train_win": 70.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.644, + "train_z": 5.78, + "z_all": 5.39, + "med_stake": 502, + "avg_entry": 0.42, + "train_n": 97, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -128,27 +114,27 @@ { "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", "name": "0xe8ca3f75", - "train_win": 71.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.641, - "train_z": 8.42, - "z_all": 19.34, - "med_stake": 311, + "train_win": 71.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.642, + "train_z": 8.46, + "z_all": 19.33, + "med_stake": 308, "avg_entry": 0.47, - "train_n": 258, - "fwd_win": 77.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.494, - "fwd_n": 58 + "train_n": 259, + "fwd_win": 77.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.457, + "fwd_n": 61 }, { - "wallet": "0x04be12cdb4f3f0e43bb78c6145f442ed53411aec", - "name": "0x04be12cd", - "train_win": 68.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.618, - "train_z": 7.18, - "z_all": 6.8, - "med_stake": 489, - "avg_entry": 0.42, - "train_n": 166, + "wallet": "0x99292fe5c401a3a2b8df0e65e6e7df0b5ab6919e", + "name": "0x99292fe5", + "train_win": 73.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.628, + "train_z": 4.19, + "z_all": 2.78, + "med_stake": 424, + "avg_entry": 0.45, + "train_n": 56, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -167,6 +153,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.759, "fwd_n": 60 }, + { + "wallet": "0x204b6d506d0b63acd5f4a2e2f2a2e458e8f44605", + "name": "0x204b6d50", + "train_win": 67.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.61, + "train_z": 2.95, + "z_all": 4.78, + "med_stake": 1045, + "avg_entry": 0.42, + "train_n": 31, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x1b1879b8c069a92b3cb32659a879cf02721670da", "name": "0x1b1879b8", @@ -237,6 +237,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x2ba9075a4393227d4f1bee910725a6706de0b078", + "name": "0x2ba9075a", + "train_win": 69.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.509, + "train_z": 3.49, + "z_all": 2.37, + "med_stake": 412, + "avg_entry": 0.46, + "train_n": 53, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x9def39cb6f7f37a9bdd91c444e4c200778576eac", "name": "0x9def39cb", @@ -251,13 +265,55 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.028, "fwd_n": 169 }, + { + "wallet": "0x065aa0dc7aaa2577928b6865db0edf564ebda6b1", + "name": "0x065aa0dc", + "train_win": 92.3, + "train_conv_roi": 0.468, + "train_z": 2.23, + "z_all": 2.31, + "med_stake": 56, + "avg_entry": 0.63, + "train_n": 13, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 1 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x6d2292935570e3fad05b392d49e60699c1024b50", + "name": "0x6d229293", + "train_win": 80.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.458, + "train_z": 2.78, + "z_all": 4.68, + "med_stake": 3060, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 41, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 2 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "train_win": 76.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.455, + "train_z": 3.54, + "z_all": 4.67, + "med_stake": 68, + "avg_entry": 0.6, + "train_n": 81, + "fwd_win": 76.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.118, + "fwd_n": 164 + }, { "wallet": "0x8e9eedf20dfa70956d49f608a205e402d9df38e4", "name": "0x8e9eedf2", "train_win": 70.8, "train_conv_roi": 0.439, "train_z": 4.94, - "z_all": 13.34, + "z_all": 13.24, "med_stake": 3505, "avg_entry": 0.62, "train_n": 346, @@ -265,6 +321,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.045, "fwd_n": 59 }, + { + "wallet": "0x88ad3166c6cce6a1bf732050749089273252a1f3", + "name": "0x88ad3166", + "train_win": 74.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.432, + "train_z": 4.24, + "z_all": 4.87, + "med_stake": 55, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 183, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0xdf1ea9bb646c07f0c3d5cf08d34d76f891095d9b", "name": "0xdf1ea9bb", @@ -279,20 +349,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 1 }, - { - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "name": "0xbadaf319", - "train_win": 75.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.416, - "train_z": 3.23, - "z_all": 4.54, - "med_stake": 68, - "avg_entry": 0.6, - "train_n": 80, - "fwd_win": 76.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.124, - "fwd_n": 156 - }, { "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "name": "0x921433c9", @@ -303,37 +359,51 @@ "med_stake": 171, "avg_entry": 0.52, "train_n": 34, - "fwd_win": 63.9, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.12, - "fwd_n": 183 + "fwd_win": 63.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.121, + "fwd_n": 189 }, { - "wallet": "0x6d2292935570e3fad05b392d49e60699c1024b50", - "name": "0x6d229293", - "train_win": 77.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.401, - "train_z": 2.57, - "z_all": 4.32, - "med_stake": 3071, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 49, - "fwd_win": 66.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.018, - "fwd_n": 3 + "wallet": "0xbf1040ad7009ed6532f885c2043630d1cedf15ce", + "name": "0xbf1040ad", + "train_win": 70.3, + "train_conv_roi": 0.406, + "train_z": 9.68, + "z_all": 8.99, + "med_stake": 75, + "avg_entry": 0.47, + "train_n": 411, + "fwd_win": 70.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.143, + "fwd_n": 10 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xb6eb1910b70fd1c2a61e5078a6472953ad038f6b", + "name": "0xb6eb1910", + "train_win": 65.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.391, + "train_z": 1.85, + "z_all": 3.5, + "med_stake": 64, + "avg_entry": 0.48, + "train_n": 26, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0xe542afd3881c4c330ba0ebbb603bb470b2ba0a37", "name": "0xe542afd3", "train_win": 68.2, "train_conv_roi": 0.378, - "train_z": 7.99, - "z_all": 14.42, + "train_z": 7.98, + "z_all": 14.51, "med_stake": 838, "avg_entry": 0.53, - "train_n": 485, - "fwd_win": 62.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.221, - "fwd_n": 107 + "train_n": 484, + "fwd_win": 63.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.252, + "fwd_n": 109 }, { "wallet": "0x82d2e4dbb0a849ff8e2f5380719769145648beea", @@ -349,20 +419,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.198, "fwd_n": 162 }, - { - "wallet": "0x88ad3166c6cce6a1bf732050749089273252a1f3", - "name": "0x88ad3166", - "train_win": 71.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.353, - "train_z": 5.2, - "z_all": 5.18, - "med_stake": 58, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 315, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", "name": "0xd96750bf", @@ -373,9 +429,9 @@ "med_stake": 138, "avg_entry": 0.56, "train_n": 72, - "fwd_win": 71.8, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.247, - "fwd_n": 202 + "fwd_win": 71.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.241, + "fwd_n": 203 }, { "wallet": "0xc0b646c3d97e2e86a1bceaa880ad2f628eb33a92", @@ -397,7 +453,7 @@ "train_win": 78.9, "train_conv_roi": 0.309, "train_z": 2.36, - "z_all": 4.04, + "z_all": 4.0, "med_stake": 108, "avg_entry": 0.73, "train_n": 152, @@ -436,16 +492,44 @@ { "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "0x215adbb6", - "train_win": 71.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.291, - "train_z": 5.84, - "z_all": 4.89, - "med_stake": 389, + "train_win": 71.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.298, + "train_z": 5.78, + "z_all": 4.84, + "med_stake": 392, "avg_entry": 0.57, - "train_n": 305, - "fwd_win": 61.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.195, - "fwd_n": 248 + "train_n": 299, + "fwd_win": 56.6, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.34, + "fwd_n": 274 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xfa0be712f974eb9933427c2202d1ae2561571001", + "name": "0xfa0be712", + "train_win": 75.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.288, + "train_z": 2.17, + "z_all": 4.86, + "med_stake": 301, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 45, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x8c44dcfe1178aa04dfa44e000f5b89a054027baf", + "name": "0x8c44dcfe", + "train_win": 79.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.286, + "train_z": 2.75, + "z_all": 6.68, + "med_stake": 128, + "avg_entry": 0.64, + "train_n": 64, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0x460d15ce9258fb8ce6a94d984574598d2f1c9d5f", @@ -467,24 +551,24 @@ "train_win": 82.2, "train_conv_roi": 0.275, "train_z": 3.88, - "z_all": 3.58, + "z_all": 3.49, "med_stake": 60, "avg_entry": 0.65, "train_n": 90, - "fwd_win": 75.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.118, - "fwd_n": 262 + "fwd_win": 75.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.122, + "fwd_n": 259 }, { "wallet": "0xd6a21015449cb457cc62c4398eadd9e5b3911228", "name": "0xd6a21015", - "train_win": 89.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.264, - "train_z": 3.0, - "z_all": 2.09, - "med_stake": 131, - "avg_entry": 0.72, - "train_n": 47, + "train_win": 88.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.273, + "train_z": 2.98, + "z_all": 2.12, + "med_stake": 132, + "avg_entry": 0.71, + "train_n": 45, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -492,30 +576,16 @@ { "wallet": "0x098eddabb2d388f31e79aaf525e49588f22a6fa2", "name": "0x098eddab", - "train_win": 81.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.251, - "train_z": 4.02, - "z_all": 3.91, - "med_stake": 221, - "avg_entry": 0.67, - "train_n": 114, - "fwd_win": 72.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.125, - "fwd_n": 50 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xa5427f80816486ad3e4c80aad9711f87b8b5172c", - "name": "0xa5427f80", "train_win": 82.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.251, - "train_z": 4.93, - "z_all": 2.55, - "med_stake": 131, - "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 158, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "train_conv_roi": 0.259, + "train_z": 4.03, + "z_all": 4.06, + "med_stake": 221, + "avg_entry": 0.68, + "train_n": 113, + "fwd_win": 73.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.124, + "fwd_n": 52 }, { "wallet": "0xed37e7316f6b1b99da8893e0c09cfe0bf1b62f93", @@ -532,29 +602,43 @@ "fwd_n": 17 }, { - "wallet": "0x8c44dcfe1178aa04dfa44e000f5b89a054027baf", - "name": "0x8c44dcfe", - "train_win": 77.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.245, + "wallet": "0xfdf2da3ea2c095d8f91aa24256bd862006e1225e", + "name": "0xfdf2da3e", + "train_win": 68.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.241, "train_z": 2.91, - "z_all": 6.71, - "med_stake": 121, - "avg_entry": 0.64, - "train_n": 106, + "z_all": 2.1, + "med_stake": 194, + "avg_entry": 0.54, + "train_n": 76, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0xfa0be712f974eb9933427c2202d1ae2561571001", - "name": "0xfa0be712", - "train_win": 71.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.231, - "train_z": 2.84, - "z_all": 5.16, - "med_stake": 306, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 105, + "wallet": "0x93164f2f061f931cd4d549834d657bb342ffc00c", + "name": "0x93164f2f", + "train_win": 69.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.234, + "train_z": 3.58, + "z_all": 2.61, + "med_stake": 100, + "avg_entry": 0.56, + "train_n": 165, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xf82addf4684c494dff04d634bed736d5039f237f", + "name": "0xf82addf4", + "train_win": 70.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.225, + "train_z": 3.25, + "z_all": 5.15, + "med_stake": 78, + "avg_entry": 0.56, + "train_n": 117, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -562,13 +646,13 @@ { "wallet": "0x1f2ea878eece1493f887f6ad99fd41cbe68a1730", "name": "0x1f2ea878", - "train_win": 84.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.229, - "train_z": 7.65, - "z_all": 3.36, - "med_stake": 111, + "train_win": 85.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.225, + "train_z": 6.72, + "z_all": 2.5, + "med_stake": 112, "avg_entry": 0.69, - "train_n": 392, + "train_n": 293, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -601,6 +685,34 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", + "name": "0xd7d36345", + "train_win": 71.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.21, + "train_z": 2.24, + "z_all": 2.05, + "med_stake": 293, + "avg_entry": 0.59, + "train_n": 64, + "fwd_win": 61.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.14, + "fwd_n": 191 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x63fd80f1f506134d4787a7519877d0515c205c9c", + "name": "0x63fd80f1", + "train_win": 68.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.21, + "train_z": 1.8, + "z_all": 3.61, + "med_stake": 100, + "avg_entry": 0.56, + "train_n": 44, + "fwd_win": 55.6, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.18, + "fwd_n": 18 + }, { "wallet": "0x1cff72c8dddc30a64486fda6eab71ab5f9243984", "name": "0x1cff72c8", @@ -632,44 +744,30 @@ { "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "0x41558102", - "train_win": 85.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.199, - "train_z": 4.98, - "z_all": 12.4, - "med_stake": 339, + "train_win": 85.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.197, + "train_z": 4.93, + "z_all": 12.32, + "med_stake": 342, "avg_entry": 0.75, - "train_n": 308, + "train_n": 302, "fwd_win": 90.2, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.173, "fwd_n": 245 }, { - "wallet": "0xfdf2da3ea2c095d8f91aa24256bd862006e1225e", - "name": "0xfdf2da3e", - "train_win": 66.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.192, - "train_z": 3.43, - "z_all": 2.51, - "med_stake": 188, - "avg_entry": 0.54, - "train_n": 127, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", - "name": "0xd7d36345", - "train_win": 70.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.192, - "train_z": 1.94, - "z_all": 2.05, - "med_stake": 300, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 58, - "fwd_win": 60.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.133, - "fwd_n": 147 + "wallet": "0xa2e5927b38c42d1fdd6c05d70492c3f4208fc8d1", + "name": "0xa2e5927b", + "train_win": 70.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.193, + "train_z": 1.78, + "z_all": 2.29, + "med_stake": 85, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 44, + "fwd_win": 51.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.078, + "fwd_n": 29 }, { "wallet": "0x3eff118d4bc1742903d9516edf2e3c991600ae12", @@ -695,9 +793,9 @@ "med_stake": 488, "avg_entry": 0.66, "train_n": 139, - "fwd_win": 74.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.251, - "fwd_n": 154 + "fwd_win": 74.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.243, + "fwd_n": 156 }, { "wallet": "0x98a5dfa64a24be313adebf9a2c052411f04fd074", @@ -727,20 +825,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.051, "fwd_n": 61 }, - { - "wallet": "0xc2d9576f67db505cf2e74a9c82b8be2b09f81ef4", - "name": "0xc2d9576f", - "train_win": 67.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.171, - "train_z": 4.65, - "z_all": 2.43, - "med_stake": 200, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 365, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 1 - }, { "wallet": "0xa6a67037b21956e7fbec5bc7e27a076276088651", "name": "0xa6a67037", @@ -769,6 +853,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x13464aabec792c36b062316f474713e681330448", + "name": "0x13464aab", + "train_win": 70.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.155, + "train_z": 3.88, + "z_all": 8.31, + "med_stake": 167, + "avg_entry": 0.62, + "train_n": 346, + "fwd_win": 66.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.194, + "fwd_n": 104 + }, { "wallet": "0x46b2f8a865a3572a435813e747e22cce0e835977", "name": "0x46b2f8a8", @@ -783,27 +881,13 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x13464aabec792c36b062316f474713e681330448", - "name": "0x13464aab", - "train_win": 69.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.148, - "train_z": 3.75, - "z_all": 8.32, - "med_stake": 167, - "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 348, - "fwd_win": 67.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.202, - "fwd_n": 100 - }, { "wallet": "0x1aeebd7b0eb92037a630004f8eabc0759c36c139", "name": "0x1aeebd7b", "train_win": 79.3, "train_conv_roi": 0.148, "train_z": 2.76, - "z_all": 2.11, + "z_all": 2.15, "med_stake": 4423, "avg_entry": 0.68, "train_n": 87, @@ -811,6 +895,34 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.063, "fwd_n": 23 }, + { + "wallet": "0x13659c6a1aacd0e3bcb022e06261fff367f6c82a", + "name": "0x13659c6a", + "train_win": 70.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.137, + "train_z": 2.25, + "z_all": 2.18, + "med_stake": 1689, + "avg_entry": 0.62, + "train_n": 162, + "fwd_win": 62.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.005, + "fwd_n": 161 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xed61f86bb5298d2f27c21c433ce58d80b88a9aa3", + "name": "0xed61f86b", + "train_win": 73.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.137, + "train_z": 3.04, + "z_all": 10.28, + "med_stake": 1305, + "avg_entry": 0.66, + "train_n": 305, + "fwd_win": 85.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.156, + "fwd_n": 21 + }, { "wallet": "0x3ab5ad27c676c4be1218397912eab5396e6de56f", "name": "0x3ab5ad27", @@ -840,46 +952,32 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0xed61f86bb5298d2f27c21c433ce58d80b88a9aa3", - "name": "0xed61f86b", - "train_win": 77.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.13, - "train_z": 2.29, - "z_all": 7.72, - "med_stake": 1190, - "avg_entry": 0.7, - "train_n": 184, + "wallet": "0x83d9c8fe37f1b5141f3219219403d87f4513651b", + "name": "0x83d9c8fe", + "train_win": 71.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.132, + "train_z": 2.19, + "z_all": 2.14, + "med_stake": 2245, + "avg_entry": 0.66, + "train_n": 174, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "fwd_n": 1 }, { - "wallet": "0x7ccec29637829abd9e5d6f2cb68d4225c8fa8713", - "name": "0x7ccec296", - "train_win": 73.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.13, - "train_z": 2.1, - "z_all": 2.52, - "med_stake": 774, - "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 71, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xb8f6c79e452d7247d0cf47d16eaf7911953c4f7f", - "name": "0xb8f6c79e", - "train_win": 68.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.126, - "train_z": 2.51, - "z_all": 3.45, - "med_stake": 67, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 345, - "fwd_win": 83.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, - "fwd_n": 136 + "wallet": "0x23f544a1f92150f25ebafae0e40f5db448b37a6e", + "name": "0x23f544a1", + "train_win": 71.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.128, + "train_z": 2.43, + "z_all": 2.24, + "med_stake": 471, + "avg_entry": 0.64, + "train_n": 198, + "fwd_win": 78.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.061, + "fwd_n": 95 }, { "wallet": "0xc52fead8edac49825f5c52aff6e63cd331980981", @@ -895,6 +993,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.025, "fwd_n": 123 }, + { + "wallet": "0xb8f6c79e452d7247d0cf47d16eaf7911953c4f7f", + "name": "0xb8f6c79e", + "train_win": 68.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.124, + "train_z": 2.45, + "z_all": 3.37, + "med_stake": 68, + "avg_entry": 0.63, + "train_n": 344, + "fwd_win": 83.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.118, + "fwd_n": 138 + }, { "wallet": "0xe74b89a7c41f37460a977a542488429bbe09ee88", "name": "0xe74b89a7", @@ -909,20 +1021,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.123, "fwd_n": 53 }, - { - "wallet": "0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1", - "name": "0xa9aca75f", - "train_win": 66.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.119, - "train_z": 2.92, - "z_all": 2.81, - "med_stake": 1410, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 255, - "fwd_win": 63.8, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.281, - "fwd_n": 163 - }, { "wallet": "0x9c5ee2dbc061988546414f0ef376c430c56287da", "name": "0x9c5ee2db", @@ -951,16 +1049,30 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.023, "fwd_n": 204 }, + { + "wallet": "0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1", + "name": "0xa9aca75f", + "train_win": 65.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.114, + "train_z": 2.77, + "z_all": 2.67, + "med_stake": 1410, + "avg_entry": 0.59, + "train_n": 255, + "fwd_win": 63.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.271, + "fwd_n": 166 + }, { "wallet": "0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1", "name": "0x8f692690", - "train_win": 76.8, + "train_win": 76.9, "train_conv_roi": 0.114, - "train_z": 2.41, - "z_all": 3.05, + "train_z": 2.43, + "z_all": 2.9, "med_stake": 6664, "avg_entry": 0.7, - "train_n": 224, + "train_n": 225, "fwd_win": 59.4, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.036, "fwd_n": 64 @@ -975,23 +1087,23 @@ "med_stake": 1690, "avg_entry": 0.69, "train_n": 313, - "fwd_win": 69.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.089, - "fwd_n": 132 + "fwd_win": 70.6, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.104, + "fwd_n": 136 }, { - "wallet": "0x23f544a1f92150f25ebafae0e40f5db448b37a6e", - "name": "0x23f544a1", - "train_win": 71.4, + "wallet": "0xc308447bc9ef6e72018a3f3914005bd24c207b09", + "name": "0xc308447b", + "train_win": 75.1, "train_conv_roi": 0.112, - "train_z": 2.46, - "z_all": 2.11, - "med_stake": 466, - "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 248, - "fwd_win": 78.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.065, - "fwd_n": 98 + "train_z": 2.52, + "z_all": 5.24, + "med_stake": 150, + "avg_entry": 0.68, + "train_n": 189, + "fwd_win": 55.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.186, + "fwd_n": 43 }, { "wallet": "0x8fe9f78102c6f550b6bb88ba695e45917df2c6dc", @@ -1010,16 +1122,16 @@ { "wallet": "0xab417c0bacc9fe17368d5d662c957f54a1fcc453", "name": "0xab417c0b", - "train_win": 70.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.106, - "train_z": 3.28, - "z_all": 2.23, - "med_stake": 222, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 386, - "fwd_win": 64.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.123, - "fwd_n": 223 + "train_win": 70.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.107, + "train_z": 3.21, + "z_all": 2.24, + "med_stake": 223, + "avg_entry": 0.62, + "train_n": 380, + "fwd_win": 64.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.12, + "fwd_n": 222 }, { "wallet": "0x46505242a39685d82de798a83da3f4a6fda0f3f0", @@ -1063,6 +1175,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.028, "fwd_n": 296 }, + { + "wallet": "0xfb129bebeda3b049b984ef1965cf69d9806cd1b3", + "name": "0xfb129beb", + "train_win": 65.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.097, + "train_z": 2.4, + "z_all": 2.27, + "med_stake": 100, + "avg_entry": 0.57, + "train_n": 129, + "fwd_win": 56.2, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.137, + "fwd_n": 146 + }, { "wallet": "0x536be02af900fe046fa708c8059c04f737a2cee3", "name": "0x536be02a", @@ -1077,69 +1203,69 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x7ccec29637829abd9e5d6f2cb68d4225c8fa8713", + "name": "0x7ccec296", + "train_win": 70.3, + "train_conv_roi": 0.083, + "train_z": 2.09, + "z_all": 2.62, + "med_stake": 775, + "avg_entry": 0.6, + "train_n": 91, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0xe0a2f29b1fadb2259111bbeca392d3805ec4a349", "name": "0xe0a2f29b", "train_win": 66.1, "train_conv_roi": 0.082, "train_z": 1.93, - "z_all": 3.4, + "z_all": 3.41, "med_stake": 622, "avg_entry": 0.6, "train_n": 180, - "fwd_win": 61.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.087, - "fwd_n": 57 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x3a847382ad6fff9be1db4e073fd9b869f6884d44", - "name": "0x3a847382", - "train_win": 69.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.075, - "train_z": 3.67, - "z_all": 2.28, - "med_stake": 694, - "avg_entry": 0.6, - "train_n": 294, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x94f471f68396ff4a3cab8cb5c47c86274b8b77a2", - "name": "0x94f471f6", - "train_win": 68.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.075, - "train_z": 1.93, - "z_all": 2.05, - "med_stake": 662, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 290, - "fwd_win": 65.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.036, - "fwd_n": 83 + "fwd_win": 60.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.093, + "fwd_n": 56 }, { "wallet": "0xa85ce6075994cf3e069feeb2ccd9667608533463", "name": "0xa85ce607", - "train_win": 71.5, - "train_conv_roi": 0.053, - "train_z": 3.47, - "z_all": 3.74, - "med_stake": 162, - "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 277, + "train_win": 74.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.077, + "train_z": 3.33, + "z_all": 2.86, + "med_stake": 163, + "avg_entry": 0.65, + "train_n": 195, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x02a40699b5893d160ac1ae719c0700fb95ca6854", + "name": "0x02a40699", + "train_win": 66.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.065, + "train_z": 2.55, + "z_all": 3.96, + "med_stake": 131, + "avg_entry": 0.6, + "train_n": 410, + "fwd_win": 61.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.057, + "fwd_n": 72 + }, { "wallet": "0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2", "name": "0x809205fb", "train_win": 76.6, "train_conv_roi": 0.053, "train_z": 1.93, - "z_all": 2.99, + "z_all": 3.05, "med_stake": 97, "avg_entry": 0.73, "train_n": 261, @@ -1148,15 +1274,15 @@ "fwd_n": 27 }, { - "wallet": "0xe1a532a9991cc9ce27174b0296d077f824149dad", - "name": "0xe1a532a9", - "train_win": 72.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.032, - "train_z": 3.21, - "z_all": 3.89, - "med_stake": 149, - "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 300, + "wallet": "0xe1d6b51521bd4365769199f392f9818661bd907c", + "name": "0xe1d6b515", + "train_win": 65.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.024, + "train_z": 2.16, + "z_all": 2.21, + "med_stake": 782, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 148, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -1164,16 +1290,16 @@ { "wallet": "0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124", "name": "0x0d42cc5f", - "train_win": 67.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.018, - "train_z": 2.22, - "z_all": 5.8, - "med_stake": 420, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 352, - "fwd_win": 72.9, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.135, - "fwd_n": 59 + "train_win": 68.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.023, + "train_z": 2.35, + "z_all": 6.7, + "med_stake": 446, + "avg_entry": 0.64, + "train_n": 386, + "fwd_win": 71.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, + "fwd_n": 57 }, { "wallet": "0x16abe608bee11347334a2da15b96c185ee8e2f10", @@ -1188,5 +1314,33 @@ "fwd_win": 75.0, "fwd_conv_roi": -0.135, "fwd_n": 4 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x993c072519306017fe9a6b3ee6fa4a02b3056787", + "name": "0x993c0725", + "train_win": 65.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.007, + "train_z": 1.78, + "z_all": 2.09, + "med_stake": 6032, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 93, + "fwd_win": 61.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.062, + "fwd_n": 39 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xe1a532a9991cc9ce27174b0296d077f824149dad", + "name": "0xe1a532a9", + "train_win": 70.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.005, + "train_z": 3.02, + "z_all": 3.56, + "med_stake": 141, + "avg_entry": 0.65, + "train_n": 337, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 } ] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot.paper.json b/live/copybot.paper.json index 26201e06..b5990600 100644 --- a/live/copybot.paper.json +++ b/live/copybot.paper.json @@ -8,37 +8,37 @@ "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "LSB1", "class": "volume", - "floor": 253.88 + "floor": 258.17 }, { "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", "name": "imwalkinghere", "class": "volume", - "floor": 122.43 + "floor": 122.42 }, { "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", "name": "Kruto2027", "class": "volume", - "floor": 127.06 + "floor": 126.84 }, { "wallet": "0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124", "name": "42021", "class": "volume", - "floor": 276.71 + "floor": 276.98 }, { "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "class": "volume", - "floor": 44.51 + "floor": 44.98 }, { "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "class": "volume", - "floor": 215.88 + "floor": 217.57 } ], "follow": { diff --git a/live/dashboard.html b/live/dashboard.html index 4dd8a94b..afd2c434 100644 --- a/live/dashboard.html +++ b/live/dashboard.html @@ -36,13 +36,13 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de .b{color:var(--green)}.s{color:var(--red)}

Skilled Wallets · Polymarket

-

21 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-07-06 14:50

+

46 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-07-08 10:55

-
Validated wallets
21
-
Median z
5.6
-
Median OOS z
4.2
-
Value / longshot
16
-
Favorite-rider
3
+
Validated wallets
46
+
Median z
4.3
+
Median OOS z
3.1
+
Value / longshot
34
+
Favorite-rider
6
@@ -68,7 +68,7 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de

How to read it. z = how far the wallet beat the prices it paid (skill; >3 is strong). OOS z = whether that skill held on held-out bets — the gate that separates real edge from luck. Alpha 0.2–0.4 = share of bets in the underdog value zone where research finds real edge concentrates. Value wallets win by beating longshot/mid prices (the copyable alpha); Favorite-rider wallets post high win rates buying near-certain favorites (real but thin, hard to copy). Click any row for live recent trades. Not financial advice — split-half OOS, forward-track before sizing.