docs: 2026-07-08 full-day sync — alignment audit, Set E, refund harvesters, calibration reset
README: Set E + fresh-book framing in 'system today', /live page in the dashboard row, --bank in the ops table, book-reset procedure row, gotchas 12-15 (three cache cursors, res_t is endDate metadata / price is the sold discriminator / redeemable is resolution truth, refund-harvester archetype, single-writer state-surgery rule). FINDINGS: three new sections — aligning the three books (7/9 cross-check, honest 29.1k->17.4k, Set E selection), the refund harvesters, the calibration experiment (in-sample warning + bank-size ceiling effect). HANDOFF rev 3: fresh pickup with watch-list, rejected-with-evidence list, Phase 2 framing. Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Written 2026-07-07 after the pre-money audit. This document is **self-contained**:
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a session with no prior context (Sonnet/Opus) should be able to execute every
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phase from here + the repo. Read [README.md](README.md) gotchas 1–11 and
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phase from here + the repo. Read [README.md](README.md) gotchas 1–15 and
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[LIVE_TEST.md](LIVE_TEST.md) first. Project memory (`polymarket-resolution-truth`,
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`polymarket-us-expansion`) has deeper background; the repo is authoritative.
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