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valuebot post-mortem: killed on criterion — 1W/993L (0.075x), sub-2¢ edge refuted in the current era; app destroyed

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Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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jaxperro
2026-07-19 14:16:07 -04:00
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# VALUE — the undervalued-market paper bot
**STATUS: CLOSED 2026-07-19 — hypothesis refuted (1W/993L, 0.075x; see PLAN.md post-mortem). App destroyed; files kept as the record.**
A **silo'd** experiment: can systematically buying sub-2¢ Polymarket contracts
beat their price? Research says yes on paper (~1.24x gross); this bot exists
to find out if the fills are real. It shares **no code path, state, app, or