copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

copybot_fills.live.jsonl

@@ -313,3 +313,4 @@
 {"ts": 1784475646.1, "side": "SELL", "token": "107519224001054263439274706964696866987866557807915774909819079291264377299291", "shares": 0.36, "price": 0.44, "fee": 0.0027, "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784475826.4, "side": "SELL", "token": "107519224001054263439274706964696866987866557807915774909819079291264377299291", "shares": 0.06, "price": 0.52, "fee": 0.0004, "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784475834.5, "side": "SELL", "token": "107519224001054263439274706964696866987866557807915774909819079291264377299291", "shares": 0.02, "price": 0.51, "fee": 0.0001, "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1784486892.5, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "69255676899700790711525989127308958019475795404138315524495668898066870353801", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "No", "title": "Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 2.5, "their_price": 0.944, "my_price": 0.98, "slippage_pct": 0.0381, "shares": 2.4, "cost": 2.35, "fee": 0.0014, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.943, "ba": 0.98, "spread": 0.037, "bid5c": 4384.69, "ask5c": 205799.55}}

copybot_state.live.json

@@ -1,8 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783572616.4091802,
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@@ -5000,7 +4998,9 @@
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+    "0x4f7896de2eda55540c3076339a5a2c778a3f4a45ba7c8c9e0a56ac7454de55dc",
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@@ -5392,7 +5392,8 @@
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@@ -8348,7 +8349,8 @@
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+      "69255676899700790711525989127308958019475795404138315524495668898066870353801": 851.397856
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   "seed_tokens": {
@@ -10700,11 +10702,20 @@
       "event": null,
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0xf137d500bee37ff54903e73dfb8cabcfdf8ef4c13c1dd322b649c329cb70c008"
+    },
+    "69255676899700790711525989127308958019475795404138315524495668898066870353801": {
+      "shares": 2.397958,
+      "cost": 2.349998,
+      "title": "Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "event": "putin-out-before-2027",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "cond": "0xd5dd1a5398c0b428035211c83348af8b97d2b31f72cf198bdbadcfb3538ca2d4"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
-    "usd": 12.628447566
+    "usd": 14.978445566
   },
   "seeded": [
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@@ -10781,21 +10792,17 @@
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+    "55756224092672312452220271511023752032089675393435446819167450327852495044652": "0xc0f70912445fc2aeee051c61d367a31ceebe940831ac329e63a406bdbc31528a",
+    "69255676899700790711525989127308958019475795404138315524495668898066870353801": "0xd5dd1a5398c0b428035211c83348af8b97d2b31f72cf198bdbadcfb3538ca2d4"
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-  "cash": 46.158452,
+  "cash": 43.807043976504005,
   "lag": {
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+    "n": 94,
-    "sum_s": 2991.7805454730988,
+    "sum_s": 2994.2311487197876,
-    "sum_slip_pct": 2.4066152558847986
+    "sum_slip_pct": 2.4447504768177026
   },
-  "fees_paid": 2.7937884950599976,
+  "fees_paid": 2.795198518555989,
   "lag_recent": [
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-      8.4,
-      0.03846
-    ],
     [
       1784462570.3,
       3.3,
@@ -10825,6 +10832,11 @@
       1784473794.2,
       6.2,
       0.02326
+    ],
+    [
+      1784486892.5,
+      2.5,
+      0.03814
     ]
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   "bets": {
@@ -12828,6 +12840,25 @@
       "settled": 1784485559,
       "sold_shares": 4.6899999999999995,
       "sold_proceeds": 2.05374415
+    },
+    "69255676899700790711525989127308958019475795404138315524495668898066870353801": {
+      "token": "69255676899700790711525989127308958019475795404138315524495668898066870353801",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "title": "Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?",
+      "their_price": 0.944,
+      "my_price": 0.98,
+      "slippage_pct": 0.0381,
+      "lag_s": 2.5,
+      "shares": 2.4,
+      "cost": 2.35,
+      "fee": 0.0014,
+      "opened": 1784486890,
+      "status": "open",
+      "exit_price": null,
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null
     }
   },
   "no_miss_toks": [
@@ -15694,8 +15725,8 @@
       "exit_price": 0.5448
     }
   ],
-  "feed_sig": "af062e8d2e8f80b8f8a582b7e2d114a8",
+  "feed_sig": "79ea883218fc9f9c2c096768510c8fd4",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784485662.952609,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784486828.632124,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783906689,
@@ -15742,11 +15773,11 @@
   "trade_cursor": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
-    "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784485147,
+    "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784486481,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784480334,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784485689,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784482447,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784472576,
-    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784485540,
+    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784485588,
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784482278
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   "boot": {

live/copybot_live_real.json

@@ -5,20 +5,20 @@
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 61.23,
- "cash": 46.16,
+ "cash": 43.81,
- "deployed": 12.66,
+ "deployed": 15.01,
  "reserve": 0.0,
  "realized": -16.99,
  "adjustments": 9.39,
  "ledger_drift": 0.0,
- "open_count": 9,
+ "open_count": 10,
- "fees_paid": 2.79,
+ "fees_paid": 2.8,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 93,
+  "n": 94,
-  "n24": 6,
+  "n24": 7,
-  "avg_s": 6.8,
+  "avg_s": 6.2,
-  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0217,
+  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0241,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -46,6 +46,25 @@
   "AIcAIc": 341.23
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "69255676899700790711525989127308958019475795404138315524495668898066870353801",
+   "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+   "name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?",
+   "their_price": 0.944,
+   "my_price": 0.98,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0381,
+   "lag_s": 2.5,
+   "shares": 2.4,
+   "cost": 2.35,
+   "fee": 0.0,
+   "opened": 1784486890,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null
+  },
   {
    "token": "107519224001054263439274706964696866987866557807915774909819079291264377299291",
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -3003,5 +3022,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 1052.12,
- "updated": 1784485798
+ "updated": 1784486892
 }

rtds_shadow.live.jsonl

@@ -2497,3 +2497,5 @@
 {"ts": 1784485540.74, "trade_ts": 1784485540, "lat_s": 0.74, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 2.42, "price": 0.5, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET", "tx": "0x5eb1a5c3402d659e5f61f882fceb262e1761e6982c15bfd3cbeba361c987bf3b", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784485588.48, "trade_ts": 1784485588, "lat_s": 0.48, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 0.01, "price": 0.63, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET", "tx": "0x49163985c2dcdb28585c7489accea007fa2bbd1b1b3942286e85f2094d9d2b00", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784485689.39, "trade_ts": 1784485689, "lat_s": 0.38, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 7.16, "price": 0.26, "title": "", "tx": "0x4f7896de2eda55540c3076339a5a2c778a3f4a45ba7c8c9e0a56ac7454de55dc", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784486480.86, "trade_ts": 1784486480, "lat_s": 0.86, "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", "name": "Kruto2027", "side": "SELL", "size": 15.01, "price": 0.64, "title": "Winnipeg (Doubles): George/Rozin vs Milavsky/Shick", "tx": "0x2cf0ebceaac741569485fbd032a0ec3a88332dc330ade2c9071a8802307cdd8d", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784486890.37, "trade_ts": 1784486890, "lat_s": 0.37, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 851.397856, "price": 0.9440000010993685, "title": "Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?", "tx": "0x7523c383b2ff847ddc27d0df3a1cfa0b1b81157dee66181ed6c45c3121f50af6", "seen": false}