diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index d4351275..bdb41237 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -179,3 +179,4 @@
 {"ts": 1784834670.8, "side": "SELL", "token": "78639892723644623147617890032845605442018473848411325154446303980329931711515", "shares": 22.5479, "price": 0.959, "fee": 0.0266, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1784839141.0, "wallet": "0x0c3e55cf50a00a7e74fabd8584c6fdde21603c4c", "token": "27089093762136628538717538058444558009748671945133993927327235804405098874257", "name": "EdwardIN", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will UMF Stjarnan vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?", "detect_lag_s": 2.0, "their_price": 0.74, "my_price": 0.73, "slippage_pct": -0.0135, "shares": 8.5, "cost": 6.2, "fee": 0.0502, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.73, "ba": 0.74, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 145.46, "ask5c": 62.03}}
 {"ts": 1784839196.0, "side": "SELL", "token": "27089093762136628538717538058444558009748671945133993927327235804405098874257", "shares": 8.4973, "price": 0.84, "fee": 0.0343, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1784844583.2, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "52819321715343499652541925268090533261589000118874101456483925300449476907047", "name": "1kto1m", "outcome": "Down", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET", "detect_lag_s": 30.2, "their_price": 0.2897, "my_price": 0.3, "slippage_pct": 0.0357, "shares": 99.86, "cost": 29.96, "fee": 0.6291, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.3, "ba": 0.31, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 366.83, "ask5c": 287.36}}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 78b45e97..48cfb6c5 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -2664,7 +2664,8 @@
     "0x293c25008e96b7afa6adcd480f59e2841b26dd37ae76c6f98055bbd7919bd6c1",
     "0x4a48585667090938aeb74c2e32cc08bfc4550ebe535bc79134bd7a4460fe4e95",
     "0x7bf83c4915a9bfbfdb625e68270a8b6e4eba038d19fdb39bfe7f50caf9b50e82",
-    "0xffb85d16b4e3e1cbc8b2e63fbd0ed8b7e4c9bcaec5c5f375fc70c20da767995d"
+    "0xffb85d16b4e3e1cbc8b2e63fbd0ed8b7e4c9bcaec5c5f375fc70c20da767995d",
+    "0x078cbc1cead0ee5b904f9fd4989c4cde1ff344e4c49d312924b1d87c6c209a19"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": {
@@ -4307,7 +4308,8 @@
       "87205679289425673002646301061194178554156377871647813295935310452206786051314": 0.0,
       "51945445794997083392047621878354273507968785981542721260915300825905949077251": 0.0,
       "66045557886600882554417556809613309381735590138090986716977992805470668910568": 0.0,
-      "94517047365720540929846078569344974384787489405865905043013316140620678423118": 0.0
+      "94517047365720540929846078569344974384787489405865905043013316140620678423118": 0.0,
+      "52819321715343499652541925268090533261589000118874101456483925300449476907047": 1208.312965
     },
     "0x2d462b29127b919ae4c085e03be44ae7077e3e2d": {
       "53143255515721544115062658183393068408945038179820704404067492180719390212922": 311.12,
@@ -6999,11 +7001,20 @@
       "event": "will-amzn-reach-280-in-july-2026",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0xe9ab976f5c3b9c65ea229b1a7890ba92da55c06a8c5dfe6c911320d5ecfa6a9f"
+    },
+    "52819321715343499652541925268090533261589000118874101456483925300449476907047": {
+      "shares": 99.85666666666667,
+      "cost": 29.957,
+      "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET",
+      "outcome": "Down",
+      "event": "btc-updown-15m-1784844000",
+      "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
+      "cond": "0x11f9531813af92aebd26e3f4e140a5b1e03c3e8396b6e5621446bad12c901447"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
-    "usd": 838.2279664542499
+    "usd": 868.1849664542499
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
@@ -9148,11 +9159,11 @@
   ],
   "hwm": 1442.1464800690474,
   "feed_sig": "d4936db4b78f41ba0295549d8f2748b9",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784844178.6594746,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784844449.9137952,
   "trade_cursor": {
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784839984,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784844067,
-    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784838717,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784844241,
+    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784844553,
     "0x2d462b29127b919ae4c085e03be44ae7077e3e2d": 1784793067,
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1784838820,
     "0x0c3e55cf50a00a7e74fabd8584c6fdde21603c4c": 1784839195,
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 8bf6541e..3bb12379 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 50.99,
+ "stake": 50.97,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 1442.15,
- "cash": 1151.17,
- "deployed": 123.61,
+ "cash": 1120.59,
+ "deployed": 153.57,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 274.78,
+ "realized": 274.16,
  "adjustments": 0,
- "ledger_drift": -0.01,
- "open_count": 5,
- "fees_paid": 65.55,
+ "ledger_drift": -0.0,
+ "open_count": 6,
+ "fees_paid": 66.18,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 98,
-  "n24": 25,
-  "avg_s": 9.7,
-  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0072,
+  "n": 99,
+  "n24": 26,
+  "avg_s": 10.5,
+  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0083,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -52,6 +52,25 @@
   "Coteykens": 25.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "52819321715343499652541925268090533261589000118874101456483925300449476907047",
+   "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
+   "name": "1kto1m",
+   "outcome": "Down",
+   "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET",
+   "their_price": 0.2897,
+   "my_price": 0.3,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0357,
+   "lag_s": 30.2,
+   "shares": 99.86,
+   "cost": 29.96,
+   "fee": 0.63,
+   "opened": 1784844553,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null
+  },
   {
    "token": "79923692822393589106149183181691797049365540349193293467933755418861392966750",
    "wallet": "0x82d2e4dbb0a849ff8e2f5380719769145648beea",
@@ -2902,5 +2921,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 1253.15,
- "updated": 1784844248
+ "updated": 1784844584
 }
\ No newline at end of file