65 lines
2.7 KiB
Python
65 lines
2.7 KiB
Python
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#!/usr/bin/env python3
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"""Ring hunt — sweep news-driven event markets, score traders, detect funding
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clusters (operator rings). Uses insider.py's machinery across many markets."""
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import sys
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import time
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from concurrent.futures import ThreadPoolExecutor, as_completed
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import insider
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KEY = insider.sm_load_key()
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TOP = 30 # top traders by notional per market
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def hunt_market(cond, title):
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cands, _ = insider.market_traders(cond, top=TOP)
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if not cands:
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return
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name = {c["wallet"]: c["username"] for c in cands}
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rows = []
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with ThreadPoolExecutor(max_workers=10) as ex:
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futs = [ex.submit(insider.analyze, c) for c in cands]
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for f in as_completed(futs):
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try:
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r = f.result()
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except Exception:
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r = None
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if r:
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rows.append(r)
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rows.sort(key=lambda r: r["score"], reverse=True)
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print(f"\n{'='*78}\n{title[:60]} ({len(cands)} traders scored)\n{'='*78}", flush=True)
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print("top by improbability:")
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for r in rows[:4]:
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print(f" susp {r['score']:>4} z {r['z']:>5} p {insider.fmt_p(r['pval']):>8} "
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f"{r['wins']}/{r['n']} pre24 {r['pre24_pct']:>3}% trades {r['trades']:>6} "
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f"{r['username'][:20]}", flush=True)
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# funding-cluster ring detection
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if KEY:
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groups, links = insider.cluster([c["wallet"] for c in cands], KEY)
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if groups:
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print(f" ** RING: {len(groups)} operator cluster(s) via shared personal hub:", flush=True)
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for g in sorted(groups, key=len, reverse=True):
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print(" " + " + ".join(name.get(w, w[:10]) for w in g), flush=True)
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else:
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print(" no operator rings (traders independently / exchange-funded)", flush=True)
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# news-driven, unscheduled-resolution markets (insider-prone)
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MARKETS = [
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("0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f", "Iranian regime fall by June 30?"),
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("0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7", "US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30?"),
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("0x68fbeb8d823552abf9d35f3ebdb8619a1a1d51b650da9101be62f09308fd18d2", "US announces Iran agreement/ceasefire extension"),
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("0xdfd4d487d004c266493bdf32551d7f018c7eb4b9325f42ac368dd5075eec36a9", "Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?"),
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]
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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print(f"RING HUNT · {len(MARKETS)} markets · top {TOP} traders each · "
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f"clustering {'ON' if KEY else 'OFF (no key)'}", flush=True)
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for cond, title in MARKETS:
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try:
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hunt_market(cond, title)
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except Exception as e:
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print(f"\n{title[:40]}: error {e}", flush=True)
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print("\nhunt complete.", flush=True)
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