feat(microstructure): trade-sign autocorrelation, PIN, Hasbrouck information share (B15) (#212)
## B15 Microstructure — three new indicators (485 → 488) | Indicator | Input | Output | Notes | |-----------|-------|--------|-------| | `TradeSignAutocorrelation` | `Trade` | `f64` ∈ [-1,1] | lag-1 autocorrelation of the signed aggressor (order-flow persistence) | | `Pin` | `Trade` | `f64` ∈ [0,1] | probability of informed trading from rolling buy/sell imbalance (EKOP single-window estimator); `name()` = `"PIN"` | | `HasbrouckInformationShare` | `(f64, f64)` | `f64` ∈ [0,1] | variance-ratio proxy for each venue's share of price discovery | ### Wiring - Core structs + full unit tests (every branch). - Hand-written Python/Node/WASM bindings for the two `Trade`-input indicators (precedent `TradeImbalance`); `node_pair_indicator!` / `wasm_pair_indicator!` macro bindings + hand Python pyclass for the pairwise Hasbrouck (precedent `RollingCorrelation`). - Fuzz drives added to `indicator_update_trade.rs` and `indicator_update_pair.rs`. - Dedicated Python + Node streaming-vs-batch and reference tests; Hasbrouck in the `PAIR` registry. - README counter (3 spots) + `docs/README.md` + `FAMILIES` assert bumped to 488. ### Verify (all green, local) - `cargo test -p wickra-core --lib`: 3991 passed - `cargo test -p wickra-core --doc`: 438 passed - `cargo clippy --workspace --all-targets --all-features -- -D warnings`: clean - node: 561 passed · pytest: 926 passed
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@@ -217,6 +217,7 @@ def test_scalar_streaming_matches_batch(cls, args, sine_prices):
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# --- Two-series (asset, benchmark) indicators -----------------------------
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PAIR = [
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(ta.HasbrouckInformationShare, (2,)),
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(ta.KendallTau, (20,)),
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(ta.SpreadAr1Coefficient, (40,)),
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(ta.GrangerCausality, (60, 1)),
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@@ -3323,6 +3324,13 @@ def test_tower_top_bottom_reference():
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assert t.update((110.0, 110.1, 99.9, 100.0, 1.0, 2)) == pytest.approx(-1.0)
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def test_hasbrouck_information_share_reference():
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t = ta.HasbrouckInformationShare(2)
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assert t.update(7.0, 9.0) is None
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assert t.update(7.0, 9.0) is None
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assert t.update(7.0, 9.0) == pytest.approx(0.5)
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# --- Lifecycle ------------------------------------------------------------
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@@ -3663,6 +3671,8 @@ def test_tradeflow_indicators_streaming_equals_batch():
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lambda: ta.Vpin(8.0, 5),
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lambda: ta.AmihudIlliquidity(14),
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lambda: ta.RollMeasure(14),
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lambda: ta.TradeSignAutocorrelation(10),
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lambda: ta.Pin(10),
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):
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batch = make().batch(price, size, is_buy)
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streamer = make()
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@@ -3674,6 +3684,34 @@ def test_tradeflow_indicators_streaming_equals_batch():
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assert _eq_nan(batch, streamed)
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def test_trade_sign_autocorrelation_reference():
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# Perfectly alternating aggressor signs -> lag-1 autocorrelation -1.
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t = ta.TradeSignAutocorrelation(10)
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last = None
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for i in range(20):
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last = t.update(100.0, 1.0, i % 2 == 0)
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assert last == pytest.approx(-1.0)
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# All buys -> perfectly persistent flow -> +1.
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t2 = ta.TradeSignAutocorrelation(10)
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for _ in range(20):
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last2 = t2.update(100.0, 1.0, True)
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assert last2 == pytest.approx(1.0)
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def test_pin_reference():
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# One-sided flow (all buys) -> maximally informed -> PIN 1.
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p = ta.Pin(10)
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last = None
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for _ in range(20):
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last = p.update(100.0, 1.0, True)
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assert last == pytest.approx(1.0)
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# Balanced flow -> uninformed -> PIN 0.
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p2 = ta.Pin(10)
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for i in range(20):
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last2 = p2.update(100.0, 1.0, i % 2 == 0)
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assert last2 == pytest.approx(0.0)
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def test_price_impact_indicators_streaming_equals_batch():
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n = 40
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mid = np.array([100.0 + 0.5 * math.sin(i * 0.4) for i in range(n)], dtype=np.float64)
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