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quant-trading-strategy-temp…/templates/lightgbm-fx-multifeature/strategy.py
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Python

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from lightgbm import LGBMClassifier
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
def _prep(data):
df = data.copy()
df.columns = [str(c).strip().lower() for c in df.columns]
if "volume" not in df.columns:
df["volume"] = 1.0
for col in ["open", "high", "low", "close", "volume"]:
df[col] = pd.to_numeric(df[col], errors="coerce")
return df.dropna(subset=["open", "high", "low", "close"]).reset_index(drop=True)
def _rsi(close, n=14):
d = close.diff()
g = d.clip(lower=0).ewm(alpha=1 / n, adjust=False).mean()
l = (-d.clip(upper=0)).ewm(alpha=1 / n, adjust=False).mean()
return 100 - 100 / (1 + g / (l + 1e-9))
def _features(df):
c = df["close"]
v = df["volume"]
f = pd.DataFrame(index=df.index)
for n in [1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64]:
f[f"ret{n}"] = c.pct_change(n)
f["ema_8_21"] = (c.ewm(span=8, adjust=False).mean() - c.ewm(span=21, adjust=False).mean()) / c
f["ema_21_55"] = (c.ewm(span=21, adjust=False).mean() - c.ewm(span=55, adjust=False).mean()) / c
f["ema_55_144"] = (c.ewm(span=55, adjust=False).mean() - c.ewm(span=144, adjust=False).mean()) / c
f["rsi14"] = (_rsi(c, 14) - 50) / 50
f["rsi5"] = (_rsi(c, 5) - 50) / 50
f["volatility_32"] = c.pct_change().rolling(32).std()
f["volatility_96"] = c.pct_change().rolling(96).std()
f["volume_z"] = (v - v.rolling(48).mean()) / (v.rolling(48).std() + 1e-9)
return f.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan).dropna()
def train(data, config):
p = config.get("parameters", {})
df = _prep(data)
x = _features(df)
horizon = int(p.get("horizon", 6))
threshold = float(p.get("threshold", 0.0015))
fwd = df["close"].pct_change(horizon).shift(-horizon)
y = pd.Series(1, index=df.index)
y[fwd > threshold] = 2
y[fwd < -threshold] = 0
y = y.reindex(x.index).fillna(1).astype(int)
scaler = StandardScaler()
x_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(x.values.astype(np.float32))
clf = LGBMClassifier(
n_estimators=int(p.get("n_estimators", 350)),
learning_rate=float(p.get("learning_rate", 0.035)),
num_leaves=int(p.get("num_leaves", 31)),
max_depth=int(p.get("max_depth", -1)),
subsample=float(p.get("subsample", 0.85)),
colsample_bytree=float(p.get("colsample_bytree", 0.85)),
random_state=42,
verbose=-1,
)
clf.fit(x_scaled, y.values)
pred = clf.predict(x_scaled)
return {"model": clf, "scaler": scaler, "features": list(x.columns)}, {
"training_bars": int(len(x)),
"feature_count": int(x.shape[1]),
"class_dist": {"SELL": int((y == 0).sum()), "HOLD": int((y == 1).sum()), "BUY": int((y == 2).sum())},
"buy_signals": int((pred == 2).sum()),
"sell_signals": int((pred == 0).sum()),
"hold_signals": int((pred == 1).sum()),
}
def predict(model, market_data, config):
p = config.get("parameters", {})
candles = market_data.get("candles", [])
if len(candles) < int(p.get("lookback", 180)):
return {"signal": "HOLD", "confidence": 0.0, "metadata": {"reason": "not_enough_candles"}}
df = _prep(pd.DataFrame(candles, columns=["open", "high", "low", "close", "volume"]))
row = _features(df).tail(1)
if row.empty:
return {"signal": "HOLD", "confidence": 0.0, "metadata": {"reason": "no_features"}}
x = model["scaler"].transform(row[model["features"]].values.astype(np.float32))
prob = model["model"].predict_proba(x)[0]
klass = int(np.argmax(prob))
conf = float(np.max(prob))
signal = {0: "DOWN", 1: "HOLD", 2: "UP"}[klass]
if conf < float(p.get("min_confidence", 0.48)):
signal = "HOLD"
return {"signal": signal, "confidence": round(conf, 4), "metadata": {"p_sell": round(float(prob[0]), 4), "p_hold": round(float(prob[1]), 4), "p_buy": round(float(prob[2]), 4), "model": "lightgbm-fx-multifeature"}}