Strategy

Bankroll per opportunity
Trade at prices from
These are real historical Polymarket prices, pulled from their public CLOB price-history endpoint. For each event, we look up the actual price of every outcome at the chosen moment before the market closed.
calculating…
Running the strategy against every resolved event
Total profit across every trade
Return on bankroll per trade
Trades taken (out of 93 events)
Fraction of trades that won
Projected annual profit

Every trade, one row each

Each row below is one resolved Polymarket event. The strategy either placed a trade or skipped it. When it traded, you can see exactly what it paid, what it got back, and whether it won money.

What you're looking at, in plain English

These events are real Polymarket markets that have already ended in the last few weeks. For each one, we know who won and we have the actual price of every outcome at every moment before the market closed. The page runs a trading strategy on every event and adds up how much money you would have made or lost.

The "trade at prices from" selector above is the important knob. Prices right before a market closes tend to be correct (because everyone already knows the answer). Prices a day or more earlier are often noticeably off — and that's where real arbitrage lives. Try clicking the different time windows and watch the numbers change.

Every price on this page is a real price Polymarket recorded. Pulled from their public CLOB price-history API. No estimates, no math tricks. You can verify every trade by looking up the event on polymarket.com.

Pick a strategy to see how it actually performed

Each of these strategies has a clear rule. Each was run against the same real resolved Polymarket events. Results are plain: did it make money or lose money, and by how much.