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Polymarket Skills BuilderandClaude Opus 4.6 22fcb4355b Add health check, backtest, correlation tracker, wallet setup, and skills registry

New scripts:
- health_check.py: one-command session-start workflow (portfolio + live prices +
  drawdown + stop losses → GREEN/YELLOW/RED status)
- backtest.py: performance analysis with live-readiness assessment against
  CLAUDE.md prerequisites (20+ trades, >55% win rate, Sharpe >0.5)
- correlation_tracker.py: detects hidden correlated exposure in portfolio
  (e.g., 3 insider-trading bets = one cluster)
- setup_wallet.py: burner wallet creation, env var verification, on-chain
  balance check for live trading setup

Also adds:
- .env.example template for live trading configuration
- .well-known/skills/index.json for Agent Skills registry discovery
- Updated SKILL.md files documenting new scripts
- .gitignore entries for .env, .polymarket-live/, and key files

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

2026-02-26 09:05:24 +00:00

4.2 KiB

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name, description

name	description
polymarket-live-executor	Use this skill when the user wants to execute a real trade on Polymarket, place a live order, go live, buy or sell on Polymarket, check real positions, or manage a live trading wallet. Triggers: "execute trade", "live trade", "real trade", "go live", "place order polymarket", "buy on polymarket", "sell on polymarket", "check positions", "my balance", "cancel order", "live portfolio". CRITICAL: This skill executes REAL trades with REAL money. Every trade requires explicit human confirmation before execution. Never execute autonomously.

name

description

polymarket-live-executor

Use this skill when the user wants to execute a real trade on Polymarket, place a live order, go live, buy or sell on Polymarket, check real positions, or manage a live trading wallet. Triggers: "execute trade", "live trade", "real trade", "go live", "place order polymarket", "buy on polymarket", "sell on polymarket", "check positions", "my balance", "cancel order", "live portfolio". CRITICAL: This skill executes REAL trades with REAL money. Every trade requires explicit human confirmation before execution. Never execute autonomously.

Polymarket Live Executor

Execute real trades on Polymarket with mandatory human-in-the-loop confirmation. This skill requires L2 authentication (wallet private key) and enforces strict safety controls on every operation.

SAFETY REQUIREMENTS

Every trade requires explicit user confirmation. The agent must:

Display full trade details (market, side, size, price, estimated cost)
Show current order book context (spread, depth at target price)
Wait for the user to type "yes" or "confirm" before proceeding
Never batch or auto-confirm trades

Environment safeguards (enforced by all scripts):

POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY must be set (burner wallet only -- NEVER a main wallet)
POLYMARKET_CONFIRM=true must be set to enable any trade execution
Position size hard-capped (default $10, configurable via POLYMARKET_MAX_SIZE)
Daily loss limit tracked in ~/.polymarket-live/trades.log

Setup

Use the setup wizard to configure everything:

# Step 1: Create a burner wallet
python scripts/setup_wallet.py --create

# Step 2: Fund wallet with USDC on Polygon (manually via MetaMask/bridge)

# Step 3: Copy and fill in .env
cp .env.example .env && chmod 600 .env
# Edit .env with your private key and limits

# Step 4: Verify everything is configured
python scripts/setup_wallet.py --verify

# Step 5: Check on-chain balance
python scripts/setup_wallet.py --check-balance

Or set environment variables manually:

export POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY="0x..."    # Burner wallet only!
export POLYMARKET_CONFIRM=true           # Safety gate
export POLYMARKET_MAX_SIZE=10            # Max $ per trade (default: 10)
export POLYMARKET_DAILY_LOSS_LIMIT=50    # Max daily loss (default: 50)

Review the references/live-trading-checklist.md before any live trade.

Available Scripts

1. Execute Trade (`scripts/execute_live.py`)

Place a real order on Polymarket.

# Limit order: buy 5 YES shares at $0.60
python scripts/execute_live.py --token-id <ID> --side BUY --size 5 --price 0.60

# Market order: buy $5 worth at market price
python scripts/execute_live.py --token-id <ID> --side BUY --amount 5 --market

# Sell: sell 10 shares at $0.75
python scripts/execute_live.py --token-id <ID> --side SELL --size 10 --price 0.75

The script will display full trade details and require interactive confirmation.

2. Check Positions (`scripts/check_positions.py`)

View wallet balance, open orders, and trade history.

python scripts/check_positions.py                # Summary
python scripts/check_positions.py --orders        # Open orders
python scripts/check_positions.py --trades        # Recent trades
python scripts/check_positions.py --balance       # USDC balance

Workflow

Run analysis with polymarket-analyzer scripts to find opportunities
Paper-trade the idea with polymarket-paper-trader first
Review references/live-trading-checklist.md
Set up environment variables and burner wallet
Use check_positions.py to verify wallet state
Execute trade with execute_live.py -- confirm when prompted
Monitor position with check_positions.py

Risk Controls

All trades logged to ~/.polymarket-live/trades.log
Daily P&L tracked and enforced against loss limit
Position size caps prevent oversized trades
No autonomous execution -- every trade needs human approval

Important Disclaimers

This skill executes REAL trades with REAL money
Use only with burner wallets funded with money you can afford to lose
Past analysis does not guarantee future results
Not financial advice -- you are solely responsible for your trades

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