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theodore-song
780 lines
42 KiB
HTML
780 lines
42 KiB
HTML
<!DOCTYPE html>
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<html lang="en">
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<head>
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<meta charset="UTF-8" />
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0" />
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<title>Polymarket Analyst — AI Market Intelligence & Paper Trader</title>
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<meta name="description" content="Daily AI analysis of Polymarket prediction markets with an autonomous paper-trading agent. Runs entirely in your browser." />
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<link rel="preconnect" href="https://fonts.googleapis.com">
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a.market-link:hover{text-decoration:underline}
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/* ---------- about ---------- */
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border-radius:9px;display:grid;place-items:center;font-weight:700;font-size:13px;color:#fff;
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background:linear-gradient(135deg,var(--accent),var(--accent2))}
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font-size:13px;color:#e6dcc2;margin-top:8px}
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/* ---------- misc ---------- */
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padding:13px 19px;border-radius:13px;font-size:14px;opacity:0;transform:translateY(12px);transition:.28s;
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pointer-events:none;max-width:360px;backdrop-filter:blur(12px);box-shadow:var(--shadow)}
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.toast.show{opacity:1;transform:translateY(0)}
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footer{margin-top:34px;padding-top:22px;border-top:1px solid var(--border);color:var(--muted);font-size:12.5px;text-align:center}
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::-webkit-scrollbar{width:11px;height:11px}
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</style>
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</head>
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<body>
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<div class="bg" aria-hidden="true">
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<div class="orb a"></div><div class="orb b"></div><div class="orb c"></div>
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</linearGradient></defs>
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</svg>
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</div>
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<div class="app">
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<nav class="topnav">
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<div class="brand">
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<div class="logo">📊</div>
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<div><div class="brand-name">Polymarket Analyst</div><div class="brand-sub">AI market intelligence · paper trader</div></div>
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</div>
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<div class="tabs" id="tabs">
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<button class="tab" data-tab="overview">Overview</button>
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<button class="tab" data-tab="suggestions">Suggestions</button>
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<button class="tab" data-tab="portfolio">Portfolio</button>
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<button class="tab" data-tab="about">About</button>
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</div>
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<div class="nav-right">
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<span class="status"><span class="dot" id="statusDot"></span><span id="statusText">idle</span></span>
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<button id="runBtn" class="btn primary">Run cycle</button>
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<button id="resetBtn" class="btn ghost">Reset</button>
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</div>
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</nav>
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<!-- ============ OVERVIEW ============ -->
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<section class="tabpanel" data-tab="overview">
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<div class="hero">
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<svg class="hero-art" viewBox="0 0 400 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" aria-hidden="true">
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</g>
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<rect x="330" y="120" width="14" height="60" rx="3" fill="#34d399"/>
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</g>
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</svg>
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<h1>Trade smarter on <span class="grad">prediction markets</span></h1>
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<p>Every day, an AI scores live Polymarket markets for mispricing, momentum and liquidity — then an autonomous agent paper-trades the best ideas and tracks its own P&L.</p>
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<div class="badges">
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<span class="hbadge">🔴 Live Polymarket data</span>
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<span class="hbadge">🧠 Rule-based AI scoring</span>
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<span class="hbadge">🤖 Autonomous paper agent</span>
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<span class="hbadge">🗂️ Category filters</span>
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</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="stats" id="stats"></div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="grid2">
|
||
<div class="card hoverable">
|
||
<div class="card-h"><h3>Equity Curve</h3><span class="small muted" id="lastRun"></span></div>
|
||
<svg id="chart" viewBox="0 0 600 230" preserveAspectRatio="none"></svg>
|
||
<div class="chart-meta" id="chartMeta"></div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card hoverable">
|
||
<div class="card-h"><h3>Top Picks Today</h3><span class="small muted">highest conviction</span></div>
|
||
<div id="topPicks"></div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- ============ SUGGESTIONS ============ -->
|
||
<section class="tabpanel" data-tab="suggestions">
|
||
<div class="section-title">💡 Daily Suggestions <span class="small muted" id="sugDate" style="font-weight:400"></span></div>
|
||
<div class="card">
|
||
<div class="filterbar" id="filterbar"></div>
|
||
<div class="small muted" id="focusNote" style="margin-top:6px"></div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="sug-grid" id="suggestions"></div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- ============ PORTFOLIO ============ -->
|
||
<section class="tabpanel" data-tab="portfolio">
|
||
<div class="section-title">🤖 Agent Portfolio</div>
|
||
<div class="stats" id="statsPf"></div>
|
||
<div class="grid2">
|
||
<div class="card"><div class="card-h"><h3>Open Positions</h3></div><div id="positions"></div></div>
|
||
<div class="card"><div class="card-h"><h3>Activity Log</h3></div><div id="history"></div></div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- ============ ABOUT ============ -->
|
||
<section class="tabpanel" data-tab="about">
|
||
<div class="section-title">ℹ️ How it works</div>
|
||
<div class="about-grid">
|
||
<div class="feature"><div class="fic">🔴</div><h4>Live market data</h4><p>Pulls the most active open binary markets straight from Polymarket's public Gamma API — no keys, no backend.</p></div>
|
||
<div class="feature"><div class="fic">🧮</div><h4>Four-signal model</h4><p>Each market is scored on liquidity, 24h momentum, a fair-value mispricing estimate, and time-to-resolution.</p></div>
|
||
<div class="feature"><div class="fic">🤖</div><h4>Autonomous agent</h4><p>Sizes positions with a capped fractional-Kelly rule, marks them to market daily, and settles resolved ones.</p></div>
|
||
<div class="feature"><div class="fic">🗂️</div><h4>Category focus</h4><p>Filter Politics, Sports, Crypto, Economy & more — and steer the agent to trade only your chosen category.</p></div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="card" style="margin-top:16px">
|
||
<div class="card-h"><h3>The daily cycle</h3></div>
|
||
<ol class="steps">
|
||
<li><b>Fetch</b> — page through hundreds of live markets and tag each by category.</li>
|
||
<li><b>Score</b> — rank every market 0–100 by conviction and estimate its edge vs. a fair-value model.</li>
|
||
<li><b>Suggest</b> — surface the strongest picks per category with a plain-English rationale.</li>
|
||
<li><b>Trade</b> — the agent opens sized paper positions, marks existing ones to market, and snapshots equity.</li>
|
||
</ol>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="disclaimer">⚠️ <b>Paper trading only — not financial advice.</b> Nothing here places real orders or moves money. The analysis is a transparent heuristic. Your portfolio lives in this browser's local storage (each device keeps its own).</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<footer>
|
||
Paper trading only · Live prices from Polymarket's public Gamma API · Not financial advice ·
|
||
<a class="market-link" href="https://github.com/theodore-song/polymarket-analyst" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Source on GitHub</a>
|
||
</footer>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<script>
|
||
"use strict";
|
||
/* ============================================================
|
||
Polymarket Analyst — fully client-side.
|
||
Fetches live markets, scores them, and runs a paper-trading
|
||
agent. State persists in localStorage. No backend needed.
|
||
============================================================ */
|
||
|
||
const GAMMA = "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com";
|
||
const STARTING_BALANCE = 10000;
|
||
const STORE_KEY = "pma_portfolio_v1";
|
||
const SUG_KEY = "pma_suggestions_v1";
|
||
const FOCUS_KEY = "pma_focus_v1";
|
||
const CATEGORIES = ["All","Politics","Sports","Crypto","Economy","Pop Culture","Other"];
|
||
const CAT_COLORS = {Politics:"#fb7185",Sports:"#34d399",Crypto:"#fbbf24",Economy:"#7c8cff",
|
||
"Pop Culture":"#c77dff",Other:"#94a1bb",All:"#7c8cff"};
|
||
const catColor = (c) => CAT_COLORS[c] || CAT_COLORS.Other;
|
||
const getFocus = () => localStorage.getItem(FOCUS_KEY) || "All";
|
||
const setFocus = (c) => localStorage.setItem(FOCUS_KEY, c);
|
||
|
||
/* ---------- small utils ---------- */
|
||
const $ = (id) => document.getElementById(id);
|
||
const fmtUSD = (n) => "$" + Number(n).toLocaleString("en-US",{minimumFractionDigits:2,maximumFractionDigits:2});
|
||
const fmtPct = (n) => (n>=0?"+":"") + Number(n).toFixed(2) + "%";
|
||
const signClass = (n) => (n>0?"pos-val":n<0?"neg-val":"");
|
||
const todayStr = () => new Date().toISOString().slice(0,10);
|
||
const nowIso = () => new Date().toISOString();
|
||
|
||
function toast(msg){
|
||
let t=document.querySelector(".toast");
|
||
if(!t){t=document.createElement("div");t.className="toast";document.body.appendChild(t);}
|
||
t.textContent=msg;t.classList.add("show");
|
||
clearTimeout(t._h);t._h=setTimeout(()=>t.classList.remove("show"),3600);
|
||
}
|
||
function setStatus(text,live){
|
||
$("statusText").textContent=text;
|
||
$("statusDot").classList.toggle("live",!!live);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/* ---------- Polymarket client ---------- */
|
||
function parseJsonField(v){
|
||
if(v==null) return [];
|
||
if(Array.isArray(v)) return v;
|
||
try{return JSON.parse(v);}catch(e){return [];}
|
||
}
|
||
function toNum(v,d=0){const n=Number(v);return Number.isFinite(n)?n:d;}
|
||
function daysUntil(iso){
|
||
if(!iso) return null;
|
||
const dt=new Date(iso);
|
||
if(isNaN(dt)) return null;
|
||
return (dt-new Date())/86400000;
|
||
}
|
||
/* Map Polymarket tag slugs/labels to a top-level category. */
|
||
const CATEGORY_RULES=[
|
||
["Politics",["politics","election","elections","us-politics","geopolitics","trump",
|
||
"world-leaders","government","congress","policy","biden","2026-election","democrats","republicans"]],
|
||
["Crypto",["crypto","bitcoin","ethereum","btc","eth","solana","memecoins","defi","stablecoin","xrp"]],
|
||
["Sports",["sports","soccer","football","nba","nfl","mlb","nhl","tennis","basketball","baseball",
|
||
"ufc","boxing","cricket","golf","f1","fifa-world-cup","games","tournament-futures","epl"]],
|
||
["Economy",["economy","business","fed","inflation","interest-rates","gdp","jobs","recession",
|
||
"stocks","earnings","financials","tariffs"]],
|
||
["Pop Culture",["pop-culture","entertainment","movies","music","tv","awards","celebrity","gaming","ai"]],
|
||
];
|
||
function classifyCategory(tags){
|
||
const slugs=tags.map(t=>(t.slug||t.label||"").toLowerCase());
|
||
for(const [cat,keys] of CATEGORY_RULES){
|
||
if(slugs.some(s=>keys.includes(s))) return cat;
|
||
}
|
||
return "Other";
|
||
}
|
||
function normalizeMarket(raw){
|
||
const outcomes=parseJsonField(raw.outcomes);
|
||
const prices=parseJsonField(raw.outcomePrices).map(p=>toNum(p));
|
||
if(outcomes.length!==2||prices.length!==2) return null;
|
||
if(raw.acceptingOrders===false||raw.closed) return null;
|
||
const yes=prices[0];
|
||
if(yes<=0||yes>=1) return null;
|
||
const events=raw.events||[];
|
||
const ev=events.length?events[0]:{};
|
||
const tags=Array.isArray(raw.tags)?raw.tags:[];
|
||
return {
|
||
category:classifyCategory(tags),
|
||
tags:tags.map(t=>t.label).filter(Boolean).slice(0,4),
|
||
id:String(raw.id),
|
||
question:(raw.question||"").trim(),
|
||
event:(ev.title||"").trim(),
|
||
yes_price:+yes.toFixed(4),
|
||
no_price:+prices[1].toFixed(4),
|
||
volume:toNum(raw.volumeNum||raw.volume),
|
||
volume_24hr:toNum(raw.volume24hr),
|
||
volume_1wk:toNum(raw.volume1wk),
|
||
liquidity:toNum(raw.liquidityNum||raw.liquidity),
|
||
end_date:raw.endDateIso||raw.endDate,
|
||
days_to_resolution:daysUntil(raw.endDate),
|
||
image:raw.image||"",
|
||
url:ev.slug?`https://polymarket.com/event/${ev.slug}`:"",
|
||
};
|
||
}
|
||
async function fetchMarkets(pages=4,perPage=100){
|
||
const all=[];
|
||
for(let i=0;i<pages;i++){
|
||
const params=new URLSearchParams({closed:"false",active:"true",archived:"false",
|
||
include_tag:"true",limit:String(perPage),offset:String(i*perPage),
|
||
order:"volume24hr",ascending:"false"});
|
||
const r=await fetch(`${GAMMA}/markets?${params}`);
|
||
if(!r.ok){if(i===0) throw new Error("Polymarket API "+r.status);break;}
|
||
const raw=await r.json();
|
||
if(!raw.length) break;
|
||
all.push(...raw);
|
||
}
|
||
return all.map(normalizeMarket).filter(m=>m&&m.question);
|
||
}
|
||
async function fetchMarketPrice(id){
|
||
try{
|
||
const r=await fetch(`${GAMMA}/markets/${id}`);
|
||
if(!r.ok) return null;
|
||
return normalizeMarket(await r.json());
|
||
}catch(e){return null;}
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/* ---------- Analysis engine ---------- */
|
||
const W={LIQ:0.25,MOM:0.25,MIS:0.30,TIME:0.20};
|
||
const MIN_VOLUME=20000;
|
||
const clamp=(x,a,b)=>Math.max(a,Math.min(b,x));
|
||
function liquiditySignal(m){
|
||
const vol=Math.min(1,Math.log10(m.volume+1)/6.0);
|
||
const liq=Math.min(1,Math.log10(m.liquidity+1)/5.3);
|
||
return 0.6*vol+0.4*liq;
|
||
}
|
||
function momentumSignal(m){
|
||
const dailyAvg=m.volume_1wk?m.volume_1wk/7:0;
|
||
if(dailyAvg<=0) return m.volume_24hr>0?0.3:0;
|
||
const ratio=m.volume_24hr/dailyAvg;
|
||
return clamp((ratio-0.5)/2.0,0,1);
|
||
}
|
||
function fairValue(m){
|
||
const p=m.yes_price,mom=momentumSignal(m),liq=liquiditySignal(m);
|
||
if(p>0.92) return Math.min(0.995,p+0.04*liq*(1-p)*4);
|
||
if(p<0.08) return Math.max(0.005,p-0.20*p);
|
||
const drift=(mom-0.5)*0.06;
|
||
return clamp(p+drift,0.02,0.98);
|
||
}
|
||
function timingSignal(d){
|
||
if(d==null) return 0.4;
|
||
if(d<1) return 0.1;
|
||
if(d<=3) return 0.5;
|
||
if(d<=90) return 1.0-(d-3)/87.0*0.4;
|
||
return 0.35;
|
||
}
|
||
function analyzeMarket(m){
|
||
if(m.volume<MIN_VOLUME) return null;
|
||
const p=m.yes_price, fair=fairValue(m), edgeYes=fair-p, edge=Math.abs(edgeYes);
|
||
const liq=liquiditySignal(m), mom=momentumSignal(m), timing=timingSignal(m.days_to_resolution);
|
||
const mis=Math.min(1,edge/0.10);
|
||
const score=W.LIQ*liq+W.MOM*mom+W.MIS*mis+W.TIME*timing;
|
||
const conviction=+(score*100).toFixed(1);
|
||
let side,entry,rationale;
|
||
if(edgeYes>0.015){side="YES";entry=p;
|
||
rationale=`Model fair value ${pct(fair)} vs market ${pct(p)} — YES looks underpriced by ~${(edgeYes*100).toFixed(1)}c.`;}
|
||
else if(edgeYes<-0.015){side="NO";entry=m.no_price;
|
||
rationale=`Model fair value ${pct(fair)} vs market ${pct(p)} — YES looks overpriced, so NO at ${pct(m.no_price)} has the edge.`;}
|
||
else{side="HOLD";entry=p;
|
||
rationale=`Price ${pct(p)} is close to model fair value ${pct(fair)}; no clear edge — watch only.`;}
|
||
const drivers=[];
|
||
if(liq>0.6)drivers.push("deep/liquid market");
|
||
if(mom>0.6)drivers.push("strong fresh volume (24h surge)");
|
||
if(timing>0.8)drivers.push("resolves in a good window");
|
||
if(mis>0.4)drivers.push("notable price/value gap");
|
||
if(!drivers.length)drivers.push("thin signal");
|
||
return {market_id:m.id,question:m.question,event:m.event,url:m.url,
|
||
category:m.category,tags:m.tags,
|
||
yes_price:p,no_price:m.no_price,fair_value:+fair.toFixed(4),edge:+edgeYes.toFixed(4),
|
||
side,entry_price:+entry.toFixed(4),conviction,volume:m.volume,volume_24hr:m.volume_24hr,
|
||
days_to_resolution:m.days_to_resolution!=null?+m.days_to_resolution.toFixed(1):null,
|
||
drivers,rationale};
|
||
}
|
||
const pct=(x)=>Math.round(x*100)+"%";
|
||
function generateSuggestions(markets,perCategory=10){
|
||
const actionable=markets.map(analyzeMarket).filter(Boolean).filter(a=>a.side!=="HOLD")
|
||
.sort((a,b)=>b.conviction-a.conviction);
|
||
const byCat={}; const out=[];
|
||
for(const a of actionable){
|
||
const c=a.category||"Other";
|
||
byCat[c]=(byCat[c]||0)+1;
|
||
if(byCat[c]<=perCategory) out.push(a);
|
||
}
|
||
return out.sort((a,b)=>b.conviction-a.conviction);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/* ---------- Portfolio store ---------- */
|
||
function defaultPortfolio(){
|
||
return {cash:STARTING_BALANCE,starting_balance:STARTING_BALANCE,
|
||
positions:[],closed:[],history:[],snapshots:[],last_run:null};
|
||
}
|
||
function loadPortfolio(){
|
||
try{const s=localStorage.getItem(STORE_KEY);return s?JSON.parse(s):defaultPortfolio();}
|
||
catch(e){return defaultPortfolio();}
|
||
}
|
||
function savePortfolio(p){localStorage.setItem(STORE_KEY,JSON.stringify(p));}
|
||
function loadSuggestions(){
|
||
try{const s=localStorage.getItem(SUG_KEY);return s?JSON.parse(s):{date:null,suggestions:[]};}
|
||
catch(e){return {date:null,suggestions:[]};}
|
||
}
|
||
function saveSuggestions(sugs){
|
||
const payload={date:todayStr(),generated_at:nowIso(),suggestions:sugs};
|
||
localStorage.setItem(SUG_KEY,JSON.stringify(payload));return payload;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/* ---------- Agent ---------- */
|
||
const MAX_POS_FRAC=0.10, MAX_NEW_PER_DAY=4, MIN_CONV=45, CASH_FLOOR=0.05;
|
||
const equity=(p)=>p.cash+p.positions.reduce((s,x)=>s+x.shares*x.current_price,0);
|
||
function kellyFraction(conv,edge){
|
||
const base=(conv/100)*Math.min(1,Math.abs(edge)/0.10);
|
||
return Math.min(MAX_POS_FRAC,0.25*base);
|
||
}
|
||
const hasPosition=(p,id)=>p.positions.some(x=>x.market_id===id);
|
||
async function markToMarket(p){
|
||
const notes=[],stillOpen=[];
|
||
for(const pos of p.positions){
|
||
const fresh=await fetchMarketPrice(pos.market_id);
|
||
if(fresh==null){
|
||
const proceeds=pos.shares*pos.current_price;
|
||
p.cash+=proceeds;pos.exit_price=pos.current_price;pos.closed_at=nowIso();
|
||
pos.realized_pnl=+(proceeds-pos.cost).toFixed(2);pos.reason_closed="market resolved/closed";
|
||
p.closed.push(pos);
|
||
p.history.push({date:todayStr(),action:"CLOSE",market_id:pos.market_id,question:pos.question,
|
||
side:pos.side,detail:`Settled for ${fmtUSD(proceeds)} (P&L ${fmtUSD(pos.realized_pnl)})`});
|
||
notes.push(`Closed '${pos.question.slice(0,50)}' (resolved)`);continue;
|
||
}
|
||
const price=pos.side==="YES"?fresh.yes_price:fresh.no_price;
|
||
pos.current_price=+price.toFixed(4);
|
||
pos.value=+(pos.shares*price).toFixed(2);
|
||
pos.unrealized_pnl=+(pos.value-pos.cost).toFixed(2);
|
||
stillOpen.push(pos);
|
||
}
|
||
p.positions=stillOpen;return notes;
|
||
}
|
||
function openPositions(p,sugs,focus){
|
||
const notes=[];
|
||
const cands=sugs.filter(s=>(s.side==="YES"||s.side==="NO")&&s.conviction>=MIN_CONV
|
||
&&!hasPosition(p,s.market_id)&&(focus==="All"||!focus||s.category===focus))
|
||
.sort((a,b)=>b.conviction-a.conviction);
|
||
let opened=0;
|
||
for(const s of cands){
|
||
if(opened>=MAX_NEW_PER_DAY) break;
|
||
const eq=equity(p), investable=p.cash-eq*CASH_FLOOR;
|
||
if(investable<=50) break;
|
||
const frac=kellyFraction(s.conviction,s.edge);
|
||
let stake=Math.min(eq*frac,investable);
|
||
if(stake<50) continue;
|
||
const entry=s.entry_price;
|
||
if(entry<=0||entry>=1) continue;
|
||
const shares=+(stake/entry).toFixed(2), cost=+(shares*entry).toFixed(2);
|
||
if(cost>p.cash) continue;
|
||
p.cash=+(p.cash-cost).toFixed(2);
|
||
p.positions.push({market_id:s.market_id,question:s.question,side:s.side,shares,
|
||
entry_price:+entry.toFixed(4),current_price:+entry.toFixed(4),cost,value:cost,
|
||
unrealized_pnl:0,conviction:s.conviction,rationale:s.rationale,opened_at:nowIso(),url:s.url||"",category:s.category});
|
||
p.history.push({date:todayStr(),action:"OPEN",market_id:s.market_id,question:s.question,side:s.side,
|
||
detail:`Bought ${shares} ${s.side} @ ${pct(entry)} for ${fmtUSD(cost)} (conviction ${s.conviction})`});
|
||
notes.push(`Opened ${s.side} on '${s.question.slice(0,50)}' (${fmtUSD(cost)})`);
|
||
opened++;
|
||
}
|
||
return notes;
|
||
}
|
||
function recordSnapshot(p){
|
||
const eq=equity(p), posVal=+(eq-p.cash).toFixed(2);
|
||
const snap={date:todayStr(),timestamp:nowIso(),cash:+p.cash.toFixed(2),positions_value:posVal,
|
||
equity:+eq.toFixed(2),pnl:+(eq-p.starting_balance).toFixed(2),
|
||
return_pct:+((eq/p.starting_balance-1)*100).toFixed(2),open_positions:p.positions.length};
|
||
p.snapshots=p.snapshots.filter(s=>s.date!==snap.date);
|
||
p.snapshots.push(snap);p.snapshots.sort((a,b)=>a.date<b.date?-1:1);
|
||
}
|
||
async function runDailyCycle(){
|
||
setStatus("fetching markets…",true);
|
||
const markets=await fetchMarkets(4,100);
|
||
setStatus("analyzing…",true);
|
||
const sugs=generateSuggestions(markets,12);
|
||
saveSuggestions(sugs);
|
||
const p=loadPortfolio();
|
||
setStatus("agent trading…",true);
|
||
const mtm=await markToMarket(p);
|
||
const trades=openPositions(p,sugs,getFocus());
|
||
recordSnapshot(p);
|
||
p.last_run=nowIso();
|
||
savePortfolio(p);
|
||
setStatus("up to date",false);
|
||
return {suggestions:sugs.length,actions:mtm.concat(trades),equity:+equity(p).toFixed(2)};
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/* ---------- Rendering ---------- */
|
||
function renderAll(){renderStats();renderChart(loadPortfolio().snapshots);renderTopPicks();
|
||
renderSuggestions();renderPositions(loadPortfolio().positions);
|
||
renderHistory(loadPortfolio().history.slice(-50).reverse());}
|
||
|
||
function statCards(){
|
||
const p=loadPortfolio(), eq=equity(p), pnl=eq-p.starting_balance;
|
||
return [
|
||
{ic:"💰",label:"Equity",value:fmtUSD(eq)},
|
||
{ic:"💵",label:"Cash",value:fmtUSD(p.cash)},
|
||
{ic:"📈",label:"Total P&L",value:fmtUSD(pnl),cls:signClass(pnl)},
|
||
{ic:"🎯",label:"Return",value:fmtPct((eq/p.starting_balance-1)*100),cls:signClass(pnl)},
|
||
{ic:"📂",label:"Open positions",value:p.positions.length},
|
||
];
|
||
}
|
||
function renderStats(){
|
||
const html=statCards().map(s=>
|
||
`<div class="stat"><div class="ic">${s.ic}</div><div class="label">${s.label}</div>
|
||
<div class="value ${s.cls||""}">${s.value}</div></div>`).join("");
|
||
$("stats").innerHTML=html;
|
||
const pf=$("statsPf"); if(pf) pf.innerHTML=html;
|
||
const p=loadPortfolio();
|
||
if(p.last_run){const d=new Date(p.last_run);$("lastRun").textContent="updated "+d.toLocaleString();}
|
||
}
|
||
function renderTopPicks(){
|
||
const root=$("topPicks"); if(!root) return;
|
||
const all=(loadSuggestions().suggestions)||[];
|
||
const top=all.slice(0,4);
|
||
if(!top.length){root.innerHTML=`<div class="empty">Run a cycle to see top picks.</div>`;return;}
|
||
root.innerHTML=top.map(s=>`
|
||
<div class="pos">
|
||
<div>
|
||
<div class="pq">${esc(s.question.slice(0,60))}${s.question.length>60?"…":""}</div>
|
||
<div class="sub"><span class="cat-badge" style="background:${catColor(s.category)}22;color:${catColor(s.category)}">${esc(s.category)}</span>
|
||
BUY ${s.side} @ ${Math.round(s.entry_price*100)}¢</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="right"><div style="font-family:'Space Grotesk';font-weight:700">${Math.round(s.conviction)}</div>
|
||
<div class="sub">conviction</div></div>
|
||
</div>`).join("");
|
||
}
|
||
function renderFilterBar(all){
|
||
const focus=getFocus();
|
||
const counts={}; CATEGORIES.forEach(c=>counts[c]=0);
|
||
all.forEach(s=>{const c=counts[s.category]!==undefined?s.category:"Other";counts[c]++;});
|
||
counts["All"]=all.length;
|
||
$("filterbar").innerHTML=CATEGORIES.map(c=>{
|
||
const n=counts[c]||0;
|
||
const dim=(c!=="All"&&n===0)?"opacity:.4;":"";
|
||
return `<span class="chip ${c===focus?"active":""}" data-cat="${c}" style="${dim}">${c}<span class="ct">${n}</span></span>`;
|
||
}).join("");
|
||
document.querySelectorAll("#filterbar .chip").forEach(el=>{
|
||
el.addEventListener("click",()=>{setFocus(el.dataset.cat);renderSuggestions();});
|
||
});
|
||
}
|
||
function renderSuggestions(){
|
||
const data=loadSuggestions();
|
||
$("sugDate").textContent=data.date?`· ${data.date}`:"";
|
||
const all=data.suggestions||[];
|
||
const root=$("suggestions");
|
||
renderFilterBar(all);
|
||
if(!all.length){
|
||
root.innerHTML=`<div class="empty" style="grid-column:1/-1">No suggestions yet. Click "Run cycle".</div>`;
|
||
$("focusNote").textContent="";return;}
|
||
const focus=getFocus();
|
||
const filtered=(focus==="All"?all:all.filter(s=>s.category===focus)).slice(0,12);
|
||
$("focusNote").textContent=focus==="All"
|
||
? "The agent trades the strongest picks across all categories."
|
||
: `Filtered to ${focus} — the agent will only open new ${focus} positions while this is selected.`;
|
||
if(!filtered.length){
|
||
root.innerHTML=`<div class="empty" style="grid-column:1/-1">No ${esc(focus)} suggestions in today's batch.</div>`;return;}
|
||
root.innerHTML=filtered.map(s=>{
|
||
const col=catColor(s.category);
|
||
const drivers=s.drivers.map(d=>`<span class="driver">${d}</span>`).join("");
|
||
const days=s.days_to_resolution!=null?`${s.days_to_resolution}d`:"—";
|
||
return `<div class="sug" style="border-left-color:${col}">
|
||
<div class="sug-row" style="margin-bottom:2px">
|
||
<span class="cat-badge" style="background:${col}22;color:${col}">${esc(s.category||"Other")}</span>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="q">${esc(s.question)}</div>
|
||
<div class="event">${esc(s.event||"")}</div>
|
||
<div class="sug-row">
|
||
<span class="pill ${s.side}">BUY ${s.side}</span>
|
||
<span class="muted small">@ ${Math.round(s.entry_price*100)}¢</span>
|
||
<div class="conv-bar"><span style="width:${s.conviction}%"></span></div>
|
||
<span class="muted small">${Math.round(s.conviction)}</span>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="rationale">${esc(s.rationale)}</div>
|
||
<div class="drivers">${drivers}</div>
|
||
<div class="metrics">
|
||
<span>Vol <b>${fmtUSD(s.volume)}</b></span>
|
||
<span>24h <b>${fmtUSD(s.volume_24hr)}</b></span>
|
||
<span>Resolves <b>${days}</b></span>
|
||
${s.url?`<a class="market-link" href="${s.url}" target="_blank" rel="noopener">View ↗</a>`:""}
|
||
</div></div>`;
|
||
}).join("");
|
||
}
|
||
function renderChart(snaps){
|
||
const svg=$("chart");
|
||
if(!snaps||!snaps.length){svg.innerHTML="";$("chartMeta").textContent="No history yet — run a cycle.";return;}
|
||
const pts=snaps.map(s=>s.equity);
|
||
const W=600,H=230,pad=8;
|
||
const min=Math.min(...pts,snaps[0].equity)*0.999, max=Math.max(...pts)*1.001, span=(max-min)||1;
|
||
const x=(i)=>snaps.length===1?W/2:pad+(i/(snaps.length-1))*(W-2*pad);
|
||
const y=(v)=>H-pad-((v-min)/span)*(H-2*pad);
|
||
const line=snaps.map((s,i)=>`${i===0?"M":"L"}${x(i).toFixed(1)},${y(s.equity).toFixed(1)}`).join(" ");
|
||
const area=`${line} L${x(snaps.length-1).toFixed(1)},${H-pad} L${x(0).toFixed(1)},${H-pad} Z`;
|
||
const up=pts[pts.length-1]>=snaps[0].equity, color=up?"#34d399":"#fb7185";
|
||
svg.innerHTML=`<defs><linearGradient id="g" x1="0" y1="0" x2="0" y2="1">
|
||
<stop offset="0%" stop-color="${color}" stop-opacity="0.35"/>
|
||
<stop offset="100%" stop-color="${color}" stop-opacity="0"/></linearGradient></defs>
|
||
<path d="${area}" fill="url(#g)"/><path d="${line}" fill="none" stroke="${color}" stroke-width="2.5"/>`;
|
||
const last=snaps[snaps.length-1];
|
||
$("chartMeta").innerHTML=`<span>${snaps[0].date}</span><span>${snaps.length} day(s) · ${fmtPct(last.return_pct)}</span><span>${last.date}</span>`;
|
||
}
|
||
function renderPositions(positions){
|
||
const root=$("positions"); if(!root) return;
|
||
if(!positions.length){root.innerHTML=`<div class="empty">No open positions yet.</div>`;return;}
|
||
root.innerHTML=positions.map(p=>{
|
||
const pnl=p.unrealized_pnl||0, col=catColor(p.category);
|
||
return `<div class="pos"><div>
|
||
<div class="pq">${esc(p.question)}</div>
|
||
<div class="sub">${p.category?`<span class="cat-badge" style="background:${col}22;color:${col}">${esc(p.category)}</span> `:""}${p.shares} ${p.side} @ ${Math.round(p.entry_price*100)}¢ → ${Math.round(p.current_price*100)}¢ · conv ${p.conviction}</div>
|
||
</div><div class="right">
|
||
<div>${fmtUSD(p.value)}</div>
|
||
<div class="${signClass(pnl)}">${pnl>=0?"+":""}${fmtUSD(pnl)}</div>
|
||
</div></div>`;
|
||
}).join("");
|
||
}
|
||
function renderHistory(history){
|
||
const root=$("history"); if(!root) return;
|
||
if(!history.length){root.innerHTML=`<div class="empty">No activity yet.</div>`;return;}
|
||
root.innerHTML=history.map(h=>
|
||
`<div class="log-item"><span class="badge ${h.action}">${h.action}</span><span class="log-date">${h.date}</span> — ${esc(h.detail)}</div>`).join("");
|
||
}
|
||
function esc(s){return String(s).replace(/[&<>"]/g,c=>({"&":"&","<":"<",">":">",'"':"""}[c]));}
|
||
|
||
/* ---------- Tab routing (deep-linkable via #hash) ---------- */
|
||
const TABS=["overview","suggestions","portfolio","about"];
|
||
function showTab(name){
|
||
if(!TABS.includes(name)) name="overview";
|
||
document.querySelectorAll(".tabpanel").forEach(p=>p.classList.toggle("active",p.dataset.tab===name));
|
||
document.querySelectorAll(".tab").forEach(t=>t.classList.toggle("active",t.dataset.tab===name));
|
||
if(location.hash.slice(1)!==name) history.replaceState(null,"","#"+name);
|
||
window.scrollTo({top:0,behavior:"smooth"});
|
||
}
|
||
document.querySelectorAll(".tab").forEach(t=>t.addEventListener("click",()=>showTab(t.dataset.tab)));
|
||
window.addEventListener("hashchange",()=>showTab(location.hash.slice(1)));
|
||
|
||
/* ---------- Wire up ---------- */
|
||
$("runBtn").addEventListener("click",async()=>{
|
||
const btn=$("runBtn");btn.disabled=true;btn.textContent="Running…";
|
||
try{
|
||
const r=await runDailyCycle();
|
||
toast(`Cycle done · ${r.suggestions} suggestions · equity ${fmtUSD(r.equity)}`);
|
||
renderAll();
|
||
}catch(e){toast("Run failed: "+e.message);setStatus("error",false);}
|
||
btn.disabled=false;btn.textContent="Run cycle";
|
||
});
|
||
$("resetBtn").addEventListener("click",()=>{
|
||
if(!confirm("Reset the paper portfolio to its starting balance?")) return;
|
||
savePortfolio(defaultPortfolio());localStorage.removeItem(SUG_KEY);
|
||
toast("Portfolio reset.");renderAll();
|
||
});
|
||
|
||
/* On load: route to tab, render, then auto-run once per day. */
|
||
(async function init(){
|
||
showTab(location.hash.slice(1)||"overview");
|
||
renderAll();
|
||
const sug=loadSuggestions();
|
||
if(sug.date!==todayStr()){
|
||
const btn=$("runBtn");btn.disabled=true;btn.textContent="Running…";
|
||
try{await runDailyCycle();renderAll();toast("Fresh daily analysis ready.");}
|
||
catch(e){setStatus("error — click Run to retry",false);}
|
||
btn.disabled=false;btn.textContent="Run cycle";
|
||
}else{setStatus("up to date",false);}
|
||
})();
|
||
</script>
|
||
</body>
|
||
</html>
|