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Trade live threshold dominance bundles

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Theodore Song
2026-08-21 14:37:46 -04:00
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@@ -296,10 +296,16 @@ Cached bundle prices are never allowed to open positions.
Run `npm run evaluate:dominance` to inspect logically nested threshold contracts
using executable prices. The corrected August 19 scan tested 807 eligible pairs
across 500 active events and found zero positive pairs after estimated costs. An
earlier parser had mistaken Over/Under outcome labels for Yes/No and reported
false opportunities; the label-aware scanner and live engine now reject that
failure mode.
across 500 active events and found zero positive pairs after estimated costs. The
August 20 rerun tested 888 eligible pairs and found one current candidate: YES on
MetaMask FDV above $2B plus NO on FDV above $3B cost 0.994 per pair after the
half-cent-per-leg execution allowance, against a guaranteed minimum $1 payout
when both contracts share the same event terms. Build 75 adds these same-event,
same-wording dominance pairs to Value Hunter's live scanner. Both legs must open
together, cached/offline prices cannot create an entry, and mismatched wording,
non-Yes/No labels, inadequate liquidity, and non-positive margins are rejected.
An earlier parser had mistaken Over/Under labels for Yes/No; the label-aware
scanner and live engine retain a regression test for that failure mode.
The expanded event-clustered run loaded history for 498 of the 500 highest-volume
resolved markets with no fetch failures. No side, price band, category, trend,