Cap binary settlement risk in adaptive engine

README.md

@@ -15,17 +15,23 @@ https://polymarket-site-eta.vercel.app/personal.html
 
 The site fetches live Polymarket markets, generates agent suggestions, lets you
 run frequent paper cycles, and syncs the shared arena state through Neon or
-Vercel Blob. Engine v35 also installs an offline app shell and caches timestamped
+Vercel Blob. Engine v36 also installs an offline app shell and caches timestamped
 market snapshots. During an outage, cycles continue locally; cached entries are
 allowed for 90 minutes, older snapshots become mark-only, and all cached data
 expires after 24 hours.
 
 Each agent learns bounded weights from its own v34+ trade outcomes across signal
 type, setup quality, category, side, and entry-price band. The learner shrinks
-small samples toward neutral, caps sizing changes to 0.72x-1.28x, and reserves
+small samples toward neutral, caps sizing changes to 0.68x-1.30x, and reserves
 15% of candidates for deterministic exploration so a stale regime cannot become
 permanent.
 
+Engine v36 treats each binary stake as capable of falling to zero even when the
+18% stop cannot fill. New core positions are capped at 2.5%-4% of equity and
+aggressive positions at 3%-5%, with lower limits for near-term, extreme-price,
+reversal, and fast-moving setups. Oversized positions inherited from older
+engines are reduced to the same loss budget during live marking.
+
 A separate walk-forward ledger records each trade-ready signal before its future
 price is known, grades it at least 12 hours later, and combines that broad market
 calibration with each agent's personal outcomes. This expands the learning sample