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Preserve learning and size verified bundles
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@@ -20,7 +20,7 @@ market snapshots. During an outage, cycles continue locally; cached entries are
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allowed for 90 minutes, older snapshots become mark-only, and all cached data
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expires after 24 hours.
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Build 115 targets five-minute slots with a serialized, self-chained GitHub Actions runtime.
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Build 116 targets five-minute slots with a serialized, self-chained GitHub Actions runtime.
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It continues from the previous agent snapshot and runs the next due paper cycle
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even when no browser is open. After each successful cycle, one repo-scoped
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workflow dispatch waits for the next five-minute boundary; one concurrency group
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@@ -29,7 +29,10 @@ and the cron schedule remains as recovery. The runtime writes a
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sanitized snapshot to the `runtime-state` branch and `/api/state` uses that as a
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read-only fallback while Neon or Vercel Blob is unavailable. The public snapshot
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contains only `pma_agents_v2` and `pma_suggestions_v5`, with suggestions capped at
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300 to keep cross-device loads small. Paper accounts, passwords, email settings,
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300 to keep cross-device loads small. The API preserves oldest-first pending
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observations plus fee schedules, agent promotion scopes, and verified bundle
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capacity from the bounded runtime instead of applying its older lossy compactor.
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Paper accounts, passwords, email settings,
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investment allocations, chat history, wallet information, and live-money
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settings are explicitly excluded. While that fallback is active, ordinary
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phones and computers are display-only and cannot fork the public portfolio with
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@@ -48,15 +51,18 @@ Polymarket event key. Related Ethereum or Bitcoin contracts cannot create
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several simultaneous copies of one move, and outcomes from the same underlying
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three-hour shock window count as one learner event.
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Each Build 115 cycle also scans the 1,000 most-active Polymarket events for
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Each Build 116 cycle also scans the 1,000 most-active Polymarket events for
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complete negative-risk bundles and logically nested threshold or deadline
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pairs. Gamma's market-specific fee flag replaces the old blanket 0.5-cent fee
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reserve for markets declared fee-free. The closest 60 structures are then
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repriced from batched CLOB asks at the equal-unit size needed for at least a $50
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paper order. The scanner applies each market's Gamma fee schedule at every
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repriced from batched CLOB asks from the equal-unit size needed for at least a $50
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paper order up to a $400 verified-notional ceiling. The scanner applies each market's Gamma fee schedule at every
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consumed ask level and checks the CLOB fee-rate endpoint for a matching enabled
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or fee-free state. Any opened position is capped to the exact equal-unit size
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that passed this depth test. A bundle can enter Value Discipline only when that fee check
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of the largest fill that stays profitable and passes this depth test; portfolio
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cash, reserve, and 4% limits can reduce it further. Existing paper bundles are
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never retroactively enlarged against depth their original simulated fill would
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already have consumed. A bundle can enter Value Discipline only when that fee check
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passes and the resulting worst-case payout clears both the three-tenths-cent
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profit floor and the 0.15% return floor. Top-of-book gaps, missing books,
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incomplete fee schedules, and unavailable fee verification remain audit-only.
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@@ -64,7 +70,7 @@ The Suggestions view stores scan, depth, fee, actionable, and closest
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executable-margin counts so an empty lane is evidence rather than an ambiguous
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failure.
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Build 115 retains the directional learner's exact-fee policy, which replaced the blanket half-cent cost with
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Build 116 retains the directional learner's exact-fee policy, which replaced the blanket half-cent cost with
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the market's Gamma fee schedule at both the entry and future checkpoint, plus a
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separate half-cent round-trip slippage allowance. Fee-free markets pay only the
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slippage allowance; an unavailable fee schedule gets a conservative four-cent
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@@ -80,7 +86,7 @@ directional evidence under fee policy 2 and keeps those lanes observation-only
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until current independent 24-hour and 72-hour cohorts pass the existing
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promotion gate.
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Build 115 retains Build 100's retirement of the old 3-6 day resolution-window
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Build 116 retains Build 100's retirement of the old 3-6 day resolution-window
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capital permission. That audit clustered confidence by event but still averaged
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several correlated contracts inside each event, while production could choose
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only one. The corrected replay chooses the highest-volume eligible contract per event and
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@@ -200,7 +206,7 @@ evidence proves an edge.
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Run `npm run evaluate:sports-favorites` for the retired pregame favorite audit.
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Its 12-hour, 60%-75% cohort had positive point estimates but did not establish a
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reliable confidence bound, so Build 115 no longer allocates capital to that rule.
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reliable confidence bound, so Build 116 no longer allocates capital to that rule.
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Strategy 62 instead uses the exact-fee settlement calibration's three-day Sports
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NO cohort as a bounded paper exploration lane. The corrected 5,000-market run
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