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Prioritize capital-efficient independent bundles

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Theodore Song
2026-08-22 07:45:05 -04:00
parent ca302b7168
commit 933290290b
8 changed files with 110 additions and 50 deletions
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scripts/run-autonomous-cycle.mjs
+1 -1
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@@ -252,7 +252,7 @@ async function main() {
const branch = process.env.RUNTIME_BRANCH || "runtime-state";
const pathname = process.env.RUNTIME_STATE_PATH || "runtime/state.json";
const arenaUrl = (process.env.ARENA_URL || "https://polymarket-site-eta.vercel.app").replace(/\/$/, "");
const expectedBuild = Number(required("EXPECTED_BUILD", "120"));
const expectedBuild = Number(required("EXPECTED_BUILD", "121"));
await ensureRuntimeBranch(repository, branch);
const prior = await readRuntimeFile(repository, branch, pathname);
if (prior.snapshot) validateRuntimeSnapshot(prior.snapshot, 0, { allowIncomplete: true });
scripts/test-autonomous-runtime.mjs
+6 -1
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@@ -10,7 +10,7 @@ const resolutionAudit = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(new URL("../research/resoluti
const sportsContestAudit = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(new URL("../research/sports-contest-no-exploration-audit.json", import.meta.url), "utf8"));
const build = Number(index.match(/const BUILD_VERSION = (\d+);/)?.[1]);
assert.equal(build, 120);
assert.equal(build, 121);
assert.deepEqual([...ALLOWED_RUNTIME_KEYS].sort(), ["pma_agents_v2", "pma_suggestions_v5"]);
assert.match(index, /function collectPublicRuntimeItems\(\)/);
assert.match(index, /const PUBLIC_RUNTIME_KEYS=Object\.freeze\(\[AGENTS_KEY,SUG_KEY\]\)/);
@@ -74,6 +74,11 @@ assert.match(index, /bundleRequiresClobFeeVerification:true/);
assert.match(index, /function bundleExecutableLeg\(book,units,feeSchedule\)/);
assert.match(index, /function maximizeBundleExecution\(candidate,books,minimumUnits\)/);
assert.match(index, /const BUNDLE_MAX_VERIFIED_NOTIONAL=400;/);
assert.match(index, /const BUNDLE_EVENT_CAP_PCT=0\.12;/);
assert.match(index, /function compareBundleOpportunities\(a,b\)/);
assert.match(index, /function bundleEventExposure\(portfolio,eventKey\)/);
assert.match(index, /prioritizesReturnPerLockedDay:/);
assert.match(index, /capsUnderlyingEventExposure:/);
assert.match(index, /sizesToLargestVerifiedProfitableFill:/);
assert.match(index, /stopsSizingAtShallowestBundleLeg:/);
assert.match(index, /!s\.depth_verified\|\|!s\.fees_verified\|\|s\.verification_status!=="executable"/);
scripts/test-server-state.mjs
+4 -2
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@@ -33,9 +33,9 @@ else process.env.NEON_DATABASE_URL = originalNeonUrl;
const compacted = compactSuggestion({
market_id: "bundle:1:yes", side: "YES", signal_type: "bundle-arb", signal_confidence: 1,
entry_candidate: true, adaptive_promotion: false, requires_live: true, bundle_id: "bundle:1:yes",
entry_candidate: true, adaptive_promotion: false, requires_live: true, bundle_id: "bundle:1:yes", bundle_event_id: "1",
bundle_side: "YES", bundle_logic: "threshold-dominance", bundle_cost_per_unit: 0.95, bundle_payout_per_unit: 1,
bundle_net_profit_per_unit: 0.05, bundle_legs: [{ market_id: "1", side: "YES" }],
bundle_net_profit_per_unit: 0.05, bundle_capital_efficiency: 0.0025, bundle_legs: [{ market_id: "1", side: "YES" }],
fees_enabled: false, fee_schedule: { rate: 0, exponent: 1, takerOnly: true },
depth_verified: true, fees_verified: true, fee_model: "verified-market-specific", execution_model: "live-order-book-vwap",
execution_units: 250, execution_notional: 237.5, verification_status: "executable", promoted_for_agents: ["value"],
@@ -44,7 +44,9 @@ assert.equal(compacted.signal_type, "bundle-arb");
assert.equal(compacted.entry_candidate, true);
assert.equal(compacted.requires_live, true);
assert.equal(compacted.bundle_side, "YES");
assert.equal(compacted.bundle_event_id, "1");
assert.equal(compacted.bundle_logic, "threshold-dominance");
assert.equal(compacted.bundle_capital_efficiency, 0.0025);
assert.equal(compacted.bundle_legs.length, 1);
assert.equal(compacted.fee_schedule.rate, 0);
assert.equal(compacted.execution_units, 250);