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Share one-hour maker research across agents
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@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ https://polymarket-site-eta.vercel.app/personal.html
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The site fetches live Polymarket markets, generates agent suggestions, lets you
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run frequent paper cycles, and syncs the shared arena state through Neon or
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Vercel Blob. Build 67 also installs an offline app shell and caches timestamped
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Vercel Blob. Build 68 also installs an offline app shell and caches timestamped
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market snapshots. During an outage, cycles continue locally; cached entries are
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allowed for 90 minutes, older snapshots become mark-only, and all cached data
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expires after 24 hours.
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@@ -26,7 +26,7 @@ team names, Over/Under, or another pair are rejected instead of being silently
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reinterpreted as Yes/No. The same semantic check applies to complete event
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bundles and the offline evaluators.
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Build 67 ranks the competition by each agent's return since Strategy 56 began.
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Build 68 ranks the competition by each agent's return since Strategy 56 began.
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Historical replay equity remains visible for context, but it no longer makes an
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agent look like the current leader when the live adaptive strategy is losing.
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@@ -119,15 +119,24 @@ produced adverse one-leg inventory. Wider quotes traded less but remained
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negative. Strategy 56 therefore does not risk paper capital on an unproven
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maker rule.
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Value Hunter now tracks up to six zero-capital shadow quote pairs selected by
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the shared reward-book audit. A later live
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Run `npm run evaluate:reward-maker` to stress current reward-qualified books
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against 30 days of token history. The August 19 comparison found zero passing
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candidates at a three-hour exit window. At one hour, 2 of 24 current candidates
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passed the chronological path screen at 25% of the present reward estimate, but
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both did so without an adverse historical touch; this prioritizes shadow
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research and does not authorize capital.
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Maker research version 2 lets all ten agents split distinct zero-capital shadow
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quote pairs selected by the shared reward-book audit. Token histories are fetched
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in batches, so the learner no longer silently ignores quotes after the first ten
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markets. A later live
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cycle must still verify each touch from public CLOB price history or a current
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book cross. A three-hour executable exit grades one-sided touches after a
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book cross. A one-hour executable exit grades one-sided touches after a
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conservative half-cent cost, while paired touches and unfilled attempts are also
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retained. Results are clustered by Polymarket event. Capital exposure can only
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retained in one shared cross-agent ledger and clustered by Polymarket event. Capital exposure can only
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resume after at least 20 current-strategy event clusters in the matching
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category, spread, and estimated reward-yield cohorts have positive 90% confidence
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bounds and at least three completed pairs, with any mature losing cohort acting as a veto. There is
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bounds and at least three distinct-event completed pairs, with any mature losing cohort acting as a veto. There is
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no capital-backed exploration lane. Existing paper inventory from prior builds
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is still reconciled honestly. The engine does not credit hypothetical rewards.
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See Polymarket's official [fees](https://docs.polymarket.com/trading/fees),
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