Diversify verified bundle search by event

This commit is contained in:
Theodore Song
2026-08-22 08:22:47 -04:00
parent a6c9fc1a14
commit 7ae2d6bdfc
5 changed files with 74 additions and 10 deletions
+9 -3
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@@ -67,7 +67,9 @@ Each Build 121 cycle also scans the 1,000 most-active Polymarket events for
complete negative-risk bundles and logically nested threshold or deadline
pairs. Gamma's market-specific fee flag replaces the old blanket 0.5-cent fee
reserve for markets declared fee-free. The closest 60 structures are then
repriced from batched CLOB asks from the equal-unit size needed for at least a $50
ranked by locked-capital efficiency, with the best structure from each independent
event checked before alternates from events already represented. They are repriced
from batched CLOB asks from the equal-unit size needed for at least a $50
paper order up to a $400 verified-notional ceiling. The scanner applies each market's Gamma fee schedule at every
consumed ask level and checks the CLOB fee-rate endpoint for a matching enabled
or fee-free state. Any opened position is capped to the exact equal-unit size
@@ -102,8 +104,12 @@ favorite trends all had 90% upper bounds below zero at 12 hours. A separate
rules and found zero robust positive rule. Strategy 64 retains online
directional evidence under fee policy 2. A separate probation gate can now use
capital after at least 12 current-policy independent events produce a net-of-cost
six-hour lower confidence bound above 1% for every required cohort feature. It
uses at most 0.5% of equity per position, 1% per-agent total capital, one new
six-hour lower confidence bound above 1% for every required cohort feature.
The corresponding 500-market, 1,920-rule chronological audit selected zero
rules in validation at 6, 24, or 72 hours. No directional rule is preapproved;
probation and full sizing must be earned from new event-deduplicated forward
observations. Probation uses at most 0.5% of equity per position, 1% per-agent
total capital, one new
position per agent cycle, and one owner per Polymarket event across all agents.
Every probation position exits at the matching six-hour executable bid and keeps
the 18% stop policy active. Normal directional sizing remains locked until the