diff --git a/.github/workflows/autonomous-cycle.yml b/.github/workflows/autonomous-cycle.yml index 7b5328e..60baed1 100644 --- a/.github/workflows/autonomous-cycle.yml +++ b/.github/workflows/autonomous-cycle.yml @@ -35,7 +35,7 @@ jobs: - run: node scripts/run-autonomous-cycle.mjs env: ARENA_URL: https://polymarket-site-eta.vercel.app - EXPECTED_BUILD: "114" + EXPECTED_BUILD: "115" RUNTIME_BRANCH: runtime-state RUNTIME_STATE_PATH: runtime/state.json GITHUB_TOKEN: ${{ secrets.GITHUB_TOKEN }} diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index 22ab4f7..5c03e27 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -20,7 +20,7 @@ market snapshots. During an outage, cycles continue locally; cached entries are allowed for 90 minutes, older snapshots become mark-only, and all cached data expires after 24 hours. -Build 114 targets five-minute slots with a serialized, self-chained GitHub Actions runtime. +Build 115 targets five-minute slots with a serialized, self-chained GitHub Actions runtime. It continues from the previous agent snapshot and runs the next due paper cycle even when no browser is open. After each successful cycle, one repo-scoped workflow dispatch waits for the next five-minute boundary; one concurrency group @@ -48,7 +48,7 @@ Polymarket event key. Related Ethereum or Bitcoin contracts cannot create several simultaneous copies of one move, and outcomes from the same underlying three-hour shock window count as one learner event. -Each Build 114 cycle also scans the 1,000 most-active Polymarket events for +Each Build 115 cycle also scans the 1,000 most-active Polymarket events for complete negative-risk bundles and logically nested threshold or deadline pairs. Gamma's market-specific fee flag replaces the old blanket 0.5-cent fee reserve for markets declared fee-free. The closest 60 structures are then @@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ The Suggestions view stores scan, depth, fee, actionable, and closest executable-margin counts so an empty lane is evidence rather than an ambiguous failure. -Build 114 retains the directional learner's exact-fee policy, which replaced the blanket half-cent cost with +Build 115 retains the directional learner's exact-fee policy, which replaced the blanket half-cent cost with the market's Gamma fee schedule at both the entry and future checkpoint, plus a separate half-cent round-trip slippage allowance. Fee-free markets pay only the slippage allowance; an unavailable fee schedule gets a conservative four-cent @@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ directional evidence under fee policy 2 and keeps those lanes observation-only until current independent 24-hour and 72-hour cohorts pass the existing promotion gate. -Build 114 retains Build 100's retirement of the old 3-6 day resolution-window +Build 115 retains Build 100's retirement of the old 3-6 day resolution-window capital permission. That audit clustered confidence by event but still averaged several correlated contracts inside each event, while production could choose only one. The corrected replay chooses the highest-volume eligible contract per event and @@ -200,7 +200,7 @@ evidence proves an edge. Run `npm run evaluate:sports-favorites` for the retired pregame favorite audit. Its 12-hour, 60%-75% cohort had positive point estimates but did not establish a -reliable confidence bound, so Build 114 no longer allocates capital to that rule. +reliable confidence bound, so Build 115 no longer allocates capital to that rule. Strategy 62 instead uses the exact-fee settlement calibration's three-day Sports NO cohort as a bounded paper exploration lane. The corrected 5,000-market run diff --git a/index.html b/index.html index 78219ba..e22652a 100644 --- a/index.html +++ b/index.html @@ -341,7 +341,7 @@ footer{margin-top:34px;padding-top:22px;border-top:1px solid var(--border);color