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Grade signals beyond the active scan
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@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ https://polymarket-site-eta.vercel.app/personal.html
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The site fetches live Polymarket markets, generates agent suggestions, lets you
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run frequent paper cycles, and syncs the shared arena state through Neon or
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Vercel Blob. Build 42 also installs an offline app shell and caches timestamped
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Vercel Blob. Build 43 also installs an offline app shell and caches timestamped
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market snapshots. During an outage, cycles continue locally; cached entries are
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allowed for 90 minutes, older snapshots become mark-only, and all cached data
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expires after 24 hours.
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@@ -82,7 +82,7 @@ feature views before repeatable positive evidence can increase size or repeatabl
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negative evidence can block a new entry. Mixed evidence stays close to neutral
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instead of being mistaken for an edge.
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Build 42 enforces the documented offline boundary end to end. Cached snapshots
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Build 43 enforces the documented offline boundary end to end. Cached snapshots
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under 90 minutes old may continue paper execution. Older snapshots remain usable
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for valuation and chart snapshots for up to 24 hours, but cannot trigger entries,
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stop-losses, gain-stops, risk rebalances, settlements, or policy exits. Network
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@@ -95,6 +95,11 @@ adaptive baselines, pending signal grades, and trade evidence remain in strategy
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40 until the actual entry, sizing, or exit logic changes. Legacy build 40 and 41
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records are migrated into the same strategy lineage without losing evidence.
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Build 43 independently refreshes markets for matured pending signals that have
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left the current top-500 activity scan. Unavailable markets remain queued for a
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bounded retry window. This prevents activity-rank survivorship from deciding
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which wins and losses reach the adaptive calibration ledger.
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Run `npm run evaluate:settlements` to evaluate fixed decisions made 1, 3, 7,
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14, 30, and 90 days before known binary settlements. The audit uses one
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observation per resolved market and horizon, includes losing contracts at zero,
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