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Launch bounded sports contest exploration

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Theodore Song
2026-08-21 21:33:56 -04:00
parent c065ab5496
commit 066cad13da
8 changed files with 327 additions and 143 deletions
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scripts/test-autonomous-runtime.mjs
+14 -2
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@@ -7,9 +7,10 @@ const api = fs.readFileSync(new URL("../api/state.js", import.meta.url), "utf8")
const workflow = fs.readFileSync(new URL("../.github/workflows/autonomous-cycle.yml", import.meta.url), "utf8");
const runner = fs.readFileSync(new URL("./run-autonomous-cycle.mjs", import.meta.url), "utf8");
const resolutionAudit = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(new URL("../research/resolution-week-no-audit.json", import.meta.url), "utf8"));
const sportsContestAudit = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(new URL("../research/sports-contest-no-exploration-audit.json", import.meta.url), "utf8"));
const build = Number(index.match(/const BUILD_VERSION = (\d+);/)?.[1]);
assert.equal(build, 105);
assert.equal(build, 106);
assert.deepEqual([...ALLOWED_RUNTIME_KEYS].sort(), ["pma_agents_v2", "pma_suggestions_v5"]);
assert.match(index, /function collectPublicRuntimeItems\(\)/);
assert.match(index, /const PUBLIC_RUNTIME_KEYS=Object\.freeze\(\[AGENTS_KEY,SUG_KEY\]\)/);
@@ -26,7 +27,7 @@ assert.match(api, /Buffer\.from\(file\.content/);
assert.match(api, /searchParams\.set\("runtime", `\$\{Date\.now\(\)\}/);
assert.match(workflow, /cron: "2,7,12,17,22,27,32,37,42,47,52,57 \* \* \* \*"/);
assert.match(workflow, /contents: write/);
assert.match(workflow, /EXPECTED_BUILD: "105"/);
assert.match(workflow, /EXPECTED_BUILD: "106"/);
assert.match(index, /saveSuggestions\(sugs,markets\.length,analysisMarkets\.length,bundleAudit\)/);
assert.match(index, /const NEG_RISK_EVENT_SCAN_LIMIT=1000;/);
assert.match(index, /bundleOpportunityTelemetry:true/);
@@ -43,6 +44,17 @@ assert.equal(resolutionAudit.disjoint_holdout.passed_strict_gate, false);
assert.ok(resolutionAudit.disjoint_holdout.holdout_event_lower_90 < 0);
assert.equal(resolutionAudit.production_constraints.capital_enabled, false);
assert.equal(resolutionAudit.production_constraints.promotion_events, 40);
assert.equal(sportsContestAudit.production_strategy, 62);
assert.equal(sportsContestAudit.status, "bounded-paper-exploration-not-proven");
assert.equal(sportsContestAudit.corrected_5000_market_result.independent_contests, 76);
assert.equal(sportsContestAudit.corrected_5000_market_result.passed_strict_gate, false);
assert.ok(sportsContestAudit.corrected_5000_market_result.validation.lower_95 < 0);
assert.equal(sportsContestAudit.production_constraints.initial_position_pct, 0.5);
assert.equal(sportsContestAudit.production_constraints.total_lane_cap_pct, 3);
assert.equal(sportsContestAudit.production_constraints.exact_entry_fee_required, true);
assert.match(index, /function sportsContestKey\(m\)/);
assert.match(index, /function sportsContestNoSuggestions\(markets\)/);
assert.match(index, /const SPORTS_FAVORITE_MAX_NEW_PER_CYCLE=1;/);
const agentIds = ["value", "momentum", "favorite", "longshot", "diversifier", "catalyst", "reversal", "breakout", "tailalpha", "conviction"];
const agents = Object.fromEntries(agentIds.map(id => [id, { cash: 10000, positions: [], lastDecision: { mode: "test" } }]));