Hardening

livecfg/config.toml

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+# CONSERVATIVE live-test config (Fable autonomous run, ~$50 mandate).
+[wallet]
+chain_id = 137
+signature_type = 3
+clob_host = "https://clob.polymarket.com"
+gamma_host = "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com"
+data_api_host = "https://data-api.polymarket.com"
+polygon_rpc = "https://polygon-bor-rpc.publicnode.com"
+
+[engine]
+debounce_ms = 250
+reconcile_interval_s = 20
+catalog_refresh_s = 300
+heartbeat = true
+heartbeat_interval_s = 5
+journal = true
+loop = "uvloop"
+
+[risk]
+max_total_exposure_usdc = 40.0       # hard ceiling on deployed capital
+max_event_group_loss_usdc = 30.0
+max_market_notional_usdc = 15.0      # per-market cap
+daily_loss_kill_usdc = 12.0          # stop trading if we lose ~$12
+ws_stale_halt_s = 8.0
+user_ws_blind_halt_s = 12.0
+heartbeat_halt_failures = 3
+max_order_error_rate = 0.25
+
+[execution]
+rate_budget_fraction = 0.15
+post_only = true
+max_orders_per_batch = 15
+
+[paths]
+db = "livecfg/state.db"
+journal_dir = "livecfg/journal"
+log_dir = "livecfg/logs"

livecfg/markets.toml

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+[[markets]]
+slug    = "will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568"
+profile = "live-tiny"
+enabled = true
+
+[[markets]]
+slug    = "will-jd-vance-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination"
+profile = "live-tiny"
+enabled = true

livecfg/strategy.toml

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+# Tiny, defensive profile for the live test — small size, quick to pull.
+[profiles.live-tiny]
+micro_levels        = 3
+flow_ewma_halflife_s = 90
+gamma               = 0.8
+delta_min_ticks     = 2
+c_vol               = 1.5
+c_tox               = 3.0
+vol_short_halflife_s = 10
+vol_long_halflife_s  = 600
+base_size_usdc      = 5.0
+q_max_usdc          = 12.0
+q_soft_frac         = 0.5
+layers              = 1
+layer_step_ticks    = 2
+reprice_ticks       = 2
+resize_frac         = 0.2
+min_edge_ticks      = 1
+event_cooloff_s     = 90
+event_jump_ticks    = 6
+event_sweep_levels  = 2
+trend_flow_z        = 1.2
+end_date_taper_days = 7
+reduce_only_hours   = 48
+halt_before_hours   = 6
+exit_urgency_s      = 600
+merge_min_size      = 20.0