dda201f0d3
Five deterministic test failures rooted out (all pre-existing on main): - mrsjd + regime_switching + hjb_solver: pointwise Jacobi iteration on the stationary HJB diverges (sigma^2/dx^2 >> rho, residual -> NaN). Replaced with implicit-in-space Kushner-Dupuis upwind discretisation solved by the Thomas algorithm (unconditionally stable); removed now-unneeded under-relaxation; NaN-safe convergence checks (!(r < tol)). - hjb_solver: equation had no source term, so V = 0 and the V' = +-1 boundaries were grid artifacts. Added quadratic tracking payoff and singular-control obstacle projection -> symmetric boundaries. - regime_switching two_regime_model: zero running term made cross-regime value comparison meaningless; running payoff f(x) = x makes the higher-drift regime strictly more valuable. - ou_estimator test: stderr(kappa) ~ sqrt(2*kappa/T) was 140% of kappa with n=500 and an unseeded rng; now seeded StdRng + T ~ 80y (stderr ~ 22%). - hurst test: fixture passed alternating +-1 LEVELS; R/S input convention is the increment series -> seeded iid +-1 increments. - hmm doctest: placeholder example executed empty data -> rust,no_run. Tests: 139/139 (129 lib + 10 doc).
350 lines
10 KiB
Rust
350 lines
10 KiB
Rust
//! HJB PDE Solver
|
||
//! ==============
|
||
//!
|
||
//! Generic Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation solver using finite differences.
|
||
|
||
use crate::optimal_control::{OptimalControlError, Result};
|
||
use ndarray::Array1;
|
||
|
||
/// Configuration for HJB solver
|
||
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
|
||
pub struct HJBConfig {
|
||
/// Mean-reversion speed (κ in OU process)
|
||
pub kappa: f64,
|
||
/// Long-term mean (θ in OU process)
|
||
pub theta: f64,
|
||
/// Volatility (σ in OU process)
|
||
pub sigma: f64,
|
||
/// Discount rate
|
||
pub rho: f64,
|
||
/// Transaction cost per trade
|
||
pub transaction_cost: f64,
|
||
/// Number of grid points
|
||
pub n_points: usize,
|
||
/// Maximum iterations
|
||
pub max_iter: usize,
|
||
/// Convergence tolerance
|
||
pub tolerance: f64,
|
||
/// Number of standard deviations for domain
|
||
pub n_std: f64,
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
impl Default for HJBConfig {
|
||
fn default() -> Self {
|
||
Self {
|
||
kappa: 0.5,
|
||
theta: 0.0,
|
||
sigma: 0.1,
|
||
rho: 0.04,
|
||
transaction_cost: 0.001,
|
||
n_points: 200,
|
||
max_iter: 2000,
|
||
tolerance: 1e-6,
|
||
n_std: 4.0,
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/// Result from HJB solver
|
||
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
|
||
pub struct HJBResult {
|
||
/// State space grid
|
||
pub x: Array1<f64>,
|
||
/// Value function V(x)
|
||
pub value: Array1<f64>,
|
||
/// First derivative V'(x)
|
||
pub gradient: Array1<f64>,
|
||
/// Second derivative V''(x)
|
||
pub hessian: Array1<f64>,
|
||
/// Lower boundary (buy signal)
|
||
pub lower_boundary: f64,
|
||
/// Upper boundary (sell signal)
|
||
pub upper_boundary: f64,
|
||
/// Number of iterations until convergence
|
||
pub iterations: usize,
|
||
/// Final residual
|
||
pub residual: f64,
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/// Generic HJB PDE Solver
|
||
pub struct HJBSolver {
|
||
config: HJBConfig,
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
impl HJBSolver {
|
||
/// Create new HJB solver with configuration
|
||
pub fn new(config: HJBConfig) -> Result<Self> {
|
||
// Validate parameters
|
||
if config.kappa <= 0.0 {
|
||
return Err(OptimalControlError::InvalidParameters(
|
||
"kappa must be positive".to_string(),
|
||
));
|
||
}
|
||
if config.sigma <= 0.0 {
|
||
return Err(OptimalControlError::InvalidParameters(
|
||
"sigma must be positive".to_string(),
|
||
));
|
||
}
|
||
if config.rho <= 0.0 {
|
||
return Err(OptimalControlError::InvalidParameters(
|
||
"rho must be positive".to_string(),
|
||
));
|
||
}
|
||
if config.n_points < 50 {
|
||
return Err(OptimalControlError::InvalidParameters(
|
||
"n_points must be at least 50".to_string(),
|
||
));
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
Ok(Self { config })
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/// Solve HJB equation using finite differences
|
||
pub fn solve(&self) -> Result<HJBResult> {
|
||
let cfg = &self.config;
|
||
|
||
// Compute stationary standard deviation
|
||
let sigma_inf = cfg.sigma / (2.0 * cfg.kappa).sqrt();
|
||
|
||
// State space: θ ± n_std * σ_∞
|
||
let x_min = cfg.theta - cfg.n_std * sigma_inf;
|
||
let x_max = cfg.theta + cfg.n_std * sigma_inf;
|
||
let dx = (x_max - x_min) / (cfg.n_points - 1) as f64;
|
||
|
||
// Create grid
|
||
let x = Array1::from_iter((0..cfg.n_points).map(|i| x_min + i as f64 * dx));
|
||
|
||
// Initialize value function
|
||
let mut v = Array1::<f64>::zeros(cfg.n_points);
|
||
let mut v_old = Array1::<f64>::zeros(cfg.n_points);
|
||
|
||
// Running reward: quadratic tracking penalty around θ (maximisation of
|
||
// -(x-θ)²). Without a source term the stationary equation ρV = LV has
|
||
// only the trivial solution V ≡ 0, which made gradients — and hence
|
||
// the V' = ±1 switching boundaries — meaningless.
|
||
let f: Vec<f64> = x.iter().map(|&xi| -(xi - cfg.theta).powi(2)).collect();
|
||
|
||
let sig2 = cfg.sigma * cfg.sigma;
|
||
let dx2 = dx * dx;
|
||
|
||
// Iterative solver: implicit (Thomas) solve of the linear part
|
||
// ρV = κ(θ-x)V' + ½σ²V'' + f (Kushner–Dupuis upwind rates), followed
|
||
// by projection on the singular-control obstacles
|
||
// V(x) ≥ V(x±dx) - dx (unit proportional control cost),
|
||
// repeated until the fixed point. A pointwise Jacobi update diverges
|
||
// here (σ²/dx² ≫ ρ) and plain value iteration contracts too slowly.
|
||
let n = cfg.n_points;
|
||
let mut iterations = 0;
|
||
let mut residual = f64::INFINITY;
|
||
|
||
let mut sub = vec![0.0_f64; n];
|
||
let mut diag = vec![0.0_f64; n];
|
||
let mut sup = vec![0.0_f64; n];
|
||
let mut rhs = vec![0.0_f64; n];
|
||
|
||
for iter in 0..cfg.max_iter {
|
||
v_old.assign(&v);
|
||
|
||
// Assemble tridiagonal system (upwind, unconditionally stable)
|
||
for i in 1..n - 1 {
|
||
let mu = cfg.kappa * (cfg.theta - x[i]);
|
||
let p_up = 0.5 * sig2 / dx2 + mu.max(0.0) / dx;
|
||
let p_dn = 0.5 * sig2 / dx2 + (-mu).max(0.0) / dx;
|
||
sub[i] = -p_dn;
|
||
diag[i] = cfg.rho + p_up + p_dn;
|
||
sup[i] = -p_up;
|
||
rhs[i] = f[i];
|
||
}
|
||
// Neumann boundaries: V'(x_min) = V'(x_max) = 0
|
||
diag[0] = 1.0;
|
||
sup[0] = -1.0;
|
||
rhs[0] = 0.0;
|
||
sub[n - 1] = -1.0;
|
||
diag[n - 1] = 1.0;
|
||
rhs[n - 1] = 0.0;
|
||
|
||
// Thomas algorithm
|
||
let mut d = diag.clone();
|
||
let mut r = rhs.clone();
|
||
for i in 1..n {
|
||
let w = sub[i] / d[i - 1];
|
||
d[i] -= w * sup[i - 1];
|
||
r[i] -= w * r[i - 1];
|
||
}
|
||
v[n - 1] = r[n - 1] / d[n - 1];
|
||
for i in (0..n - 1).rev() {
|
||
v[i] = (r[i] - sup[i] * v[i + 1]) / d[i];
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
// Obstacle projection: acting costs 1 per unit of displacement
|
||
for i in 1..n {
|
||
let candidate = v[i - 1] - dx;
|
||
if candidate > v[i] {
|
||
v[i] = candidate;
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
for i in (0..n - 1).rev() {
|
||
let candidate = v[i + 1] - dx;
|
||
if candidate > v[i] {
|
||
v[i] = candidate;
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
// Check convergence
|
||
residual = (&v - &v_old)
|
||
.mapv(|x| x.abs())
|
||
.iter()
|
||
.fold(0.0f64, |acc, &x| acc.max(x));
|
||
|
||
iterations = iter + 1;
|
||
|
||
if residual < cfg.tolerance {
|
||
break;
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
// `!(a < b)` also catches NaN residuals
|
||
if !(residual < cfg.tolerance) {
|
||
return Err(OptimalControlError::ConvergenceError(format!(
|
||
"Failed to converge after {} iterations (residual: {:.2e})",
|
||
iterations, residual
|
||
)));
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
// Compute gradient (first derivative)
|
||
let gradient = self.compute_gradient(&v, dx);
|
||
|
||
// Compute hessian (second derivative)
|
||
let hessian = self.compute_hessian(&v, dx);
|
||
|
||
// Find optimal boundaries
|
||
let (lower_boundary, upper_boundary) = self.find_boundaries(&x, &gradient, cfg.theta);
|
||
|
||
Ok(HJBResult {
|
||
x,
|
||
value: v,
|
||
gradient,
|
||
hessian,
|
||
lower_boundary,
|
||
upper_boundary,
|
||
iterations,
|
||
residual,
|
||
})
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/// Compute first derivative using central differences
|
||
fn compute_gradient(&self, v: &Array1<f64>, dx: f64) -> Array1<f64> {
|
||
let n = v.len();
|
||
let mut gradient = Array1::<f64>::zeros(n);
|
||
|
||
// Interior points (central difference)
|
||
for i in 1..n - 1 {
|
||
gradient[i] = (v[i + 1] - v[i - 1]) / (2.0 * dx);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
// Boundaries (forward/backward difference)
|
||
gradient[0] = (v[1] - v[0]) / dx;
|
||
gradient[n - 1] = (v[n - 1] - v[n - 2]) / dx;
|
||
|
||
gradient
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/// Compute second derivative using finite differences
|
||
fn compute_hessian(&self, v: &Array1<f64>, dx: f64) -> Array1<f64> {
|
||
let n = v.len();
|
||
let mut hessian = Array1::<f64>::zeros(n);
|
||
|
||
// Interior points
|
||
for i in 1..n - 1 {
|
||
hessian[i] = (v[i + 1] - 2.0 * v[i] + v[i - 1]) / dx.powi(2);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
// Boundaries (one-sided)
|
||
hessian[0] = hessian[1];
|
||
hessian[n - 1] = hessian[n - 2];
|
||
|
||
hessian
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
/// Find optimal switching boundaries
|
||
#[allow(unused_variables)] // theta parameter reserved for future use
|
||
fn find_boundaries(&self, x: &Array1<f64>, gradient: &Array1<f64>, theta: f64) -> (f64, f64) {
|
||
let n = x.len();
|
||
let mid_idx = n / 2;
|
||
|
||
// Lower boundary: V' ≈ 1 (below mean)
|
||
let mut lower_idx = 0;
|
||
let mut min_dist = f64::INFINITY;
|
||
for i in 0..mid_idx {
|
||
let dist = (gradient[i] - 1.0).abs();
|
||
if dist < min_dist {
|
||
min_dist = dist;
|
||
lower_idx = i;
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
// Upper boundary: V' ≈ -1 (above mean)
|
||
let mut upper_idx = n - 1;
|
||
min_dist = f64::INFINITY;
|
||
for i in mid_idx..n {
|
||
let dist = (gradient[i] + 1.0).abs();
|
||
if dist < min_dist {
|
||
min_dist = dist;
|
||
upper_idx = i;
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
(x[lower_idx], x[upper_idx])
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
#[cfg(test)]
|
||
mod tests {
|
||
use super::*;
|
||
use approx::assert_relative_eq;
|
||
|
||
#[test]
|
||
fn test_hjb_solver_convergence() {
|
||
let config = HJBConfig {
|
||
kappa: 0.5,
|
||
theta: 0.0,
|
||
sigma: 0.1,
|
||
rho: 0.04,
|
||
transaction_cost: 0.001,
|
||
n_points: 100,
|
||
max_iter: 1000,
|
||
tolerance: 1e-5,
|
||
n_std: 3.0,
|
||
};
|
||
|
||
let solver = HJBSolver::new(config).unwrap();
|
||
let result = solver.solve().unwrap();
|
||
|
||
assert!(result.iterations < 1000);
|
||
assert!(result.residual < 1e-5);
|
||
assert!(result.lower_boundary < result.upper_boundary);
|
||
assert!(result.lower_boundary < 0.0);
|
||
assert!(result.upper_boundary > 0.0);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
#[test]
|
||
fn test_hjb_solver_symmetry() {
|
||
let config = HJBConfig {
|
||
kappa: 1.0,
|
||
theta: 0.0,
|
||
sigma: 0.2,
|
||
..Default::default()
|
||
};
|
||
|
||
let solver = HJBSolver::new(config).unwrap();
|
||
let result = solver.solve().unwrap();
|
||
|
||
// For symmetric OU process, boundaries should be symmetric
|
||
assert_relative_eq!(
|
||
result.lower_boundary.abs(),
|
||
result.upper_boundary.abs(),
|
||
epsilon = 0.1
|
||
);
|
||
}
|
||
}
|