docs: add implementation summary for time-series helpers
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# Time-Series Integration Helpers Implementation Summary
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## Overview
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Completed Priority 3 from Enhancement Strategy: Time-series integration helpers for OptimizR v0.3.0. These 6 helper functions bridge OptimizR's optimization capabilities with time-series analysis, particularly useful for regime-switching models and pairs trading strategies.
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## Implementation Details
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### Core Functions (src/timeseries_utils.rs)
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1. **`prepare_for_hmm(prices: &[f64], lag_periods: &[usize]) -> Vec<Vec<f64>>`**
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- Purpose: Feature engineering for Hidden Markov Model regime detection
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- Creates feature matrix with:
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- Simple returns: (P_t - P_{t-1}) / P_{t-1}
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- Log returns: ln(P_t / P_{t-1})
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- Volatility proxy: squared returns
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- Lagged returns for each lag period
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- Returns: Feature matrix (N-max_lag rows × (3 + num_lags) columns)
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- Use case: Prepare price data for OptimizR's HMM regime detection
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2. **`rolling_hurst_exponent(returns: &[f64], window_size: usize) -> Vec<f64>`**
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- Purpose: Detect mean-reversion vs trending behavior
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- Computes Hurst exponent in rolling windows
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- Interpretation:
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- H < 0.5: Mean-reverting (good for pairs trading)
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- H = 0.5: Random walk
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- H > 0.5: Trending
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- Uses: `risk_metrics::hurst_exponent()` with multiple window sizes
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- Returns: Vector of H values for each window
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3. **`rolling_half_life(prices: &[f64], window_size: usize) -> Vec<f64>`**
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- Purpose: Estimate mean-reversion speed for pairs trading
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- Computes half-life in rolling windows: τ = -ln(2) / λ
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- Interpretation: Number of periods for spread to revert halfway
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- Uses: `risk_metrics::estimate_half_life()`
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- Returns: Vector of half-life estimates (periods)
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4. **`return_statistics(returns: &[f64]) -> (f64, f64, f64, f64, f64)`**
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- Purpose: Comprehensive risk metrics for strategy evaluation
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- Returns tuple: (mean, std, skewness, kurtosis, sharpe_ratio)
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- All statistics computed from single pass over data
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- Sharpe ratio assumes risk-free rate = 0
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- Use case: Quick risk assessment of trading strategies
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5. **`create_lagged_features(series: &[f64], lags: &[usize], include_original: bool) -> Vec<Vec<f64>>`**
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- Purpose: Create feature matrix for ML prediction models
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- Creates lagged versions of time series
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- Optional inclusion of original series (t) alongside lags (t-1, t-2, ...)
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- Returns: Feature matrix (N-max_lag rows × num_features columns)
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- Use case: Feature engineering for LSTM, Random Forest, etc.
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6. **`rolling_correlation(series1: &[f64], series2: &[f64], window_size: usize) -> Vec<f64>`**
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- Purpose: Track correlation stability for pairs trading
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- Computes Pearson correlation in rolling windows
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- Validates series lengths match
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- Returns: Vector of correlation coefficients [-1, 1]
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- Use case: Monitor cointegration breakdown in pairs trading
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### Python Bindings (src/timeseries_utils/python_bindings.rs)
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All functions exposed with `_py` suffix:
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- `prepare_for_hmm_py`
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- `rolling_hurst_exponent_py`
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- `rolling_half_life_py`
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- `return_statistics_py`
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- `create_lagged_features_py`
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- `rolling_correlation_py`
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Python API mirrors Rust API with automatic type conversions (Vec<f64> ↔ list[float]).
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### Module Integration
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**Rust:**
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- `src/lib.rs`: Added `pub mod timeseries_utils;`
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- `src/lib.rs`: Called `timeseries_utils::python_bindings::register_python_functions(m)?;`
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**Python:**
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- `python/optimizr/core.py`: Import functions from `_core`
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- `python/optimizr/__init__.py`: Re-export all functions
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- Functions accessible via: `import optimizr; optimizr.prepare_for_hmm_py(...)`
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## Technical Challenges & Solutions
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### Challenge 1: Type Compatibility with risk_metrics
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**Problem:** Functions needed `Array1<f64>` but worked with `&[f64]`
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**Solution:** Convert slices to Array1: `Array1::from_vec(window.to_vec())`
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### Challenge 2: API Discovery
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**Problem:** Used non-existent `compute_hurst_exponent`
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**Solution:** Read risk_metrics source, found correct API: `hurst_exponent(series, window_sizes)`
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### Challenge 3: Build System
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**Problem:** `cargo build` failed with Python linking errors
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**Solution:** Use `maturin develop --release` for proper Python extension building
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### Challenge 4: Python Module Exports
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**Problem:** Functions built but not accessible from Python
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**Solution:** Added imports to core.py from `_core` module
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## Build & Test Results
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**Build:** ✅ Success
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```bash
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$ maturin develop --release
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Compiling optimizr v0.2.0
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Finished `release` profile [optimized] target(s) in 40.93s
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📦 Built wheel for CPython 3.8+ to /tmp/tmpXXX
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🛠 Installed optimizr-0.2.0
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```
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**Tests:** ✅ All Passing
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```python
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# All 6 functions tested and working:
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✅ prepare_for_hmm_py: 4 rows x 4 cols
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✅ rolling_hurst_exponent_py: 6 values
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✅ rolling_half_life_py: 6 values
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✅ return_statistics_py: (mean=0.0086, std=0.0137, ...)
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✅ create_lagged_features_py: 7 rows x 4 cols
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✅ rolling_correlation_py: 6 values
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```
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## Example Usage
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Created comprehensive example: `examples/timeseries_integration.py`
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**Individual Function Examples:**
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- Feature engineering for HMM
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- Mean-reversion detection with Hurst
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- Half-life estimation for pairs trading
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- Risk metrics calculation
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- ML feature creation
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- Correlation tracking
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**Integrated Workflow:**
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Complete pairs trading analysis:
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1. Check mean-reversion (Hurst < 0.5?)
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2. Estimate reversion speed (half-life)
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3. Verify correlation stability
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4. Compute risk metrics
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5. Generate trading recommendation
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## Usage Patterns
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### Regime Detection
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```python
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import optimizr
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prices = [100.0, 101.5, 99.8, 102.3, 103.7]
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features = optimizr.prepare_for_hmm_py(prices, [1, 2])
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# Use with OptimizR's HMM for regime detection
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```
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### Mean-Reversion Check
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```python
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returns = [0.01, -0.015, 0.025, 0.015, 0.010]
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hurst = optimizr.rolling_hurst_exponent_py(returns, window=5)
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if hurst[0] < 0.5:
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print("Mean-reverting behavior detected!")
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```
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### Pairs Trading Setup
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```python
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# Check cointegration
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spread = [s1 - s2 for s1, s2 in zip(asset1_prices, asset2_prices)]
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# Estimate reversion speed
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half_life = optimizr.rolling_half_life_py(spread, window=20)
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print(f"Spread reverts in ~{half_life[0]:.0f} periods")
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# Monitor correlation
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corr = optimizr.rolling_correlation_py(returns1, returns2, window=30)
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```
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## Git Commit
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**Commit:** 9a8032e
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**Branch:** main
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**Message:** feat(timeseries): add time-series integration helpers for financial analysis
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**Files Changed:**
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- src/timeseries_utils.rs (new)
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- src/timeseries_utils/python_bindings.rs (new)
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- src/lib.rs (modified)
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- python/optimizr/core.py (modified)
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- python/optimizr/__init__.py (modified)
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- examples/timeseries_integration.py (new)
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- ENHANCEMENT_STRATEGY.md (new)
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**Pushed:** origin/main ✅
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**Logged:** historia/copilot-session-20260102.log ✅
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## Next Steps (from Enhancement Strategy)
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1. ~~Priority 3: Time-series integration helpers~~ ✅ **COMPLETED**
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2. **Priority 1:** Sparse optimization enhancements
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- L1-regularized optimization
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- Feature selection algorithms
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- Compressed sensing
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3. **Priority 2:** Advanced evolutionary algorithms
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- Implement SHADE (Success-History based Adaptive DE)
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- Self-adaptive parameter control
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- Superior to standard DE on benchmark functions
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## Performance Notes
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- All functions use efficient Rust implementations
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- No Python GIL contention (pure Rust computation)
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- Zero-copy data transfer where possible
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- Suitable for production financial analysis
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## Dependencies
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- ndarray 0.15: Array operations
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- risk_metrics module: Hurst exponent, half-life estimation
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- PyO3 0.21: Python bindings with abi3 support
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## Compatibility
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- Python: 3.8+ (abi3 compatibility)
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- Platforms: Linux, macOS, Windows
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- Build: Requires maturin 1.x
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---
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**Status:** ✅ Complete
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**Date:** 2026-01-02
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**Commit:** 9a8032e
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**Time:** ~60 minutes from implementation to commit
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