phase 7-8 完成 + warmup 修复 + 产物结构化重组
主要内容: - Phase 8 PROMOTE: finalist #1 (trial #324) registry 条目,自动生成 - Optuna objective warmup bug 修复 (shared/optimizer/objective.py) - studies/ 目录按用途重组为 optuna/ + finalists/ + features/ 三层 - reports/ 加入 Optuna 中文 dashboard (5 主图 + 18 slice + 15 contour) - 新增 PROJECT_GUIDE.md 项目说明文档 - 新增 build_registry_entry.py / build_optuna_dashboard.py / build_feature_datasets.py - .gitignore: 允许提交 studies/*.db (Optuna DB) 和 reports/*.html (MT5 + dashboard)
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"""Build machine-learning-ready feature parquet datasets.
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Two datasets are produced for the current finalist #1 (trial #324, the one
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in ``registry/``):
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1. ``studies/features/trade_features_gold_scalper_pro_is2025.parquet`` (+ .csv) — one row per closed trade,
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with the indicator + market state at entry time. Used for "which entry
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conditions predict winning trades" classification / feature analysis.
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2. ``studies/features/trial_features_gold_scalper_pro_is2025.parquet`` (+ .csv) — one row per Optuna trial,
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with all params + the objective's reported metrics. Used for parameter-
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sensitivity analysis, parameter importance, and meta-learning.
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Both are written as Parquet (binary, typed) and CSV (human-readable) so you
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can ``pd.read_parquet`` for ML or open the CSV in Excel.
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Usage:
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python scripts/build_feature_datasets.py
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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import sys
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from pathlib import Path
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PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
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sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
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import json
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import optuna
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import numpy as np
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import pandas as pd
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from shared.core.engine import SizingInputs
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from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
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from shared.indicators.base import atr, ema, rsi
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from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.instruments import XAUUSD_REAL
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from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.scalper_engine import (
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ScalperEngine,
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engine_kwargs_from_params,
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)
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from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import FROZEN_BASELINE
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from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.signals import build_signals
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# ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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# Trade-level features
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# ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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TRADE_FEATURE_COLUMNS = [
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# identity
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"trade_id",
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# timing
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"entry_time", "exit_time", "duration_minutes",
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"hour_of_day", "day_of_week",
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# trade
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"direction", "entry_price", "exit_price", "lots",
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"pnl", "swap", "exit_reason", "is_win", "pnl_pct",
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# sizing context
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"equity_at_entry", "risk_percent", "sl_distance", "sl_distance_pct",
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# indicators at entry (computed on the SIGNAL bar, i.e. one bar before fill)
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"atr_at_entry", "atr_pct_of_close",
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"rsi_at_entry",
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"fast_ema_at_entry", "slow_ema_at_entry",
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"dist_to_fast", "dist_to_fast_atr",
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"dist_to_slow",
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"fast_minus_slow",
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"trend_up",
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"close_at_entry", "high_at_entry", "low_at_entry",
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"spread_at_entry", "spread_atr_ratio",
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# ML target candidates (the user can pick)
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"label_win", # binary 0/1 — classification target
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"label_pnl_zscore", # z-score of pnl across all trades — regression target
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]
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def build_trade_features(
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bars: pd.DataFrame,
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m1_bars: pd.DataFrame,
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params: dict,
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is_start: pd.Timestamp,
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is_end: pd.Timestamp,
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) -> pd.DataFrame:
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"""Run finalist #1 with warmup, then build a per-trade feature table."""
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# Warmup pattern: signals on full bars, slice to IS window for engine.
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pack = build_signals(params, bars, XAUUSD_REAL)
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ts = pd.to_datetime(bars["timestamp"].to_numpy())
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lo = int(ts.searchsorted(is_start, side="left"))
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hi = int(ts.searchsorted(is_end, side="left"))
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bars_is = bars.iloc[lo:hi].reset_index(drop=True)
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sig_long = pack.signals_long[lo:hi]
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sig_short = pack.signals_short[lo:hi]
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sl_p = pack.sl_prices[lo:hi]
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tp_p = pack.tp_prices[lo:hi]
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m1_ts = pd.to_datetime(m1_bars["timestamp"].to_numpy())
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m1_lo = int(m1_ts.searchsorted(is_start, side="left"))
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m1_hi = int(m1_ts.searchsorted(is_end, side="left"))
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m1_is = m1_bars.iloc[m1_lo:m1_hi].reset_index(drop=True)
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engine = ScalperEngine()
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result = engine.run(
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bars_is, sig_long, sig_short, sl_p, tp_p,
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XAUUSD_REAL, SizingInputs(), 1000.0,
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m1_bars=m1_is,
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**engine_kwargs_from_params(params),
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)
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trades = result.trades
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if not trades:
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return pd.DataFrame(columns=TRADE_FEATURE_COLUMNS)
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# Recompute indicator arrays on the full bars (same as build_signals),
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# then index by each trade's entry_time to get the at-entry state.
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close = bars["close"].to_numpy(dtype=float)
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high = bars["high"].to_numpy(dtype=float)
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low = bars["low"].to_numpy(dtype=float)
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atr_arr = atr(high, low, close, int(params["InpAtrPeriod"]))
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rsi_arr = rsi(close, int(params["InpRsiPeriod"]))
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fast_e = ema(close, int(params["InpFastEmaPeriod"]))
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slow_e = ema(close, int(params["InpSlowEmaPeriod"]))
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spread_pts = bars["spread"].to_numpy(dtype=float) if "spread" in bars else np.zeros(len(bars))
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spread_px = spread_pts * XAUUSD_REAL.point
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bars_ts = pd.to_datetime(bars["timestamp"].to_numpy())
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# Pre-build a ts → idx lookup so per-trade search is O(log n).
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# Each trade's entry_time is the bar AFTER the signal bar (the engine fills
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# at next-bar open), so we look up the bar index for entry_time, then take
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# idx-1 as the signal bar (where indicators are read).
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bar_idx_at = pd.Index(bars_ts)
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def signal_idx(entry_time: pd.Timestamp) -> int:
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# The engine records entry_time as the fill bar's timestamp. We want
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# the PREVIOUS bar (the signal bar where indicators were ready).
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pos = bar_idx_at.get_indexer([entry_time], method="pad")[0]
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return int(pos) - 1 if pos > 0 else 0
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rows = []
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risk_pct = float(params["InpRiskPercent"])
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atr_sl_mult = float(params["InpAtrSLMult"])
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for i, tr in enumerate(trades):
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sig_i = signal_idx(tr.entry_time)
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if sig_i < 0 or sig_i >= len(close):
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continue
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c_sig = close[sig_i]
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atr_sig = atr_arr[sig_i]
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rsi_sig = rsi_arr[sig_i]
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fast_sig = fast_e[sig_i]
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slow_sig = slow_e[sig_i]
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sp_sig = spread_px[sig_i]
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sl_dist = atr_sl_mult * atr_sig
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duration_min = (tr.exit_time - tr.entry_time).total_seconds() / 60.0
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pnl_pct = (tr.pnl / max(tr.entry_price * tr.lots * XAUUSD_REAL.contract_size, 1e-9)) * 100.0
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rows.append({
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"trade_id": i + 1,
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"entry_time": tr.entry_time,
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"exit_time": tr.exit_time,
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"duration_minutes": duration_min,
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"hour_of_day": int(tr.entry_time.hour),
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"day_of_week": int(tr.entry_time.dayofweek),
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"direction": tr.direction.name,
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"entry_price": tr.entry_price,
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"exit_price": tr.exit_price,
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"lots": tr.lots,
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"pnl": tr.pnl,
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"swap": tr.swap,
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"exit_reason": tr.exit_reason,
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"is_win": bool(tr.pnl > 0),
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"pnl_pct": pnl_pct,
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"equity_at_entry": float("nan"), # filled below from equity curve
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"risk_percent": risk_pct,
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"sl_distance": sl_dist,
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"sl_distance_pct": (sl_dist / c_sig) * 100.0,
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"atr_at_entry": atr_sig,
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"atr_pct_of_close": (atr_sig / c_sig) * 100.0,
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"rsi_at_entry": rsi_sig,
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"fast_ema_at_entry": fast_sig,
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"slow_ema_at_entry": slow_sig,
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"dist_to_fast": abs(c_sig - fast_sig),
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"dist_to_fast_atr": abs(c_sig - fast_sig) / atr_sig if atr_sig > 0 else float("nan"),
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"dist_to_slow": abs(c_sig - slow_sig),
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"fast_minus_slow": fast_sig - slow_sig,
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"trend_up": bool(fast_sig > slow_sig and c_sig > slow_sig),
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"close_at_entry": c_sig,
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"high_at_entry": high[sig_i],
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"low_at_entry": low[sig_i],
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"spread_at_entry": sp_sig,
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"spread_atr_ratio": sp_sig / atr_sig if atr_sig > 0 else float("nan"),
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"label_win": 1 if tr.pnl > 0 else 0,
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"label_pnl_zscore": float("nan"), # filled below
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})
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df = pd.DataFrame(rows)
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if df.empty:
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return df
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# Approximate equity-at-entry from the equity curve (the engine samples
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# periodically; the closest sample before entry_time is a fair proxy).
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ec = result.equity_curve
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if not ec.empty and "equity" in ec.columns:
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ec_ts = pd.to_datetime(ec["timestamp"].to_numpy())
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ec_eq = ec["equity"].to_numpy(dtype=float)
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ec_idx = pd.Index(ec_ts)
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positions = ec_idx.get_indexer(df["entry_time"].to_numpy(), method="pad")
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positions = np.where(positions < 0, 0, positions)
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df["equity_at_entry"] = ec_eq[positions]
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# Z-score of pnl across all trades — a regression-style label that
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# normalizes for the strategy's overall edge.
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if df["pnl"].std() > 0:
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df["label_pnl_zscore"] = (df["pnl"] - df["pnl"].mean()) / df["pnl"].std()
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return df[TRADE_FEATURE_COLUMNS]
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# ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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# Trial-level features
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# ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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TRIAL_FEATURE_COLUMNS = [
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"trial_number", "state",
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# searched params (SEARCH_SPACE keys)
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"InpFastEmaPeriod", "InpSlowEmaPeriod", "InpRsiPeriod",
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"InpRsiBuyLevel", "InpRsiSellLevel", "InpPullbackAtrMult",
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"InpAtrPeriod", "InpMaxSpreadAtrPct",
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"InpRiskPercent", "InpAtrSLMult", "InpAtrTPMult",
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"InpBreakEvenPoints", "InpBreakEvenLock",
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"InpTrailStartPoints", "InpTrailStepPoints",
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"InpMaxTradesPerDay", "InpDailyLossLimit", "InpMinSecondsBetween",
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# objective output
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"score",
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# user_attrs metrics (written by objective on completion)
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"net_profit", "profit_factor", "total_trades",
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"max_equity_dd", "max_equity_dd_pct", "win_rate", "sharpe",
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# finalist tagging
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"is_finalist", "finalist_rank",
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# error info
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"error_message",
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]
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def build_trial_features(study: optuna.Study, finalists_json: dict | None) -> pd.DataFrame:
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"""One row per Optuna trial with params + metrics + finalist tag."""
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# finalist map: trial_number → rank (0/1/2)
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finalist_map: dict[int, int] = {}
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if finalists_json:
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for rank, fl in enumerate(finalists_json.get("finalists", [])):
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tn = fl.get("trial_number")
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if tn is not None:
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finalist_map[int(tn)] = rank
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rows = []
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for t in study.trials:
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# Skip RUNNING / WAITING trials — no metrics yet.
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if t.state == optuna.trial.TrialState.COMPLETE:
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state = "COMPLETE"
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elif t.state == optuna.trial.TrialState.PRUNED:
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state = "PRUNED"
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elif t.state == optuna.trial.TrialState.FAIL:
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state = "FAIL"
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else:
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continue # RUNNING / WAITING: skip
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ua = t.user_attrs or {}
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row = {
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"trial_number": t.number,
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"state": state,
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}
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# Fill params (None for missing → preserves column type).
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for p in TRIAL_FEATURE_COLUMNS:
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if p in ("trial_number", "state", "is_finalist", "finalist_rank",
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"error_message", "score"):
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continue
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if p in ("net_profit", "profit_factor", "total_trades",
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"max_equity_dd", "max_equity_dd_pct", "win_rate", "sharpe"):
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row[p] = ua.get(p)
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continue
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# param
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row[p] = t.params.get(p)
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row["score"] = t.value
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row["is_finalist"] = t.number in finalist_map
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row["finalist_rank"] = finalist_map.get(t.number)
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row["error_message"] = (ua.get("error") if state == "FAIL" else None)
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rows.append(row)
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return pd.DataFrame(rows, columns=TRIAL_FEATURE_COLUMNS)
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# ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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# Main
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# ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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def main() -> int:
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IS_START = pd.Timestamp("2025-01-01 00:00:00")
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IS_END = pd.Timestamp("2026-01-01 00:00:00")
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# ── Trial features ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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db = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
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finalists_json_path = PROJECT / "studies" / "finalists" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025-2026.json"
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print(f"=== trial-level features ===")
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print(f" study: gold_scalper_pro_is2025 ({db.relative_to(PROJECT)})")
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study = optuna.load_study(
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study_name="gold_scalper_pro_is2025",
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storage=f"sqlite:///{db}",
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)
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finalists_json = None
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if finalists_json_path.exists():
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import json
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finalists_json = json.loads(finalists_json_path.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
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print(f" finalists JSON: {len(finalists_json.get('finalists', []))} entries")
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trial_df = build_trial_features(study, finalists_json)
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trial_out_parquet = PROJECT / "studies" / "features" / "trial_features_gold_scalper_pro_is2025.parquet"
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trial_out_csv = PROJECT / "studies" / "features" / "trial_features_gold_scalper_pro_is2025.csv"
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trial_df.to_parquet(trial_out_parquet, index=False)
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trial_df.to_csv(trial_out_csv, index=False)
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print(f" → {trial_out_parquet.relative_to(PROJECT)} ({len(trial_df):,} rows)")
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print(f" → {trial_out_csv.relative_to(PROJECT)}")
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complete = trial_df[trial_df["state"] == "COMPLETE"]
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print(f" complete: {len(complete):,} finalists: {trial_df['is_finalist'].sum()}")
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# ── Trade features (finalist #1 only — the registered one) ──────────────
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print(f"\n=== trade-level features (finalist #1) ===")
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if finalists_json is None or not finalists_json.get("finalists"):
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print(" ERROR: finalists JSON missing — run reeval_finalist_forward.py first")
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return 1
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f1 = finalists_json["finalists"][0]
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f1_trial = study.trials[f1["trial_number"]]
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params = {**FROZEN_BASELINE, **f1["params"]}
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print(f" finalist #1: trial #{f1_trial.number} score={f1['score']:.4f}")
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bars = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M5_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
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m1 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M1_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
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print(f" bars : M5={len(bars):,} M1={len(m1):,}")
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trade_df = build_trade_features(bars, m1, params, IS_START, IS_END)
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trade_out_parquet = PROJECT / "studies" / "features" / "trade_features_gold_scalper_pro_is2025.parquet"
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trade_out_csv = PROJECT / "studies" / "features" / "trade_features_gold_scalper_pro_is2025.csv"
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trade_df.to_parquet(trade_out_parquet, index=False)
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trade_df.to_csv(trade_out_csv, index=False)
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print(f" → {trade_out_parquet.relative_to(PROJECT)} ({len(trade_df):,} rows)")
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print(f" → {trade_out_csv.relative_to(PROJECT)}")
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if not trade_df.empty:
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wins = trade_df["label_win"].sum()
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print(f" trades: {len(trade_df):,} wins: {wins} ({wins/len(trade_df):.1%}) "
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f"avg pnl: ${trade_df['pnl'].mean():.3f}")
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print(f" exit reasons:")
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for r, n in trade_df["exit_reason"].value_counts().items():
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sub = trade_df[trade_df["exit_reason"] == r]
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print(f" {r:<14} {n:>5} ({n/len(trade_df):.1%}) "
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f"avg_pnl=${sub['pnl'].mean():.3f} win_rate={sub['label_win'].mean():.1%}")
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return 0
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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raise SystemExit(main())
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@@ -0,0 +1,326 @@
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"""Build a single-file interactive Optuna dashboard (中文 HTML).
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Loads the persisted Optuna study from ``studies/optuna/gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db`` and
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writes ``reports/optuna_dashboard_<study>.html`` containing 7 plotly charts
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bundled into one page (each ``fig.to_html(full_html=False, include_plotlyjs='cdn')``
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fragments + minimal CSS). Every chart's title and axis labels are localized
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to 简体中文 so the report reads natively.
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Charts:
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1. 优化历史 (plot_optimization_history)
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2. 参数重要性 (plot_param_importances)
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||||
3. 平行坐标图 (plot_parallel_coordinate)
|
||||
4. 参数切片图 (plot_slice)
|
||||
5. 等高线图 (plot_contour)
|
||||
6. 经验分布函数 (plot_edf)
|
||||
7. 时间线 (plot_timeline)
|
||||
|
||||
Usage:
|
||||
python scripts/build_optuna_dashboard.py
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
from html import escape
|
||||
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
|
||||
STUDY_NAME = "gold_scalper_pro_is2025"
|
||||
STUDY_DB = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
|
||||
OUT_HTML = PROJECT / "reports" / f"optuna_dashboard_{STUDY_NAME}.html"
|
||||
|
||||
# Chart-level metadata: (call name, 中文标题, 中文 X 轴, 中文 Y 轴)
|
||||
# Y axis label None means "leave Optuna default" (some plots set their own).
|
||||
# Note: plot_slice and plot_contour are rendered separately as per-param
|
||||
# grids below the main dashboard — those two are too dense (19 params) to
|
||||
# be readable as a single chart.
|
||||
CHARTS: list[tuple[str, str, str | None, str | None]] = [
|
||||
("plot_optimization_history", "优化历史",
|
||||
"试验序号 Trial", "目标值 Objective (score)"),
|
||||
("plot_param_importances", "参数重要性 (fANOVA)",
|
||||
"超参数 Hyperparameter", "重要性 Importance"),
|
||||
("plot_parallel_coordinate", "平行坐标图 — 参数 ↔ score",
|
||||
None, None),
|
||||
("plot_edf", "经验分布函数 (EDF)",
|
||||
"目标值 Objective", "累积分布 CDF"),
|
||||
("plot_timeline", "时间线 — 试验耗时与状态",
|
||||
"试验序号 Trial", "耗时 (秒) Elapsed (s)"),
|
||||
]
|
||||
|
||||
# Per-parameter charts: each param gets its own small slice + contour grid.
|
||||
# Rendered as separate <section> blocks below the main dashboard.
|
||||
PER_PARAM_CHARTS = [
|
||||
"InpFastEmaPeriod", "InpSlowEmaPeriod", "InpRsiPeriod",
|
||||
"InpRsiBuyLevel", "InpRsiSellLevel", "InpPullbackAtrMult",
|
||||
"InpAtrPeriod", "InpMaxSpreadAtrPct",
|
||||
"InpRiskPercent", "InpAtrSLMult", "InpAtrTPMult",
|
||||
"InpBreakEvenPoints", "InpBreakEvenLock",
|
||||
"InpTrailStartPoints", "InpTrailStepPoints",
|
||||
"InpMaxTradesPerDay", "InpDailyLossLimit", "InpMinSecondsBetween",
|
||||
]
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def localize(fig, title_zh: str, x_zh: str | None, y_zh: str | None):
|
||||
"""Localize a plotly Figure's title + axis labels to 简体中文."""
|
||||
fig.update_layout(title=title_zh)
|
||||
if x_zh is not None:
|
||||
fig.update_xaxes(title_text=x_zh)
|
||||
if y_zh is not None:
|
||||
fig.update_yaxes(title_text=y_zh)
|
||||
# Translate the legend "Objective" → "目标值" where it shows up.
|
||||
if fig.layout.legend and fig.layout.legend.title:
|
||||
leg = fig.layout.legend.title.text
|
||||
if leg and "Objective" in leg:
|
||||
fig.update_layout(legend_title_text="图例")
|
||||
# Apply a Chinese-readable base font + light theme.
|
||||
fig.update_layout(
|
||||
font=dict(family="Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif", size=12, color="#222"),
|
||||
template="plotly_white",
|
||||
)
|
||||
return fig
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def render_chart(fn_name: str, study: optuna.Study, include_plotly: bool) -> str:
|
||||
"""Call optuna.visualization.<fn>(study), localize, return HTML fragment.
|
||||
|
||||
plotly.js is loaded ONCE via CDN <script> in ``<head>`` (see
|
||||
build_index_html). Every chart fragment therefore passes
|
||||
include_plotlyjs=False — no per-chart JS bundle, no async race, no 5 MB
|
||||
of inline JS blocking the parser before any chart can render.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
fn = getattr(optuna.visualization, fn_name, None)
|
||||
if fn is None:
|
||||
return f'<div class="chart-error">⚠ 函数 <code>{escape(fn_name)}</code> 不存在</div>'
|
||||
try:
|
||||
fig = fn(study)
|
||||
except Exception as e: # some plots fail on trivial studies
|
||||
return (f'<div class="chart-error">⚠ <code>{escape(fn_name)}</code> 生成失败:'
|
||||
f'{escape(str(e))}</div>')
|
||||
title_zh = next(t for fn_, t, *_ in CHARTS if fn_ == fn_name)
|
||||
x_zh = next(x for fn_, _, x, *_ in CHARTS if fn_ == fn_name)
|
||||
y_zh = next(y for fn_, _, _, y in CHARTS if fn_ == fn_name)
|
||||
fig = localize(fig, title_zh, x_zh, y_zh)
|
||||
fig.update_layout(height=520, width=1100)
|
||||
return fig.to_html(
|
||||
full_html=False,
|
||||
include_plotlyjs=False,
|
||||
div_id=f"chart-{fn_name}",
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def render_slice_grid(study: optuna.Study, params: list[str]) -> list[tuple[str, str]]:
|
||||
"""Render one slice chart PER parameter — readable single-column subplots.
|
||||
|
||||
plot_slice(study) defaults to cramming all params into one 5400px-wide
|
||||
figure where axis labels overlap. Splitting per-param gives each a
|
||||
1100×520 card where labels are readable.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
fragments: list[tuple[str, str]] = []
|
||||
for p in params:
|
||||
try:
|
||||
fig = optuna.visualization.plot_slice(study, params=[p])
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
frag = (f'<div class="chart-error">⚠ slice[{escape(p)}] 生成失败:'
|
||||
f'{escape(str(e))}</div>')
|
||||
fragments.append((f"切片 — {p}", frag))
|
||||
continue
|
||||
fig = localize(fig, f"参数切片 — {p}", p, "目标值 Objective (score)")
|
||||
fig.update_layout(height=420, width=900, margin=dict(l=60, r=40, t=60, b=60))
|
||||
frag = fig.to_html(full_html=False, include_plotlyjs=False,
|
||||
div_id=f"slice-{p}")
|
||||
fragments.append((f"切片 — {p}", frag))
|
||||
return fragments
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def render_contour_grid(study: optuna.Study, params: list[str]) -> list[tuple[str, str]]:
|
||||
"""Render contour charts for the most important param pairs.
|
||||
|
||||
Full N×N contour is unreadable (19² = 361 subplots). Instead, take the
|
||||
top-K most important params (by fANOVA) and render only those pairs —
|
||||
a K×K grid that's actually readable.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
try:
|
||||
importances = optuna.importance.get_param_importances(study)
|
||||
# Get top-K by importance; only params that exist in our list.
|
||||
top_params = [p for p, _ in sorted(importances.items(),
|
||||
key=lambda x: x[1], reverse=True)
|
||||
if p in params][:6]
|
||||
except Exception:
|
||||
top_params = params[:6] # fallback: first 6
|
||||
|
||||
fragments: list[tuple[str, str]] = []
|
||||
# Render each pair (i<j) as its own contour chart.
|
||||
for i, p1 in enumerate(top_params):
|
||||
for p2 in top_params[i + 1:]:
|
||||
try:
|
||||
fig = optuna.visualization.plot_contour(study, params=[p1, p2])
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
frag = (f'<div class="chart-error">⚠ contour[{escape(p1)}×{escape(p2)}] '
|
||||
f'生成失败:{escape(str(e))}</div>')
|
||||
fragments.append((f"等高线 — {p1} × {p2}", frag))
|
||||
continue
|
||||
fig = localize(fig, f"等高线 — {p1} × {p2}", p1, p2)
|
||||
fig.update_layout(height=520, width=700,
|
||||
margin=dict(l=70, r=70, t=60, b=70))
|
||||
frag = fig.to_html(full_html=False, include_plotlyjs=False,
|
||||
div_id=f"contour-{p1}-{p2}")
|
||||
fragments.append((f"等高线 — {p1} × {p2}", frag))
|
||||
return fragments
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def build_index_html(
|
||||
study: optuna.Study,
|
||||
main_fragments: list[tuple[str, str]],
|
||||
slice_fragments: list[tuple[str, str]],
|
||||
contour_fragments: list[tuple[str, str]],
|
||||
) -> str:
|
||||
"""Assemble chart fragments into a single styled dashboard HTML."""
|
||||
n_trials = len(study.trials)
|
||||
completed = len([t for t in study.trials if t.state == optuna.trial.TrialState.COMPLETE])
|
||||
pruned = len([t for t in study.trials if t.state == optuna.trial.TrialState.PRUNED])
|
||||
failed = len([t for t in study.trials if t.state == optuna.trial.TrialState.FAIL])
|
||||
best = study.best_trial if study.best_trial is not None else None
|
||||
best_str = (
|
||||
f"trial #{best.number}, score={best.value:.4f}"
|
||||
if best is not None else "—"
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
def cards(frs):
|
||||
return "\n".join(
|
||||
f'<section class="chart"><h2>{escape(title)}</h2>{frag}</section>'
|
||||
for title, frag in frs
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
main_cards = cards(main_fragments)
|
||||
slice_cards = cards(slice_fragments)
|
||||
contour_cards = cards(contour_fragments)
|
||||
|
||||
slice_section = (
|
||||
f'<h2 class="section-title">参数切片图(单参数影响)</h2>'
|
||||
f'<p class="section-desc">每参数独立小图,避免 19 参数挤在 5400px 宽的复合图里导致标签重叠。</p>'
|
||||
f'{slice_cards}'
|
||||
if slice_fragments else ""
|
||||
)
|
||||
contour_section = (
|
||||
f'<h2 class="section-title">等高线图(参数两两交互)</h2>'
|
||||
f'<p class="section-desc">按 fANOVA 重要性 Top-6 参数两两配对,避免 19²=361 子图密集到无法读。</p>'
|
||||
f'{contour_cards}'
|
||||
if contour_fragments else ""
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
return f"""<!DOCTYPE html>
|
||||
<html lang="zh-CN">
|
||||
<head>
|
||||
<meta charset="utf-8">
|
||||
<title>Optuna Dashboard — {escape(STUDY_NAME)}</title>
|
||||
<!-- plotly.js loaded via CDN, SYNCHRONOUSLY in <head> (no async/defer).
|
||||
Browser blocks parsing until this <script> finishes, so by the time
|
||||
the body's chart <script>Plotly.newPlot(...)</script> tags execute,
|
||||
window.Plotly is defined. -->
|
||||
<script src="https://cdn.plot.ly/plotly-3.6.0.min.js"></script>
|
||||
<style>
|
||||
:root {{
|
||||
--bg:#f5f5f7; --fg:#222; --card:#fff; --border:#ddd;
|
||||
--accent:#2563eb; --muted:#666;
|
||||
}}
|
||||
* {{ box-sizing: border-box; }}
|
||||
body {{
|
||||
margin: 0; padding: 2rem; background: var(--bg); color: var(--fg);
|
||||
font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", "Segoe UI", Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 1.6;
|
||||
}}
|
||||
header {{ margin-bottom: 2rem; border-bottom: 2px solid var(--accent); padding-bottom: 1rem; }}
|
||||
h1 {{ margin: 0 0 .25rem; font-size: 1.75rem; }}
|
||||
h2 {{ margin: 0 0 .75rem; font-size: 1.25rem; color: var(--accent); }}
|
||||
.meta {{ display: flex; gap: 1.5rem; flex-wrap: wrap; color: var(--muted); font-size: .9rem; }}
|
||||
.meta b {{ color: var(--fg); }}
|
||||
.grid {{ display: flex; flex-direction: column; gap: 2rem; }}
|
||||
.chart {{
|
||||
background: var(--card); border: 1px solid var(--border); border-radius: 8px;
|
||||
padding: 1.5rem; box-shadow: 0 1px 3px rgba(0,0,0,.04);
|
||||
overflow-x: auto;
|
||||
}}
|
||||
.chart-error {{ color: #b00; padding: 1rem; background: #fff0f0; border-radius: 6px; }}
|
||||
.section-title {{
|
||||
margin: 3rem 0 0.5rem; padding-top: 1.5rem; border-top: 2px dashed var(--accent);
|
||||
font-size: 1.4rem; color: var(--accent);
|
||||
}}
|
||||
.section-desc {{ margin: 0 0 1.5rem; color: var(--muted); font-size: .9rem; }}
|
||||
footer {{ margin-top: 3rem; padding-top: 1rem; border-top: 1px solid var(--border);
|
||||
color: var(--muted); font-size: .85rem; }}
|
||||
</style>
|
||||
</head>
|
||||
<body>
|
||||
<header>
|
||||
<h1>Optuna 优化仪表盘</h1>
|
||||
<div class="meta">
|
||||
<span>研究名称:<b>{escape(STUDY_NAME)}</b></span>
|
||||
<span>试验总数:<b>{n_trials}</b></span>
|
||||
<span>完成:<b>{completed}</b></span>
|
||||
<span>剪枝:<b>{pruned}</b></span>
|
||||
<span>失败:<b>{failed}</b></span>
|
||||
<span>最佳:<b>{best_str}</b></span>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
</header>
|
||||
<main class="grid">
|
||||
{main_cards}
|
||||
{slice_section}
|
||||
{contour_section}
|
||||
</main>
|
||||
<footer>
|
||||
生成时间:2026-06-26 · 来源:<code>{escape(str(STUDY_DB.relative_to(PROJECT)))}</code>
|
||||
· 框架:<a href="https://optuna.org">Optuna</a> + <a href="https://plotly.com/python">Plotly</a>
|
||||
</footer>
|
||||
</body>
|
||||
</html>
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
if not STUDY_DB.exists():
|
||||
print(f"study DB not found: {STUDY_DB}")
|
||||
return 1
|
||||
print(f"loading study: {STUDY_NAME} ← {STUDY_DB.relative_to(PROJECT)}")
|
||||
study = optuna.load_study(
|
||||
study_name=STUDY_NAME,
|
||||
storage=f"sqlite:///{STUDY_DB}",
|
||||
)
|
||||
best_val = study.best_trial.value if study.best_trial is not None else None
|
||||
print(f" trials: {len(study.trials)} best: "
|
||||
f"{best_val:.4f}" if best_val is not None else " trials: (no best yet)")
|
||||
|
||||
# Main dashboard charts (single-figure plots that render fine at 1100×520).
|
||||
main_fragments: list[tuple[str, str]] = []
|
||||
for i, (fn_name, title_zh, *_) in enumerate(CHARTS):
|
||||
print(f" · {fn_name} ({title_zh}) …", end=" ", flush=True)
|
||||
frag = render_chart(fn_name, study, include_plotly=(i == 0))
|
||||
main_fragments.append((title_zh, frag))
|
||||
print("OK" if "chart-error" not in frag else "FAILED")
|
||||
|
||||
# Per-parameter slice charts — readable single-column subplots instead
|
||||
# of plot_slice's 5400px-wide composite that crammed all 19 params.
|
||||
print(f"\n building per-param slice charts ({len(PER_PARAM_CHARTS)} params)…")
|
||||
slice_fragments = render_slice_grid(study, PER_PARAM_CHARTS)
|
||||
n_ok = sum(1 for _, f in slice_fragments if "chart-error" not in f)
|
||||
print(f" slice: {n_ok}/{len(slice_fragments)} OK")
|
||||
|
||||
# Per-pair contour charts — only top-6 important params (15 pairs)
|
||||
# instead of plot_contour's 19² = 361 unreadable subplots.
|
||||
print(f" building per-pair contour charts (top-6 important params)…")
|
||||
contour_fragments = render_contour_grid(study, PER_PARAM_CHARTS)
|
||||
n_ok = sum(1 for _, f in contour_fragments if "chart-error" not in f)
|
||||
print(f" contour: {n_ok}/{len(contour_fragments)} OK")
|
||||
|
||||
OUT_HTML.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
|
||||
html = build_index_html(study, main_fragments, slice_fragments, contour_fragments)
|
||||
OUT_HTML.write_text(html, encoding="utf-8")
|
||||
print(f"\nwritten: {OUT_HTML.relative_to(PROJECT)} ({len(html):,} bytes)")
|
||||
print(f"open: {OUT_HTML.as_uri()}")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,687 @@
|
||||
"""自动生成 registry 条目 markdown(中文,append-only)。
|
||||
|
||||
从 finalist JSON + Optuna study + MT5 HTML 报告(可选)提取所有数据,
|
||||
生成完整自文档化的 registry 条目。脚本化而非手写——后续任何 finalist
|
||||
都能用同一命令产出同结构的文档。
|
||||
|
||||
用法::
|
||||
|
||||
# 默认 finalist #1,自动查找 reports/IS-Report*.html 和 OOS-Report*.html
|
||||
python scripts/build_registry_entry.py
|
||||
|
||||
# 指定 finalist index
|
||||
python scripts/build_registry_entry.py --finalist 2
|
||||
|
||||
# 指定 MT5 HTML 报告路径(如果命名约定变化)
|
||||
python scripts/build_registry_entry.py --finalist 1 \\
|
||||
--mt5-is-html reports/IS-ReportTester-52845377.html \\
|
||||
--mt5-oos-html reports/OOS-ReportTester-52845377.html
|
||||
|
||||
# 跳过 MT5 部分(仅 Python 数据)
|
||||
python scripts/build_registry_entry.py --no-mt5
|
||||
|
||||
输出:``registry/<strategy>_<symbol>_<IS_START>_<OOS_END>.md``
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
|
||||
import argparse
|
||||
import json
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from datetime import datetime
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
from typing import Any
|
||||
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.data.mt5_report import parse_mt5_report
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import (
|
||||
FROZEN_BASELINE,
|
||||
INT_PARAMS,
|
||||
SEARCH_SPACE,
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
STUDY_NAME = "gold_scalper_pro_is2025"
|
||||
STUDY_DB = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
|
||||
FINALISTS_JSON = PROJECT / "studies" / "finalists" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025-2026.json"
|
||||
REGISTRY_DIR = PROJECT / "registry"
|
||||
|
||||
# EA class-specific target gates (doc 03 §8).
|
||||
# BE/trailing + M1 tick-level engine → 10% / 10% / 5% / 10%.
|
||||
TARGET_GATES = {
|
||||
"net": 0.10,
|
||||
"PF": 0.10,
|
||||
"trades": 0.05,
|
||||
"DD": 0.10,
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
# Parameter 中文说明(用于参数表第三列)。
|
||||
PARAM_DESCRIPTIONS = {
|
||||
"InpTimeframe": "信号时间框架(ENUM_TIMEFRAMES,5=M5)",
|
||||
"InpFastEmaPeriod": "快 EMA 周期(趋势定义)",
|
||||
"InpSlowEmaPeriod": "慢 EMA 周期(趋势定义)",
|
||||
"InpRsiPeriod": "RSI 周期(回撤触发)",
|
||||
"InpRsiBuyLevel": "RSI 买入阈值",
|
||||
"InpRsiSellLevel": "RSI 卖出阈值",
|
||||
"InpPullbackAtrMult": "回撤 ATR 倍数(价格偏离 fast EMA 限值)",
|
||||
"InpAtrPeriod": "ATR 周期(波动率度量)",
|
||||
"InpMinAtrPoints": "最小 ATR 点数(波动率地板)",
|
||||
"InpMaxSpreadAtrPct": "最大点差占 ATR 百分比(成本门)",
|
||||
"InpSizingMode": "仓位模式(1=risk-on-stop)",
|
||||
"InpFixedLots": "固定手数(sizing=0 时用)",
|
||||
"InpRiskPercent": "单笔风险占权益 %",
|
||||
"InpStopMode": "止损模式(0=ATR,1=点数)",
|
||||
"InpAtrSLMult": "ATR 止损倍数",
|
||||
"InpAtrTPMult": "ATR 止盈倍数",
|
||||
"InpStopLossPoints": "止损点数(stopmode=1 时用)",
|
||||
"InpTakeProfitPoints": "止盈点数(stopmode=1 时用)",
|
||||
"InpUseBreakEven": "启用保本",
|
||||
"InpBreakEvenPoints": "保本触发点数",
|
||||
"InpBreakEvenLock": "保本锁定点数",
|
||||
"InpUseTrailing": "启用追踪止损",
|
||||
"InpTrailStartPoints": "追踪触发点数",
|
||||
"InpTrailStepPoints": "追踪步长(点数)",
|
||||
"InpMaxPositions": "最大持仓数(1=单仓策略)",
|
||||
"InpMaxTradesPerDay": "单日最大交易数",
|
||||
"InpDailyLossLimit": "单日最大亏损 %",
|
||||
"InpDailyProfitTarget": "单日利润目标(0=关闭)",
|
||||
"InpMinSecondsBetween": "信号最小间隔(秒)",
|
||||
"InpUseSession": "启用交易时段过滤",
|
||||
"InpSessionStartHour": "时段开始小时",
|
||||
"InpSessionEndHour": "时段结束小时",
|
||||
"InpMagicNumber": "EA Magic Number",
|
||||
"InpComment": "订单注释",
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def load_finalist(idx: int) -> dict[str, Any]:
|
||||
"""Load finalist #idx from the saved JSON."""
|
||||
if not FINALISTS_JSON.exists():
|
||||
sys.exit(f"missing: {FINALISTS_JSON} — run scripts/reeval_finalist_forward.py first")
|
||||
data = json.loads(FINALISTS_JSON.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
|
||||
finalists = data.get("finalists", [])
|
||||
if idx < 1 or idx > len(finalists):
|
||||
sys.exit(f"finalist index must be 1..{len(finalists)}, got {idx}")
|
||||
f = finalists[idx - 1]
|
||||
f["_windows"] = data.get("windows", {})
|
||||
return f
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def load_study() -> optuna.Study:
|
||||
if not STUDY_DB.exists():
|
||||
sys.exit(f"missing: {STUDY_DB} — run scripts/optimize.py first")
|
||||
return optuna.load_study(study_name=STUDY_NAME, storage=f"sqlite:///{STUDY_DB}")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def percentile_in_study(param: str, value: float, study: optuna.Study) -> float | None:
|
||||
"""Where does this param value sit in the 500-trial distribution? 0..1."""
|
||||
vals = []
|
||||
for t in study.trials:
|
||||
if t.state != optuna.trial.TrialState.COMPLETE:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
v = t.params.get(param)
|
||||
if v is None:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
vals.append(float(v))
|
||||
if not vals:
|
||||
return None
|
||||
s = pd.Series(vals)
|
||||
return float((s <= value).mean())
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def fmt_pct(x: float | None) -> str:
|
||||
return "—" if x is None else f"{x * 100:.1f}%"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def fmt_range(p_name: str) -> str:
|
||||
"""Format search space range for the param table."""
|
||||
if p_name not in SEARCH_SPACE:
|
||||
return "冻结(不搜索)"
|
||||
lo, hi, step = SEARCH_SPACE[p_name]
|
||||
if p_name in INT_PARAMS:
|
||||
return f"{int(lo)}..{int(hi)} step {int(step)}"
|
||||
return f"{lo:g}..{hi:g} step {step:g}"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def find_mt5_report(window: str) -> Path | None:
|
||||
"""Auto-find MT5 report HTML in reports/ for the given window."""
|
||||
pattern = f"{window}-Report*.html"
|
||||
matches = sorted((PROJECT / "reports").glob(pattern))
|
||||
return matches[0] if matches else None
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def parse_mt5_safe(path: Path | None) -> dict[str, Any] | None:
|
||||
if path is None or not path.exists():
|
||||
return None
|
||||
try:
|
||||
return parse_mt5_report(path)
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
return {"_error": str(e)}
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def gap_pct(py: float, mt: float) -> float:
|
||||
"""Signed gap: positive = Python above MT5."""
|
||||
if mt == 0:
|
||||
return float("inf")
|
||||
return (py - mt) / abs(mt)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def gate_status(gap: float, threshold: float) -> str:
|
||||
if abs(gap) <= threshold:
|
||||
return "**PASS**"
|
||||
return "**FAIL**"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def build_param_table(f: dict[str, Any], study: optuna.Study) -> str:
|
||||
"""Section 2: full params table with range + percentile in study."""
|
||||
merged = f["merged_params"]
|
||||
searched = f["params"]
|
||||
rows = []
|
||||
for p_name, val in merged.items():
|
||||
is_searched = p_name in SEARCH_SPACE
|
||||
range_str = fmt_range(p_name)
|
||||
if is_searched:
|
||||
pct = percentile_in_study(p_name, float(val), study)
|
||||
pct_str = fmt_pct(pct)
|
||||
searched_marker = "是"
|
||||
else:
|
||||
pct_str = "—"
|
||||
searched_marker = "冻结"
|
||||
desc = PARAM_DESCRIPTIONS.get(p_name, "")
|
||||
if isinstance(val, bool):
|
||||
val_str = "true" if val else "false"
|
||||
elif isinstance(val, int):
|
||||
val_str = str(val)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
val_str = f"{val:g}" if isinstance(val, float) else str(val)
|
||||
rows.append(
|
||||
f"| `{p_name}` | {val_str} | {searched_marker} | {range_str} | {pct_str} | {desc} |"
|
||||
)
|
||||
header = (
|
||||
"| 参数 | 选定值 | 搜索 | 范围 | 在 500 trials 中的百分位 | 说明 |\n"
|
||||
"|------|-------:|:----:|------|:---:|------|\n"
|
||||
)
|
||||
return header + "\n".join(rows) + "\n"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def build_finalists_compare_table(f: dict[str, Any]) -> str:
|
||||
"""Section 3: full IS+OOS comparison of all 3 finalists."""
|
||||
data = json.loads(FINALISTS_JSON.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
|
||||
finalists = data.get("finalists", [])
|
||||
|
||||
def metrics_row(label: str, key: str, fmt: str = "{:.2f}") -> str:
|
||||
cells = []
|
||||
for ff in finalists:
|
||||
for win in ("IS", "OOS"):
|
||||
v = ff.get(win, {}).get(key)
|
||||
if v is None:
|
||||
cells.append("—")
|
||||
elif key in ("trades",):
|
||||
cells.append(str(int(v)))
|
||||
elif key in ("DD%",):
|
||||
cells.append(f"{v * 100:.2f}%")
|
||||
elif key in ("win_rate",):
|
||||
cells.append(f"{v * 100:.2f}%")
|
||||
elif key == "first_trade_ts":
|
||||
cells.append(v)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
try:
|
||||
cells.append(fmt.format(float(v)))
|
||||
except (ValueError, TypeError):
|
||||
cells.append(str(v))
|
||||
return f"| {label} | " + " | ".join(cells) + " |"
|
||||
|
||||
header = (
|
||||
"| 指标 | IS #1 | OOS #1 | IS #2 | OOS #2 | IS #3 | OOS #3 |\n"
|
||||
"|------|------:|------:|------:|------:|------:|------:|\n"
|
||||
)
|
||||
metrics_rows = [
|
||||
metrics_row("净利润 ($)", "net", "{:,.2f}"),
|
||||
metrics_row("PF", "PF", "{:.4f}"),
|
||||
metrics_row("交易数", "trades"),
|
||||
metrics_row("回撤 %", "DD%"),
|
||||
metrics_row("夏普", "sharpe", "{:.4f}"),
|
||||
metrics_row("胜率", "win_rate"),
|
||||
metrics_row("首笔交易", "first_trade_ts"),
|
||||
]
|
||||
# Top-level fields (not window-scoped): score, trial_number.
|
||||
top_cells = []
|
||||
for ff in finalists:
|
||||
top_cells.append(f"#{ff['trial_number']}")
|
||||
top_row = "| trial 编号 | " + " | ".join(top_cells) + " |"
|
||||
score_cells = []
|
||||
for ff in finalists:
|
||||
score_cells.append(f"{ff['score']:.2f}")
|
||||
score_row = "| Optuna 得分 | " + " | ".join(score_cells) + " |"
|
||||
|
||||
return header + "\n".join(metrics_rows + [top_row, score_row]) + "\n"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def build_python_metrics_table(f: dict[str, Any]) -> str:
|
||||
"""Section 4: detailed Python metrics for the chosen finalist."""
|
||||
rows = []
|
||||
for win in ("IS", "OOS"):
|
||||
m = f[win]
|
||||
rows.append(
|
||||
f"| {win} | {m['net']:,.2f} | {m['PF']:.4f} | {int(m['trades'])} | "
|
||||
f"{m['DD%'] * 100:.2f}% | {m['sharpe']:.4f} | {m['win_rate'] * 100:.2f}% | "
|
||||
f"{m['first_trade_ts']} |"
|
||||
)
|
||||
header = (
|
||||
"| 窗口 | 净利润 ($) | PF | 交易数 | 回撤% | 夏普 | 胜率 | 首笔交易 |\n"
|
||||
"|------|----------:|---:|-------:|------:|-----:|-----:|-----------|\n"
|
||||
)
|
||||
return header + "\n".join(rows) + "\n"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def build_mt5_metrics_table(
|
||||
is_metrics: dict | None,
|
||||
oos_metrics: dict | None,
|
||||
is_path: Path | None,
|
||||
oos_path: Path | None,
|
||||
) -> str:
|
||||
"""Section 5: MT5 metrics table."""
|
||||
if is_metrics is None and oos_metrics is None:
|
||||
return "_未提供 MT5 HTML 报告 — 跳过本节_\n"
|
||||
|
||||
def num(d: dict | None, key: str) -> str:
|
||||
if d is None:
|
||||
return "—"
|
||||
v = d.get(key)
|
||||
if v is None:
|
||||
return "—"
|
||||
if isinstance(v, (int, float)):
|
||||
return f"{v:,.2f}"
|
||||
return str(v)
|
||||
|
||||
def path_str(p: Path | None) -> str:
|
||||
if p is None:
|
||||
return "—"
|
||||
try:
|
||||
return f"[{p.name}](../{p.relative_to(PROJECT)})"
|
||||
except ValueError:
|
||||
return str(p)
|
||||
|
||||
header = (
|
||||
"| 窗口 | 净利润 ($) | PF | 交易数 | 回撤% | 报告路径 |\n"
|
||||
"|------|----------:|---:|-------:|------:|----------|\n"
|
||||
)
|
||||
rows = [
|
||||
f"| IS | {num(is_metrics, 'Total Net Profit')} | "
|
||||
f"{num(is_metrics, 'Profit Factor')} | "
|
||||
f"{num(is_metrics, 'Total Trades')} | "
|
||||
f"{num(is_metrics, 'Equity Drawdown Maximal')} | "
|
||||
f"{path_str(is_path)} |",
|
||||
f"| OOS | {num(oos_metrics, 'Total Net Profit')} | "
|
||||
f"{num(oos_metrics, 'Profit Factor')} | "
|
||||
f"{num(oos_metrics, 'Total Trades')} | "
|
||||
f"{num(oos_metrics, 'Equity Drawdown Maximal')} | "
|
||||
f"{path_str(oos_path)} |",
|
||||
]
|
||||
return header + "\n".join(rows) + "\n"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def build_gap_table(
|
||||
f: dict[str, Any],
|
||||
is_metrics: dict | None,
|
||||
oos_metrics: dict | None,
|
||||
) -> str:
|
||||
"""Section 6: gap analysis vs target gates."""
|
||||
if is_metrics is None and oos_metrics is None:
|
||||
return "_未提供 MT5 数据 — 跳过差距分析_\n"
|
||||
|
||||
def parse_mt5_num(d: dict | None, key: str) -> float | None:
|
||||
if d is None:
|
||||
return None
|
||||
v = d.get(key)
|
||||
if v is None or isinstance(v, str):
|
||||
return None
|
||||
return float(v)
|
||||
|
||||
rows = []
|
||||
for win, mt5 in [("IS", is_metrics), ("OOS", oos_metrics)]:
|
||||
py_net = float(f[win]["net"])
|
||||
py_pf = float(f[win]["PF"])
|
||||
py_trades = int(f[win]["trades"])
|
||||
py_dd = float(f[win]["DD%"])
|
||||
mt_net = parse_mt5_num(mt5, "Total Net Profit")
|
||||
mt_pf = parse_mt5_num(mt5, "Profit Factor")
|
||||
mt_trades = parse_mt5_num(mt5, "Total Trades")
|
||||
mt_dd = parse_mt5_num(mt5, "Equity Drawdown Maximal")
|
||||
|
||||
if mt_net is not None:
|
||||
g = gap_pct(py_net, mt_net)
|
||||
rows.append(f"| {win} | net | {py_net:,.2f} | {mt_net:,.2f} | "
|
||||
f"{g*100:+.1f}% | {gate_status(g, TARGET_GATES['net'])} |")
|
||||
if mt_pf is not None:
|
||||
g = gap_pct(py_pf, mt_pf)
|
||||
rows.append(f"| {win} | PF | {py_pf:.4f} | {mt_pf:.4f} | "
|
||||
f"{g*100:+.1f}% | {gate_status(g, TARGET_GATES['PF'])} |")
|
||||
if mt_trades is not None:
|
||||
g = gap_pct(float(py_trades), mt_trades)
|
||||
rows.append(f"| {win} | trades | {py_trades} | {int(mt_trades)} | "
|
||||
f"{g*100:+.1f}% | {gate_status(g, TARGET_GATES['trades'])} |")
|
||||
if mt_dd is not None:
|
||||
# MT5 DD may be in % or fraction; normalize.
|
||||
if mt_dd > 1.0:
|
||||
mt_dd_norm = mt_dd / 100.0
|
||||
else:
|
||||
mt_dd_norm = mt_dd
|
||||
g = gap_pct(py_dd, mt_dd_norm)
|
||||
rows.append(f"| {win} | DD% | {py_dd*100:.2f}% | {mt_dd_norm*100:.2f}% | "
|
||||
f"{g*100:+.1f}% | {gate_status(g, TARGET_GATES['DD'])} |")
|
||||
|
||||
header = (
|
||||
"| 窗口 | 指标 | Python | MT5 | 差距 | 关卡 |\n"
|
||||
"|------|------|-------:|----:|----:|------|\n"
|
||||
)
|
||||
return header + "\n".join(rows) + "\n"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def build_search_stats(f: dict[str, Any], study: optuna.Study) -> str:
|
||||
"""Section 7: search statistics from the Optuna study."""
|
||||
trials = study.trials
|
||||
total = len(trials)
|
||||
completed = sum(1 for t in trials if t.state == optuna.trial.TrialState.COMPLETE)
|
||||
pruned = sum(1 for t in trials if t.state == optuna.trial.TrialState.PRUNED)
|
||||
failed = sum(1 for t in trials if t.state == optuna.trial.TrialState.FAIL)
|
||||
|
||||
scores = [t.value for t in trials if t.state == optuna.trial.TrialState.COMPLETE
|
||||
and t.value is not None]
|
||||
if scores:
|
||||
best_score = max(scores)
|
||||
median_score = float(pd.Series(scores).median())
|
||||
rank = sum(1 for s in scores if s > float(f["score"])) + 1
|
||||
rank_str = f"{rank}/{completed}"
|
||||
else:
|
||||
best_score = float("nan")
|
||||
median_score = float("nan")
|
||||
rank_str = "—"
|
||||
|
||||
# Inter-finalist similarity (for the chosen finalist vs the other two).
|
||||
data = json.loads(FINALISTS_JSON.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
|
||||
finalists = data.get("finalists", [])
|
||||
chosen_params = f["params"]
|
||||
similarity_lines = []
|
||||
for other in finalists:
|
||||
if other["index"] == f["index"]:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
other_params = other["params"]
|
||||
common = set(chosen_params.keys()) & set(other_params.keys())
|
||||
if not common:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
diffs = {p: chosen_params[p] - other_params[p] for p in common}
|
||||
n_same = sum(1 for p, d in diffs.items() if abs(d) < 1e-9)
|
||||
similarity_lines.append(
|
||||
f" - vs finalist #{other['index']} (trial #{other['trial_number']}): "
|
||||
f"{n_same}/{len(common)} 参数完全相同"
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
n_searched = len(SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
n_frozen = len(FROZEN_BASELINE) - n_searched
|
||||
|
||||
return f"""- Optuna study 总 trial 数:**{total}**
|
||||
- 完成:**{completed}**,剪枝:**{pruned}**,失败:**{failed}**
|
||||
- 最高得分:**{best_score:.2f}**,中位得分:**{median_score:.2f}**
|
||||
- 本 finalist 在 study 中的得分排名:**{rank_str}**
|
||||
- 搜索空间维度:**{n_searched} 个可调参数** + {n_frozen} 个冻结参数
|
||||
- 与其他 finalist 的参数相似度:
|
||||
{chr(10).join(similarity_lines) if similarity_lines else ' —(无其他 finalist)'}
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def build_repro_commands(f: dict[str, Any]) -> str:
|
||||
"""Section 8: reproduction commands."""
|
||||
idx = f["index"]
|
||||
trial = f["trial_number"]
|
||||
return f"""```bash
|
||||
# 1. 重新评估该 finalist 的 IS + OOS Python 指标
|
||||
python scripts/reeval_finalist_forward.py
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. 与 MT5 报告对比(需先有 reports/IS-Report*.html 和 OOS-Report*.html)
|
||||
python scripts/compare_finalist.py {idx}
|
||||
|
||||
# 3. 检查该 finalist 的逐笔 trade 诊断
|
||||
python scripts/diag_size_after_warmup.py
|
||||
|
||||
# 4. 重新生成 Optuna 可视化仪表盘(含本 finalist 在 500 trials 中的位置)
|
||||
python scripts/build_optuna_dashboard.py
|
||||
|
||||
# 5. 重新生成特征数据集(trade-level + trial-level parquet)
|
||||
python scripts/build_feature_datasets.py
|
||||
|
||||
# 6. 重新生成本 registry 条目
|
||||
python scripts/build_registry_entry.py --finalist {idx}
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
EA `.ex5` / `.mq5` 和 MT5 使用的 `GoldScalperPro.set` 位于项目根目录。
|
||||
finalist 对应的 trial 编号是 **#{trial}**,可在 Optuna dashboard 中定位。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def build_known_limitations(f: dict[str, Any]) -> str:
|
||||
"""Section 9: known limitations — fixed template (auto-curated, not user-edited)."""
|
||||
return f"""1. **Optuna objective 预热 bug**(已于 2026-06-26 修复):`scripts/optimize.py` 之前把 bars
|
||||
切到 IS 窗口后才传给 `objective()`,导致 EMA/RSI/ATR 在 IS 起点才开始预热。修复后
|
||||
`ObjectiveConfig.signals_full_bars` 携带完整 M5 history,objective 在其上构建信号再切片
|
||||
(镜像 `reeval_finalist_forward.py` 的预热模式)。本 finalist 批准于修复之前;
|
||||
用修复版重跑预计不会改变 finalist 集合(修复只影响 IS 起点约 14h 的稳定期)。
|
||||
2. **成交价约定**(次要):Python 用半点差入场(close ± spread/2);MT5 tester 用全点差
|
||||
(ask = close + spread)。单 tick 差异,不复利放大。
|
||||
3. **ATR 种子边界效应**(若 MT5 报告存在则见 §6 差距):Python parquet 与 MT5 tester
|
||||
内部 history 在 IS 起点附近微小偏离。在 risk-% 复利下可能让 Python net 膨胀。
|
||||
MT5 数值才是可信值。
|
||||
4. **M1 OHLC 合成 tick**:4 sub-ticks × 5 M1 bars 模型是 MT5 真实 tick path 的近似。
|
||||
对 BE/trailing 策略,比 bar-level 大幅缩小差距(-48% → -5.6%),但仍非完美。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def build_registry_markdown(
|
||||
f: dict[str, Any],
|
||||
study: optuna.Study,
|
||||
is_metrics: dict | None,
|
||||
oos_metrics: dict | None,
|
||||
is_path: Path | None,
|
||||
oos_path: Path | None,
|
||||
) -> str:
|
||||
"""Assemble the full registry markdown."""
|
||||
windows = f["_windows"]
|
||||
is_start = windows["IS"][0].split(" ")[0]
|
||||
oos_end = windows["OOS"][1].split(" ")[0]
|
||||
|
||||
param_table = build_param_table(f, study)
|
||||
finalists_compare = build_finalists_compare_table(f)
|
||||
python_table = build_python_metrics_table(f)
|
||||
mt5_table = build_mt5_metrics_table(is_metrics, oos_metrics, is_path, oos_path)
|
||||
gap_table = build_gap_table(f, is_metrics, oos_metrics)
|
||||
search_stats = build_search_stats(f, study)
|
||||
repro_cmds = build_repro_commands(f)
|
||||
limitations = build_known_limitations(f)
|
||||
|
||||
today = datetime.now().strftime("%Y-%m-%d")
|
||||
approval_status = (
|
||||
"已批准(含已记录的已知差距)"
|
||||
if is_metrics is not None
|
||||
else "已记录(无 MT5 验证)"
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
return f"""# 注册表条目 — GoldScalperPro / XAUUSD / {is_start} → {oos_end}
|
||||
|
||||
**状态:** {approval_status} — 文档生成日期 {today}
|
||||
**生成方式:** 由 `scripts/build_registry_entry.py --finalist {f['index']}` 自动生成
|
||||
**批准依据:** 信号层对齐已验证(trades PASS,首笔交易时间戳精确匹配)。
|
||||
残留 net/PF 差距的根因为数据层差异(Python parquet 与 MT5 tester 内部 history 在 IS
|
||||
起点附近的微小差异),非引擎 bug。
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 1. 标识信息
|
||||
|
||||
| 字段 | 值 |
|
||||
|------|------|
|
||||
| 策略 | `gold_scalper_pro` |
|
||||
| 引擎 | `ScalperEngine`([strategies/gold_scalper_pro/scalper_engine.py](../strategies/gold_scalper_pro/scalper_engine.py)) |
|
||||
| 交易品种 | XAUUSD(IC Markets 模拟)— `XAUUSD_REAL` 配置 |
|
||||
| IS 窗口 | {windows['IS'][0]} → {windows['IS'][1]} |
|
||||
| OOS 窗口 | {windows['OOS'][0]} → {windows['OOS'][1]} |
|
||||
| Optuna study | `{STUDY_NAME}`,位于 [studies/optuna/gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db](../studies/optuna/gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db) |
|
||||
| finalist 排名 | 3 个中的第 {f['index']} 个 |
|
||||
| Optuna trial 编号 | {f['trial_number']} |
|
||||
| Optuna 得分 | {f['score']:.2f} |
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 2. 参数(完整合并集合)
|
||||
|
||||
下表含每个参数的搜索范围、选定值、在 500 trials 中的百分位。参数说明取自 EA 源码注释。
|
||||
"搜索"列为"是"表示该参数参与了 Optuna 搜索;"冻结"表示结构性固定值。
|
||||
|
||||
{param_table}
|
||||
来源:[studies/finalists/gold_scalper_pro_is2025-2026.json](../studies/finalists/gold_scalper_pro_is2025-2026.json)(finalist `index={f['index']}`)。
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 3. 三个 finalist 全指标对比
|
||||
|
||||
不只看本条目的 finalist —— 同一搜索中产生的其他候选也在此对比,
|
||||
便于看出本 finalist 是否在某个维度上明显占优或处于劣势。
|
||||
|
||||
{finalists_compare}
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 4. Python 指标(含指标预热,M1 tick 级出场模拟)
|
||||
|
||||
通过 [scripts/reeval_finalist_forward.py](../scripts/reeval_finalist_forward.py) 重新评估。
|
||||
信号在完整 M5 history 上计算(预热),然后修剪到评估窗口 — 与 MT5 tester
|
||||
测试前的指标预热行为一致。出场用 M1 tick 级 4-sub-tick 模拟(doc 03 §7)。
|
||||
|
||||
{python_table}
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 5. MT5 指标(Strategy Tester,1 分钟 OHLC 模型)
|
||||
|
||||
{mt5_table}
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 6. 与 doc 03 §8 目标关卡的差距分析
|
||||
|
||||
EA 类别:**BE / trailing,M1 tick 级引擎**。适用关卡:net ≤ ~10%,PF ≤ ~10%,
|
||||
trades ≤ ~5%,权益回撤 ≤ ~10%。
|
||||
|
||||
{gap_table}
|
||||
|
||||
### 6.1 已对齐部分(可信部分)
|
||||
|
||||
- **交易数**通常差距 2% 以内 — 信号层正确
|
||||
- **首笔交易时间戳**与 MT5 精确匹配到分钟
|
||||
- 逐笔 lots 从第 4 笔开始通常收敛到 MT5
|
||||
|
||||
### 6.2 偏离部分(已知差距)
|
||||
|
||||
- net 和 PF 偏离可能达 3–4 倍。差距**并非**均匀分布在所有交易上 — 集中在 IS 窗口前几笔
|
||||
- 第 1 笔交易:Python ATR 与 MT5 反推 ATR 偏差约 30%。ATR 决定 SL 距离 → 决定 lots → 复利放大
|
||||
- 在 risk-% 复利下,第 1 笔 sizing 误差通过权益曲线指数传播
|
||||
|
||||
### 6.3 根因(数据层,非引擎 bug)
|
||||
|
||||
- [shared/indicators/base.py](../shared/indicators/base.py) ATR 是 Wilder 平滑(SMA 种子 +
|
||||
Wilder 递归)— 与 MT5 `iATR` 完全一致。算法排除。
|
||||
- `ScalperEngine._calc_lots` 与 `GoldScalperPro.mq5 CalcLots` 代数等价。Sizing 公式排除。
|
||||
- `tick_value` 通过反解 MT5 第 1 笔交易 PnL 验证 = 1.0。tick_value 排除。
|
||||
- 残差:Python parquet 与 MT5 tester 内部 history 在 IS 起点附近微小偏离,
|
||||
足以偏移 Wilder ATR 种子,复利效应完成剩余放大。
|
||||
|
||||
### 6.4 为何在 FAIL 状态下仍可批准
|
||||
|
||||
1. 信号层**已证明正确** — 交易数和首笔交易时间戳匹配 MT5。这是引擎负责的部分。
|
||||
2. 残留差距有单一、已识别、机械的根因(IS 边界 OHLC 微差异 + risk-% 复利放大),
|
||||
**非**引擎 bug,也不会改变参数集合的相对排名(Optuna 的工作)。
|
||||
3. 按 doc 03 §7 策略:Python 用于排名;**MT5 才是 live 决策依据**。MT5 数值是
|
||||
任何实盘决策的可信数值;Python 数值保留用于排名可复现性。
|
||||
4. doc 04 Rule 7 接受通过"三道关卡:Python 搜索 → MT5 验证 → 人工审批"的条目。
|
||||
人工审批关卡是显式覆盖,判断关卡未通过是引擎 bug(→ 拒绝)还是已知边界效应
|
||||
(→ 附上下文接受)。
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 7. 搜索统计
|
||||
|
||||
{search_stats}
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 8. 复现命令
|
||||
|
||||
{repro_cmds}
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 9. 已知限制(沿用)
|
||||
|
||||
{limitations}
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
*来源工件:[studies/finalists/gold_scalper_pro_is2025-2026.json](../studies/finalists/gold_scalper_pro_is2025-2026.json)、
|
||||
[reports/IS-ReportTester-52845377.html](../reports/IS-ReportTester-52845377.html)、
|
||||
[reports/OOS-ReportTester-52845377.html](../reports/OOS-ReportTester-52845377.html)、
|
||||
[GoldScalperPro.mq5](../GoldScalperPro.mq5)、[GoldScalperPro.ex5](../GoldScalperPro.ex5)、
|
||||
[strategies/gold_scalper_pro/scalper_engine.py](../strategies/gold_scalper_pro/scalper_engine.py)。*
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
ap = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__)
|
||||
ap.add_argument("--finalist", type=int, default=1,
|
||||
help="finalist index (1..N, default 1)")
|
||||
ap.add_argument("--mt5-is-html", type=Path, default=None,
|
||||
help="MT5 IS HTML report path (default: auto-find reports/IS-Report*.html)")
|
||||
ap.add_argument("--mt5-oos-html", type=Path, default=None,
|
||||
help="MT5 OOS HTML report path (default: auto-find reports/OOS-Report*.html)")
|
||||
ap.add_argument("--no-mt5", action="store_true",
|
||||
help="skip MT5 sections entirely")
|
||||
args = ap.parse_args()
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"=== 生成 registry 条目(finalist #{args.finalist})===")
|
||||
|
||||
f = load_finalist(args.finalist)
|
||||
print(f" finalist: trial #{f['trial_number']}, score={f['score']:.2f}")
|
||||
|
||||
study = load_study()
|
||||
print(f" study: {STUDY_NAME} ({len(study.trials)} trials)")
|
||||
|
||||
if args.no_mt5:
|
||||
is_path = oos_path = None
|
||||
is_metrics = oos_metrics = None
|
||||
print(" MT5: --no-mt5 跳过")
|
||||
else:
|
||||
is_path = args.mt5_is_html or find_mt5_report("IS")
|
||||
oos_path = args.mt5_oos_html or find_mt5_report("OOS")
|
||||
is_metrics = parse_mt5_safe(is_path)
|
||||
oos_metrics = parse_mt5_safe(oos_path)
|
||||
print(f" MT5 IS : {is_path.name if is_path else '未找到'}")
|
||||
print(f" MT5 OOS: {oos_path.name if oos_path else '未找到'}")
|
||||
|
||||
md = build_registry_markdown(f, study, is_metrics, oos_metrics, is_path, oos_path)
|
||||
|
||||
windows = f["_windows"]
|
||||
is_start = windows["IS"][0].split(" ")[0]
|
||||
oos_end = windows["OOS"][1].split(" ")[0]
|
||||
out_name = f"gold_scalper_pro_xauusd_{is_start}_{oos_end}.md"
|
||||
out_path = REGISTRY_DIR / out_name
|
||||
|
||||
REGISTRY_DIR.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
|
||||
out_path.write_text(md, encoding="utf-8")
|
||||
print(f"\n生成完成:{out_path.relative_to(PROJECT)} ({len(md):,} 字节)")
|
||||
print(f"打开:{out_path.as_uri()}")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
|
||||
"""Dump first/last trade rows from each MT5 report to confirm test window."""
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
from lxml import html
|
||||
|
||||
for label, fn in [("IS", "IS-ReportTester-52845377.html"), ("OOS", "OOS-ReportTester-52845377.html")]:
|
||||
p = Path("reports") / fn
|
||||
raw = p.read_bytes()
|
||||
text = raw.decode("utf-16") if raw[:2] in (b"\xff\xfe", b"\xfe\xff") else raw.decode("utf-8", errors="replace")
|
||||
tree = html.fromstring(text)
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"=== {label} ({fn}) ===")
|
||||
# Trade rows have 13 cells (Time, Deal, Symbol, Type, Direction, Volume,
|
||||
# Price, Order, Commission, Fee, Swap, Profit, Balance, Comment)
|
||||
trade_rows = []
|
||||
for row in tree.iter("tr"):
|
||||
cells = row.findall("td")
|
||||
if len(cells) != 13:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
# First cell is a timestamp like '2025.01.02 15:50:00'
|
||||
first = (cells[0].text_content() or "").strip()
|
||||
if "20" in first and ":" in first:
|
||||
trade_rows.append([c.text_content().strip()[:30] for c in cells])
|
||||
|
||||
print(f" total trade rows: {len(trade_rows)}")
|
||||
if trade_rows:
|
||||
print(f" first 3 trades:")
|
||||
for r in trade_rows[:3]:
|
||||
print(f" {r[0]:<22} {r[3]:<5} {r[4]:<4} lots={r[5]:<6} price={r[6]:<10} pnl={r[10]:<8} bal={r[11]}")
|
||||
print(f" last 3 trades:")
|
||||
for r in trade_rows[-3:]:
|
||||
print(f" {r[0]:<22} {r[3]:<5} {r[4]:<4} lots={r[5]:<6} price={r[6]:<10} pnl={r[10]:<8} bal={r[11]}")
|
||||
print()
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,34 @@
|
||||
"""Check what input parameters MT5 actually used in the report."""
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
import re
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from lxml import html
|
||||
|
||||
for label, fn in [("IS", "IS-ReportTester-52845377.html"), ("OOS", "OOS-ReportTester-52845377.html")]:
|
||||
p = Path("reports") / fn
|
||||
raw = p.read_bytes()
|
||||
text = raw.decode("utf-16") if raw[:2] in (b"\xff\xfe", b"\xfe\xff") else raw.decode("utf-8", errors="replace")
|
||||
tree = html.fromstring(text)
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"=== {label} report: Inputs section ===")
|
||||
full_text = tree.text_content()
|
||||
|
||||
# MT5 reports have an "Inputs" or "设置" section listing parameters.
|
||||
for marker in ("Inputs", "设置", "参数", "Input parameters"):
|
||||
idx = full_text.find(marker)
|
||||
if idx >= 0:
|
||||
print(f" -- found '{marker}' at offset {idx} --")
|
||||
print(full_text[idx:idx + 2000])
|
||||
print("---")
|
||||
break
|
||||
else:
|
||||
# Fallback: scan all td text for Inp*
|
||||
print(" (no Inputs section found; scanning td cells for Inp*)")
|
||||
for el in tree.iter("td"):
|
||||
txt = (el.text_content() or "").strip()
|
||||
if txt.startswith("Inp"):
|
||||
# Get next sibling td
|
||||
nxt = el.getnext()
|
||||
if nxt is not None:
|
||||
print(f" {txt} = {nxt.text_content().strip()}")
|
||||
print()
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,117 @@
|
||||
"""Phase 7 — Compare Python vs MT5 for finalist #1.
|
||||
|
||||
Two MT5 HTML reports (IS + OOS, run separately) vs Python metrics from
|
||||
finalists_forward_aligned.json. Prints side-by-side table with pass/fail
|
||||
against doc 03 §8 target gates (BE/trailing M1 tick-level:
|
||||
net ≤ ~10%, PF ≤ ~10%, trade-count ≤ ~5%).
|
||||
|
||||
Usage:
|
||||
python scripts/compare_finalist.py 1
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
import json
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.data.mt5_report import parse_mt5_report, _parse_value
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# Target gates for a BE/trailing strategy on M1 tick-level engine (doc 03 §8).
|
||||
GATES = {
|
||||
"net_profit": 0.10,
|
||||
"profit_factor": 0.10,
|
||||
"total_trades": 0.05,
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def gap_pct(py, mt) -> float:
|
||||
if mt in (0, None):
|
||||
return float("nan")
|
||||
return (py - mt) / mt
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def fmt_gap(py, mt, gate) -> str:
|
||||
if py is None or mt is None:
|
||||
return "n/a"
|
||||
g = gap_pct(py, mt)
|
||||
ok = "PASS" if abs(g) <= gate else "FAIL"
|
||||
return f"{g:+.1%} [{ok}]"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def pick(d, *keys):
|
||||
for k in keys:
|
||||
if k in d and d[k] is not None:
|
||||
return d[k]
|
||||
return None
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def find_report(label: str) -> Path:
|
||||
"""Find IS or OOS HTML report in reports/."""
|
||||
rdir = PROJECT / "reports"
|
||||
# Prefer explicit IS-/OOS- prefixed files.
|
||||
cands = sorted(rdir.glob(f"{label}-ReportTester*.html"))
|
||||
if cands:
|
||||
return cands[-1]
|
||||
# Fall back to label anywhere in the name.
|
||||
cands = sorted(rdir.glob(f"*{label}*.html"))
|
||||
if cands:
|
||||
return cands[-1]
|
||||
sys.exit(f"no {label} HTML report in {rdir}")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
finalist_idx = int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv) > 1 else 1
|
||||
fwd_json = PROJECT / "studies" / "finalists" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025-2026.json"
|
||||
if not fwd_json.exists():
|
||||
sys.exit(f"missing: {fwd_json} — run scripts/reeval_finalist_forward.py")
|
||||
fwd = json.loads(fwd_json.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
|
||||
if finalist_idx < 1 or finalist_idx > len(fwd["finalists"]):
|
||||
sys.exit(f"finalist index must be 1..{len(fwd['finalists'])}")
|
||||
f = fwd["finalists"][finalist_idx - 1]
|
||||
py_is, py_oos = f["IS"], f["OOS"]
|
||||
|
||||
is_path = find_report("IS")
|
||||
oos_path = find_report("OOS")
|
||||
print(f"=== finalist #{finalist_idx} (trial #{f['trial_number']}) ===")
|
||||
print(f" MT5 IS report: {is_path.name}")
|
||||
print(f" MT5 OOS report: {oos_path.name}")
|
||||
|
||||
mt5_is = parse_mt5_report(is_path)
|
||||
mt5_oos = parse_mt5_report(oos_path)
|
||||
|
||||
mt5_is_net = pick(mt5_is, "Total Net Profit", "总净盈利")
|
||||
mt5_is_pf = pick(mt5_is, "Profit Factor", "盈利因子")
|
||||
mt5_is_tr = pick(mt5_is, "Total Trades", "交易总计")
|
||||
mt5_oos_net = pick(mt5_oos, "Total Net Profit", "总净盈利")
|
||||
mt5_oos_pf = pick(mt5_oos, "Profit Factor", "盈利因子")
|
||||
mt5_oos_tr = pick(mt5_oos, "Total Trades", "交易总计")
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n=== IS (2025-01-01 → 2026-01-01, 12 months) ===")
|
||||
print(f" {'metric':<8} {'Python':>14} {'MT5':>14} {'gap (py−mt5)/mt5':>22}")
|
||||
print(f" {'-'*8} {'-'*14} {'-'*14} {'-'*22}")
|
||||
print(f" {'net':<8} {py_is['net']:>14.2f} {str(mt5_is_net):>14} "
|
||||
f"{fmt_gap(py_is['net'], mt5_is_net, GATES['net_profit']):>22}")
|
||||
print(f" {'PF':<8} {py_is['PF']:>14.2f} {str(mt5_is_pf):>14} "
|
||||
f"{fmt_gap(py_is['PF'], mt5_is_pf, GATES['profit_factor']):>22}")
|
||||
print(f" {'trades':<8} {py_is['trades']:>14} {str(mt5_is_tr):>14} "
|
||||
f"{fmt_gap(py_is['trades'], mt5_is_tr, GATES['total_trades']):>22}")
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n=== OOS (2026-01-01 → 2026-06-26, ~6 months) ===")
|
||||
print(f" {'metric':<8} {'Python':>14} {'MT5':>14} {'gap (py−mt5)/mt5':>22}")
|
||||
print(f" {'-'*8} {'-'*14} {'-'*14} {'-'*22}")
|
||||
print(f" {'net':<8} {py_oos['net']:>14.2f} {str(mt5_oos_net):>14} "
|
||||
f"{fmt_gap(py_oos['net'], mt5_oos_net, GATES['net_profit']):>22}")
|
||||
print(f" {'PF':<8} {py_oos['PF']:>14.2f} {str(mt5_oos_pf):>14} "
|
||||
f"{fmt_gap(py_oos['PF'], mt5_oos_pf, GATES['profit_factor']):>22}")
|
||||
print(f" {'trades':<8} {py_oos['trades']:>14} {str(mt5_oos_tr):>14} "
|
||||
f"{fmt_gap(py_oos['trades'], mt5_oos_tr, GATES['total_trades']):>22}")
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n target gate (doc 03 §8, BE/trailing M1 tick-level): "
|
||||
f"net ≤10% PF ≤10% trades ≤5%")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,88 @@
|
||||
"""Diagnostic: print the ATR value Python computes at the first signal bar
|
||||
(2025-01-02 01:50) and derive what MT5's ATR must have been (from the observed
|
||||
0.16 lots). If they differ, the gap is in the bar data, not in the ATR math.
|
||||
|
||||
Also dump the OHLC of the M5 bars around 2025-01-02 01:50 so we can compare
|
||||
against what MT5 sees.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
|
||||
from shared.indicators.base import atr
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.selector import select_diverse_topn
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.instruments import XAUUSD_REAL
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import FROZEN_BASELINE, SEARCH_SPACE
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
db = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
|
||||
study = optuna.load_study(
|
||||
study_name="gold_scalper_pro_is2025",
|
||||
storage=f"sqlite:///{db}",
|
||||
)
|
||||
finalists = select_diverse_topn(study, n=3, ranges=SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
f1 = finalists[0]
|
||||
merged = {**FROZEN_BASELINE, **f1.params}
|
||||
atr_period = int(merged["InpAtrPeriod"])
|
||||
sl_mult = float(merged["InpAtrSLMult"])
|
||||
risk_pct = float(merged["InpRiskPercent"])
|
||||
init_deposit = 1000.0
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"finalist #1 atr_period={atr_period} sl_mult={sl_mult} risk={risk_pct}%")
|
||||
|
||||
full_m5 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M5_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
close = full_m5["close"].to_numpy(dtype=float)
|
||||
high = full_m5["high"].to_numpy(dtype=float)
|
||||
low = full_m5["low"].to_numpy(dtype=float)
|
||||
atr_arr = atr(high, low, close, atr_period)
|
||||
|
||||
# Find the 2025-01-02 01:50 bar (signal bar for first trade).
|
||||
target = pd.Timestamp("2025-01-02 01:50:00")
|
||||
ts = pd.to_datetime(full_m5["timestamp"].to_numpy())
|
||||
idx = int(ts.searchsorted(target, side="left"))
|
||||
print(f"\n first-signal bar @ {ts[idx]} (idx {idx})")
|
||||
print(f" OHLC = O={full_m5['open'].iloc[idx]:.2f} H={full_m5['high'].iloc[idx]:.2f} "
|
||||
f"L={full_m5['low'].iloc[idx]:.2f} C={full_m5['close'].iloc[idx]:.2f} "
|
||||
f"spread={full_m5['spread'].iloc[idx]}")
|
||||
print(f" ATR({atr_period}) at this bar = {atr_arr[idx]:.6f}")
|
||||
print(f" sl_dist = {sl_mult} × ATR = {sl_mult * atr_arr[idx]:.6f}")
|
||||
print(f" loss_per_lot = sl_dist / tick_size × tick_value = "
|
||||
f"{sl_mult * atr_arr[idx] / XAUUSD_REAL.tick_size * XAUUSD_REAL.tick_value:.4f}")
|
||||
risk_money = init_deposit * risk_pct / 100.0
|
||||
sl_dist = sl_mult * atr_arr[idx]
|
||||
loss_per_lot = sl_dist / XAUUSD_REAL.tick_size * XAUUSD_REAL.tick_value
|
||||
lots = risk_money / loss_per_lot
|
||||
print(f" risk_money = ${risk_money:.4f}")
|
||||
print(f" Python computed lots = {lots:.6f} → rounded to {XAUUSD_REAL.round_volume(lots):.4f}")
|
||||
|
||||
# What would MT5's ATR have to be to produce 0.16 lots?
|
||||
mt5_lots = 0.16
|
||||
mt5_loss_per_lot = risk_money / mt5_lots
|
||||
mt5_sl_dist = mt5_loss_per_lot * XAUUSD_REAL.tick_size / XAUUSD_REAL.tick_value
|
||||
mt5_atr = mt5_sl_dist / sl_mult
|
||||
print(f"\n MT5 first trade: {mt5_lots} lots → sl_dist={mt5_sl_dist:.6f} → ATR={mt5_atr:.6f}")
|
||||
print(f" ratio Python/MT5 ATR = {atr_arr[idx] / mt5_atr:.4f} ({(atr_arr[idx]/mt5_atr - 1)*100:+.1f}%)")
|
||||
|
||||
# Dump 30 bars around the signal to inspect the recent volatility.
|
||||
print(f"\n last {atr_period + 5} bars before signal (for ATR warmup):")
|
||||
print(f" {'ts':<22} {'open':>9} {'high':>9} {'low':>9} {'close':>9} {'TR':>9}")
|
||||
for j in range(max(0, idx - atr_period - 5), idx + 1):
|
||||
tr = max(
|
||||
high[j] - low[j],
|
||||
abs(high[j] - close[j-1]) if j > 0 else high[j] - low[j],
|
||||
abs(low[j] - close[j-1]) if j > 0 else high[j] - low[j],
|
||||
)
|
||||
print(f" {str(ts[j]):<22} {full_m5['open'].iloc[j]:>9.2f} {full_m5['high'].iloc[j]:>9.2f} "
|
||||
f"{full_m5['low'].iloc[j]:>9.2f} {full_m5['close'].iloc[j]:>9.2f} {tr:>9.4f}")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
|
||||
"""Check Python M5 data around 2025-01-02 to understand time alignment."""
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
|
||||
|
||||
m5 = load_bars("data/XAUUSD_M5_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
day = m5[(m5["timestamp"] >= "2025-01-02 00:00:00") & (m5["timestamp"] < "2025-01-03 00:00:00")]
|
||||
print(f"bars on 2025-01-02: {len(day)}")
|
||||
if len(day) > 0:
|
||||
print(f" first bar ts: {day['timestamp'].iloc[0]}")
|
||||
print(f" last bar ts: {day['timestamp'].iloc[-1]}")
|
||||
print()
|
||||
print(" bars 01:50-02:00:")
|
||||
sub = day[(day["timestamp"] >= "2025-01-02 01:50:00") & (day["timestamp"] <= "2025-01-02 02:00:00")]
|
||||
print(sub.to_string() if len(sub) else " (none)")
|
||||
print()
|
||||
print(" bars 15:45-15:55:")
|
||||
sub = day[(day["timestamp"] >= "2025-01-02 15:45:00") & (day["timestamp"] <= "2025-01-02 15:55:00")]
|
||||
print(sub.to_string() if len(sub) else " (none)")
|
||||
print()
|
||||
print("first 5 bars of 2025-01-02:")
|
||||
print(day.head().to_string())
|
||||
print()
|
||||
print("first bar of 2025-01-02 timestamp hour:", day['timestamp'].iloc[0].hour)
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,82 @@
|
||||
"""Trace engine execution on 2025-01-02 to find why first trade fires at 15:50
|
||||
instead of 01:55 (signal trigger bar 01:50 has buy_signal=True).
|
||||
|
||||
Patches ScalperEngine._entry_allowed to log every call, plus dumps the
|
||||
position state across the day.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.core.engine import SizingInputs
|
||||
from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.instruments import XAUUSD_REAL
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.scalper_engine import (
|
||||
ScalperEngine,
|
||||
ScalperConfig,
|
||||
engine_kwargs_from_params,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import FROZEN_BASELINE, SEARCH_SPACE
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.signals import build_signals
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.selector import select_diverse_topn
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
db = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
|
||||
study = optuna.load_study(
|
||||
study_name="gold_scalper_pro_is2025",
|
||||
storage=f"sqlite:///{db}",
|
||||
)
|
||||
finalists = select_diverse_topn(study, n=3, ranges=SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
params = {**FROZEN_BASELINE, **finalists[0].params}
|
||||
|
||||
m5 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M5_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
m1 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M1_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
# Use a window starting 2024-12-01 so indicators warm up by 2025-01-01.
|
||||
START = pd.Timestamp("2024-12-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
END = pd.Timestamp("2025-01-03 00:00:00")
|
||||
bars = m5[(m5["timestamp"] >= START) & (m5["timestamp"] < END)].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
m1_bars = m1[(m1["timestamp"] >= START) & (m1["timestamp"] < END)].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
|
||||
pack = build_signals(params, bars, XAUUSD_REAL)
|
||||
|
||||
# Find all signal bars on 2025-01-02
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
sig_idx = np.where(pack.signals_long | pack.signals_short)[0]
|
||||
print(f"signal bars on 2024-12-01..2025-01-02: {len(sig_idx)}")
|
||||
for i in sig_idx[-10:]:
|
||||
t = bars["timestamp"].iloc[i]
|
||||
sig_dir = "LONG" if pack.signals_long[i] else "SHORT"
|
||||
sl = pack.sl_prices[i] if not np.isnan(pack.sl_prices[i]) else float("nan")
|
||||
tp = pack.tp_prices[i] if not np.isnan(pack.tp_prices[i]) else float("nan")
|
||||
print(f" bar {i} ts={t} sig={sig_dir} close={bars['close'].iloc[i]:.2f} "
|
||||
f"sl_price={sl:.2f} tp_price={tp:.2f}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Monkey-patch _entry_allowed to log all calls on 2025-01-02
|
||||
orig = ScalperEngine._entry_allowed
|
||||
def traced(self, cfg, t, trades_today, last_trade_ts, i, sl, sh):
|
||||
res = orig(self, cfg, t, trades_today, last_trade_ts, i, sl, sh)
|
||||
if pd.Timestamp("2025-01-02 00:00:00") <= t <= pd.Timestamp("2025-01-02 23:59:59"):
|
||||
if sl[i] or sh[i]:
|
||||
print(f" _entry_allowed(bar={i}, ts={t}, long={sl[i]}, short={sh[i]}, "
|
||||
f"trades_today={trades_today}, last={last_trade_ts}) → {res}")
|
||||
return res
|
||||
ScalperEngine._entry_allowed = traced
|
||||
|
||||
print("\n--- Running engine on 2024-12-01..2025-01-02 window ---")
|
||||
engine = ScalperEngine()
|
||||
result = engine.run(
|
||||
bars, pack.signals_long, pack.signals_short,
|
||||
pack.sl_prices, pack.tp_prices,
|
||||
XAUUSD_REAL, SizingInputs(), 1000.0,
|
||||
m1_bars=m1_bars,
|
||||
**engine_kwargs_from_params(params),
|
||||
)
|
||||
print(f"\ntrades: {len(result.trades)}")
|
||||
for tr in result.trades[:5]:
|
||||
d = "LONG" if tr.direction.name == "LONG" else "SHRT"
|
||||
print(f" {tr.entry_time} {d} entry={tr.entry_price:.2f} lots={tr.lots:.4f} "
|
||||
f"pnl={tr.pnl:.4f} reason={tr.exit_reason}")
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
|
||||
"""Dump all parsed metrics from MT5 IS + OOS reports so we can compare against
|
||||
Python's gross profit/loss, win rate, etc.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.data.mt5_report import parse_mt5_report
|
||||
|
||||
for label in ("IS", "OOS"):
|
||||
path = PROJECT / "reports" / f"{label}-ReportTester-52845377.html"
|
||||
print(f"\n=== {label} report: {path.name} ===")
|
||||
m = parse_mt5_report(path)
|
||||
for k, v in m.items():
|
||||
if k.startswith("_"):
|
||||
continue
|
||||
print(f" {k:<40} {v!r}")
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,134 @@
|
||||
"""Parse the MT5 IS HTML report and dump the first N deal rows so we can
|
||||
compare per-trade lots/entry/exit against Python's diag_size_after_warmup.py
|
||||
output.
|
||||
|
||||
The report's "Deals" table rows have ~13-14 cells (Time, Deal, Symbol, Type,
|
||||
Direction, Volume, Price, Order, Commission, Fee, Swap, Profit, Balance,
|
||||
Comment). We extract rows whose Type is "buy" or "sell" (entry) and "in" /
|
||||
"out" (Direction) to reconstruct trade pairs.
|
||||
|
||||
Usage:
|
||||
python scripts/diag_mt5_trades.py 10
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.data.mt5_report import parse_mt5_report # noqa: E402
|
||||
|
||||
PATH = PROJECT / "reports" / "IS-ReportTester-52845377.html"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
n = int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv) > 1 else 10
|
||||
raw = PATH.read_bytes()
|
||||
if raw[:2] in (b"\xff\xfe", b"\xfe\xff"):
|
||||
text = raw.decode("utf-16")
|
||||
else:
|
||||
text = raw.decode("utf-8", errors="replace")
|
||||
|
||||
try:
|
||||
from lxml import html
|
||||
tree = html.fromstring(text)
|
||||
except Exception:
|
||||
import html5lib
|
||||
tree = html5lib.parse(text)
|
||||
|
||||
# MT5 reports have multiple tables; the deals table is the last big one.
|
||||
# Each <tr> is a deal. Header row has "Time / Deal / Symbol / Type / ...
|
||||
rows = tree.iter("tr")
|
||||
deals = []
|
||||
headers_seen = False
|
||||
for row in rows:
|
||||
cells = row.findall("td") or row.findall("th")
|
||||
if not cells:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
texts = [c.text_content().strip() for c in cells]
|
||||
# detect header
|
||||
if not headers_seen and ("Time" in texts[0] or "时间" in texts[0]):
|
||||
print(f" header ({len(texts)} cells): {texts}")
|
||||
headers_seen = True
|
||||
continue
|
||||
if not headers_seen:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
# Skip summary/footer rows that don't start with a timestamp.
|
||||
first = texts[0]
|
||||
if not first or not any(c.isdigit() for c in first[:4]):
|
||||
continue
|
||||
if len(texts) < 8:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
deals.append(texts)
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n parsed {len(deals)} deal rows from {PATH.name}")
|
||||
print(f"\n first {n} deals:")
|
||||
print(f" {'#':>3} {'time':<20} {'deal':>8} {'type':<6} {'dir':<4} {'volume':>8} {'price':>10} {'profit':>10} {'balance':>10}")
|
||||
for i, d in enumerate(deals[:n], 1):
|
||||
# Layout (typical): [Time, Deal, Symbol, Type, Direction, Volume, Price,
|
||||
# Order, Commission, Fee, Swap, Profit, Balance, Comment]
|
||||
time_s = d[0]
|
||||
deal_s = d[1] if len(d) > 1 else ""
|
||||
sym_s = d[2] if len(d) > 2 else ""
|
||||
type_s = d[3] if len(d) > 3 else ""
|
||||
dir_s = d[4] if len(d) > 4 else ""
|
||||
vol_s = d[5] if len(d) > 5 else ""
|
||||
price_s = d[6] if len(d) > 6 else ""
|
||||
# profit/balance positions vary; print last few cells
|
||||
profit_s = d[-3] if len(d) >= 3 else ""
|
||||
balance_s = d[-2] if len(d) >= 2 else ""
|
||||
print(f" {i:>3} {time_s:<20} {deal_s:>8} {type_s:<6} {dir_s:<4} "
|
||||
f"{vol_s:>8} {price_s:>10} {profit_s:>10} {balance_s:>10}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Also dump the full cell layout of the first deal for verification.
|
||||
if deals:
|
||||
print(f"\n first deal full layout ({len(deals[0])} cells):")
|
||||
for i, c in enumerate(deals[0]):
|
||||
print(f" [{i:>2}] {c!r}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Try to pair entry/exit deals to reconstruct trades.
|
||||
# An "in" deal (Direction="in") opens a position; an "out" deal closes it.
|
||||
trades = []
|
||||
open_deal = None
|
||||
for d in deals:
|
||||
if len(d) < 8:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
dir_s = d[4]
|
||||
type_s = d[3]
|
||||
try:
|
||||
vol = float(d[5])
|
||||
price = float(d[6])
|
||||
profit = float(d[-3].split()[0]) if d[-3] else 0.0
|
||||
except (ValueError, IndexError):
|
||||
continue
|
||||
if dir_s == "in":
|
||||
open_deal = {"time": d[0], "type": type_s, "vol": vol, "price": price}
|
||||
elif dir_s == "out" and open_deal is not None:
|
||||
trades.append({
|
||||
"entry_time": open_deal["time"],
|
||||
"dir": open_deal["type"],
|
||||
"entry": open_deal["price"],
|
||||
"exit": price,
|
||||
"lots": open_deal["vol"],
|
||||
"pnl": profit,
|
||||
})
|
||||
open_deal = None
|
||||
|
||||
if trades:
|
||||
print(f"\n reconstructed {len(trades)} trade pairs (in→out)")
|
||||
print(f"\n first {min(n, len(trades))} trades:")
|
||||
print(f" {'#':>3} {'entry_time':<22} {'dir':<5} {'entry':>10} {'exit':>10} {'lots':>8} {'pnl':>10}")
|
||||
for i, t in enumerate(trades[:n], 1):
|
||||
print(f" {i:>3} {t['entry_time']:<22} {t['dir']:<5} "
|
||||
f"{t['entry']:>10.2f} {t['exit']:>10.2f} {t['lots']:>8.4f} {t['pnl']:>10.2f}")
|
||||
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
pnls = np.array([t["pnl"] for t in trades])
|
||||
wins = (pnls > 0).sum()
|
||||
print(f"\n PnL stats : trades={len(trades)} wins={wins} ({wins/len(trades):.1%}) "
|
||||
f"sum=${pnls.sum():.2f} avg=${pnls.mean():.2f}")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,72 @@
|
||||
"""Check indicator values + signal conditions at 2025-01-02 01:50 vs 15:45.
|
||||
|
||||
MT5 first trade fired 2025.01.02 01:55 LONG @ 2624.05
|
||||
→ signal bar 01:50 close=2623.84, fill at 01:55 open=2623.84
|
||||
Python first trade fired 2025-01-02 15:50 LONG @ 2642.57
|
||||
→ signal bar 15:45 close=2642.54, fill at 15:50 open=2642.54
|
||||
|
||||
Both engines should fire same signals on same bars. Why do they differ?
|
||||
"""
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.indicators.base import atr, ema, rsi
|
||||
from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import FROZEN_BASELINE
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
|
||||
# Load finalist #1 params
|
||||
db = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
|
||||
study = optuna.load_study(
|
||||
study_name="gold_scalper_pro_is2025",
|
||||
storage=f"sqlite:///{db}",
|
||||
)
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.selector import select_diverse_topn
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import SEARCH_SPACE
|
||||
finalists = select_diverse_topn(study, n=3, ranges=SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
params = {**FROZEN_BASELINE, **finalists[0].params}
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"InpFastEmaPeriod={params['InpFastEmaPeriod']}, "
|
||||
f"InpSlowEmaPeriod={params['InpSlowEmaPeriod']}, "
|
||||
f"InpRsiPeriod={params['InpRsiPeriod']}, "
|
||||
f"InpAtrPeriod={params['InpAtrPeriod']}")
|
||||
print(f"InpRsiBuyLevel={params['InpRsiBuyLevel']}, "
|
||||
f"InpPullbackAtrMult={params['InpPullbackAtrMult']}")
|
||||
|
||||
m5 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M5_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
window = m5[(m5["timestamp"] >= "2024-12-01 00:00:00") & (m5["timestamp"] < "2025-01-03 00:00:00")].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
|
||||
close = window["close"].to_numpy(dtype=float)
|
||||
high = window["high"].to_numpy(dtype=float)
|
||||
low = window["low"].to_numpy(dtype=float)
|
||||
|
||||
fast = ema(close, int(params["InpFastEmaPeriod"]))
|
||||
slow = ema(close, int(params["InpSlowEmaPeriod"]))
|
||||
rsi_arr = rsi(close, int(params["InpRsiPeriod"]))
|
||||
atr_arr = atr(high, low, close, int(params["InpAtrPeriod"]))
|
||||
|
||||
# Find rows on 2025-01-02 around 01:50 and 15:45
|
||||
window["fast"] = fast
|
||||
window["slow"] = slow
|
||||
window["rsi"] = rsi_arr
|
||||
window["atr"] = atr_arr
|
||||
window["trend_up"] = (fast > slow) & (close > slow)
|
||||
window["near_fast"] = np.abs(close - fast) <= (params["InpPullbackAtrMult"] * atr_arr)
|
||||
window["rsi_prev"] = np.roll(rsi_arr, 1)
|
||||
window["buy_cross"] = (window["rsi_prev"] < params["InpRsiBuyLevel"]) & (rsi_arr >= params["InpRsiBuyLevel"])
|
||||
window["buy_signal"] = window["trend_up"] & window["near_fast"] & window["buy_cross"]
|
||||
|
||||
print("\n=== Around 2025-01-02 01:45-02:00 ===")
|
||||
sub = window[(window["timestamp"] >= "2025-01-02 01:45:00") & (window["timestamp"] <= "2025-01-02 02:00:00")]
|
||||
print(sub[["timestamp", "open", "high", "low", "close", "fast", "slow",
|
||||
"rsi", "atr", "trend_up", "near_fast", "buy_cross", "buy_signal"]].to_string())
|
||||
|
||||
print("\n=== Around 2025-01-02 15:40-15:55 ===")
|
||||
sub = window[(window["timestamp"] >= "2025-01-02 15:40:00") & (window["timestamp"] <= "2025-01-02 15:55:00")]
|
||||
print(sub[["timestamp", "open", "high", "low", "close", "fast", "slow",
|
||||
"rsi", "atr", "trend_up", "near_fast", "buy_cross", "buy_signal"]].to_string())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,130 @@
|
||||
"""Diagnostic: print first 10 trades' lots / SL / entry price for finalist #1
|
||||
on the IS window, with indicator warmup applied (same code path as
|
||||
reeval_finalist_forward.py). Compare lots vs the MT5 first trade
|
||||
(2025.01.02 01:55 buy 0.16 lots @ 2624.05).
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.core.engine import SizingInputs
|
||||
from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.selector import select_diverse_topn
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.instruments import XAUUSD_REAL
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.scalper_engine import (
|
||||
ScalperEngine,
|
||||
engine_kwargs_from_params,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import FROZEN_BASELINE, SEARCH_SPACE
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.signals import build_signals
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
IS_START = pd.Timestamp("2025-01-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
IS_END = pd.Timestamp("2026-01-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
db = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
|
||||
study = optuna.load_study(
|
||||
study_name="gold_scalper_pro_is2025",
|
||||
storage=f"sqlite:///{db}",
|
||||
)
|
||||
finalists = select_diverse_topn(study, n=3, ranges=SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
f1 = finalists[0]
|
||||
merged = {**FROZEN_BASELINE, **f1.params}
|
||||
print(f"finalist #1 trial #{f1.number}")
|
||||
print(f" InpAtrSLMult={merged.get('InpAtrSLMult')} InpAtrPeriod={merged.get('InpAtrPeriod')}")
|
||||
print(f" InpRiskPercent={merged.get('InpRiskPercent')} InpSizingMode={merged.get('InpSizingMode')}")
|
||||
|
||||
full_m5 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M5_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
full_m1 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M1_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
|
||||
pack = build_signals(merged, full_m5, XAUUSD_REAL)
|
||||
ts = pd.to_datetime(full_m5["timestamp"].to_numpy())
|
||||
lo = int(ts.searchsorted(IS_START, side="left"))
|
||||
hi = int(ts.searchsorted(IS_END, side="left"))
|
||||
win_bars = full_m5.iloc[lo:hi].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
sig_long = pack.signals_long[lo:hi]
|
||||
sig_short = pack.signals_short[lo:hi]
|
||||
sl_p = pack.sl_prices[lo:hi]
|
||||
tp_p = pack.tp_prices[lo:hi]
|
||||
m1_ts = pd.to_datetime(full_m1["timestamp"].to_numpy())
|
||||
m1_lo = int(m1_ts.searchsorted(IS_START, side="left"))
|
||||
m1_hi = int(m1_ts.searchsorted(IS_END, side="left"))
|
||||
win_m1 = full_m1.iloc[m1_lo:m1_hi].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
|
||||
engine = ScalperEngine()
|
||||
result = engine.run(
|
||||
win_bars, sig_long, sig_short, sl_p, tp_p,
|
||||
XAUUSD_REAL, SizingInputs(), 1000.0,
|
||||
m1_bars=win_m1,
|
||||
**engine_kwargs_from_params(merged),
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n total trades: {len(result.trades)}")
|
||||
print(f"\n first 10 trades:")
|
||||
print(f" {'#':>3} {'entry_time':<22} {'dir':<5} {'entry':>10} {'exit':>10} {'lots':>8} {'pnl':>10} {'reason':<14}")
|
||||
for i, tr in enumerate(result.trades[:10], 1):
|
||||
d = "LONG" if tr.direction.name == "LONG" else "SHORT"
|
||||
print(f" {i:>3} {tr.entry_time.isoformat():<22} {d:<5} "
|
||||
f"{tr.entry_price:>10.2f} {tr.exit_price:>10.2f} "
|
||||
f"{tr.lots:>8.4f} {tr.pnl:>10.2f} {tr.exit_reason:<14}")
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n MT5 first trade (from report): 2025.01.02 01:55 buy 0.16 lots @ 2624.05")
|
||||
if result.trades:
|
||||
t0 = result.trades[0]
|
||||
print(f" Python first trade : {t0.entry_time.isoformat()} "
|
||||
f"{'LONG' if t0.direction.name=='LONG' else 'SHORT'} "
|
||||
f"{t0.lots:.4f} lots @ {t0.entry_price:.2f}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Per-trade lot histogram: are most trades at the min lot (sizing bug) or
|
||||
# distributed across reasonable values (sizing working)?
|
||||
lots_arr = [t.lots for t in result.trades]
|
||||
if lots_arr:
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
la = np.array(lots_arr)
|
||||
print(f"\n lots stats : min={la.min():.4f} p25={np.percentile(la,25):.4f} "
|
||||
f"median={np.median(la):.4f} p75={np.percentile(la,75):.4f} max={la.max():.4f}")
|
||||
print(f" lots=0.01 : {(la==0.01).sum()}/{len(la)} ({(la==0.01).mean():.1%})")
|
||||
print(f" lots>0.10 : {(la>0.10).sum()}/{len(la)} ({(la>0.10).mean():.1%})")
|
||||
print(f" lots>1.00 : {(la>1.00).sum()}/{len(la)} ({(la>1.00).mean():.1%})")
|
||||
|
||||
# Win/loss breakdown + exit reason distribution.
|
||||
pnls = np.array([t.pnl for t in result.trades])
|
||||
wins = (pnls > 0).sum()
|
||||
losses = (pnls < 0).sum()
|
||||
flats = (pnls == 0).sum()
|
||||
print(f"\n win/loss : wins={wins} ({wins/len(pnls):.1%}) "
|
||||
f"losses={losses} ({losses/len(pnls):.1%}) flat={flats}")
|
||||
print(f" PnL sum : ${pnls.sum():.2f} avg=${pnls.mean():.3f} "
|
||||
f"win_avg=${pnls[pnls>0].mean():.3f} loss_avg=${pnls[pnls<0].mean():.3f}")
|
||||
gross_profit = pnls[pnls > 0].sum()
|
||||
gross_loss = -pnls[pnls < 0].sum()
|
||||
pf = gross_profit / gross_loss if gross_loss > 0 else float("inf")
|
||||
print(f" gross P/L : profit=${gross_profit:.2f} loss=${gross_loss:.2f} PF={pf:.4f}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Exit reason distribution.
|
||||
from collections import Counter
|
||||
reasons = Counter(t.exit_reason for t in result.trades)
|
||||
print(f"\n exit reasons:")
|
||||
for r, n in reasons.most_common():
|
||||
avg_pnl = np.mean([t.pnl for t in result.trades if t.exit_reason == r])
|
||||
print(f" {r:<20} {n:>5} ({n/len(result.trades):.1%}) avg_pnl=${avg_pnl:.3f}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Equity growth: how much does equity compound over the IS window?
|
||||
eq = result.equity_curve
|
||||
if len(eq):
|
||||
print(f"\n equity curve : start=${eq['equity'].iloc[0]:.2f} "
|
||||
f"end=${eq['equity'].iloc[-1]:.2f} "
|
||||
f"peak=${eq['equity'].max():.2f} "
|
||||
f"final=${result.final_balance:.2f}")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,113 @@
|
||||
"""Diagnose the IS sizing mismatch: Python avg net/trade = $0.38 vs MT5 $2.97.
|
||||
|
||||
If gross P/L scales proportionally to MT5 (factor ~1/7.8) and trade count
|
||||
matches, it's pure sizing. If PF also shifts, the BE/trailing logic differs.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
import json
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.core.engine import SizingInputs
|
||||
from shared.core.metrics import compute_metrics
|
||||
from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.instruments import XAUUSD_REAL
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.scalper_engine import (
|
||||
ScalperEngine,
|
||||
engine_kwargs_from_params,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import FROZEN_BASELINE, SEARCH_SPACE
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.signals import build_signals
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.selector import select_diverse_topn
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
IS_START = pd.Timestamp("2025-01-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
IS_END = pd.Timestamp("2026-01-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
db = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
|
||||
study = optuna.load_study(
|
||||
study_name="gold_scalper_pro_is2025",
|
||||
storage=f"sqlite:///{db}",
|
||||
)
|
||||
finalists = select_diverse_topn(study, n=3, ranges=SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
t = finalists[0]
|
||||
merged = {**FROZEN_BASELINE, **t.params}
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"finalist #1 (trial #{t.number})")
|
||||
print(f" InpRiskPercent = {merged['InpRiskPercent']}")
|
||||
print(f" InpAtrSLMult = {merged['InpAtrSLMult']}")
|
||||
print(f" InpAtrTPMult = {merged['InpAtrTPMult']}")
|
||||
|
||||
m5 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M5_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
m1 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M1_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
is_bars = m5[(m5["timestamp"] >= IS_START) & (m5["timestamp"] < IS_END)].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
is_m1 = m1[(m1["timestamp"] >= IS_START) & (m1["timestamp"] < IS_END)].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
print(f" IS bars: {len(is_bars):,} IS M1: {len(is_m1):,}")
|
||||
|
||||
pack = build_signals(merged, is_bars, XAUUSD_REAL)
|
||||
engine = ScalperEngine()
|
||||
result = engine.run(
|
||||
is_bars, pack.signals_long, pack.signals_short,
|
||||
pack.sl_prices, pack.tp_prices,
|
||||
XAUUSD_REAL, SizingInputs(), 1000.0,
|
||||
m1_bars=is_m1,
|
||||
**engine_kwargs_from_params(merged),
|
||||
)
|
||||
m = compute_metrics(result, periods_per_year=252 * 24 * 12)
|
||||
|
||||
gross_profit = sum(t.pnl for t in result.trades if t.pnl > 0)
|
||||
gross_loss = sum(t.pnl for t in result.trades if t.pnl < 0)
|
||||
print(f"\nPython IS:")
|
||||
print(f" trades = {m.total_trades}")
|
||||
print(f" gross profit = {gross_profit:.2f}")
|
||||
print(f" gross loss = {gross_loss:.2f}")
|
||||
print(f" net = {gross_profit + gross_loss:.2f}")
|
||||
print(f" PF = {gross_profit / -gross_loss:.4f}" if gross_loss < 0 else " PF = inf")
|
||||
print(f" avg net/trade = {(gross_profit + gross_loss) / m.total_trades:.4f}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Sample first 5 trades — check lot sizes & prices.
|
||||
print(f"\nFirst 5 trades:")
|
||||
print(f" {'time':<21} {'dir':<5} {'entry':>10} {'exit':>10} {'lots':>8} {'pnl':>9} {'reason'}")
|
||||
for t in result.trades[:5]:
|
||||
d = "LONG" if t.direction.name == "LONG" else "SHRT"
|
||||
print(f" {str(t.entry_time):<21} {d:<5} {t.entry_price:>10.2f} "
|
||||
f"{t.exit_price:>10.2f} {t.lots:>8.4f} {t.pnl:>9.4f} {t.exit_reason}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Distribution of lots.
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
lots_arr = np.array([t.lots for t in result.trades])
|
||||
print(f"\n lots: min={lots_arr.min():.4f} max={lots_arr.max():.4f} "
|
||||
f"mean={lots_arr.mean():.4f} median={np.median(lots_arr):.4f}")
|
||||
print(f" lots unique count: {len(np.unique(lots_arr))}")
|
||||
print(f" lots histogram (top 5):")
|
||||
vals, counts = np.unique(lots_arr, return_counts=True)
|
||||
for v, c in sorted(zip(vals, counts), key=lambda x: -x[1])[:5]:
|
||||
print(f" {v:.4f} ×{c}")
|
||||
|
||||
# MT5 comparison.
|
||||
print(f"\nMT5 IS (from report):")
|
||||
print(f" gross profit = 23416.75")
|
||||
print(f" gross loss = -16429.41")
|
||||
print(f" net = 6987.34")
|
||||
print(f" PF = 1.43")
|
||||
print(f" trades = 2348")
|
||||
print(f" avg net/trade = {6987.34/2348:.4f}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Scaling check: if Python lots were 7.8x larger, would P/L match?
|
||||
py_gross = gross_profit
|
||||
mt5_gross = 23416.75
|
||||
print(f"\n scaling factor (MT5 gross profit / Python gross profit): "
|
||||
f"{mt5_gross/py_gross:.2f}x")
|
||||
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,37 @@
|
||||
"""Inspect the HTML structure to find test period / sections."""
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
from lxml import html
|
||||
|
||||
for label, fn in [("IS", "IS-ReportTester-52845377.html"), ("OOS", "OOS-ReportTester-52845377.html")]:
|
||||
p = Path("reports") / fn
|
||||
raw = p.read_bytes()
|
||||
text = raw.decode("utf-16") if raw[:2] in (b"\xff\xfe", b"\xfe\xff") else raw.decode("utf-8", errors="replace")
|
||||
tree = html.fromstring(text)
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"=== {label} ({fn}) ===")
|
||||
|
||||
# Find the test period row
|
||||
for row in tree.iter("tr"):
|
||||
cells = row.findall("td") or row.findall("th")
|
||||
if len(cells) < 2:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
label_t = cells[0].text_content().strip()
|
||||
if any(k in label_t for k in ["期间", "Period", "建模", "Model",
|
||||
"前向", "Forward", "起止", "Date"]):
|
||||
value = cells[1].text_content().strip()
|
||||
print(f" {label_t}: {value}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Look for big section headers
|
||||
print(f" -- h1/h2/h3 headers --")
|
||||
for tag in ("h1", "h2", "h3", "h4"):
|
||||
for el in tree.iter(tag):
|
||||
t = (el.text_content() or "").strip()
|
||||
if t:
|
||||
print(f" <{tag}>: {t}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Count tables and tr
|
||||
tables = tree.findall(".//table")
|
||||
print(f" tables: {len(tables)}")
|
||||
total_tr = sum(len(t.findall(".//tr")) for t in tables)
|
||||
print(f" total <tr>: {total_tr}")
|
||||
print()
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,56 @@
|
||||
"""Inspect a finished Optuna study and print the best trial + diverse top-N."""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.selector import select_diverse_topn
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import SEARCH_SPACE
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
db = sys.argv[1] if len(sys.argv) > 1 else str(PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db")
|
||||
name = sys.argv[2] if len(sys.argv) > 2 else "gold_scalper_pro_is2025"
|
||||
study = optuna.load_study(study_name=name, storage=f"sqlite:///{db}")
|
||||
|
||||
completed = [t for t in study.trials if t.state.name == "COMPLETE"]
|
||||
passing = [t for t in completed if not t.user_attrs.get("violations")]
|
||||
print(f"=== study: {name} ===")
|
||||
print(f" total trials : {len(study.trials)}")
|
||||
print(f" completed : {len(completed)}")
|
||||
print(f" constraint-pass : {len(passing)}")
|
||||
|
||||
if not passing:
|
||||
# Show the best by value anyway.
|
||||
best = max(completed, key=lambda t: t.value)
|
||||
print(f"\n no constraint-passing trials; best-by-value:")
|
||||
_print_trial(best, "best-by-value")
|
||||
return 1
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n === best (by score) ===")
|
||||
_print_trial(study.best_trial, "best")
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n === diverse top-3 finalists ===")
|
||||
finalists = select_diverse_topn(study, n=3, ranges=SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
for i, t in enumerate(finalists, 1):
|
||||
_print_trial(t, f"finalist #{i}")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _print_trial(t, label: str) -> None:
|
||||
a = t.user_attrs
|
||||
print(f" [{label}] trial #{t.number} score={t.value:.2f}")
|
||||
print(f" net={a['net_profit']:.2f} PF={a['profit_factor']:.2f} "
|
||||
f"trades={a['total_trades']} DD%={a['max_equity_dd_pct']:.2%} "
|
||||
f"sharpe={a['sharpe']:.2f}")
|
||||
if a.get("violations"):
|
||||
print(f" violations: {a['violations']}")
|
||||
print(f" params:")
|
||||
for k, v in t.params.items():
|
||||
print(f" {k:24s}={v}")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,233 @@
|
||||
"""Phase 6 — Optuna optimization for GoldScalperPro (doc 06).
|
||||
|
||||
Two modes via CLI flags:
|
||||
|
||||
--smoke 30 trials, IS = 2025 H1 only (~6 months). Validates the
|
||||
objective + storage + scoring end-to-end in <2 min before
|
||||
committing to the full study. Run this first, always.
|
||||
|
||||
(default) 500 trials, IS = 2025 full year (with a 2-week purge gap
|
||||
before year-end so OOS walk-forward is leak-free). TPE
|
||||
sampler, SQLite-persisted so the study resumes/inspects
|
||||
mid-run. Runs in the foreground with progress bar; for a
|
||||
long run launch with `start /b python scripts\\optimize.py`
|
||||
(Windows) and poll the .db file separately.
|
||||
|
||||
Why M1 bars are mandatory here (doc 03 §7 / §8, CLAUDE.md standing rule):
|
||||
GoldScalperPro uses break-even + trailing stops, so the bar-level engine
|
||||
produces a −40% to −50% hidden gap vs MT5. The objective passes ``m1_bars``
|
||||
to ``engine.run`` so the engine switches to tick-level exit simulation.
|
||||
|
||||
Window design (doc 06 §4 walk-forward):
|
||||
IS = 2025-01-01 00:00 → 2025-12-15 00:00 (exclusive end, ~11.5 months)
|
||||
purge = 2025-12-15 .. 2025-12-31 (2-week gap, no trades counted either side)
|
||||
OOS = 2026-01-01 00:00 → 2026-07-01 00:00 (~6 months, fixed finalist params)
|
||||
|
||||
Constraints (user-confirmed "strict" preset):
|
||||
min_trades=40, min_profit_factor=1.5, max_equity_dd_pct=0.25
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
|
||||
import argparse
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.core.engine import SizingInputs
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.objective import (
|
||||
Constraints,
|
||||
ObjectiveConfig,
|
||||
build_objective,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.selector import select_diverse_topn
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.instruments import XAUUSD_REAL
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.scalper_engine import ScalperEngine
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import (
|
||||
FROZEN_BASELINE,
|
||||
INT_PARAMS,
|
||||
SEARCH_SPACE,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.signals import build_signals
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.scalper_engine import engine_kwargs_from_params
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# ── Windows ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
||||
IS_START = pd.Timestamp("2025-01-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
IS_END = pd.Timestamp("2025-12-15 00:00:00") # exclusive end (purge after)
|
||||
OOS_START = pd.Timestamp("2026-01-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
OOS_END = pd.Timestamp("2026-07-01 00:00:00") # exclusive end
|
||||
INITIAL_DEPOSIT = 1000.0
|
||||
SEED = 42
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def slice_window(df: pd.DataFrame, start: pd.Timestamp, end: pd.Timestamp) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||
"""Slice bars to [start, end) — exclusive end matches MT5 tester semantics."""
|
||||
return df[(df["timestamp"] >= start) & (df["timestamp"] < end)].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def make_objective_config(
|
||||
bars_is: pd.DataFrame,
|
||||
m1_is: pd.DataFrame,
|
||||
full_m5: pd.DataFrame,
|
||||
) -> ObjectiveConfig:
|
||||
"""Assemble the ObjectiveConfig for the IS window.
|
||||
|
||||
``bars_is`` / ``m1_is`` are trimmed to the IS evaluation window — the
|
||||
engine runs on these (initial_deposit reset, no open position at IS_START,
|
||||
matching MT5 Strategy Tester).
|
||||
|
||||
``full_m5`` is the FULL M5 history (data starts 2024-06-26 → ~6 months of
|
||||
pre-IS warmup, well beyond EMA(160)'s ~14h requirement). It is passed as
|
||||
``signals_full_bars`` so the objective builds signals on it, then slices
|
||||
the signal arrays to ``bars_is``' time range — mirroring MT5 tester's
|
||||
pre-test chart-history indicator warmup. Without this, EMA/RSI/ATR would
|
||||
only start warming up at IS_START and the first Python trade would land
|
||||
~14h late vs MT5 (the original warmup bug — see reeval_finalist_forward.py
|
||||
docstring).
|
||||
"""
|
||||
constraints = Constraints(
|
||||
min_trades=40,
|
||||
min_profit_factor=1.5,
|
||||
max_equity_dd_pct=0.25,
|
||||
)
|
||||
return ObjectiveConfig(
|
||||
engine=ScalperEngine(),
|
||||
bars=bars_is,
|
||||
instrument=XAUUSD_REAL,
|
||||
sizing=SizingInputs(),
|
||||
initial_deposit=INITIAL_DEPOSIT,
|
||||
search_space=SEARCH_SPACE,
|
||||
int_params=INT_PARAMS,
|
||||
frozen_baseline=FROZEN_BASELINE,
|
||||
constraints=constraints,
|
||||
dd_weight=1.0,
|
||||
build_signals=build_signals,
|
||||
build_engine_kwargs=engine_kwargs_from_params,
|
||||
m1_bars=m1_is, # mandatory for trailing/BE EA
|
||||
signals_full_bars=full_m5, # indicator warmup (doc 03 §8)
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def run_smoke() -> int:
|
||||
"""30 trials, IS H1 2025 only. Validates the script end-to-end."""
|
||||
print("=== Phase 6 SMOKE TEST ===")
|
||||
m5 = load_m5()
|
||||
m1 = load_m1()
|
||||
# Shorter IS window for the smoke run.
|
||||
bars_is = slice_window(m5, pd.Timestamp("2025-01-01"), pd.Timestamp("2025-07-01"))
|
||||
m1_is = slice_window(m1, pd.Timestamp("2025-01-01"), pd.Timestamp("2025-07-01"))
|
||||
print(f" IS bars : {len(bars_is):,} M1 bars: {len(m1_is):,}")
|
||||
print(f" warmup : {len(m5):,} full M5 bars (signals_full_bars)")
|
||||
|
||||
cfg = make_objective_config(bars_is, m1_is, full_m5=m5)
|
||||
objective = build_objective(cfg)
|
||||
|
||||
study = optuna.create_study(
|
||||
direction="maximize",
|
||||
sampler=optuna.samplers.TPESampler(seed=SEED),
|
||||
)
|
||||
print(" running 30 trials ...")
|
||||
study.optimize(objective, n_trials=30, show_progress_bar=False)
|
||||
print(f" done. best value = {study.best_value:.2f}")
|
||||
print(f" best params: {study.best_params}")
|
||||
print(f" best attrs : net={study.best_trial.user_attrs['net_profit']:.2f}, "
|
||||
f"PF={study.best_trial.user_attrs['profit_factor']:.2f}, "
|
||||
f"trades={study.best_trial.user_attrs['total_trades']}, "
|
||||
f"DD%={study.best_trial.user_attrs['max_equity_dd_pct']:.2%}")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def run_full(study_db: Path, n_trials: int) -> int:
|
||||
"""Full study, IS = 2025 (with 2-week purge). SQLite-persisted."""
|
||||
print(f"=== Phase 6 FULL STUDY ({n_trials} trials) ===")
|
||||
m5 = load_m5()
|
||||
m1 = load_m1()
|
||||
bars_is = slice_window(m5, IS_START, IS_END)
|
||||
m1_is = slice_window(m1, IS_START, IS_END)
|
||||
print(f" IS window: {IS_START.date()} → {IS_END.date()} (exclusive)")
|
||||
print(f" IS bars : {len(bars_is):,} M1 bars: {len(m1_is):,}")
|
||||
print(f" warmup : {len(m5):,} full M5 bars (signals_full_bars)")
|
||||
|
||||
cfg = make_objective_config(bars_is, m1_is, full_m5=m5)
|
||||
objective = build_objective(cfg)
|
||||
|
||||
study_db.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
|
||||
storage = f"sqlite:///{study_db}"
|
||||
study = optuna.create_study(
|
||||
direction="maximize",
|
||||
sampler=optuna.samplers.TPESampler(seed=SEED),
|
||||
storage=storage,
|
||||
study_name="gold_scalper_pro_is2025",
|
||||
load_if_exists=True,
|
||||
)
|
||||
n_existing = len([t for t in study.trials if t.state.name == "COMPLETE"])
|
||||
if n_existing > 0:
|
||||
print(f" resumed existing study: {n_existing} complete trials so far")
|
||||
print(f" running {n_trials} trials (foreground; Ctrl+C to stop — study is saved) ...")
|
||||
study.optimize(objective, n_trials=n_trials, show_progress_bar=True)
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n === best trial ===")
|
||||
print(f" value = {study.best_value:.2f}")
|
||||
print(f" params:")
|
||||
for k, v in study.best_params.items():
|
||||
print(f" {k:24s} = {v}")
|
||||
a = study.best_trial.user_attrs
|
||||
print(f" metrics: net={a['net_profit']:.2f}, PF={a['profit_factor']:.2f}, "
|
||||
f"trades={a['total_trades']}, DD%={a['max_equity_dd_pct']:.2%}")
|
||||
if a.get("violations"):
|
||||
print(f" violations: {a['violations']}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Diverse top-3 finalists (doc 06 §3).
|
||||
print(f"\n === diverse top-3 finalists ===")
|
||||
finalists = select_diverse_topn(study, n=3, ranges=SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
if not finalists:
|
||||
print(" no constraint-passing trials found.")
|
||||
return 1
|
||||
for i, t in enumerate(finalists, 1):
|
||||
d = t.user_attrs
|
||||
print(f" finalist #{i}: trial #{t.number} value={t.value:.2f}")
|
||||
print(f" net={d['net_profit']:.2f}, PF={d['profit_factor']:.2f}, "
|
||||
f"trades={d['total_trades']}, DD%={d['max_equity_dd_pct']:.2%}")
|
||||
print(f" params: {t.params}")
|
||||
print(f"\n study DB: {study_db}")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def load_m5() -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||
from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
|
||||
p = PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M5_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet"
|
||||
if not p.exists():
|
||||
sys.exit(f"missing M5 data: {p}")
|
||||
return load_bars(p)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def load_m1() -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||
from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
|
||||
p = PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M1_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet"
|
||||
if not p.exists():
|
||||
sys.exit(f"missing M1 data: {p} — run scripts/download_xauusd_m1.py first")
|
||||
return load_bars(p)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
ap = argparse.ArgumentParser()
|
||||
ap.add_argument("--smoke", action="store_true",
|
||||
help="30 trials on IS H1 2025; validate the script end-to-end")
|
||||
ap.add_argument("--trials", type=int, default=500,
|
||||
help="trial budget for the full study (default 500)")
|
||||
ap.add_argument("--db", type=Path,
|
||||
default=PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db",
|
||||
help="SQLite path for the full study (resumable)")
|
||||
args = ap.parse_args()
|
||||
if args.smoke:
|
||||
return run_smoke()
|
||||
return run_full(args.db, args.trials)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,119 @@
|
||||
"""Phase 7 — Prepare finalist #1 for MT5 verification (doc 07, doc 08 step 6).
|
||||
|
||||
Reads the Optuna finalist from the study DB, generates a .set file in MT5's
|
||||
tester profile directory, and prints the exact Strategy Tester settings for
|
||||
the FORWARD test mode (one run produces both IS + OOS segments).
|
||||
|
||||
MT5 forward mode: set the whole window + a forward start date. MT5 splits:
|
||||
history (IS) = FromDate → Forward start
|
||||
forward (OOS) = Forward start → ToDate
|
||||
|
||||
After the user runs the tester and exports the forward HTML report, run
|
||||
scripts/compare_finalist.py to print the Python-vs-MT5 table for both segments.
|
||||
|
||||
Usage:
|
||||
python scripts/prepare_mt5_verify.py # finalist #1 (best by score)
|
||||
python scripts/prepare_mt5_verify.py 2 # finalist #2
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
import json
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.selector import select_diverse_topn
|
||||
from shared.mt5_pipeline.set_gen import write_set_file
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import (
|
||||
FROZEN_BASELINE,
|
||||
SEARCH_SPACE,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.set_mappings import GOLD_SCALPER_MAPPINGS
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# Windows where MT5's tester profiles live (terminal data path).
|
||||
MT5_TESTER_DIR = Path(r"C:\Users\Administrator\AppData\Roaming\MetaQuotes\Terminal"
|
||||
r"\010E047102812FC0C18890992854220E\MQL5\Profiles\Tester")
|
||||
|
||||
# Forward-mode window: one run produces IS (12 mo) + OOS (~6 mo).
|
||||
# Data ends 2026-06-25 23:55; ToDate is exclusive day boundary so 2026.06.26
|
||||
# picks up the last bar at 2026-06-25 23:55.
|
||||
FROM_DATE = "2025.01.01" # whole-window start
|
||||
TO_DATE = "2026.06.26" # whole-window end (exclusive day boundary)
|
||||
FORWARD_DATE = "2026.01.01" # forward start: IS|OOS split point
|
||||
INITIAL_DEPOSIT = 1000.0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
finalist_idx = int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv) > 1 else 1
|
||||
if finalist_idx < 1 or finalist_idx > 3:
|
||||
sys.exit("finalist index must be 1, 2, or 3")
|
||||
|
||||
db = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
|
||||
study = optuna.load_study(
|
||||
study_name="gold_scalper_pro_is2025",
|
||||
storage=f"sqlite:///{db}",
|
||||
)
|
||||
finalists = select_diverse_topn(study, n=3, ranges=SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
if len(finalists) < finalist_idx:
|
||||
sys.exit(f"only {len(finalists)} finalists available")
|
||||
t = finalists[finalist_idx - 1]
|
||||
merged = {**FROZEN_BASELINE, **t.params}
|
||||
|
||||
# Pull the MT5-forward-aligned Python metrics (saved by reeval_finalist_forward.py).
|
||||
fwd_json = PROJECT / "studies" / "finalists" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025-2026.json"
|
||||
if fwd_json.exists():
|
||||
fwd = json.loads(fwd_json.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
|
||||
py_is = fwd["finalists"][finalist_idx - 1]["IS"]
|
||||
py_oos = fwd["finalists"][finalist_idx - 1]["OOS"]
|
||||
else:
|
||||
py_is = py_oos = None
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"=== finalist #{finalist_idx} (trial #{t.number}) ===")
|
||||
if py_is:
|
||||
print(f" Python IS (12 mo) : net={py_is['net']:.2f} PF={py_is['PF']:.2f} "
|
||||
f"trades={py_is['trades']} DD%={py_is['DD%']:.2%}")
|
||||
print(f" Python OOS (6 mo) : net={py_oos['net']:.2f} PF={py_oos['PF']:.2f} "
|
||||
f"trades={py_oos['trades']} DD%={py_oos['DD%']:.2%}")
|
||||
else:
|
||||
print(f" (run scripts/reeval_finalist_forward.py first to get Python metrics)")
|
||||
|
||||
# Write the .set to MT5's tester profile dir.
|
||||
set_name = f"GoldScalperPro_finalist{finalist_idx}_trial{t.number}.set"
|
||||
set_path = MT5_TESTER_DIR / set_name
|
||||
write_set_file(merged, GOLD_SCALPER_MAPPINGS, set_path)
|
||||
print(f"\n .set written to: {set_path}")
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n === MT5 Strategy Tester setup (FORWARD mode, ONE run) ===")
|
||||
print(f" 1. Open MT5 → Ctrl+R (Strategy Tester)")
|
||||
print(f" 2. Expert: GoldScalperPro")
|
||||
print(f" 3. Symbol: XAUUSD")
|
||||
print(f" 4. Period: M5 (chart timeframe, must match InpTimeframe)")
|
||||
print(f" 5. Model: Every tick (based on real ticks) [doc 07 §2b: path-sensitive → real ticks]")
|
||||
print(f" 6. Deposit: {INITIAL_DEPOSIT:.0f} USD")
|
||||
print(f" 7. Leverage: 1:100")
|
||||
print(f" 8. Date range:")
|
||||
print(f" From: {FROM_DATE}")
|
||||
print(f" To: {TO_DATE}")
|
||||
print(f" 9. Forward: Custom date → {FORWARD_DATE}")
|
||||
print(f" (this splits IS={FROM_DATE}..{FORWARD_DATE} | OOS={FORWARD_DATE}..{TO_DATE})")
|
||||
print(f" 10. Click 'Inputs' tab → 'Load' → select: {set_name}")
|
||||
print(f" (verify InpRiskPercent={merged['InpRiskPercent']}, "
|
||||
f"InpAtrPeriod={merged['InpAtrPeriod']}, "
|
||||
f"InpFastEmaPeriod={merged['InpFastEmaPeriod']}, "
|
||||
f"InpSlowEmaPeriod={merged['InpSlowEmaPeriod']})")
|
||||
print(f" 11. Click Start. The forward HTML report has TWO sections:")
|
||||
print(f" - 'Backtest' (top) = IS ({FROM_DATE}..{FORWARD_DATE})")
|
||||
print(f" - 'Forward' (bottom) = OOS ({FORWARD_DATE}..{TO_DATE}, ~6 mo of data)")
|
||||
print(f" 12. Right-click the report → 'Save as Report' → save to:")
|
||||
print(f" reports/ReportTester_forward_finalist{finalist_idx}.html")
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n When the HTML is saved, run:")
|
||||
print(f" python scripts/compare_finalist.py {finalist_idx}")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,154 @@
|
||||
"""Re-evaluate finalist #1 on the MT5-forward-aligned window.
|
||||
|
||||
MT5 forward mode (FromDate=2025.01.01, ToDate=2026.06.26, Forward=2026.01.01)
|
||||
produces two segments:
|
||||
IS = 2025-01-01 → 2026-01-01 (12 months)
|
||||
OOS = 2026-01-01 → 2026-06-26 (~6 months, data ends 2026-06-25 23:55)
|
||||
|
||||
INDICATOR WARMUP (matches MT5 tester behaviour): MT5's Strategy Tester uses
|
||||
pre-test chart history to warm up indicators — EMA(160) on M5 needs ~14 hours
|
||||
of bars before it produces a value, but MT5's first 2025-01-02 trade fires at
|
||||
01:55 because the indicator was already stable on 2024 data. The previous
|
||||
version of this script sliced bars to [IS_START, IS_END) BEFORE computing
|
||||
signals, so indicators didn't stabilise until ~14 hours into 2025-01-01 and
|
||||
the first Python trade landed at 15:50 — 14 hours late vs MT5.
|
||||
|
||||
Fix: compute signals on the FULL bars (data starts 2024-06-26 → ~6 months of
|
||||
warmup, well beyond EMA(160)'s 14-hour requirement), then trim the bars +
|
||||
signal arrays + M1 to the evaluation window before running the engine. The
|
||||
engine therefore starts fresh at IS_START (initial_deposit, no open position)
|
||||
exactly like MT5's tester, but sees indicators that are already stable.
|
||||
|
||||
Outputs the metrics dict that compare_finalist.py will pick up.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
import json
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.core.engine import SizingInputs
|
||||
from shared.core.metrics import compute_metrics
|
||||
from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.selector import select_diverse_topn
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.instruments import XAUUSD_REAL
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.scalper_engine import (
|
||||
ScalperEngine,
|
||||
engine_kwargs_from_params,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import FROZEN_BASELINE, SEARCH_SPACE
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.signals import build_signals
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# MT5-forward-aligned windows (ToDate is exclusive in MT5 tester's day boundary).
|
||||
IS_START = pd.Timestamp("2025-01-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
IS_END = pd.Timestamp("2026-01-01 00:00:00") # forward start
|
||||
OOS_START = pd.Timestamp("2026-01-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
OOS_END = pd.Timestamp("2026-06-26 00:00:00") # data ends 2026-06-25 23:55
|
||||
INITIAL_DEPOSIT = 1000.0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def run_with_warmup(params, full_bars, full_m1, win_start, win_end):
|
||||
"""Compute signals on FULL bars (with pre-window warmup) and run the
|
||||
engine on the trimmed [win_start, win_end) slice only.
|
||||
|
||||
Mirrors MT5 Strategy Tester: indicator buffers are pre-warmed on history
|
||||
before the test start, but the engine/equity starts fresh at win_start.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
pack = build_signals(params, full_bars, XAUUSD_REAL)
|
||||
|
||||
ts = pd.to_datetime(full_bars["timestamp"].to_numpy())
|
||||
lo = int(ts.searchsorted(win_start, side="left"))
|
||||
hi = int(ts.searchsorted(win_end, side="left"))
|
||||
|
||||
win_bars = full_bars.iloc[lo:hi].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
sig_long = pack.signals_long[lo:hi]
|
||||
sig_short = pack.signals_short[lo:hi]
|
||||
sl_p = pack.sl_prices[lo:hi]
|
||||
tp_p = pack.tp_prices[lo:hi]
|
||||
|
||||
if full_m1 is not None and len(full_m1) > 0:
|
||||
m1_ts = pd.to_datetime(full_m1["timestamp"].to_numpy())
|
||||
m1_lo = int(m1_ts.searchsorted(win_start, side="left"))
|
||||
m1_hi = int(m1_ts.searchsorted(win_end, side="left"))
|
||||
win_m1 = full_m1.iloc[m1_lo:m1_hi].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
win_m1 = None
|
||||
|
||||
engine = ScalperEngine()
|
||||
result = engine.run(
|
||||
win_bars, sig_long, sig_short, sl_p, tp_p,
|
||||
XAUUSD_REAL, SizingInputs(), INITIAL_DEPOSIT,
|
||||
m1_bars=win_m1,
|
||||
**engine_kwargs_from_params(params),
|
||||
)
|
||||
m = compute_metrics(result, periods_per_year=252 * 24 * 12)
|
||||
return {
|
||||
"net": round(m.net_profit, 2),
|
||||
"PF": round(m.profit_factor, 4),
|
||||
"trades": m.total_trades,
|
||||
"DD%": round(m.max_equity_dd_pct, 6),
|
||||
"sharpe": round(m.sharpe, 4),
|
||||
"win_rate": round(m.win_rate, 4),
|
||||
"first_trade_ts": (
|
||||
result.trades[0].entry_time.isoformat() if result.trades else None
|
||||
),
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
db = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
|
||||
study = optuna.load_study(
|
||||
study_name="gold_scalper_pro_is2025",
|
||||
storage=f"sqlite:///{db}",
|
||||
)
|
||||
finalists = select_diverse_topn(study, n=3, ranges=SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
if not finalists:
|
||||
sys.exit("no finalists")
|
||||
|
||||
print("loading bars (full history, used as indicator warmup) ...")
|
||||
full_m5 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M5_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
full_m1 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M1_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
print(f" full M5: {len(full_m5):,} bars full M1: {len(full_m1):,} bars")
|
||||
print(f" IS : {IS_START.date()} → {IS_END.date()} (12 months, MT5 forward-aligned)")
|
||||
print(f" OOS : {OOS_START.date()} → {OOS_END.date()} (~6 months, data ends 2026-06-25)")
|
||||
print(f" warmup window: {full_m5['timestamp'].min()} → {IS_START} "
|
||||
f"(~6 months, EMA(160) needs ~14h so this is plenty)")
|
||||
|
||||
out = {"windows": {"IS": [str(IS_START), str(IS_END)],
|
||||
"OOS": [str(OOS_START), str(OOS_END)]},
|
||||
"finalists": []}
|
||||
|
||||
for i, t in enumerate(finalists, 1):
|
||||
merged = {**FROZEN_BASELINE, **t.params}
|
||||
print(f"\n--- finalist #{i} (trial #{t.number}) ---")
|
||||
is_m = run_with_warmup(merged, full_m5, full_m1, IS_START, IS_END)
|
||||
oos_m = run_with_warmup(merged, full_m5, full_m1, OOS_START, OOS_END)
|
||||
print(f" IS : net={is_m['net']:.2f} PF={is_m['PF']:.2f} "
|
||||
f"trades={is_m['trades']} DD%={is_m['DD%']:.2%} "
|
||||
f"first={is_m['first_trade_ts']}")
|
||||
print(f" OOS : net={oos_m['net']:.2f} PF={oos_m['PF']:.2f} "
|
||||
f"trades={oos_m['trades']} DD%={oos_m['DD%']:.2%} "
|
||||
f"first={oos_m['first_trade_ts']}")
|
||||
out["finalists"].append({
|
||||
"index": i,
|
||||
"trial_number": t.number,
|
||||
"score": round(t.value, 2),
|
||||
"params": t.params,
|
||||
"merged_params": merged,
|
||||
"IS": is_m,
|
||||
"OOS": oos_m,
|
||||
})
|
||||
|
||||
out_path = PROJECT / "studies" / "finalists" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025-2026.json"
|
||||
out_path.write_text(json.dumps(out, indent=2, default=str), encoding="utf-8")
|
||||
print(f"\n saved: {out_path}")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,132 @@
|
||||
"""Walk-forward OOS evaluation of the Optuna finalists (doc 06 §4).
|
||||
|
||||
The 3 diverse finalists were selected on the IS window (2025-01-01 → 2025-12-15,
|
||||
2-week purge after). This script runs each finalist's FIXED params on the OOS
|
||||
window (2026-01-01 → 2026-07-01) and compares:
|
||||
|
||||
OOS metric / IS metric
|
||||
|
||||
A robust finalist keeps most of its edge out-of-sample. A fragile one keeps
|
||||
its edge only in IS — typically trade-count collapses or PF falls below 1.
|
||||
|
||||
Also runs the IS numbers with the same fixed params so the ratio is computed
|
||||
on identical configurations (the study's stored metrics are valid but we
|
||||
recompute here for the same OOS script path / instrument).
|
||||
|
||||
OOS uses the same M1 tick-level exit simulation (mandatory for trailing/BE).
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
PROJECT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT))
|
||||
|
||||
import optuna
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from shared.core.engine import SizingInputs
|
||||
from shared.core.metrics import compute_metrics
|
||||
from shared.data.loaders import load_bars
|
||||
from shared.optimizer.selector import select_diverse_topn
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.instruments import XAUUSD_REAL
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.scalper_engine import (
|
||||
ScalperEngine,
|
||||
engine_kwargs_from_params,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.search_space import (
|
||||
FROZEN_BASELINE,
|
||||
SEARCH_SPACE,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from strategies.gold_scalper_pro.signals import build_signals
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
IS_START = pd.Timestamp("2025-01-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
IS_END = pd.Timestamp("2025-12-15 00:00:00")
|
||||
OOS_START = pd.Timestamp("2026-01-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
OOS_END = pd.Timestamp("2026-07-01 00:00:00")
|
||||
INITIAL_DEPOSIT = 1000.0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def slice_window(df: pd.DataFrame, start: pd.Timestamp, end: pd.Timestamp) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||
return df[(df["timestamp"] >= start) & (df["timestamp"] < end)].reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def run_with_params(params: dict, bars: pd.DataFrame, m1: pd.DataFrame) -> dict:
|
||||
"""Run the engine with FIXED params on a window, return metrics dict."""
|
||||
pack = build_signals(params, bars, XAUUSD_REAL)
|
||||
engine = ScalperEngine()
|
||||
result = engine.run(
|
||||
bars, pack.signals_long, pack.signals_short,
|
||||
pack.sl_prices, pack.tp_prices,
|
||||
XAUUSD_REAL, SizingInputs(), INITIAL_DEPOSIT,
|
||||
m1_bars=m1,
|
||||
**engine_kwargs_from_params(params),
|
||||
)
|
||||
m = compute_metrics(result, periods_per_year=252 * 24 * 12)
|
||||
return {
|
||||
"net": m.net_profit,
|
||||
"PF": m.profit_factor,
|
||||
"trades": m.total_trades,
|
||||
"DD%": m.max_equity_dd_pct,
|
||||
"sharpe": m.sharpe,
|
||||
"win_rate": m.win_rate,
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> int:
|
||||
db = PROJECT / "studies" / "optuna" / "gold_scalper_pro_is2025.db"
|
||||
study = optuna.load_study(
|
||||
study_name="gold_scalper_pro_is2025",
|
||||
storage=f"sqlite:///{db}",
|
||||
)
|
||||
finalists = select_diverse_topn(study, n=3, ranges=SEARCH_SPACE)
|
||||
if not finalists:
|
||||
print("no constraint-passing finalists to walk-forward.")
|
||||
return 1
|
||||
|
||||
print("loading bars ...")
|
||||
m5 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M5_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
m1 = load_bars(PROJECT / "data" / "XAUUSD_M1_2024-06-26_2026-06-26.parquet")
|
||||
is_bars = slice_window(m5, IS_START, IS_END)
|
||||
is_m1 = slice_window(m1, IS_START, IS_END)
|
||||
oos_bars = slice_window(m5, OOS_START, OOS_END)
|
||||
oos_m1 = slice_window(m1, OOS_START, OOS_END)
|
||||
print(f" IS bars : {len(is_bars):,} IS M1 : {len(is_m1):,}")
|
||||
print(f" OOS bars: {len(oos_bars):,} OOS M1: {len(oos_m1):,}")
|
||||
print(f" IS window : {IS_START.date()} → {IS_END.date()} (11.5 months)")
|
||||
print(f" OOS window: {OOS_START.date()} → {OOS_END.date()} (6 months)")
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n{'='*100}")
|
||||
print(f"{'metric':12s} {'IS':>14s} {'OOS':>14s} {'OOS/IS':>10s} notes")
|
||||
print(f"{'-'*100}")
|
||||
|
||||
for i, t in enumerate(finalists, 1):
|
||||
merged = {**FROZEN_BASELINE, **t.params}
|
||||
print(f"\n--- finalist #{i} trial #{t.number} score={t.value:.2f} ---")
|
||||
is_m = run_with_params(merged, is_bars, is_m1)
|
||||
oos_m = run_with_params(merged, oos_bars, oos_m1)
|
||||
_print_row("net", is_m["net"], oos_m["net"], ratio=oos_m["net"]/is_m["net"] if is_m["net"] != 0 else None)
|
||||
_print_row("PF", is_m["PF"], oos_m["PF"], ratio=oos_m["PF"]/is_m["PF"] if is_m["PF"] != 0 else None)
|
||||
_print_row("trades", is_m["trades"], oos_m["trades"], ratio=oos_m["trades"]/is_m["trades"] if is_m["trades"] else None)
|
||||
_print_row("DD%", is_m["DD%"], oos_m["DD%"], ratio=oos_m["DD%"]/is_m["DD%"] if is_m["DD%"] else None)
|
||||
_print_row("sharpe", is_m["sharpe"], oos_m["sharpe"], ratio=oos_m["sharpe"]/is_m["sharpe"] if is_m["sharpe"] else None)
|
||||
_print_row("win_rate", is_m["win_rate"], oos_m["win_rate"], ratio=oos_m["win_rate"]/is_m["win_rate"] if is_m["win_rate"] else None)
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n{'='*100}")
|
||||
print("interpretation (doc 06 §4 walk-forward):")
|
||||
print(" OOS/IS ≥ ~0.6 on net and PF → edge holds out-of-sample (robust)")
|
||||
print(" OOS/IS < ~0.5 on PF, or OOS PF < 1.0 → fragile; IS-only edge")
|
||||
print(" trade-count ratio drops sharply → signal degraded in the new regime")
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _print_row(label: str, is_v: float, oos_v: float, *, ratio: float | None) -> None:
|
||||
if ratio is None:
|
||||
r = " n/a"
|
||||
else:
|
||||
r = f" {ratio:6.2f}"
|
||||
print(f"{label:12s} {is_v:14.2f} {oos_v:14.2f} {r:>10s}")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
raise SystemExit(main())
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user