import MetaTrader5 as mt5 import pandas as pd import numpy as np from utils import get_rates from logger import logger from config import WAVE_THEORY_CONFIG class Strategy: def __init__(self): self.symbol = "XAUUSD" self.timeframe = mt5.TIMEFRAME_M1 # 使用1分钟数据,与其他策略保持一致 # 从配置文件加载参数 config = WAVE_THEORY_CONFIG self.daily_data_count = config.get("daily_data_count", 30) self.ema_short = config.get("ema_short", 5) self.ema_medium = config.get("ema_medium", 13) self.ema_long = config.get("ema_long", 34) self.wave_period = config.get("wave_period", 21) self.range_period = config.get("range_period", 20) self.adx_period = config.get("adx_period", 14) # 波浪理论参数 self.retracement_levels = [0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786] self.momentum_period = 14 # 震荡市检测参数(调整为适合1分钟数据) self.range_threshold = 0.005 # 0.5%的价格波动范围,适合1分钟数据 self.adx_threshold = 25 # ADX小于25表示震荡市,适合1分钟数据 def _calculate_indicators(self, df): """ 计算波浪理论相关指标 """ # 计算EMA df['ema_short'] = df['close'].ewm(span=self.ema_short).mean() df['ema_medium'] = df['close'].ewm(span=self.ema_medium).mean() df['ema_long'] = df['close'].ewm(span=self.ema_long).mean() # 计算动量指标 df['momentum'] = df['close'].diff(self.momentum_period) / df['close'].shift(self.momentum_period) * 100 # 计算波动范围 df['high_max'] = df['high'].rolling(self.range_period).max() df['low_min'] = df['low'].rolling(self.range_period).min() df['range_pct'] = (df['high_max'] - df['low_min']) / df['close'] * 100 # 计算ADX(平均趋向指数)用于判断趋势强度 df['adx'] = self._calculate_adx(df) # 识别潜在的波浪点 df['potential_wave_points'] = self._identify_wave_points(df) # 计算斐波那契回撤位 df = self._calculate_fibonacci_levels(df) return df def _calculate_adx(self, df): """ 计算ADX指标 """ high = df['high'] low = df['low'] close = df['close'] # 计算真实波幅 df['tr'] = pd.concat([ high - low, abs(high - close.shift(1)), abs(low - close.shift(1)) ], axis=1).max(axis=1) # 计算方向移动 df['up_move'] = high - high.shift(1) df['down_move'] = low.shift(1) - low df['plus_dm'] = np.where((df['up_move'] > df['down_move']) & (df['up_move'] > 0), df['up_move'], 0) df['minus_dm'] = np.where((df['down_move'] > df['up_move']) & (df['down_move'] > 0), df['down_move'], 0) # 计算平滑值 df['plus_di'] = 100 * (df['plus_dm'].ewm(span=self.adx_period).mean() / df['tr'].ewm(span=self.adx_period).mean()) df['minus_di'] = 100 * (df['minus_dm'].ewm(span=self.adx_period).mean() / df['tr'].ewm(span=self.adx_period).mean()) # 计算DX df['dx'] = 100 * abs(df['plus_di'] - df['minus_di']) / (df['plus_di'] + df['minus_di']) # 计算ADX adx = df['dx'].ewm(span=self.adx_period).mean() return adx def _identify_wave_points(self, df): """ 识别潜在的波浪转折点 """ wave_points = pd.Series(0, index=df.index) for i in range(self.wave_period, len(df) - self.wave_period): current_high = df['high'].iloc[i] current_low = df['low'].iloc[i] # 检查是否为波峰 is_peak = (current_high == df['high'].iloc[i-self.wave_period:i+self.wave_period].max()) # 检查是否为波谷 is_trough = (current_low == df['low'].iloc[i-self.wave_period:i+self.wave_period].min()) if is_peak: wave_points.iloc[i] = 1 # 波峰 elif is_trough: wave_points.iloc[i] = -1 # 波谷 return wave_points def _calculate_fibonacci_levels(self, df): """ 计算斐波那契回撤位 """ # 为每个斐波那契级别创建单独的列 for level in self.retracement_levels: df[f'fib_{level}'] = None for i in range(self.wave_period * 2, len(df)): # 寻找最近的波峰和波谷 wave_points = df['potential_wave_points'].iloc[:i+1] peaks = wave_points[wave_points == 1] troughs = wave_points[wave_points == -1] if len(peaks) > 0 and len(troughs) > 0: last_peak_idx = peaks.index[-1] last_trough_idx = troughs.index[-1] if last_peak_idx > last_trough_idx: # 下降趋势,计算回撤位 high_price = df['high'].iloc[last_peak_idx] low_price = df['low'].iloc[last_trough_idx] price_range = high_price - low_price for level in self.retracement_levels: df.at[i, f'fib_{level}'] = high_price - price_range * level else: # 上升趋势,计算回撤位 low_price = df['low'].iloc[last_trough_idx] high_price = df['high'].iloc[last_peak_idx] price_range = high_price - low_price for level in self.retracement_levels: df.at[i, f'fib_{level}'] = low_price + price_range * level return df def _is_sideways_market(self, df): """ 判断是否为震荡市 """ if len(df) < self.range_period: return False # 使用ADX判断趋势强度 adx_value = df['adx'].iloc[-1] is_low_adx = adx_value < self.adx_threshold # 使用价格范围判断 range_pct = df['range_pct'].iloc[-1] is_tight_range = range_pct < self.range_threshold * 100 # 结合两个条件 return is_low_adx and is_tight_range def generate_signal(self): """ 波浪理论策略实盘信号生成 """ rates = get_rates(self.symbol, self.timeframe, self.daily_data_count) if rates is None or len(rates) < self.wave_period * 3: return 0 df = pd.DataFrame(rates) df = self._calculate_indicators(df) # 判断市场状态 is_sideways = self._is_sideways_market(df) # 获取最近的波浪点 recent_wave_points = df['potential_wave_points'].iloc[-self.wave_period:] current_momentum = df['momentum'].iloc[-1] current_price = df['close'].iloc[-1] # 震荡市中的波浪理论信号 if is_sideways: # 在震荡市中,寻找区间边界的反转机会 upper_bound = df['high_max'].iloc[-1] lower_bound = df['low_min'].iloc[-1] # 价格接近上边界且有转弱迹象 if current_price > upper_bound * 0.98 and current_momentum < 0: logger.info(f"震荡市中价格接近上边界,产生卖出信号: {self.symbol}") return -1 # 价格接近下边界且有转强迹象 elif current_price < lower_bound * 1.02 and current_momentum > 0: logger.info(f"震荡市中价格接近下边界,产生买入信号: {self.symbol}") return 1 # 趋势市场中的波浪理论信号 else: # 寻找波浪模式的确认信号 ema_alignment = (df['ema_short'].iloc[-1] > df['ema_medium'].iloc[-1] > df['ema_long'].iloc[-1]) # 上升趋势中的回调买入 if ema_alignment and current_momentum > 0: # 检查是否在斐波那契回撤位附近 if f'fib_0.618' in df.columns and not pd.isna(df[f'fib_0.618'].iloc[-1]): fib_618 = df[f'fib_0.618'].iloc[-1] if abs(current_price - fib_618) / fib_618 < 0.01: # 1%误差范围内 logger.info(f"上升趋势中回调至斐波那契61.8%位,产生买入信号: {self.symbol}") return 1 # 下降趋势中的反弹卖出 elif not ema_alignment and current_momentum < 0: # 检查是否在斐波那契回撤位附近 if f'fib_0.618' in df.columns and not pd.isna(df[f'fib_0.618'].iloc[-1]): fib_618 = df[f'fib_0.618'].iloc[-1] if abs(current_price - fib_618) / fib_618 < 0.01: # 1%误差范围内 logger.info(f"下降趋势中反弹至斐波那契61.8%位,产生卖出信号: {self.symbol}") return -1 return 0 def run_backtest(self, df): """ 波浪理论策略回测 """ df = df.copy() df = self._calculate_indicators(df) signals = pd.Series(0, index=df.index) for i in range(self.wave_period * 3, len(df)): current_df = df.iloc[:i+1] # 判断市场状态 is_sideways = self._is_sideways_market(current_df) # 获取当前时刻的数据 current_price = current_df['close'].iloc[-1] current_momentum = current_df['momentum'].iloc[-1] if is_sideways: # 震荡市信号 upper_bound = current_df['high_max'].iloc[-1] lower_bound = current_df['low_min'].iloc[-1] if current_price > upper_bound * 0.98 and current_momentum < 0: signals.iat[i] = -1 elif current_price < lower_bound * 1.02 and current_momentum > 0: signals.iat[i] = 1 else: # 趋势市信号 ema_alignment = (current_df['ema_short'].iloc[-1] > current_df['ema_medium'].iloc[-1] > current_df['ema_long'].iloc[-1]) if ema_alignment and current_momentum > 0: # 检查斐波那契回撤位 if f'fib_0.618' in current_df.columns and not pd.isna(current_df[f'fib_0.618'].iloc[-1]): fib_618 = current_df[f'fib_0.618'].iloc[-1] if abs(current_price - fib_618) / fib_618 < 0.01: signals.iat[i] = 1 elif not ema_alignment and current_momentum < 0: # 检查斐波那契回撤位 if f'fib_0.618' in current_df.columns and not pd.isna(current_df[f'fib_0.618'].iloc[-1]): fib_618 = current_df[f'fib_0.618'].iloc[-1] if abs(current_price - fib_618) / fib_618 < 0.01: signals.iat[i] = -1 return signals def get_market_state(self, df): """ 获取当前市场状态信息 """ if len(df) < self.wave_period * 3: return {"state": "insufficient_data", "confidence": 0} is_sideways = self._is_sideways_market(df) adx_value = df['adx'].iloc[-1] range_pct = df['range_pct'].iloc[-1] return { "state": "sideways" if is_sideways else "trending", "confidence": max(0, min(1, (30 - adx_value) / 30)), # ADX越低,震荡市置信度越高 "adx": adx_value, "range_pct": range_pct }