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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/tokyo_2026-04-20.json
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John Doe 3722cf2ffd ii
2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "tokyo",
"city_name": "Tokyo",
"date": "2026-04-20",
"unit": "C",
"station": "RJTT",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-20T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 53.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:22.441395+00:00",
"horizon": "D+2",
"hours_left": 53.4,
"ecmwf": 20.4,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": null,
"best": 20.4,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:22.441395+00:00",
"top_bucket": "22.0-22.0C",
"top_price": 0.345
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011233",
"range": [
-999.0,
14.0
],
"bid": 0.0075,
"ask": 0.9925,
"price": 0.0075,
"spread": 0.985,
"volume": 228.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011234",
"range": [
15.0,
15.0
],
"bid": 0.007,
"ask": 0.993,
"price": 0.007,
"spread": 0.986,
"volume": 228.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011235",
"range": [
16.0,
16.0
],
"bid": 0.024,
"ask": 0.976,
"price": 0.024,
"spread": 0.952,
"volume": 205.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011236",
"range": [
17.0,
17.0
],
"bid": 0.014,
"ask": 0.986,
"price": 0.014,
"spread": 0.972,
"volume": 129.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011237",
"range": [
18.0,
18.0
],
"bid": 0.075,
"ask": 0.925,
"price": 0.075,
"spread": 0.85,
"volume": 99.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011238",
"range": [
19.0,
19.0
],
"bid": 0.045,
"ask": 0.955,
"price": 0.045,
"spread": 0.91,
"volume": 217.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011239",
"range": [
20.0,
20.0
],
"bid": 0.17,
"ask": 0.83,
"price": 0.17,
"spread": 0.66,
"volume": 77.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011240",
"range": [
21.0,
21.0
],
"bid": 0.235,
"ask": 0.765,
"price": 0.235,
"spread": 0.53,
"volume": 59.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011241",
"range": [
22.0,
22.0
],
"bid": 0.345,
"ask": 0.655,
"price": 0.345,
"spread": 0.31,
"volume": 109.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011242",
"range": [
23.0,
23.0
],
"bid": 0.215,
"ask": 0.785,
"price": 0.215,
"spread": 0.57,
"volume": 111.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011243",
"range": [
24.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.13,
"ask": 0.87,
"price": 0.13,
"spread": 0.74,
"volume": 352.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:25.258606+00:00"
}