179 lines
3.8 KiB
JSON
179 lines
3.8 KiB
JSON
{
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"city": "tokyo",
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"city_name": "Tokyo",
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"date": "2026-04-19",
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"unit": "C",
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"station": "RJTT",
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"event_end_date": "2026-04-19T12:00:00Z",
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"hours_at_discovery": 29.4,
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"status": "open",
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"position": null,
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"actual_temp": null,
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"resolved_outcome": null,
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"pnl": null,
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"forecast_snapshots": [
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{
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"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:22.441395+00:00",
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"horizon": "D+1",
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"hours_left": 29.4,
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"ecmwf": 21.7,
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"hrrr": null,
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"metar": null,
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"best": 21.7,
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"best_source": "ecmwf"
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}
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],
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"market_snapshots": [
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{
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"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:22.441395+00:00",
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"top_bucket": "24.0-24.0C",
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"top_price": 0.395
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}
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],
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"all_outcomes": [
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003821",
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"range": [
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-999.0,
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16.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0025,
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"ask": 0.9975,
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"price": 0.0025,
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"spread": 0.995,
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"volume": 1657.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003822",
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"range": [
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17.0,
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17.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0025,
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"ask": 0.9975,
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"price": 0.0025,
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"spread": 0.995,
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"volume": 1290.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003823",
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"range": [
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18.0,
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18.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0035,
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"ask": 0.9965,
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"price": 0.0035,
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"spread": 0.993,
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"volume": 1593.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003824",
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"range": [
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19.0,
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19.0
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],
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"bid": 0.005,
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"ask": 0.995,
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"price": 0.005,
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"spread": 0.99,
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"volume": 543.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003825",
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"range": [
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20.0,
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20.0
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],
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"bid": 0.008,
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"ask": 0.992,
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"price": 0.008,
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"spread": 0.984,
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"volume": 751.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003826",
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"range": [
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21.0,
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21.0
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],
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"bid": 0.008,
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"ask": 0.992,
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"price": 0.008,
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"spread": 0.984,
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"volume": 1577.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003827",
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"range": [
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22.0,
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22.0
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],
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"bid": 0.075,
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"ask": 0.925,
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"price": 0.075,
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"spread": 0.85,
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"volume": 1949.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003828",
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"range": [
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23.0,
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23.0
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],
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"bid": 0.295,
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"ask": 0.705,
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"price": 0.295,
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"spread": 0.41,
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"volume": 651.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003829",
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"range": [
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24.0,
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24.0
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],
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"bid": 0.395,
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"ask": 0.605,
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"price": 0.395,
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"spread": 0.21,
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"volume": 1270.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003830",
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"range": [
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25.0,
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25.0
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],
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"bid": 0.185,
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"ask": 0.815,
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"price": 0.185,
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"spread": 0.63,
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"volume": 705.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on April 19?",
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"market_id": "2003831",
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"range": [
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26.0,
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999.0
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],
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"bid": 0.055,
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"ask": 0.945,
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"price": 0.055,
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"spread": 0.89,
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"volume": 1553.0
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}
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],
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"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:24.836914+00:00"
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} |