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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/shanghai_2026-04-20.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "shanghai",
"city_name": "Shanghai",
"date": "2026-04-20",
"unit": "C",
"station": "ZSPD",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-20T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 53.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:25.740032+00:00",
"horizon": "D+2",
"hours_left": 53.4,
"ecmwf": 20.6,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": null,
"best": 20.6,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:25.740032+00:00",
"top_bucket": "20.0-20.0C",
"top_price": 0.32
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C or below on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011255",
"range": [
-999.0,
12.0
],
"bid": 0.0065,
"ask": 0.9935,
"price": 0.0065,
"spread": 0.987,
"volume": 197.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011256",
"range": [
13.0,
13.0
],
"bid": 0.007,
"ask": 0.993,
"price": 0.007,
"spread": 0.986,
"volume": 175.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011257",
"range": [
14.0,
14.0
],
"bid": 0.0175,
"ask": 0.9825,
"price": 0.0175,
"spread": 0.965,
"volume": 131.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011258",
"range": [
15.0,
15.0
],
"bid": 0.0325,
"ask": 0.9675,
"price": 0.0325,
"spread": 0.935,
"volume": 20.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011259",
"range": [
16.0,
16.0
],
"bid": 0.075,
"ask": 0.925,
"price": 0.075,
"spread": 0.85,
"volume": 28.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011260",
"range": [
17.0,
17.0
],
"bid": 0.07,
"ask": 0.93,
"price": 0.07,
"spread": 0.86,
"volume": 216.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011261",
"range": [
18.0,
18.0
],
"bid": 0.165,
"ask": 0.835,
"price": 0.165,
"spread": 0.67,
"volume": 21.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011262",
"range": [
19.0,
19.0
],
"bid": 0.23,
"ask": 0.77,
"price": 0.23,
"spread": 0.54,
"volume": 5.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011263",
"range": [
20.0,
20.0
],
"bid": 0.32,
"ask": 0.68,
"price": 0.32,
"spread": 0.36,
"volume": 8.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011264",
"range": [
21.0,
21.0
],
"bid": 0.15,
"ask": 0.85,
"price": 0.15,
"spread": 0.7,
"volume": 31.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011265",
"range": [
22.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.135,
"ask": 0.865,
"price": 0.135,
"spread": 0.73,
"volume": 20.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:28.411810+00:00"
}