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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/shanghai_2026-04-19.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "shanghai",
"city_name": "Shanghai",
"date": "2026-04-19",
"unit": "C",
"station": "ZSPD",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-19T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 29.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:25.740032+00:00",
"horizon": "D+1",
"hours_left": 29.4,
"ecmwf": 20.4,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": null,
"best": 20.4,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:25.740032+00:00",
"top_bucket": "21.0-21.0C",
"top_price": 0.335
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003843",
"range": [
-999.0,
17.0
],
"bid": 0.0045,
"ask": 0.9955,
"price": 0.0045,
"spread": 0.991,
"volume": 2404.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003844",
"range": [
18.0,
18.0
],
"bid": 0.0075,
"ask": 0.9925,
"price": 0.0075,
"spread": 0.985,
"volume": 2698.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003845",
"range": [
19.0,
19.0
],
"bid": 0.026,
"ask": 0.974,
"price": 0.026,
"spread": 0.948,
"volume": 4925.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003846",
"range": [
20.0,
20.0
],
"bid": 0.155,
"ask": 0.845,
"price": 0.155,
"spread": 0.69,
"volume": 1264.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003847",
"range": [
21.0,
21.0
],
"bid": 0.335,
"ask": 0.665,
"price": 0.335,
"spread": 0.33,
"volume": 781.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003848",
"range": [
22.0,
22.0
],
"bid": 0.295,
"ask": 0.705,
"price": 0.295,
"spread": 0.41,
"volume": 1555.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003849",
"range": [
23.0,
23.0
],
"bid": 0.16,
"ask": 0.84,
"price": 0.16,
"spread": 0.68,
"volume": 1133.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003850",
"range": [
24.0,
24.0
],
"bid": 0.0455,
"ask": 0.9545,
"price": 0.0455,
"spread": 0.909,
"volume": 1817.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003851",
"range": [
25.0,
25.0
],
"bid": 0.0075,
"ask": 0.9925,
"price": 0.0075,
"spread": 0.985,
"volume": 1860.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003852",
"range": [
26.0,
26.0
],
"bid": 0.0055,
"ask": 0.9945,
"price": 0.0055,
"spread": 0.989,
"volume": 783.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003853",
"range": [
27.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0055,
"ask": 0.9945,
"price": 0.0055,
"spread": 0.989,
"volume": 1561.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:27.991288+00:00"
}