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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/shanghai_2026-04-18.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "shanghai",
"city_name": "Shanghai",
"date": "2026-04-18",
"unit": "C",
"station": "ZSPD",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 5.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:25.740032+00:00",
"horizon": "D+0",
"hours_left": 5.4,
"ecmwf": 19.3,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": 21.0,
"best": 19.3,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:25.740032+00:00",
"top_bucket": "21.0-21.0C",
"top_price": 0.962
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996499",
"range": [
-999.0,
15.0
],
"bid": 0.0,
"ask": 1.0,
"price": 0.0,
"spread": 1.0,
"volume": 3641.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996500",
"range": [
16.0,
16.0
],
"bid": 0.0,
"ask": 1.0,
"price": 0.0,
"spread": 1.0,
"volume": 7946.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996501",
"range": [
17.0,
17.0
],
"bid": 0.0,
"ask": 1.0,
"price": 0.0,
"spread": 1.0,
"volume": 15455.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996502",
"range": [
18.0,
18.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 41638.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996503",
"range": [
19.0,
19.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 40107.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996504",
"range": [
20.0,
20.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 43862.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996505",
"range": [
21.0,
21.0
],
"bid": 0.962,
"ask": 0.038,
"price": 0.962,
"spread": -0.924,
"volume": 37647.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996506",
"range": [
22.0,
22.0
],
"bid": 0.029,
"ask": 0.971,
"price": 0.029,
"spread": 0.942,
"volume": 19985.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996507",
"range": [
23.0,
23.0
],
"bid": 0.004,
"ask": 0.996,
"price": 0.004,
"spread": 0.992,
"volume": 11870.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996508",
"range": [
24.0,
24.0
],
"bid": 0.004,
"ask": 0.996,
"price": 0.004,
"spread": 0.992,
"volume": 8022.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996509",
"range": [
25.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 10760.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:27.575987+00:00"
}