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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/seattle_2026-04-20.json
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John Doe 3722cf2ffd ii
2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "seattle",
"city_name": "Seattle",
"date": "2026-04-20",
"unit": "F",
"station": "KSEA",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-20T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 53.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:48.396807+00:00",
"horizon": "D+2",
"hours_left": 53.4,
"ecmwf": 67,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": null,
"best": 67,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:48.396807+00:00",
"top_bucket": "62.0-999.0F",
"top_price": 0.955
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011112",
"range": [
-999.0,
43.0
],
"bid": 0.003,
"ask": 0.997,
"price": 0.003,
"spread": 0.994,
"volume": 273.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011113",
"range": [
44.0,
45.0
],
"bid": 0.0085,
"ask": 0.9915,
"price": 0.0085,
"spread": 0.983,
"volume": 323.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011114",
"range": [
46.0,
47.0
],
"bid": 0.009,
"ask": 0.991,
"price": 0.009,
"spread": 0.982,
"volume": 323.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011115",
"range": [
48.0,
49.0
],
"bid": 0.009,
"ask": 0.991,
"price": 0.009,
"spread": 0.982,
"volume": 323.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011116",
"range": [
50.0,
51.0
],
"bid": 0.0105,
"ask": 0.9895,
"price": 0.0105,
"spread": 0.979,
"volume": 294.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011117",
"range": [
52.0,
53.0
],
"bid": 0.015,
"ask": 0.985,
"price": 0.015,
"spread": 0.97,
"volume": 158.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011118",
"range": [
54.0,
55.0
],
"bid": 0.025,
"ask": 0.975,
"price": 0.025,
"spread": 0.95,
"volume": 145.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011119",
"range": [
56.0,
57.0
],
"bid": 0.025,
"ask": 0.975,
"price": 0.025,
"spread": 0.95,
"volume": 170.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011120",
"range": [
58.0,
59.0
],
"bid": 0.06,
"ask": 0.94,
"price": 0.06,
"spread": 0.88,
"volume": 151.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011121",
"range": [
60.0,
61.0
],
"bid": 0.06,
"ask": 0.94,
"price": 0.06,
"spread": 0.88,
"volume": 164.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011122",
"range": [
62.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.955,
"ask": 0.045,
"price": 0.955,
"spread": -0.91,
"volume": 319.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:33:52.418626+00:00"
}