179 lines
3.9 KiB
JSON
179 lines
3.9 KiB
JSON
{
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"city": "seattle",
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"city_name": "Seattle",
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"date": "2026-04-20",
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"unit": "F",
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"station": "KSEA",
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"event_end_date": "2026-04-20T12:00:00Z",
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"hours_at_discovery": 53.4,
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"status": "open",
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"position": null,
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"actual_temp": null,
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"resolved_outcome": null,
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"pnl": null,
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"forecast_snapshots": [
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{
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"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:48.396807+00:00",
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"horizon": "D+2",
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"hours_left": 53.4,
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"ecmwf": 67,
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"hrrr": null,
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"metar": null,
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"best": 67,
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"best_source": "ecmwf"
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}
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],
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"market_snapshots": [
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{
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"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:48.396807+00:00",
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"top_bucket": "62.0-999.0F",
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"top_price": 0.955
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}
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],
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"all_outcomes": [
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011112",
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"range": [
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-999.0,
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43.0
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],
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"bid": 0.003,
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"ask": 0.997,
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"price": 0.003,
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"spread": 0.994,
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"volume": 273.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011113",
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"range": [
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44.0,
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45.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0085,
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"ask": 0.9915,
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"price": 0.0085,
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"spread": 0.983,
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"volume": 323.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011114",
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"range": [
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46.0,
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47.0
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],
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"bid": 0.009,
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"ask": 0.991,
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"price": 0.009,
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"spread": 0.982,
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"volume": 323.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011115",
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"range": [
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48.0,
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49.0
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],
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"bid": 0.009,
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"ask": 0.991,
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"price": 0.009,
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"spread": 0.982,
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"volume": 323.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011116",
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"range": [
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50.0,
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51.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0105,
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"ask": 0.9895,
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"price": 0.0105,
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"spread": 0.979,
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"volume": 294.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011117",
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"range": [
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52.0,
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53.0
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],
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"bid": 0.015,
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"ask": 0.985,
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"price": 0.015,
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"spread": 0.97,
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"volume": 158.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011118",
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"range": [
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54.0,
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55.0
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],
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"bid": 0.025,
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"ask": 0.975,
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"price": 0.025,
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"spread": 0.95,
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"volume": 145.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011119",
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"range": [
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56.0,
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57.0
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],
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"bid": 0.025,
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"ask": 0.975,
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"price": 0.025,
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"spread": 0.95,
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"volume": 170.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011120",
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"range": [
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58.0,
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59.0
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],
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"bid": 0.06,
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"ask": 0.94,
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"price": 0.06,
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"spread": 0.88,
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"volume": 151.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011121",
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"range": [
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60.0,
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61.0
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],
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"bid": 0.06,
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"ask": 0.94,
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"price": 0.06,
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"spread": 0.88,
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"volume": 164.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011122",
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"range": [
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62.0,
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999.0
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],
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"bid": 0.955,
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"ask": 0.045,
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"price": 0.955,
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"spread": -0.91,
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"volume": 319.0
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}
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],
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"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:33:52.418626+00:00"
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} |