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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/sao-paulo_2026-04-18.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "sao-paulo",
"city_name": "Sao Paulo",
"date": "2026-04-18",
"unit": "C",
"station": "SBGR",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 5.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:42.322054+00:00",
"horizon": "D+0",
"hours_left": 5.4,
"ecmwf": 29.4,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": 21.0,
"best": 29.4,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:42.322054+00:00",
"top_bucket": "29.0-29.0C",
"top_price": 0.385
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996311",
"range": [
-999.0,
24.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 2203.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996312",
"range": [
25.0,
25.0
],
"bid": 0.004,
"ask": 0.996,
"price": 0.004,
"spread": 0.992,
"volume": 2005.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996313",
"range": [
26.0,
26.0
],
"bid": 0.014,
"ask": 0.986,
"price": 0.014,
"spread": 0.972,
"volume": 2804.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996314",
"range": [
27.0,
27.0
],
"bid": 0.085,
"ask": 0.915,
"price": 0.085,
"spread": 0.83,
"volume": 2693.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996315",
"range": [
28.0,
28.0
],
"bid": 0.29,
"ask": 0.71,
"price": 0.29,
"spread": 0.42,
"volume": 1843.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996316",
"range": [
29.0,
29.0
],
"bid": 0.385,
"ask": 0.615,
"price": 0.385,
"spread": 0.23,
"volume": 1848.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996317",
"range": [
30.0,
30.0
],
"bid": 0.165,
"ask": 0.835,
"price": 0.165,
"spread": 0.67,
"volume": 2784.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996318",
"range": [
31.0,
31.0
],
"bid": 0.0465,
"ask": 0.9535,
"price": 0.0465,
"spread": 0.907,
"volume": 2968.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996319",
"range": [
32.0,
32.0
],
"bid": 0.007,
"ask": 0.993,
"price": 0.007,
"spread": 0.986,
"volume": 1552.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996320",
"range": [
33.0,
33.0
],
"bid": 0.003,
"ask": 0.997,
"price": 0.003,
"spread": 0.994,
"volume": 1022.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C or higher on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996321",
"range": [
34.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 1100.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:44.398380+00:00"
}