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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/paris_2026-04-20.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "paris",
"city_name": "Paris",
"date": "2026-04-20",
"unit": "C",
"station": "LFPG",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-20T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 53.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:01.592793+00:00",
"horizon": "D+2",
"hours_left": 53.4,
"ecmwf": 14.0,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": null,
"best": 14.0,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:01.592793+00:00",
"top_bucket": "16.0-16.0C",
"top_price": 0.305
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011057",
"range": [
-999.0,
10.0
],
"bid": 0.011,
"ask": 0.989,
"price": 0.011,
"spread": 0.978,
"volume": 326.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011058",
"range": [
11.0,
11.0
],
"bid": 0.034,
"ask": 0.966,
"price": 0.034,
"spread": 0.932,
"volume": 290.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011059",
"range": [
12.0,
12.0
],
"bid": 0.085,
"ask": 0.915,
"price": 0.085,
"spread": 0.83,
"volume": 55.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011060",
"range": [
13.0,
13.0
],
"bid": 0.1,
"ask": 0.9,
"price": 0.1,
"spread": 0.8,
"volume": 67.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011061",
"range": [
14.0,
14.0
],
"bid": 0.225,
"ask": 0.775,
"price": 0.225,
"spread": 0.55,
"volume": 54.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011062",
"range": [
15.0,
15.0
],
"bid": 0.215,
"ask": 0.785,
"price": 0.215,
"spread": 0.57,
"volume": 24.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011063",
"range": [
16.0,
16.0
],
"bid": 0.305,
"ask": 0.695,
"price": 0.305,
"spread": 0.39,
"volume": 34.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011064",
"range": [
17.0,
17.0
],
"bid": 0.095,
"ask": 0.905,
"price": 0.095,
"spread": 0.81,
"volume": 56.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011065",
"range": [
18.0,
18.0
],
"bid": 0.075,
"ask": 0.925,
"price": 0.075,
"spread": 0.85,
"volume": 82.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011066",
"range": [
19.0,
19.0
],
"bid": 0.0295,
"ask": 0.9705,
"price": 0.0295,
"spread": 0.941,
"volume": 182.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011067",
"range": [
20.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0215,
"ask": 0.9785,
"price": 0.0215,
"spread": 0.957,
"volume": 145.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:04.689830+00:00"
}