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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/paris_2026-04-18.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "paris",
"city_name": "Paris",
"date": "2026-04-18",
"unit": "C",
"station": "LFPG",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 5.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:01.592793+00:00",
"horizon": "D+0",
"hours_left": 5.4,
"ecmwf": 19.8,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": 14.0,
"best": 19.8,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:01.592793+00:00",
"top_bucket": "20.0-20.0C",
"top_price": 0.375
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996300",
"range": [
-999.0,
13.0
],
"bid": 0.0,
"ask": 1.0,
"price": 0.0,
"spread": 1.0,
"volume": 9156.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996301",
"range": [
14.0,
14.0
],
"bid": 0.0,
"ask": 1.0,
"price": 0.0,
"spread": 1.0,
"volume": 10969.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996302",
"range": [
15.0,
15.0
],
"bid": 0.0,
"ask": 1.0,
"price": 0.0,
"spread": 1.0,
"volume": 1769.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996303",
"range": [
16.0,
16.0
],
"bid": 0.0065,
"ask": 0.9935,
"price": 0.0065,
"spread": 0.987,
"volume": 4336.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996304",
"range": [
17.0,
17.0
],
"bid": 0.0015,
"ask": 0.9985,
"price": 0.0015,
"spread": 0.997,
"volume": 10420.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996305",
"range": [
18.0,
18.0
],
"bid": 0.0095,
"ask": 0.9905,
"price": 0.0095,
"spread": 0.981,
"volume": 9557.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996306",
"range": [
19.0,
19.0
],
"bid": 0.042,
"ask": 0.958,
"price": 0.042,
"spread": 0.916,
"volume": 6655.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996307",
"range": [
20.0,
20.0
],
"bid": 0.375,
"ask": 0.625,
"price": 0.375,
"spread": 0.25,
"volume": 5475.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996308",
"range": [
21.0,
21.0
],
"bid": 0.275,
"ask": 0.725,
"price": 0.275,
"spread": 0.45,
"volume": 7595.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996309",
"range": [
22.0,
22.0
],
"bid": 0.224,
"ask": 0.776,
"price": 0.224,
"spread": 0.552,
"volume": 12376.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996310",
"range": [
23.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.017,
"ask": 0.983,
"price": 0.017,
"spread": 0.966,
"volume": 17591.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:03.872301+00:00"
}