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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/nyc_2026-04-20.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "nyc",
"city_name": "New York City",
"date": "2026-04-20",
"unit": "F",
"station": "KLGA",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-20T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 53.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:27.912931+00:00",
"horizon": "D+2",
"hours_left": 53.4,
"ecmwf": 51,
"hrrr": 53,
"metar": null,
"best": 53,
"best_source": "hrrr"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:27.912931+00:00",
"top_bucket": "50.0-51.0F",
"top_price": 0.28
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011123",
"range": [
-999.0,
45.0
],
"bid": 0.075,
"ask": 0.925,
"price": 0.075,
"spread": 0.85,
"volume": 169.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011124",
"range": [
46.0,
47.0
],
"bid": 0.0755,
"ask": 0.9245,
"price": 0.0755,
"spread": 0.849,
"volume": 32.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011125",
"range": [
48.0,
49.0
],
"bid": 0.13,
"ask": 0.87,
"price": 0.13,
"spread": 0.74,
"volume": 0.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011126",
"range": [
50.0,
51.0
],
"bid": 0.28,
"ask": 0.72,
"price": 0.28,
"spread": 0.44,
"volume": 5.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011127",
"range": [
52.0,
53.0
],
"bid": 0.26,
"ask": 0.74,
"price": 0.26,
"spread": 0.48,
"volume": 1.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011128",
"range": [
54.0,
55.0
],
"bid": 0.18,
"ask": 0.82,
"price": 0.18,
"spread": 0.64,
"volume": 38.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011129",
"range": [
56.0,
57.0
],
"bid": 0.055,
"ask": 0.945,
"price": 0.055,
"spread": 0.89,
"volume": 38.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011130",
"range": [
58.0,
59.0
],
"bid": 0.05,
"ask": 0.95,
"price": 0.05,
"spread": 0.9,
"volume": 153.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011131",
"range": [
60.0,
61.0
],
"bid": 0.0375,
"ask": 0.9625,
"price": 0.0375,
"spread": 0.925,
"volume": 80.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011132",
"range": [
62.0,
63.0
],
"bid": 0.02,
"ask": 0.98,
"price": 0.02,
"spread": 0.96,
"volume": 200.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011133",
"range": [
64.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.004,
"ask": 0.996,
"price": 0.004,
"spread": 0.992,
"volume": 188.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:33:33.402284+00:00"
}